-
1
-
-
0027525728
-
A degeneracy in cross-validated skill in regression-based forecasts
-
Barnston, A. G., and H. M. Van den Dool, 1993: A degeneracy in cross-validated skill in regression-based forecasts. J. Climate, 6, 963-977.
-
(1993)
J. Climate
, vol.6
, pp. 963-977
-
-
Barnston, A.G.1
Van den Dool, H.M.2
-
2
-
-
60749111939
-
-
Behringer, D., 2007: The Global Ocean Data Assimilation System (GODAS) at NCEP. Preprints, 11th Symp. on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS), San Antonio, TX, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 3.3.
-
Behringer, D., 2007: The Global Ocean Data Assimilation System (GODAS) at NCEP. Preprints, 11th Symp. on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS), San Antonio, TX, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 3.3.
-
-
-
-
3
-
-
0004247888
-
Objective and subjective precipitation probability forecasts: Some methods for improving forecast quality
-
Clemen, R. T., and A. H. Murphy, 1986: Objective and subjective precipitation probability forecasts: Some methods for improving forecast quality. Wea. Forecasting, 1, 213-218.
-
(1986)
Wea. Forecasting
, vol.1
, pp. 213-218
-
-
Clemen, R.T.1
Murphy, A.H.2
-
4
-
-
0030441977
-
Constrained regression in satellite meteorology
-
Crone, L. J., L. M. Mcmillin, and D. S. Crosby, 1996: Constrained regression in satellite meteorology. J. Appl. Meteor., 35, 2023-2035.
-
(1996)
J. Appl. Meteor
, vol.35
, pp. 2023-2035
-
-
Crone, L.J.1
Mcmillin, L.M.2
Crosby, D.S.3
-
5
-
-
34447272040
-
A Bayesian framework for multimodel regression
-
DelSole, T., 2007: A Bayesian framework for multimodel regression. J. Climate, 20, 2810-2826.
-
(2007)
J. Climate
, vol.20
, pp. 2810-2826
-
-
DelSole, T.1
-
6
-
-
0035562396
-
Seasonal predictions based on two dynamical models
-
Derome, J., G. Brunet, A. Plante, N. Gagnon, G. J. Boer, F. W. Zwiers, S. Lambert, and H. Ritchie, 2001: Seasonal predictions based on two dynamical models. Atmos.-Ocean, 39, 485-501.
-
(2001)
Atmos.-Ocean
, vol.39
, pp. 485-501
-
-
Derome, J.1
Brunet, G.2
Plante, A.3
Gagnon, N.4
Boer, G.J.5
Zwiers, F.W.6
Lambert, S.7
Ritchie, H.8
-
7
-
-
0033844059
-
Multimodel spread and probabilistic forecasts in PROVOST
-
Doblas-Reyes, F. J., M. Déqué, and J.-P. Piedelevre, 2000: Multimodel spread and probabilistic forecasts in PROVOST. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 126, 2069-2087.
-
(2000)
Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc
, vol.126
, pp. 2069-2087
-
-
Doblas-Reyes, F.J.1
Déqué, M.2
Piedelevre, J.-P.3
-
8
-
-
0000333571
-
An analysis of the total least square problem
-
Golub, G. H., and C. F. Van Loan, 1980: An analysis of the total least square problem. SIAM J. Numer. Anal., 17, 883-893.
-
(1980)
SIAM J. Numer. Anal
, vol.17
, pp. 883-893
-
-
Golub, G.H.1
Van Loan, C.F.2
-
9
-
-
18544371178
-
The rationale behind the success of multi-model ensembles in seasonal forecasting. Part I: Basic concept
-
Hagedorn, R., F. J. Doblas-Reyes, and T. N. Palmer, 2005: The rationale behind the success of multi-model ensembles in seasonal forecasting. Part I: Basic concept. Tellus, 57A, 219-233.
-
(2005)
Tellus
, vol.57 A
, pp. 219-233
-
-
Hagedorn, R.1
Doblas-Reyes, F.J.2
Palmer, T.N.3
-
10
-
-
1642306852
-
Ensemble reforecasting: Improving medium range forecast skill using retrospective forecasts
-
Hamill, T. M., J. S. Whitaker, and X. Wei, 2004: Ensemble reforecasting: Improving medium range forecast skill using retrospective forecasts. Mon. Wea. Rev., 132, 1434-1447.
-
(2004)
Mon. Wea. Rev
, vol.132
, pp. 1434-1447
-
-
Hamill, T.M.1
Whitaker, J.S.2
Wei, X.3
-
11
-
-
32544435618
-
Reforecasts: An important data set for improving weather predictions
-
Hamill, T. M., J. S. Whitaker, and S. L. Mullen, 2006: Reforecasts: An important data set for improving weather predictions. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 87, 33-46.
-
(2006)
Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc
, vol.87
, pp. 33-46
-
-
Hamill, T.M.1
Whitaker, J.S.2
Mullen, S.L.3
-
12
-
-
0242698122
-
A Bayesian view on ridge regression
-
Hsiang, T. C., 1976: A Bayesian view on ridge regression. Statistician, 24, 267-268.
-
(1976)
Statistician
, vol.24
, pp. 267-268
-
-
Hsiang, T.C.1
-
13
-
-
0036539312
-
Climate predictions with multimodel ensembles
-
Kharin, V. V., and F. W. Zwiers, 2002: Climate predictions with multimodel ensembles. J. Climate, 15, 793-799.
-
(2002)
J. Climate
, vol.15
, pp. 793-799
-
-
Kharin, V.V.1
Zwiers, F.W.2
-
14
-
-
0038684066
-
Improved seasonal probability forecasts
-
Kharin, V. V., and F. W. Zwiers, 2003: Improved seasonal probability forecasts. J. Climate, 16, 1684-1701.
-
(2003)
J. Climate
, vol.16
, pp. 1684-1701
-
-
Kharin, V.V.1
Zwiers, F.W.2
-
15
-
-
11044224072
-
Using generalized cross-validation to select parameters in inversions for regional carbon fluxes
-
doi:10.1029/2004GL020323
-
Krakauer, N. Y., T. Schneider, J. T. Randerson, and S. C. Olsen, 2004: Using generalized cross-validation to select parameters in inversions for regional carbon fluxes. Geophys. Res. Lett., 31, L19108, doi:10.1029/2004GL020323.
-
(2004)
Geophys. Res. Lett
, vol.31
-
-
Krakauer, N.Y.1
Schneider, T.2
Randerson, J.T.3
Olsen, S.C.4
-
16
-
-
0033520451
-
Improved weather and seasonal climate forecasts from multimodel superensemble
-
Krishnamurti, T. N., C. M. Kishtawal, T. E. LaRow, D. R. Bachiochi, Z. Zhang, C. E. Williford, S. Gadgil, and S. Surendran, 1999: Improved weather and seasonal climate forecasts from multimodel superensemble. Science, 285, 1548-1550.
-
(1999)
Science
, vol.285
, pp. 1548-1550
-
-
Krishnamurti, T.N.1
Kishtawal, C.M.2
LaRow, T.E.3
Bachiochi, D.R.4
Zhang, Z.5
Williford, C.E.6
Gadgil, S.7
Surendran, S.8
-
17
-
-
0034351740
-
Multimodel ensemble forecasts for weather and seasonal climate
-
Krishnamurti, T. N., C. M. Kishtawal, Z. Zhang, T. LaRow, D. Bachiochi, E. Williford, S. Gadgil, and S. Surendran, 2000: Multimodel ensemble forecasts for weather and seasonal climate. J. Climate, 13, 4196-4216.
-
(2000)
J. Climate
, vol.13
, pp. 4196-4216
-
-
Krishnamurti, T.N.1
Kishtawal, C.M.2
Zhang, Z.3
LaRow, T.4
Bachiochi, D.5
Williford, E.6
Gadgil, S.7
Surendran, S.8
-
18
-
-
44849099852
-
Probabilistic forecasts from the National Digital Forecast Database
-
Krzysztofowicz, R., and W. B. Evans, 2008: Probabilistic forecasts from the National Digital Forecast Database. Wea. Forecasting, 23, 270-289.
-
(2008)
Wea. Forecasting
, vol.23
, pp. 270-289
-
-
Krzysztofowicz, R.1
Evans, W.B.2
-
19
-
-
34547569065
-
Bayesian merging of multiple climate model forecasts for seasonal hydrological predictions
-
doi:10.1029/2006JD007655
-
Luo, L., E. F. Wood, and M. Pan, 2007: Bayesian merging of multiple climate model forecasts for seasonal hydrological predictions. J. Geophys. Res., 112, D10102, doi:10.1029/2006JD007655.
-
(2007)
J. Geophys. Res
, vol.112
-
-
Luo, L.1
Wood, E.F.2
Pan, M.3
-
20
-
-
0033208324
-
Conditional probabilities, relative operating characteristics, and relative operating levels
-
Mason, S. J., and N. E. Graham, 1999: Conditional probabilities, relative operating characteristics, and relative operating levels. Wea. Forecasting, 14, 713-725.
-
(1999)
Wea. Forecasting
, vol.14
, pp. 713-725
-
-
Mason, S.J.1
Graham, N.E.2
-
21
-
-
0018725988
-
Ridge regression-time extrapolation applied to Hawaiian rainfall normals
-
Meisner, B. N., 1979: Ridge regression-time extrapolation applied to Hawaiian rainfall normals. J. Appl. Meteor., 18, 904-912.
-
(1979)
J. Appl. Meteor
, vol.18
, pp. 904-912
-
-
Meisner, B.N.1
-
22
-
-
3543083343
-
Development of a European multimodel ensemble system for seasonal-to-interannual prediction (DEMETER)
-
Palmer, T. N., and Coauthors, 2004: Development of a European multimodel ensemble system for seasonal-to-interannual prediction (DEMETER). Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 85, 853-872.
-
(2004)
Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc
, vol.85
, pp. 853-872
-
-
Palmer, T.N.1
-
23
-
-
60749099561
-
-
Peña, M., and Z. Toth, 2008: Forecast error dynamics in a coupled ocean-atmosphere prediction system. Preprints, 19th Conf. on Probability and Statistics, New Orleans, LA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 10.3.
-
Peña, M., and Z. Toth, 2008: Forecast error dynamics in a coupled ocean-atmosphere prediction system. Preprints, 19th Conf. on Probability and Statistics, New Orleans, LA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 10.3.
-
-
-
-
24
-
-
85080838118
-
An analysis of multimodel ensemble prediction for seasonal climate anomalies
-
doi:10.1029/ 2002JD002712
-
Peng, P., A. Kumar, H. Van den Dool, and A. G. Barnston, 2002: An analysis of multimodel ensemble prediction for seasonal climate anomalies. J. Geophys. Res., 107, 4710, doi:10.1029/ 2002JD002712.
-
(2002)
J. Geophys. Res
, vol.107
, pp. 4710
-
-
Peng, P.1
Kumar, A.2
Van den Dool, H.3
Barnston, A.G.4
-
25
-
-
20444497873
-
Using Bayesian model averaging to calibrate forecast ensembles
-
Raftery, A. E., T. Gneiting, F. Balabdaoui, and M. Polakowski, 2005: Using Bayesian model averaging to calibrate forecast ensembles. Mon. Wea. Rev., 133, 1155-1174.
-
(2005)
Mon. Wea. Rev
, vol.133
, pp. 1155-1174
-
-
Raftery, A.E.1
Gneiting, T.2
Balabdaoui, F.3
Polakowski, M.4
-
26
-
-
0036646424
-
Categorical climate forecasts through regularization and optimal combination of multiple GCM ensembles
-
Rajagopalan, B., U. Lall, and S. E. Zebiak, 2002: Categorical climate forecasts through regularization and optimal combination of multiple GCM ensembles. Mon. Wea. Rev., 130, 1790-1811.
-
(2002)
Mon. Wea. Rev
, vol.130
, pp. 1790-1811
-
-
Rajagopalan, B.1
Lall, U.2
Zebiak, S.E.3
-
27
-
-
0036648346
-
An improved in situ and satellite SST analysis for climate
-
Reynolds, R. W., N. A. Rayner, T. M. Smith, D. C. Stokes, and W. Wang, 2002: An improved in situ and satellite SST analysis for climate. J. Climate, 15, 1609-1625.
-
(2002)
J. Climate
, vol.15
, pp. 1609-1625
-
-
Reynolds, R.W.1
Rayner, N.A.2
Smith, T.M.3
Stokes, D.C.4
Wang, W.5
-
28
-
-
11844296090
-
Improved combination of multiple atmospheric GCM ensembles for seasonal prediction
-
Robertson, A. W., U. Lall, S. E. Zebiak, and L. Goddard, 2004: Improved combination of multiple atmospheric GCM ensembles for seasonal prediction. Mon. Wea. Rev., 132, 2732-2744.
-
(2004)
Mon. Wea. Rev
, vol.132
, pp. 2732-2744
-
-
Robertson, A.W.1
Lall, U.2
Zebiak, S.E.3
Goddard, L.4
-
29
-
-
60749115749
-
The NCEP Climate Prediction System
-
Saha, S., and Coauthors, 2006: The NCEP Climate Prediction System. J. Climate, 19, 3487-3517.
-
(2006)
J. Climate
, vol.19
, pp. 3487-3517
-
-
Saha, S.1
-
30
-
-
18544370386
-
Forecast assimilation: A unified framework for the combination of multi-model weather and climate predictions
-
Stephenson, D. B., C. A. S. Coelho, F. J. Doblas-Reyes, and M. Balmaseda, 2005: Forecast assimilation: A unified framework for the combination of multi-model weather and climate predictions. Tellus, 57A, 253-264.
-
(2005)
Tellus
, vol.57 A
, pp. 253-264
-
-
Stephenson, D.B.1
Coelho, C.A.S.2
Doblas-Reyes, F.J.3
Balmaseda, M.4
-
31
-
-
0001112454
-
Coupled ocean-atmosphere forecasts in the presence of climate drift
-
Stockdale, T. N., 1997: Coupled ocean-atmosphere forecasts in the presence of climate drift. Mon. Wea. Rev., 125, 809-818.
-
(1997)
Mon. Wea. Rev
, vol.125
, pp. 809-818
-
-
Stockdale, T.N.1
-
32
-
-
0001300994
-
Solution of incorrectly formulated problems and the regularization method
-
Tikhonov, A., 1963: Solution of incorrectly formulated problems and the regularization method. Soviet Math. Dokl., 4, 651-667.
-
(1963)
Soviet Math. Dokl
, vol.4
, pp. 651-667
-
-
Tikhonov, A.1
-
33
-
-
0000775670
-
A bias in skill in forecasts based on analogues and antilogues
-
Van den Dool, H. M., 1987: A bias in skill in forecasts based on analogues and antilogues. J. Climate Appl. Meteor., 26, 1278-1281.
-
(1987)
J. Climate Appl. Meteor
, vol.26
, pp. 1278-1281
-
-
Van den Dool, H.M.1
-
34
-
-
0028584096
-
Searching for analogues, how long must we wait?
-
Van den Dool, H. M., 1994: Searching for analogues, how long must we wait? Tellus, 46A, 314-324.
-
(1994)
Tellus
, vol.46 A
, pp. 314-324
-
-
Van den Dool, H.M.1
-
36
-
-
0001907318
-
Why do forecasts for near-normal fail to succeed?
-
Van den Dool, H. M., and Z. Toth, 1991: Why do forecasts for near-normal fail to succeed? Wea. Forecasting, 6, 76-85.
-
(1991)
Wea. Forecasting
, vol.6
, pp. 76-85
-
-
Van den Dool, H.M.1
Toth, Z.2
-
37
-
-
0001380508
-
On the weights for an ensemble-averaged 6-10 day forecast
-
Van den Dool, H. M., and L. Rukhovets, 1994: On the weights for an ensemble-averaged 6-10 day forecast. Wea. Forecasting, 9, 457-465.
-
(1994)
Wea. Forecasting
, vol.9
, pp. 457-465
-
-
Van den Dool, H.M.1
Rukhovets, L.2
-
38
-
-
1342311212
-
Performance and analysis of the constructed analogue method applied to U.S. soil moisture over 1981-2001
-
doi:10.1029/2002JD003114
-
Van den Dool, H. M., H. J. Huang, and Y. Fan, 2003: Performance and analysis of the constructed analogue method applied to U.S. soil moisture over 1981-2001. J. Geophys. Res., 108, 8617, doi:10.1029/2002JD003114.
-
(2003)
J. Geophys. Res
, vol.108
, pp. 8617
-
-
Van den Dool, H.M.1
Huang, H.J.2
Fan, Y.3
-
39
-
-
0346687452
-
Improvement of the multimodel superensemble technique for seasonal forecasts
-
Yun, W. T., L. Stefanova, and T. N. Krishnamurti, 2003: Improvement of the multimodel superensemble technique for seasonal forecasts. J. Climate, 16, 3834-3840.
-
(2003)
J. Climate
, vol.16
, pp. 3834-3840
-
-
Yun, W.T.1
Stefanova, L.2
Krishnamurti, T.N.3
|