Climate impacts of land-use change in China and its uncertainty in a global model simulation

Climate Dynamics

Volumn 32, Issue 4, 2009, Pages 473-494

  Zhang, Huqiang ^a,c   Gao, Xuejie ^b   Li, Yaohui ^c  

^a Bureau of Meteorology Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research   (Australia)

^b China Meteorological Administration   (China)

^c NATIONAL CLIMATE CENTER   (China)

Author keywords

Complexity; Land use; Uncertainty

Indexed keywords

ALBEDO; CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE EFFECT; CLIMATE MODELING; COMPUTER SIMULATION; LAND USE CHANGE; PARAMETERIZATION; PRECIPITATION INTENSITY; RAINFALL; SEASONAL VARIATION; SUMMER; SURFACE TEMPERATURE; UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS; VEGETATION COVER; WINTER;

ASIA; CHINA; EURASIA; FAR EAST;

EID: 58849154673     PISSN: 09307575     EISSN: 14320894     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-008-0388-4     Document Type: Article

References (50)

1. Betts RA, Cox PM, Lee SE, Woodward FI (1997) Contrasting physiological structural vegetation feedbacks in climate change simulations. Nature 387:796-799
2. Chang CP (2004) East Asian monsoon. World scientific series on meteorology of East Asia, vol 2, World Scientific, Singapore, p 564
3. Chang CP, Krishnamurti TN (1987) Monsoon meteorology. Oxford University Press, New York, p 544
4. Charney JG (1975) Dynamics of deserts and drought in the Sahal. Q J R Meteorol Soc 101:193-202
5. Cox PM, Betts RA, Jones CD, Spall SA, Totterdell IJ (2000) Acceleration of global warming due to carbon-cycle feedbacks in a coupled climate model. Nature 408:184-187
6. Culf AD, Fisch G, Hodnett MG (1995) The albedo of Amazonian forest and ranch land. J Clim 8:1544-1554
7. de Noblet-Ducoudre N, Pitman A (2007) LUCID--land-use and climate, identification of robust impacts, iLEAPS Newsl, (http://www.ileaps.org/) 4:46-47
8. Desborough CE (1999) Surface energy balance complexity in GCM land surface models. Climate Dyn 15:389-403
9. Desborough CE, Pitman AJ, McAvaney B (2001) Surface energy balance complexity in GCM land surface models, Part II: Coupled simulations. Climate Dyn 17:615-626
10. Dickinson RE, Henderson-Sellers A, Kennedy PJ, Giorgi F (1993) Biosphere-atmosphere transfer scheme (BATS) version 1e as coupled to the NCAR Community Climate Model. National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, BO, Tech Note/TN-387 + STR, p 80
11. Dirmeyer PA, Shukla J (1994) Albedo as a modulator of climate response to tropical deforestation. J Geophys Res 99(D10):20863-20877
12. Fu CB, Yuan HL (2001) A virtual numerical experiment to understand the impacts of recovering natural vegetation on the summer climate and environmental conditions in East Asia. Chin Sci Bull 46:691-695
13. Fu CB, Harasawa H, Kasyanov V, Kim J, Ojima D, Wan Z, Zhao S (2002) Regional-global interactions in East Asia. In: Tyson PD et al (ed.) Global-regional linkage in the Earth system. Springer, Berlin, pp 109-149
14. Gao X, Luo Y, Lin W, Zhao Z, Giorgi F (2003) Simulation of effects of land use change on climate in China by a regional climate model. Adv Atmos Sci 20:583-592
15. Guo Z et al (2006) GLACE: The global land-atmosphere coupling experiment. Part II: Analysis. J Hydrometeorol 7:611-625
16. Hahmann AN, Dickinson RE (1997) RCCM2-BATS model over tropical South America: Application to tropical deforestation. J Clim 10:1944-1964
17. Henderson-Sellers A (1992) Assessing the sensitivity of a land-surface scheme to parameters used in tropical deforestation experiment. Q J R Meteorol Soc 118:1101-1116
18. Holdridge LR (1967) Life zone ecology (revised edition), Tropical Science Center, San Jose, Costa Rica, p 206
19. Houghton JT, Ding Y, Griggs DJ, Noguer M, van der Linden PJ, Dai X, Maskell K, JohnTon CA (eds) (2001): Climate change 2001: the scientific basis. Cambridge University Press, London, p 892
20. Hu ZZ, Yang S, Wu R (2003) Long-term climate variations in China and global warming signal. J Geophys Res 108:4614. doi: 10.1029/2003JD003651
21. IPCC AR4 (2007) Climate change 2007--the physical science basis. Working group I contribution to the fourth assessment report of IPCC. Cambridge University Press, London, p 1056
22. Jones PD, New M, Parker DE, Martin S, Rigor IG (1999) Surface air temperature and its changes over the past 150 years. Rev Geophys 37:173-199
23. Koster RD et al (2006) GLACE: The global land-atmosphere coupling experiment. Part I: Overview. J Hydrometeo 7:590-610
24. Manabe S (1969) Climate and the ocean circulation: 1, the atmospheric circulation and the hydrology of the Earth's surface. Mon Weather Rev 97:739-805
25. Nicholls N (2001) The insignificance of significant testing. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 81:981-986
26. Nobre CA, Sellers PJ, Shukla J (1991) Amazonian deforestation and regional climate change. J Clim 4:957-988
27. Osborne TM, Lawrence DM, Slingo JM, Challinor AJ, Wheeler TR (2004) Influence of vegetation on local climate and hydrology in the tropics: sensitivity to soil parameters. Climate Dyn 23(1):45-62
28. Park S, Hong S-Y (2004) The role of surface boundary forcing over south Asia in the Indian summer monsoon circulation: A regional climate model sensitivity study. Geophys Res Lett 31:L12112. doi: 10.1029/2004GL019729
29. Pielke RA et al (2002) The influence of land-use change and landscape dynamics on the climate system: Relevance to climate-change policy beyond the radiative effect of greenhouse gases. Phil Trans R Soc Lond A360:1705-1719
30. Pitman AJ, McAvaney BJ (2002) The role of surface energy balance complexity in land surface models' sensitivity to increasing carbon dioxide. Climate Dyn 19:609-618
31. Pitman AJ, Durbidge TB, Henderson-Sellers A, McGuffie K (1993) Assessing climate model sensitivity to prescribed deforestation landscapes. Int J Climatol 13:879-898
32. Wang H, Pitman AJ, Zhao M, Leeman R (2003) The impact of historical land cover change on the June meteorology of China since 1700 simulated using a regional climate model. Int J Climatol 23:511-527
33. Webster PJ, Magana VO, Palmer TN, Shukla J, Tomas RA, Yanai M, Yasunari T (1998) Monsoons: Process, predictability, and the prospects for prediction. J Geophys Res 103:14451-14510
34. Xie P, Arkin PA (1997) Global precipitation: A 17-year monthly analysis based on gauge observations, satellite estimates, and numerical model outputs. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 78:2539-2558
35. Xue Y (1996) The impacts of desertification in the Mongolian and Inner Mongolian grassland on the regional climate. J Clim 9:2173-2189
36. Xue Y, Fennessy MJ (2002) Under what conditions does land-cover change impact regional climate? Global desertification: Do human causes deserts? In: Reynolds JF, Stafford DM (eds) Dahlem University Press, Berlin pp 59-73
37. Xue Y, Juang H-M, Li W, Prince S, DeFries R, Jiao Y, Vasic R (2004) Role of land surface processes in monsoon development: Part I--East Asia and West Africa. J Geophy Res 109:D03105. doi: 10.1029/2003JD003556
38. Zhang X (1993) The vegetation-climate classification system for global change study (in Chinese). Quat Res 2:157-169
39. Zhang H (2004) Analyzing the potential impacts of soil moisture on the observed and model-simulated Australian surface temperature variations. J Clim 17:4190-4212
40. Zhang H, Frederiksen CS (2003) Local and non-local impacts of soil moisture initialisation on AGCM seasonal forecasts: A model sensitivity study. J Clim 16:2117-2137
41. Zhang H, Gao X, (2007) Impacts of land-use on monsoon climate: Comparing results from a pair of regional and global model simulations, oral presentation at IUGG XXIV2007, Perugia, Italy, 2-13 July 2007
42. Zhang H, Henderson-Sellers A, McGuffie K (1996a) Impacts of tropical deforestation I: Process analysis of local climatic change. J Clim 9:1497-1517
43. Zhang H, McGuffie K, Henderson-Sellers A (1996b) Impacts of tropical deforestation II: The role of large-scale dynamics. J Clim 9:2498-2521
44. Zhang H, Henderson-Sellers A, McAvaney B, Pitman A (1997) Uncertainties in GCM evaluations of tropical deforestation: A comparison of two model simulations, assessing climate change: Results from the model evaluation consortium for climate assessment. In: Howe W, Henderson-Sellers A (eds.) Gordon and Breach Science Publishers, New York, pp 219-251
45. Zhang H, Henderson-Sellers A, McGuffie K (2001a) The compounding effects of tropical deforestation and greenhouse warming on climate. Clim Change 49:309-338
46. Zhang H, Henderson-Sellers A, Pitman AJ, McGregor JL, Desborough CE, Katzfey J (2001b) Limited-area model sensitivity to the complexity of representation of the land-surface energy balance. J Clim 14:3965-3986
47. Zhang H, Henderson-Sellers A, Irannejad P, Sharmeen S, Phillips T, McGuffie K (2002) Land-surface modelling and climate simulations: results over the Australian region from sixteen AMIP2 models, Bureau of Meteorology Research Centre Report, No 89
48. Zhang H, Henderson-Sellers A, McGregor J, Katzfey J (2004) Impacts of land surface model complexity on a regional simulation of a tropical synoptic event. J Hydrometeorol 5:180-198
49. Zhong A., Colman R, Smith N, Naughton M, Rikus L, Puri K, Tseitkin F (2001) Ten-year AMIP1 climatologies from a version of the BMRC atmospheric model, BMRC report No. 83, p 33
50. Zhong A, Alves O, Schiller A., Tseitkin F, Smith N (2004) Results from a preliminary version of the ACOM2/BAM coupled seasonal forecast model. BMRC Report. No. 95, p 45