Theoretical estimation of maximum human lifespan

Biogerontology

Volumn 10, Issue 1, 2009, Pages 65-71

  Weon, Byung Mook ^a   Je, Jung Ho ^a  

^a Pohang University of Science and Technology (POSTECH)   (South Korea)

Author keywords

Extended Weibull model; Human aging; Maximum human lifespan

Indexed keywords

AGE DETERMINATION; ARTICLE; CONTROLLED STUDY; DEMOGRAPHY; FEMALE; HUMAN; LIFE TABLE METHOD; LIFESPAN; MATHEMATICAL MODEL; MORTALITY; PRIORITY JOURNAL; PROBABILITY; QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS; SURVIVAL; THEORETICAL STUDY; UNCERTAINTY;

ADULT; AGED; AGED, 80 AND OVER; FEMALE; HUMANS; KINETICS; LIFE EXPECTANCY; LIFE TABLES; LONGEVITY; MIDDLE AGED; MODELS, BIOLOGICAL; MORTALITY; PROBABILITY; SURVIVAL ANALYSIS; SWEDEN;

EID: 58149312815     PISSN: 13895729     EISSN: 15736768     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s10522-008-9156-4     Document Type: Article

References (35)

1. Abbott A (2004) Aging: Growing old gracefully. Nature 428:116-118. doi: 10.1038/428116a
2. Allman J, McLaughlin T, Hakeem A (1993) Brain weight and life-span in primate species. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 90:118-122. doi: 10.1073/ pnas.90.1.118
3. Carnes BA, Olshansky SJ, Grahn D (2003) Biological evidence for limits to the duration of life. Biogerontology 4:31-45. doi: 10.1023/ A:1022425317536
4. Cohen JE (2004) Mathematics is biology's next microscope, only better; biology is mathematics' next physics, only better. PLoS Biol 2:2017-2023
5. Couzin J (2005) How much can human life span be extended? Science 309:83. doi: 10.1126/science.309.5731.83
6. Crimmins EM, Finch CE (2005) Infection, inflammation, height, and longevity. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 103:498-503. doi: 10.1073/ pnas.0501470103
7. Cutler RC (1975) Evolution of human longevity and the genetic complexity governing aging rate. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 72:4664-4668. doi: 10.1073/ pnas.72.11.4664
8. Finch CE, Pike MC (1996) Maximum life span predictions from the Gompertz mortality model. J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci 51:B183-B194
9. Gavrilov LA, Gavrilova NS (1991) The biology of life span. A quantitative approach. Harwood Academic, New York
10. Gavrilov LA, Gavrilova NS (2001) The reliability theory of aging and longevity. J Theor Biol 213:527-545. doi: 10.1006/jtbi.2001.2430
11. Gompertz B (1825) On the nature of the function expressive of the law of human mortality and on a new mode of determining life contingencies. Philos Trans R Soc Lond A 115:513-585. doi: 10.1098/rstl.1825.0026
12. Hayflick L (2000) The future of aging. Nature 408:267-269. doi: 10.1038/ 35041709
13. Hayflick L (2004) Aging: The reality, "anti-aging" is an oxymoron. J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci 59:B573-B578
14. Helfand SL, Inouye SK (2002) Rejuvenating views of the aging process. Nat Rev Genet 3:149-153. doi: 10.1038/nrg726
15. Kannisto V (1994) Development of oldest-old mortality, 1950-1990: evidence from 28 developed countries. Odense monographs on population aging 1. Odense University Press, Odense
16. Kirkwood TBL (2005) Understanding the odd science of aging. Cell 120:437-447. doi: 10.1016/j.cell.2005.01.027
17. Kirkwood TBL, Austad SN (2000) Why do we age? Nature 408:233-238. doi: 10.1038/35041682
18. Lucke JC, Hall W (2005) Who wants to live forever? EMBO Rep 6:98-102. doi: 10.1038/sj.embor.7400339
19. Oeppen J, Vaupel JW (2002) Broken limits to life expectancy. Science 296:1029-1031. doi: 10.1126/science.1069675
20. Olshansky SJ, Carnes BA, Désesquelles A (2001) Demography: prospects for human longevity. Science 291:1491-1492. doi: 10.1126/ science.291.5508.1491
21. Olshansky SJ, Passaro DJ, Hershow RC et al (2005) A potential decline in life expectancy in the United States in the 21st century. N Engl J Med 352:1138-1145. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsr043743
22. Partridge B, Hall W (2007) The search for Methuselah: Should we endeavour to increase the maximum human lifespan? EMBO Rep 8:888-891. doi: 10.1038/sj.embor.7401069
23. Robine JM, Allard M (1998) The oldest human. Science 279:1834-1835. doi: 10.1126/science.279.5358.1831h
24. Robine JM, Vaupel JW (2002) Emergence of supercentenarians in low mortality countries. N Am Actuarial J 6:54-63
25. Takahashi Y, Kuro-o M, Ishikawa F (2000) Aging mechanisms. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 97:12407-12408. doi: 10.1073/pnas.210382097
26. Thatcher AR, Kannisto V, Vaupel JW (1998) The force of mortality at ages 80-120. Odense monographs on population aging 5. Odense University Press, Odense
27. Vaupel JW, Carey JR, Christensen K et al (1998) Biodemographic trajectories of longevity. Science 280:855-860. doi: 10.1126/ science.280.5365.855
28. Vaupel JW, Carey JR, Christensen K (2003) Aging: It's never too late. Science 301:1679-1681. doi: 10.1126/science.1090529
29. Wachter KW, Finch C (eds) (1997) Between Zeus and the Salmon: The biodemography of longevity. National Academic Press, Washington DC
30. Weitz JS, Fraser HB (2001) Explaining mortality rate plateaus. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 98:15383-15386. doi: 10.1073/pnas.261228098
31. Weibull WA (1951) A statistical distribution function of wide applicability. J Appl Mech 18:293-297
32. Weon BM, Lee JL, Je JH (2005) A unified decay formula for luminescence decays. J Appl Phys 98:096101. doi: 10.1063/1.2126120
33. Weon BM, Je JH, Lee JL (2007) Lifetime dispersion in a single quantum dot. Appl Phys A 89:1029-1031. doi: 10.1007/s00339-007-4239-7
34. Wilmoth JR, Deegan LJ, Lundstom H, Horiuchi S (2000) Increase of maximum life-span in Sweden, 1861-1999. Science 289:2366-2368. doi: 10.1126/ science.289.5488.2366
35. Yashin AI, Iachine I (1995) How long can humans live? Lower bound for biological limit of human longevity calculated from the Danish twin data using correlated frailty model. Mech Ageing Dev 80:147-169. doi: 10.1016/ 0047-6374(94)01567-6