Biodemographic trajectories of longevity

Science

Volumn 280, Issue 5365, 1998, Pages 855-860

  Vaupel, James W ^a,b,c,d   Carey, James R ^e   Christensen, Kaare ^b   Johnson, Thomas E ^f   Yashin, Anatoli I ^a,c   Holm, Niels V ^b   Iachine, Ivan A ^b   Kannisto, Väinö ^b   Khazaeli, Aziz A ^g   Liedo, Pablo ^h   Longo, Valter D ^d   Zeng, Yi ^a,i   Manton, Kenneth G ^c   Curtsinger, James W ^g  

^a MAX PLANCK INSTITUTE FOR DEMOGRAPHIC RESEARCH   (Germany)

^b UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHERN DENMARK   (Denmark)

^c DUKE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^d UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA   (United States)

^e UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA   (United States)

^f UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO   (United States)

^g UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA   (United States)

^h EL COLEGIO DE LA FRONTERA SUR   (Mexico)

ⁱ PEKING UNIVERSITY   (China)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

DEMOGRAPHY; GENETIC HETEROGENEITY; GENETIC VARIABILITY; HUMAN; LIFESPAN; LONGEVITY; MORTALITY; NONHUMAN; PRIORITY JOURNAL; REVIEW;

AGING; ANIMALS; DEVELOPED COUNTRIES; FEMALE; FERTILITY; GENES; HUMANS; LONGEVITY; MALE; MODELS, STATISTICAL; MORTALITY; VARIATION (GENETICS);

HEXAPODA;

EID: 0032496353     PISSN: 00368075     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1126/science.280.5365.855     Document Type: Review

References (97)

1. In China the 60+ population in 2050 may number around half a billion people, about the number worldwide today (Table 1). To keep the proportion over 60 to a quarter that size, population size would have to rise from 1.25 to 2 billion [J. W. Vaupel and Y. Zeng, Policy Sci. 24, 389 (1991); Y. Zeng, J. W. Vaupel, Z. Wang, Math. Pop. Stud. 6, 187 (1997)]. More generally, see J. W. Vaupel and A. E. Gowan, Am. J. Public Health 76, 430 (1986) and D. A. Wise, Ed., Advances in the Economics of Aging (Univ. of Chicago Press, Chicago, IL, 1996).
2. In China the 60+ population in 2050 may number around half a billion people, about the number worldwide today (Table 1). To keep the proportion over 60 to a quarter that size, population size would have to rise from 1.25 to 2 billion [J. W. Vaupel and Y. Zeng, Policy Sci. 24, 389 (1991); Y. Zeng, J. W. Vaupel, Z. Wang, Math. Pop. Stud. 6, 187 (1997)]. More generally, see J. W. Vaupel and A. E. Gowan, Am. J. Public Health 76, 430 (1986) and D. A. Wise, Ed., Advances in the Economics of Aging (Univ. of Chicago Press, Chicago, IL, 1996).
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97. Our research was supported by the U.S. National Institutes of Health (grant AG08761), Danish Research Council, Max Planck Society, Alfred P. Sloan Foundation, and Wellcome Trust. We thank K. Andreev, K. Brehmer, C. E. Finch, L. G. Harshman, B. Jeune, P. Laslett, H. Lundström, M. K. McGue, H.-G. Müller, D. Orozco, C. R. Owens, L. Partridge, S. D. Pletcher, S. H. Preston, D. Roach, R. Suzman, M. Tatar, A. R. Thatcher, S. Tuljapurkar, N. G. Vaupel, K. W. Wachter, J.-L. Wang, J. R. Wilmoth, and the Moscamed Program in Metapa, Mexico.