Estimating survival and breeding probability for pond-breeding amphibians: A modified robust design

Ecology

Volumn 85, Issue 9, 2004, Pages 2456-2466

  Bailey, Larissa L ^a,b   Kendall, William L ^b   Church, Don R ^c   Wilbur, Henry M ^c  

^a NORTH CAROLINA STATE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^b PATUXENT WILDLIFE RESEARCH CENTER   (United States)

^c UNIVERSITY OF VIRGINIA   (United States)

Author keywords

Ambystoma tigrinum; Capture recapture; Detection probability; Multistate models; Pond breeding amphibians; Survival probability; Temporary emigration; Unobservable state

Indexed keywords

AMPHIBIAN; BREEDING; ESTIMATION METHOD; MARK-RECAPTURE METHOD; POND; SURVIVAL;

AMBYSTOMA; AMBYSTOMA TIGRINUM; AMBYSTOMA TIGRINUM TIGRINUM; AMPHIBIA; AMPHIUMA MEANS; ANIMALIA; CAUDATA; PANTHERA TIGRIS; REPTILIA;

EID: 5344275277     PISSN: 00129658     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1890/03-0539     Document Type: Article

References (48)

1. Anderson, D. R., A. P. Wywialowski, and K. P. Burnham. 1981. Tests of the assumptions underlying life table methods for estimating parameters from cohort data. Ecology 62:1121-1124.
2. Arnason, A. N. 1972. Parameter estimates from mark-recapture experiments on two populations subject to migration and death. Researches on Population Ecology 13:97-113.
3. Arnason, A. N. 1973. The estimation of population size, migration rates, and survival in a stratified population. Researches on Population Ecology 15:1-8.
4. Biek, R., W. C. Funk, B. A. Maxell, and L. S. Mills. 2002. What is missing in amphibian decline research: insights from ecological sensitivity analysis. Conservation Biology 16:728-734.
5. Brownie, C., J. E. Hines, J. D. Nichols, K. H. Pollock, and J. B. Hestbeck. 1993. Capture-recapture studies for multiple strata including non-Markovian transitions. Biometrics 49:1173-1187.
6. Burnham, K. P. 1993. A theory for combined analysis of ring recovery and recapture data. Pages 199-214 in J. D. Lebreton and P. M. North, editors. Marked individuals in the study of bird populations. Birkhauser-Verlag, Basel, Switzerland.
7. Burnham, K. P., and D. R. Anderson. 2002. Model selection and multimodel inference. Second edition. Springer-Verlag, New York, New York, USA.
8. Burnham, K. P., D. R. Anderson, G. C. White, C. Brownie, and K. H. Pollock. 1987. Design and analysis methods for fish survival experiments based on release-recapture. Monograph 5. American Fisheries Society, Bethesda, Maryland, USA.
9. Cam, E., J. E. Hines, J. Y. Monnat, J. D. Nichols, and E. Danchin. 1998. Are adult nonbreeders prudent parents? The Kittiwake model. Ecology 79:2917-2930.
10. Church, D. R. 2003. Cost of reproduction in a variable environment of the eastern tiger salamander (Ambystoma tigrinum tigrinum). Dissertation. University of Virginia, Charlottesville, Virginia, USA.
11. Church, S. A., J. M. Kraus, J. C. Mitchell, D. R. Church, and D. R. Taylor. 2003. Evidence for multiple pleistocene refugia in the postglacial expansion of the eastern tiger salamander, Ambystoma tigrinum tigrinum. Evolution 57:372-383.
12. Congdon, J. D., and J. W. Gibbons. 1996. Structure and dynamics of a turtle community over two decades. Pages 137-159 in M. L. Cody and J. A. Smallwood, editors. Long-term studies of vertebrate communities. Academic Press, San Diego, California, USA.
13. Dodd, C. K. 1991. Drift fence-associated sampling bias of amphibians at a Florida sandhills temporary pond. Journal of Herpetology 25:296-301.
14. Dodd, C. K., and D. E. Scott. 1994. Drift fences encircling breeding sites. Pages 125-130 in W. R. Heyer, M. A. Donnelly, R. W. McDiarmid, L. C. Hayek, and M. S. Foster, editors. Measuring and monitoring biological diversity: standard methods for amphibians. Smithsonian Institution, Washington, D.C., USA.
15. Fox, D. A., J. E. Hightower, and F. M. Paruka. 2000. Gulf sturgeon spawning migration and habitat in the Choctawhatchee River system, Alabama-Florida. Transactions of the American Fisheries Society 129:811-826.
16. Fujiwara, M., and H. Caswell. 2002a. Estimating population projection matrices from multi-stage mark-recapture data. Ecology 83:3257-3265.
17. Fujiwara, M., and H. Caswell. 2002b. A general approach to temporary emigration in mark-recapture analysis. Ecology 83:3266-3275.
18. Gill, D. E. 1978. Meta-population ecology of red-spotted newt, Notophthalmus viridescens (Rafinesque). Ecological Monographs 48:145-166.
19. Gill, D. E. 1985. Interpreting breeding patterns from census-data - a solution to the Husting dilemma. Ecology 66:344-354.
20. Hels, T. 2002. Population dynamics in a Danish metapopulation of spadefoot toads Pelobates fuscus. Ecography 25:303-313.
21. Kendall, W. L. 1999. Robustness of closed capture-recapture methods to violations of the closure assumption. Ecology 80:2517-2525.
22. Kendall, W. L., and R. Bjorkland. 2001. Using open robust design models to estimate temporary emigration from capture-recapture data. Biometrics 57:1113-1122.
23. Kendall, W. L., and J. D. Nichols. 1995. On the use of secondary capture-recapture samples to estimate temporary emigration and breeding proportions. Journal of Applied Statistics 22:751-762.
24. Kendall, W. L., and J. D. Nichols. 2002. Estimating state-transition probabilities for unobservable states using capture-recapture/resighting data. Ecology 83:3276-3284.
25. Kendall, W. L., J. D. Nichols, and J. E. Hines. 1997. Estimating temporary emigration using capture-recapture data with Pollock's robust design. Ecology 78:563-578.
26. Kendall, W. L., K. H. Pollock, and C. Brownie. 1995. A likelihood-based approach to capture-recapture estimation of demographic parameters under the robust design. Biometrics 51:293-308.
27. Lebreton, J. D., T. Almeras, and R. Pradel. 1999. Competing events, mixtures of information and multistratum recapture models. Bird Study 46:S39-S46.
28. Lebreton, J. D., J. E. Hines, R. Pradel, J. D. Nichols, and J. A. Spendelow. 2003. Estimation by capture-recapture of recruitment and dispersal over several sites. Oikos 101:253-264.
29. Martin, T. E., J. Clobert, and D. R. Anderson. 1995. Return rates in studies of life history evolution: are biases large? Journal of Applied Statistics 22:863-875.
30. Nichols, J. D., G. R. Hepp, K. H. Pollock, and J. E. Hines. 1987. The Husting dilemma - a methodological note. Ecology 68:213-217.
31. Nichols, J. D., J. E. Hines, K. H. Pollock, R. L. Hinz, and W. A. Link. 1994. Estimating breeding proportions and testing hypotheses about costs of reproduction with capture-recapture data. Ecology 75:2052-2065.
32. Nichols, J. D., J. R. Sauer, K. H. Pollock, and J. B. Hestbeck. 1992. Estimating transition probabilities for stage-based population projection matrices using capture-recapture data. Ecology 73:306-312.
33. O'Shea, T. J., M. A. Bogan, and L. E. Ellison. 2003. Monitoring trends in bat populations of the United States and territories: status of the science and recommendations for the future. Wildlife Society Bulletin 31:16-29.
34. Pechmann, J. H. K., D. E. Scott, R. D. Semlitsch, J. P. Caldwell, L. J. Vitt, and J. W. Gibbons. 1991. Declining amphibian populations - the problem of separating human impacts from natural fluctuations. Science 253:892-895.
35. Petranka, J. W. 1998. Salamanders of the United States and Canada. Smithsonian Institution Press, Washington, D.C., USA.
36. Pollock, K. H. 1982. A capture-recapture design robust to unequal probability of capture. Journal of Wildlife Management 46:752-757.
37. Prior, K. A., G. Blouin-Demers, and P. J. Weatherhead. 2001. Sampling biases in demographic analyses of black rat snakes (Elaphe obsoleta). Herpetologica 57:460-469.
38. Schaub, M., O. Gimenez, B. R. Schmidt, and R. Pradel. 2004. Estimating survival and temporary emigration in the multistate capture-recapture framework. Ecology 85:2107-2113.
39. Schwarz, C. J., J. F. Schweigert, and A. N. Arnason. 1993. Estimating migration rates using tag-recovery data. Biometrics 49:177-193.
40. Schwarz, C. J., and W. T. Stobo. 1997. Estimation temporary migration using the robust design. Biometrics 53:178-194.
41. Semlitsch, R. D. 2000. Principles for management of aquatic-breeding amphibians. Journal of Wildlife Management 64:615-631.
42. Semlitsch, R. D., D. E. Scott, J. H. K. Pechmann, and J. W. Gibbons. 1996. Structure and dynamics of an amphibian community: evidence from a 16-year study of a natural pond. Pages 217-244 in M. L. Cody and J. A. Smallwood, editors. Long-term studies of vertebrate communities. Academic Press, San Diego, California, USA.
43. Sulak, K. J., and J. P. Clugston. 1999. Recent advances in life history of Gulf of Mexico sturgeon, Acipenser oxyrinchus desotoi, in the Suwannee river, Florida, USA: a synopsis. Journal of Applied Ichthyology-Zeitschrift für Angewandte Ichthyologie 15:116-128.
44. Trenham, P. C., H. B. Shaffer, W. D. Koenig, and M. R. Stromberg. 2000. Life history and demographic variation in the California tiger salamander (Ambystoma californiense). Copeia 2000:365-377.
45. Vonesh, J. R., and O. De la Cruz. 2002. Complex life cycles and density dependence: assessing the contribution of egg mortality to amphibian declines. Oecologia 133:325-333.
46. White, G. C. 1983. Numerical estimation of survival rates from band-recovery and biotelemetry data. Journal of Wildlife Management 47:716-728.
47. White, G. C., and K. P. Burnham. 1999. Program MARK: survival estimation from populations of marked animals. Bird Study 46:S120-S139.
48. Wilbur, H. M. 1975. The evolutionary and mathematical demography of the turtle Chrysemys picta. Ecology 56:64-77.