Forecasting the 2008 presidential election with the time-for-change model

PS - Political Science and Politics

Volumn 41, Issue 4, 2008, Pages 691-695

  Abramowitz, Alan I ^a  

^a EMORY UNIVERSITY   (United States)

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[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 53349144926     PISSN: 10490965     EISSN: 15375935     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1017/S1049096508081249     Document Type: Article

References (11)

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3. Brody, Richard, and Lee Sigelman. 1983. "Presidential Popularity and Presidential Elections: An Update and Extension." Public Opinion Quarterly 47: 325-8.
4. Campbell, James E. 2000. "Polls and Votes: The Trial-Heat Presidential Election Forecasting Model, Certainty, and Political Campaigns." In Before the Vote: Forecasting American National Elections, ed. James E. Campbell and James C. Garand. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage Publications.
5. Campbell, James E., and James C. Garand, eds. 2000. Before the Vote: Forecasting American National Elections. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage Publications.
6. Fair, Ray C. 1978. "The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President." Review of Economics and Statistics 60: 159-72.
7. Hibbs, Douglas A., Jr. 2000. "Bread and Peace Voting in U.S. Presidential Elections." Public Choice 104: 149-80.
8. Holbrook, Thomas M. 1996. Do Campaigns Matter? Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage Publications.
9. Lewis-Beck, Michael S., and Tom W. Rice. 1992. Forecasting Elections. Washington, D.C.: Congressional Quarterly Press.
10. Norpoth, Helmut. 1996. "Of Time and Candidates: A Forecast for 1996." American Politics Quarterly 24: 443-67.
11. Wlezien, Christopher, and Robert S. Erikson. 1996. "Temporal Horizons and Presidential Election Forecasts." American Politics Quarterly 24: 492-505.