메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 30, Issue 5, 2008, Pages 519-531

The impact of atmospheric nonlinearities on the fastest growth of ENSO prediction error

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ATMOSPHERE-OCEAN COUPLING; ATMOSPHERIC MODELING; CLIMATE PREDICTION; EL NINO-SOUTHERN OSCILLATION; ERROR ANALYSIS; NONLINEARITY; OPTIMIZATION; STATISTICAL ANALYSIS;

EID: 39349112488     PISSN: 09307575     EISSN: 14320894     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-007-0302-5     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (11)

References (45)
  • 1
    • 3242741192 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Nonlinearity and asymmetry of ENSO
    • An S, Jin FF (2004) Nonlinearity and asymmetry of ENSO. J Clim 17:2399-2412
    • (2004) J Clim , vol.17 , pp. 2399-2412
    • An, S.1    Jin, F.F.2
  • 2
    • 0031789008 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Singular vectors and estimates of the analysis error covariance matrix
    • Barkmeijer J, van Gijzen M, Bouttier F (1998) Singular vectors and estimates of the analysis error covariance matrix. Q J R Meteor Soc 124:1695-1713
    • (1998) Q J R Meteor Soc , vol.124 , pp. 1695-1713
    • Barkmeijer, J.1    van Gijzen, M.2    Bouttier, F.3
  • 3
    • 0027799092 scopus 로고
    • ENSO and ENSO-related predictability. Part I: Prediction of equatorial Pacific sea surface temperature with a hybrid coupled ocean-atmosphere model
    • Barnett TP, Graham N, Latif M, Pazan S, White W (1993) ENSO and ENSO-related predictability. Part I: Prediction of equatorial Pacific sea surface temperature with a hybrid coupled ocean-atmosphere model. J Clim 6:1545-1566
    • (1993) J Clim , vol.6 , pp. 1545-1566
    • Barnett, T.P.1    Graham, N.2    Latif, M.3    Pazan, S.4    White, W.5
  • 4
    • 0024189014 scopus 로고
    • The dynamics and thermodynamics of a warming event in a coupled tropical atmosphere-ocean model
    • Battisti DS (1988) The dynamics and thermodynamics of a warming event in a coupled tropical atmosphere-ocean model. J Atmos Sci 45:2889-2919
    • (1988) J Atmos Sci , vol.45 , pp. 2889-2919
    • Battisti, D.S.1
  • 5
    • 0002797877 scopus 로고
    • Predictability of a coupled ocean-atmosphere model
    • Blumenthal MB (1991) Predictability of a coupled ocean-atmosphere model. J Clim 4:766-784
    • (1991) J Clim , vol.4 , pp. 766-784
    • Blumenthal, M.B.1
  • 7
    • 0141595947 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bred vectors of the Zebiak-Cane model and their application to ENSO predictions
    • Cai M, Kalnay E, Toth Z (2003) Bred vectors of the Zebiak-Cane model and their application to ENSO predictions. J Clim 16:40-56
    • (2003) J Clim , vol.16 , pp. 40-56
    • Cai, M.1    Kalnay, E.2    Toth, Z.3
  • 8
    • 0000596547 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Chaotic dynamics versus stochastic process in El Niño-Southern oscillation in coupled ocean-atmosphere models
    • Chang P, Li H, Flügel M (1996) Chaotic dynamics versus stochastic process in El Niño-Southern oscillation in coupled ocean-atmosphere models. Physica D 98:301-320
    • (1996) Physica D , vol.98 , pp. 301-320
    • Chang, P.1    Li, H.2    Flügel, M.3
  • 9
    • 0001564397 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A study of the predictability of tropical Pacific SST in a coupled atmosphere-ocean model using singular vector analysis: The role of the annual cycle and the ENSO cycle
    • Chen YQ, Battisti DS, Palmer TN, Barsugli J, Sarachik ES (1997) A study of the predictability of tropical Pacific SST in a coupled atmosphere-ocean model using singular vector analysis: The role of the annual cycle and the ENSO cycle. Mon Wea Rev 125:831-845
    • (1997) Mon Wea Rev , vol.125 , pp. 831-845
    • Chen, Y.Q.1    Battisti, D.S.2    Palmer, T.N.3    Barsugli, J.4    Sarachik, E.S.5
  • 11
    • 27744543245 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Westerly Wind Bursts: ENSO's tail rather than the dog?
    • Eisenman I, Yu L, Tziperman E (2005) Westerly Wind Bursts: ENSO's tail rather than the dog? J Clim 18:5224-5238
    • (2005) J Clim , vol.18 , pp. 5224-5238
    • Eisenman, I.1    Yu, L.2    Tziperman, E.3
  • 12
    • 0034275113 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • How predictability depends on the nature of uncertainty in initial conditions in a coupled model of ENSO
    • Fan Y, Allen MR, Anderson DLT, Balmaseda MA (2000) How predictability depends on the nature of uncertainty in initial conditions in a coupled model of ENSO. J Clim 13:3298-3313
    • (2000) J Clim , vol.13 , pp. 3298-3313
    • Fan, Y.1    Allen, M.R.2    Anderson, D.L.T.3    Balmaseda, M.A.4
  • 13
    • 34447249976 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modulation of Westerly Wind Bursts by sea surface temperature: A semi-stochastic feedback for ENSO
    • (in press)
    • Gebbie G, Eisenman I, Wittenberg A, Tziperman E (2007) Modulation of Westerly Wind Bursts by sea surface temperature: A semi-stochastic feedback for ENSO. J Atmos Sci (in press)
    • (2007) J Atmos Sci
    • Gebbie, G.1    Eisenman, I.2    Wittenberg, A.3    Tziperman, E.4
  • 14
    • 0032269567 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Recipes for adjoint code construction
    • Giering R, Kaminski T (1998) Recipes for adjoint code construction. ACM Trans Math Softw 24:437-474
    • (1998) ACM Trans Math Softw , vol.24 , pp. 437-474
    • Giering, R.1    Kaminski, T.2
  • 15
    • 0019677675 scopus 로고
    • Time and space variability of tropical Pacific wind stress
    • Goldberg SD, O'Brien JJ (1981) Time and space variability of tropical Pacific wind stress. Mon Wea Rev 109:1190-1207
    • (1981) Mon Wea Rev , vol.109 , pp. 1190-1207
    • Goldberg, S.D.1    O'Brien, J.J.2
  • 17
    • 0032466364 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Applying neural network models to prediction and data analysis in meteorology and oceanography
    • Hsieh WW, Tang B (1998) Applying neural network models to prediction and data analysis in meteorology and oceanography. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 79:1855-1870
    • (1998) Bull Am Meteorol Soc , vol.79 , pp. 1855-1870
    • Hsieh, W.W.1    Tang, B.2
  • 18
    • 0031718724 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An improved coupled model for ENSO prediction and implications for ocean initialization. Part II: The coupled model
    • Ji M, Behringer D, Leetmaa A (1998) An improved coupled model for ENSO prediction and implications for ocean initialization. Part II: The coupled model. Mon Wea Rev 126:1022-1034
    • (1998) Mon Wea Rev , vol.126 , pp. 1022-1034
    • Ji, M.1    Behringer, D.2    Leetmaa, A.3
  • 19
    • 0028255253 scopus 로고
    • El Niño on the devil's staircase: Annual subharmonic steps to chaos
    • Jin FF, Neelin DJ, Ghil M (1994) El Niño on the devil's staircase: annual subharmonic steps to chaos. Science 264:70-72
    • (1994) Science , vol.264 , pp. 70-72
    • Jin, F.F.1    Neelin, D.J.2    Ghil, M.3
  • 20
    • 0038336466 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Strong El Niño events and nonlinear dynamical heating
    • doi:10.1029/2002GL016356
    • Jin FF, An S, Timmermann A, Zhao J (2003) Strong El Niño events and nonlinear dynamical heating. Geophys Res Lett 30:1120. doi: 10.1029/ 2002GL016356
    • (2003) Geophys Res Lett , vol.30 , pp. 1120
    • Jin, F.F.1    An, S.2    Timmermann, A.3    Zhao, J.4
  • 22
    • 25144434152 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Analysis of the singular vectors of the full-physics FSU global spectral model
    • Li Z, Navon IM, Hussaini YM (2005) Analysis of the singular vectors of the full-physics FSU global spectral model. Tellus A 57:560-574
    • (2005) Tellus A , vol.57 , pp. 560-574
    • Li, Z.1    Navon, I.M.2    Hussaini, Y.M.3
  • 23
    • 0001036009 scopus 로고
    • A study of the predictability of a 28-variable atmospheric model
    • Lorenz EN (1965) A study of the predictability of a 28-variable atmospheric model. Tellus 17:321-333
    • (1965) Tellus , vol.17 , pp. 321-333
    • Lorenz, E.N.1
  • 24
    • 0030448959 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The dynamics of error growth and predictability in a coupled model of ENSO
    • Moore AM, Kleeman R (1996) The dynamics of error growth and predictability in a coupled model of ENSO. Q J R Meteor Soc 122:1405-1446
    • (1996) Q J R Meteor Soc , vol.122 , pp. 1405-1446
    • Moore, A.M.1    Kleeman, R.2
  • 25
    • 0030703656 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The singular vectors of a coupled ocean-atmosphere model of ENSO. II: Sensitivity studies and dynamical interpretation
    • Moore AM, Kleeman R (1997a) The singular vectors of a coupled ocean-atmosphere model of ENSO. II: Sensitivity studies and dynamical interpretation. Q J R Meteor Soc 123:983-1006
    • (1997) Q J R Meteor Soc , vol.123 , pp. 983-1006
    • Moore, A.M.1    Kleeman, R.2
  • 26
    • 0030670595 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The singular vectors of a coupled ocean-atmosphere model of ENSO. Part 1: Thermodynamics, energetics and error growth
    • Moore AM, Kleeman R (1997b) The singular vectors of a coupled ocean-atmosphere model of ENSO. Part 1: Thermodynamics, energetics and error growth. Q J R Meteor Soc 123:953-981
    • (1997) Q J R Meteor Soc , vol.123 , pp. 953-981
    • Moore, A.M.1    Kleeman, R.2
  • 27
    • 0032881304 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Stochastic forcing of ENSO by the Intraseasonal Oscillation
    • Moore AM, Kleeman R (1999) Stochastic forcing of ENSO by the Intraseasonal Oscillation. J Clim 12:1199-1220
    • (1999) J Clim , vol.12 , pp. 1199-1220
    • Moore, A.M.1    Kleeman, R.2
  • 28
    • 0027073664 scopus 로고
    • Variational data assimilation with an adiabatic version of the NMC spectral model 120
    • Navon IM, Zou X, Derber J, Sela J (1992) Variational data assimilation with an adiabatic version of the NMC spectral model 120. Mon Wea Rev 7:1433-1446
    • (1992) Mon Wea Rev , vol.7 , pp. 1433-1446
    • Navon, I.M.1    Zou, X.2    Derber, J.3    Sela, J.4
  • 29
    • 0029506155 scopus 로고
    • The optimal growth of tropical sea surface temperature anomalies
    • Penland C, Sardeshmukh P (1995) The optimal growth of tropical sea surface temperature anomalies. J Clim 8:1999-2024
    • (1995) J Clim , vol.8 , pp. 1999-2024
    • Penland, C.1    Sardeshmukh, P.2
  • 30
    • 0024250629 scopus 로고
    • A delayed action oscillator for ENSO
    • Suarez MJ, Schopf PS (1988) A delayed action oscillator for ENSO. J Atmos Sci 45:3283-3287
    • (1988) J Atmos Sci , vol.45 , pp. 3283-3287
    • Suarez, M.J.1    Schopf, P.S.2
  • 31
    • 0036337152 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Hybrid coupled models of the tropical Pacific - Interannual variability
    • Tang Y (2002) Hybrid coupled models of the tropical Pacific - Interannual variability. Clim Dyn 19:331-342
    • (2002) Clim Dyn , vol.19 , pp. 331-342
    • Tang, Y.1
  • 32
    • 0035303123 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Coupling neural networks to incomplete dynamical systems via variational data assimilation
    • Tang Y, Hsieh WW (2001) Coupling neural networks to incomplete dynamical systems via variational data assimilation. Mon Wea Rev 129:818-834
    • (2001) Mon Wea Rev , vol.129 , pp. 818-834
    • Tang, Y.1    Hsieh, W.W.2
  • 33
    • 0036336475 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Hybrid coupled models of the tropical Pacific - ENSO prediction
    • Tang Y, Hsieh WW (2002) Hybrid coupled models of the tropical Pacific - ENSO prediction. Clim Dyn 19:343-353
    • (2002) Clim Dyn , vol.19 , pp. 343-353
    • Tang, Y.1    Hsieh, W.W.2
  • 34
    • 0034820008 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A neural network atmospheric model for hybrid coupled modeling
    • Tang Y, Hsieh WW, Tang B, Haines K (2001) A neural network atmospheric model for hybrid coupled modeling. Clim Dyn 17:445-455
    • (2001) Clim Dyn , vol.17 , pp. 445-455
    • Tang, Y.1    Hsieh, W.W.2    Tang, B.3    Haines, K.4
  • 35
    • 1842634966 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • SSTassimilation experiments in a tropical Pacific Ocean model
    • Tang Y, Kleeman R, Moore A (2004) SST assimilation experiments in a tropical Pacific Ocean model. J Phys Oceangr 34(3):623-642
    • (2004) J Phys Oceangr , vol.34 , Issue.3 , pp. 623-642
    • Tang, Y.1    Kleeman, R.2    Moore, A.3
  • 36
    • 23744450253 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On the reliability of ENSO dynamical predictions
    • Tang Y, Kleeman R, Moore A (2005) On the reliability of ENSO dynamical predictions. J Atmos Sci 62(6):1770-1791
    • (2005) J Atmos Sci , vol.62 , Issue.6 , pp. 1770-1791
    • Tang, Y.1    Kleeman, R.2    Moore, A.3
  • 37
    • 33746798050 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • ENSO predictability of a fully coupled GCM model using singular vector analysis
    • Tang Y, Kleeman R, Miller S (2006) ENSO predictability of a fully coupled GCM model using singular vector analysis. J Clim 19:3361-3377
    • (2006) J Clim , vol.19 , pp. 3361-3377
    • Tang, Y.1    Kleeman, R.2    Miller, S.3
  • 38
    • 0031806071 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Initial conditions for optimal growth in a coupled ocean-atmosphere model of ENSO
    • Thompson CJ (1998) Initial conditions for optimal growth in a coupled ocean-atmosphere model of ENSO. J Atmos Sci 55:537-557
    • (1998) J Atmos Sci , vol.55 , pp. 537-557
    • Thompson, C.J.1
  • 39
    • 0035866103 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A linear sochastic dynamical model of ENSO. Part II: Analysis
    • Thompson CJ, Battisti DS (2001) A linear sochastic dynamical model of ENSO. Part II: Analysis. J Clim 14:445-66
    • (2001) J Clim , vol.14 , pp. 445-466
    • Thompson, C.J.1    Battisti, D.S.2
  • 40
    • 0028184125 scopus 로고
    • El Niño Chaos: Overlapping of resonances between the seasonal cycle and the Pacific Ocean-Atmosphere oscillator
    • Tziperman E, Stone L, Cane MA, Jarosh H (1994) El Niño Chaos: overlapping of resonances between the seasonal cycle and the Pacific Ocean-Atmosphere oscillator. Science 264:72-74
    • (1994) Science , vol.264 , pp. 72-74
    • Tziperman, E.1    Stone, L.2    Cane, M.A.3    Jarosh, H.4
  • 41
    • 0028560976 scopus 로고
    • On the prediction of ENSO - A study with a low-order Markov model
    • Xue Y, Cane MA, Zebiak SE, Blumenthal MB (1994) On the prediction of ENSO - a study with a low-order Markov model. Tellus 46A:512-528
    • (1994) Tellus , vol.46 A , pp. 512-528
    • Xue, Y.1    Cane, M.A.2    Zebiak, S.E.3    Blumenthal, M.B.4
  • 42
    • 4043115093 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predictability of a coupled model of ENSO using singular vector analysis. Part I: Optimal growth in seasonal background and ENSO cycles
    • Xue Y, Cane MA, Zebiak SE, Blumenthal MB (1997a) Predictability of a coupled model of ENSO using singular vector analysis. Part I: Optimal growth in seasonal background and ENSO cycles. Mon Wea Rev 125:2043-2056
    • (1997) Mon Wea Rev , vol.125 , pp. 2043-2056
    • Xue, Y.1    Cane, M.A.2    Zebiak, S.E.3    Blumenthal, M.B.4
  • 43
    • 0001368885 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predictability of a coupled model of ENSO using singular vector analysis. Part II: Optimal growth and forecast skill
    • Xue Y, Cane MA, Zebiak SE, Blumenthal MB (1997b) Predictability of a coupled model of ENSO using singular vector analysis. Part II: Optimal growth and forecast skill. Mon Wea Rev 125:2057-2073
    • (1997) Mon Wea Rev , vol.125 , pp. 2057-2073
    • Xue, Y.1    Cane, M.A.2    Zebiak, S.E.3    Blumenthal, M.B.4
  • 44
    • 0344514618 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Inverse estimation of sea surface heat flux over the equatorial Pacific Ocean: Seasonal cycle
    • Yuan D, Rienecker MM (2003) Inverse estimation of sea surface heat flux over the equatorial Pacific Ocean: Seasonal cycle. J Geophys Res 108(C8):3247
    • (2003) J Geophys Res , vol.108 , Issue.C8 , pp. 3247
    • Yuan, D.1    Rienecker, M.M.2
  • 45
    • 0000335201 scopus 로고
    • A model El Niño-Southern oscillation
    • Zebiak SE, Cane MA (1987) A model El Niñ-Southern oscillation. Mon Wea Rev 115:2262-2278
    • (1987) Mon Wea Rev , vol.115 , pp. 2262-2278
    • Zebiak, S.E.1    Cane, M.A.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.