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Volumn 88, Issue 12, 2007, Pages 1893-1898

Maintaining the role of humans in the forecast process: Analyzing the psyche of expert forecasters

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

COGNITIVE SYSTEMS; COMPUTER SIMULATION; DECISION MAKING; INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY; PSYCHOLOGY COMPUTING; SOCIAL ASPECTS; TECHNICAL PRESENTATIONS;

EID: 39049161624     PISSN: 00030007     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1175/BAMS-88-12-1893     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (21)

References (15)
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    • Andra, D. L. Jr., E. M. Quoetone, and W. F. Bunting, 2002: Warning decision making: The relative roles of conceptual models, technology, strategy, and forecaster expertise on 3 May 1999. Wea. Forecasting, 17, 559-566.
  • 2
    • 32044450771 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Performance of National Weather Service forecasts compared to operational, consensus, and weighted model output statistics
    • Baars, J. A., and C. F. Mass, 2006: Performance of National Weather Service forecasts compared to operational, consensus, and weighted model output statistics. Wea. Forecasting, 20, 1034-1047.
    • (2006) Wea. Forecasting , vol.20 , pp. 1034-1047
    • Baars, J.A.1    Mass, C.F.2
  • 4
    • 11344291147 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Weather forecasting by humans: Heuristics and decision making
    • Doswell, C. A. III, 2004: Weather forecasting by humans: Heuristics and decision making. Wea. Forecasting, 19, 1115-1126.
    • (2004) Wea. Forecasting , vol.19 , pp. 1115-1126
    • Doswell III, C.A.1
  • 5
    • 39049165824 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Hahn, B. B., E. Rall, and D. W. Klinger, 2002: Cognitive task analysis of the warning forecaster task. Final Report for National Weather Service, Office of Climate, Water, and Weather Service, Order No. RA1330-02-SE-0280, 28 pp. [Available from Klein Associates, 1750 Commerce Center Blvd North, Fairborn, Ohio 45324.]
    • Hahn, B. B., E. Rall, and D. W. Klinger, 2002: Cognitive task analysis of the warning forecaster task. Final Report for National Weather Service, Office of Climate, Water, and Weather Service, Order No. RA1330-02-SE-0280, 28 pp. [Available from Klein Associates, 1750 Commerce Center Blvd North, Fairborn, Ohio 45324.]
  • 7
    • 39049132234 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Project Phoenix: Optimizing the machine-person mix in high-impact weather forecasting. Preprints
    • Amer. Meteor. Soc, Park City, UT
    • McCarthy, P. J., D. Ball, and W. Purcell, 2007: Project Phoenix: Optimizing the machine-person mix in high-impact weather forecasting. Preprints, 22nd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Amer. Meteor. Soc., Park City, UT.
    • (2007) 22nd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting
    • McCarthy, P.J.1    Ball, D.2    Purcell, W.3
  • 9
    • 39049130841 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • National Center for Education Statistics, 1998: The condition of education, 1998. National Center for Education Statistics, U.S. Department of Education, NCES 98-013, GPO 065-000-01196-4, 377 pp. [Available online at http://nces.ed.gov/pubs98/98013.pdf]
    • National Center for Education Statistics, 1998: The condition of education, 1998. National Center for Education Statistics, U.S. Department of Education, NCES 98-013, GPO 065-000-01196-4, 377 pp. [Available online at http://nces.ed.gov/pubs98/98013.pdf]
  • 10
    • 39049087274 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Pliske, R. M., D. Klinger, R. Hutton, B. Crandall, B. Knight, and G. Klein, 1997: Understanding skilled weather forecasting: Implications for training and the design of forecasong tools. Tech. Rep. No. AL/ HR-CR-1997-0003 for the Air Force Material Command, Armstrong Laboratory, Human Resources 16 Directorate, Brooks AFB, TX, 122 pp. [Available from Klein,Associates, 1750 Commerce Center Blvd North, Fairborn, Ohio 45324.]
    • Pliske, R. M., D. Klinger, R. Hutton, B. Crandall, B. Knight, and G. Klein, 1997: Understanding skilled weather forecasting: Implications for training and the design of forecasong tools. Tech. Rep. No. AL/ HR-CR-1997-0003 for the Air Force Material Command, Armstrong Laboratory, Human Resources 16 Directorate, Brooks AFB, TX, 122 pp. [Available from Klein,Associates, 1750 Commerce Center Blvd North, Fairborn, Ohio 45324.]
  • 12
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    • Bridging the gap between theory and applications: Am inquiry into atmospheric science teaching
    • Roebber, P. J., 2005: Bridging the gap between theory and applications: Am inquiry into atmospheric science teaching. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 86, 507-517.
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  • 13
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    • The future role of the human in an increasingly automated forecast process
    • Stuart, N. A., and Coauthors, 2006: The future role of the human in an increasingly automated forecast process. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 87, 1497-1502.
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    • Stuart, N.A.1


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