Application of a potential vorticity modification method to a case of rapid cyclogenesis over the Atlantic Ocean

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

Volumn 133, Issue 628, 2007, Pages 1755-1770

  Manders, A M M ^a   Verkley, W T M ^a   Diepeveen, J J ^a   Moene, A R ^a  

^a ROYAL NETHERLANDS METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE KNMI   (Netherlands)

Author keywords

HIRLAM; Numerical weather prediction

Indexed keywords

ATMOSPHERIC TURBULENCE; MATHEMATICAL MODELS; NUMERICAL ANALYSIS; PRESSURE; SATELLITE IMAGERY; SEA LEVEL; STORMS; VORTICITY; WATER VAPOR;

CYCLOGENESIS; POTENTIAL VORTICITY MODIFICATION METHOD; SEA LEVEL PRESSURE;

WEATHER FORECASTING;

CYCLOGENESIS; ENSEMBLE FORECASTING; NUMERICAL METHOD; POTENTIAL VORTICITY; SATELLITE IMAGERY; SEA LEVEL PRESSURE; WATER VAPOR; WEATHER FORECASTING;

ATLANTIC OCEAN;

EID: 36749051853     PISSN: 00359009     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1002/qj.139     Document Type: Article

References (18)

1. Buizza R, Palmer TN. 1995. The singular vector structure of the atmospheric global circulation. J. Atmos. Sci. 52: 1434-1456.
2. Davis CA, Emanuel KA. 1991. Potential vorticity diagnostics of cyclogenesis. Mon. Weather Rev. 119: 1929-1953.
3. Demirtas M, Thorpe AJ. 1999. Sensitivity of short-range weather forecasts to local potential vorticity modifications. Mon. Weather Rev. 127: 922-939.
4. Gustafsson N, Berre L, Hörnquist S, Huang XY, Lindskog M, Navascués S, Mogensen KS, Thornsteinsson S. 2001. Three-dimensional variational data assimilation for a high-resolution limited-area model. Part I: General formulation and the background-error constraint. Tellus 53A: 425-446.
5. Haltiner GJ, Williams RT. 1980. Numerical prediction and dynamic meteorology. J. Wiley and Sons: New York.
6. Homar V, Stensrud DJ, Levit JJ, Bright DJ. 2006. Value of human-generated perturbations in short-range ensemble forecasts of severe weather. Weather Forecasting 21: 347-363.
7. Hoskins BJ, McIntyre ME, Robertson AW. 1985. On the use and significance of isentropic potential vorticity maps. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 111: 877-947.
8. Hoskins BJ, Buizza R, Badger J. 2000. The nature of singular vector growth and structure. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 125: 1565-1580.
9. Leutbecher M, Palmer TN. 2007. 'Ensemble forecasting'. Technical Memorandum 514. ECMWF Reading, UK.
10. Lindskog M, Gustafsson N, Navascués S, Mogensen KS, Huang XY, Yang X, Andræ U, Berre L, Thornsteinsson S, Rantakokko J. 2001. Three-dimensional variational data assimilation for a high-resolution limited-area model. Part II: Observation handling and assimilation experiments. Tellus 53A: 447-468.
11. Molteni F, Buizza R, Palmer TN, Petroliagis T. 1996. The ECMWF ensemble prediction system: methodology and validations. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 122: 73-119.
12. Røsting B, Kristjńsson JE, Sunde J. 2003. The sensitivity of numerical simulations to initial modifications of potential vorticity - a case-study. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 129: 2697-2718.
13. Røsting B, Kristjńsson JE. 2006. Improving simulations of severe winter storms by initial modification of potential vorticity in sensitive regions. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 132: 2625-2652.
14. Santurette P, Georgiev C. 2005. Weather analysis and forecasting. Elsevier Academic Press.
15. Swarbrick SJ. 2001. Applying the relationship between potential vorticity fields and water vapour imagery to adjust initial conditions in NWP. Meteorol. Appl. 8: 221-228.
16. Undén P, Rontu L, Järvinen H, Lynch P, Calvo J, Cats G, Cuxart J, Eerola K, Fortelius C, Garcia-Moya JA, Jones C, Lenderink G, McDonald A, McGrath R, Navascués B, Nielsen NW, Ødegaard V, Rodriguez E, Rummukainen M, Rööm R, Sattler K, Sass BH, Savijärvi H, Wichers Schreur B, Sigg R, The H, Tijm A. 2002. 'HIRLAM-5 Scientifc Documentation'. Available from the HIRLAM-5 project, c/o Per Undén, SMHI, S-601, 76 Norrköping, Sweden.
17. Verkley WTM, Vosbeek PWC, Moene AR. 2005. Manually adjusting a numerical weather analysis in terms of potential vorticity using three-dimensional variational data assimilation. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 131: 1713-1736.
18. Wernli H, Dirren S, Liniger MA, Zillig M. 2002. Dynamical aspects of the life cycle of the winter storm 'Lothar' (24-26 December 1999). Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 128: 405-429.