-
1
-
-
0035478854
-
Random forests
-
Breiman L (2001) Random forests. Mach Learn 45:5-32
-
(2001)
Mach Learn
, vol.45
, pp. 5-32
-
-
Breiman, L.1
-
2
-
-
0003802343
-
-
Wadsworth Press, Monterey
-
Breiman L, Friedman J, Olshen R, Stone C (1984) Classification and regression trees. Wadsworth Press, Monterey, 368 pp
-
(1984)
Classification and Regression Trees
, pp. 368
-
-
Breiman, L.1
Friedman, J.2
Olshen, R.3
Stone, C.4
-
3
-
-
0035330627
-
Transition to aperiodic variability in a wind-driven double-gyre circulation model
-
Chang KI, Ghil M, Ide K, Lai CCA (2001) Transition to aperiodic variability in a wind-driven double-gyre circulation model. J Phys Oceanogr 31:1260-1286
-
(2001)
J Phys Oceanogr
, vol.31
, pp. 1260-1286
-
-
Chang, K.I.1
Ghil, M.2
Ide, K.3
Lai, C.C.A.4
-
4
-
-
0027789330
-
Cluster-analysis of the Northern-Hemisphere wintertime 500-hPa height field spatial patterns
-
Cheng XH, Wallace JM (1993) Cluster-analysis of the Northern-Hemisphere wintertime 500-hPa height field spatial patterns. J Atmos Sci 50: 2674-2696
-
(1993)
J Atmos Sci
, vol.50
, pp. 2674-2696
-
-
Cheng, X.H.1
Wallace, J.M.2
-
5
-
-
0036268382
-
Homoclinic dynamics: A scenario for atmospheric ultra-low-frequency variability
-
Crommelin DT (2002) Homoclinic dynamics: A scenario for atmospheric ultra-low-frequency variability. J Atmos Sci 59:1533-1549
-
(2002)
J Atmos Sci
, vol.59
, pp. 1533-1549
-
-
Crommelin, D.T.1
-
6
-
-
0242307120
-
Regime transitions and heteroclinic connections in a barotropic atmosphere
-
Crommelin DT (2003) Regime transitions and heteroclinic connections in a barotropic atmosphere. J Atmos Sci 60:229-246
-
(2003)
J Atmos Sci
, vol.60
, pp. 229-246
-
-
Crommelin, D.T.1
-
7
-
-
5444233958
-
Observed nondiffusive dynamics in large-scale atmospheric flow
-
Crommelin DT (2004) Observed nondiffusive dynamics in large-scale atmospheric flow. J Atmos Sci 61:2384-2396
-
(2004)
J Atmos Sci
, vol.61
, pp. 2384-2396
-
-
Crommelin, D.T.1
-
8
-
-
0035301795
-
Extratropical low-frequency variability as a low-dimensional problem. Part I: A simplified model
-
D'Andrea F, Vautard R (2001) Extratropical low-frequency variability as a low-dimensional problem. Part I: A simplified model. Q J R Meteorol Soc 127:1357-1374
-
(2001)
Q J R Meteorol Soc
, vol.127
, pp. 1357-1374
-
-
D'Andrea, F.1
Vautard, R.2
-
9
-
-
0036544550
-
Extratropical low-frequency variability as a low-dimensional problem. Part II: Stationarity and stability of large-scale equilibria
-
D'Andrea F, Vautard R (2002) Extratropical low-frequency variability as a low-dimensional problem. Part II: Stationarity and stability of large-scale equilibria. Q J R Meteorol Soc 128:1059-1073
-
(2002)
Q J R Meteorol Soc
, vol.128
, pp. 1059-1073
-
-
D'Andrea, F.1
Vautard, R.2
-
10
-
-
0031720051
-
Northern Hemisphere atmospheric blocking as simulated by 15 atmospheric general circulation models in the period 1979-1988
-
D'Andrea F, Tibaldi S, Blackburn M, et al. (1998) Northern Hemisphere atmospheric blocking as simulated by 15 atmospheric general circulation models in the period 1979-1988. Clim Dyn 14:385-407
-
(1998)
Clim Dyn
, vol.14
, pp. 385-407
-
-
D'Andrea, F.1
Tibaldi, S.2
Blackburn, M.3
-
11
-
-
34249981761
-
Weather regime prediction using statistical learning
-
Deloncle A, Berk R, D'Andrea F, Ghil M (2007) Weather regime prediction using statistical learning. J Atmos Sci 64:1619-1635
-
(2007)
J Atmos Sci
, vol.64
, pp. 1619-1635
-
-
Deloncle, A.1
Berk, R.2
D'Andrea, F.3
Ghil, M.4
-
12
-
-
0024252052
-
El Niñ-Southern Oscillation predictability
-
Fraedrich K (1988) El Niñ-Southern Oscillation predictability. Mon Wea Rev 116:1001-1012
-
(1988)
Mon Wea Rev
, vol.116
, pp. 1001-1012
-
-
Fraedrich, K.1
-
13
-
-
13244266684
-
Low-order stochastic mode reduction for a realistic barotropic model climate
-
Franzke C, Majda AJ, Vanden-Eijnden E (2005) Low-order stochastic mode reduction for a realistic barotropic model climate. J Atmos Sci 62:1722-1745
-
(2005)
J Atmos Sci
, vol.62
, pp. 1722-1745
-
-
Franzke, C.1
Majda, A.J.2
Vanden-Eijnden, E.3
-
14
-
-
0002588807
-
Dynamics, statistics and predictability of planetary flow regimes
-
In: Nicolis C, Nicolis G (eds) D. Reidel, Dordrecht
-
Ghil M (1987) Dynamics, statistics and predictability of planetary flow regimes. In: Nicolis C, Nicolis G (eds) Irreversible phenomena and dynamical systems analysis in the geosciences. D. Reidel, Dordrecht, pp 241-283
-
(1987)
Irreversible Phenomena and Dynamical Systems Analysis in the Geosciences
, pp. 241-283
-
-
Ghil, M.1
-
16
-
-
0037133238
-
"Waves" vs. "particles" in the atmosphere's phase space: A pathway to long-range forecasting?
-
Ghil M, Robertson AW (2002) "Waves" vs. "particles" in the atmosphere's phase space: A pathway to long-range forecasting? Proc Natl Acad Sci 99(Suppl. 1):2493-2500
-
(2002)
Proc Natl Acad Sci
, vol.99
, Issue.SUPPL. 1
, pp. 2493-2500
-
-
Ghil, M.1
Robertson, A.W.2
-
17
-
-
0026268210
-
Nonlinear dynamics and predictability in the atmospheric sciences
-
10.1029/91RG0071
-
Ghil, M, Kimoto M, Neelin JD (1991) Nonlinear dynamics and predictability in the atmospheric sciences. Rev Geophys, Supplement (U.S. Nat'l Rept. to Int'l Union of Geodesy & Geophys 1987-1990), 29(S):46-55, 10.1029/91RG0071
-
(1991)
Rev Geophys, Supplement (U.S. Nat'l Rept. to Int'l Union of Geodesy & Geophys 1987-1990)
, vol.29
, Issue.S
, pp. 46-55
-
-
Ghil, M.1
Kimoto, M.2
Neelin, J.D.3
-
18
-
-
0003478288
-
-
Springer, New York
-
Guckenheimer J, Holmes P (1983) Nonlinear oscillations, dynamical systems, and bifurcations of vector fields. Springer, New York, 453 pp
-
(1983)
Nonlinear Oscillations, Dynamical Systems, and Bifurcations of Vector Fields
, pp. 453
-
-
Guckenheimer, J.1
Holmes, P.2
-
20
-
-
0029768948
-
The NCEP/NCAR 40-year reanalysis project
-
Kalnay E et al (1996) The NCEP/NCAR 40-year reanalysis project. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 77:437-471
-
(1996)
Bull Am Meteorol Soc
, vol.77
, pp. 437-471
-
-
Kalnay, E.1
-
21
-
-
0027789332
-
Multiple flow regimes in the Northern Hemisphere winter. Part I: Methodology and hemispheric regimes
-
Kimoto M, Ghil M (1993a) Multiple flow regimes in the Northern Hemisphere winter. Part I: Methodology and hemispheric regimes. J Atmos Sci 50:2625-2643
-
(1993)
J Atmos Sci
, vol.50
, pp. 2625-2643
-
-
Kimoto, M.1
Ghil, M.2
-
22
-
-
0027789331
-
Multiple flow regimes in the Northern Hemisphere winter. Part II: Sectorial regimes and preferred transitions
-
Kimoto M, Ghil M (1993b) Multiple flow regimes in the Northern Hemisphere winter. Part II: Sectorial regimes and preferred transitions. J Atmos Sci 50:2645-2673
-
(1993)
J Atmos Sci
, vol.50
, pp. 2645-2673
-
-
Kimoto, M.1
Ghil, M.2
-
23
-
-
0027095018
-
Medium-range forecast skill variation and blocking transition: A case study
-
Kimoto M, Mukougawa H, Yoden S (1992) Medium-range forecast skill variation and blocking transition: A case study. Mon Weather Rev 120:1616-1627
-
(1992)
Mon Weather Rev
, vol.120
, pp. 1616-1627
-
-
Kimoto, M.1
Mukougawa, H.2
Yoden, S.3
-
24
-
-
1942420659
-
Weather regimes and preferred transition paths in a three-level quasi-gesotrophic model
-
Kondrashov D, Ide K, Ghil M (2004) Weather regimes and preferred transition paths in a three-level quasi-gesotrophic model. J Atmos Sci 61:568-587
-
(2004)
J Atmos Sci
, vol.61
, pp. 568-587
-
-
Kondrashov, D.1
Ide, K.2
Ghil, M.3
-
25
-
-
29144535348
-
A hierarchy of data-based ENSO models
-
Kondrashov D, Kravtsov S, Ghil M (2005) A hierarchy of data-based ENSO models. J Clim 18:4425-4444
-
(2005)
J Clim
, vol.18
, pp. 4425-4444
-
-
Kondrashov, D.1
Kravtsov, S.2
Ghil, M.3
-
26
-
-
33645103236
-
Empirical mode reduction in a model of extratropical low-frequency variability
-
Kondrashov D, Kravtsov S, Ghil M (2006) Empirical mode reduction in a model of extratropical low-frequency variability. J Atmos Sci 63:1859-1877
-
(2006)
J Atmos Sci
, vol.63
, pp. 1859-1877
-
-
Kondrashov, D.1
Kravtsov, S.2
Ghil, M.3
-
27
-
-
29144483333
-
Multiple regression modeling of nonlinear processes: Derivation and applications to climatic variability
-
Kravtsov S, Kondrashov D, Ghil M (2005) Multiple regression modeling of nonlinear processes: Derivation and applications to climatic variability. J Clim 18:4404-4424
-
(2005)
J Clim
, vol.18
, pp. 4404-4424
-
-
Kravtsov, S.1
Kondrashov, D.2
Ghil, M.3
-
28
-
-
0022266341
-
Persistent anomalies, blocking and variations in atmospheric predictability
-
Legras B, Ghil M (1985) Persistent anomalies, blocking and variations in atmospheric predictability. J Atmos Sci 42:433-471
-
(1985)
J Atmos Sci
, vol.42
, pp. 433-471
-
-
Legras, B.1
Ghil, M.2
-
29
-
-
0000241853
-
Deterministic nonperiodic flow
-
Lorenz EN (1963) Deterministic nonperiodic flow. J Atmos Sci 20:130-141
-
(1963)
J Atmos Sci
, vol.20
, pp. 130-141
-
-
Lorenz, E.N.1
-
30
-
-
0043127074
-
Systematic strategies for stochastic mode reduction in climate
-
Majda AJ, Timofeyev I, Vanden-Eijnden E (2003) Systematic strategies for stochastic mode reduction in climate. J Atmos Sci 60:1705-1722
-
(2003)
J Atmos Sci
, vol.60
, pp. 1705-1722
-
-
Majda, A.J.1
Timofeyev, I.2
Vanden-Eijnden, E.3
-
31
-
-
0027829106
-
Towards a dynamical understanding of planetary-scale flow regimes
-
Marshall J, Molteni F (1993) Towards a dynamical understanding of planetary-scale flow regimes. J Atmos Sci 50:1792-1818
-
(1993)
J Atmos Sci
, vol.50
, pp. 1792-1818
-
-
Marshall, J.1
Molteni, F.2
-
32
-
-
0033994410
-
Low-frequency variability in the wind-driven circulation
-
Meacham SP (2000) Low-frequency variability in the wind-driven circulation. J Phys Oceanogr 30:269-293
-
(2000)
J Phys Oceanogr
, vol.30
, pp. 269-293
-
-
Meacham, S.P.1
-
33
-
-
0023496661
-
Statistics and dynamics of persistent anomalies
-
Mo K, Ghil M (1987) Statistics and dynamics of persistent anomalies. J Atmos Sci 44:877-901
-
(1987)
J Atmos Sci
, vol.44
, pp. 877-901
-
-
Mo, K.1
Ghil, M.2
-
34
-
-
0024197506
-
Cluster analysis of multiple planetary flow regimes
-
Mo K, Ghil M (1988) Cluster analysis of multiple planetary flow regimes. J Geophys Res 93D:10927-10952
-
(1988)
J Geophys Res
, vol.93 D
, pp. 10927-10952
-
-
Mo, K.1
Ghil, M.2
-
35
-
-
0025206248
-
Regimes in the wintertime circulation over northern extratropics. 1. Observational evidence
-
Molteni F, Tibaldi S, Palmer TN (1990) Regimes in the wintertime circulation over northern extratropics. 1. observational evidence. Q J R Meteorol Soc 116:31-67
-
(1990)
Q J R Meteorol Soc
, vol.116
, pp. 31-67
-
-
Molteni, F.1
Tibaldi, S.2
Palmer, T.N.3
-
36
-
-
0035866917
-
The preferred structure of variability of the Northern Hemisphere atmospheric circulation
-
Monahan AH, Pandolfo L, Fyfe JC (2001) The preferred structure of variability of the Northern Hemisphere atmospheric circulation. Geophys Res Lett 28:1019-1022
-
(2001)
Geophys Res Lett
, vol.28
, pp. 1019-1022
-
-
Monahan, A.H.1
Pandolfo, L.2
Fyfe, J.C.3
-
37
-
-
0035440277
-
Global bifurcation of Shilnikov type in a double-gyre ocean model
-
Nadiga BT, Luce BP (2001) Global bifurcation of Shilnikov type in a double-gyre ocean model. J Phys Oceanogr 31:2669-2690
-
(2001)
J Phys Oceanogr
, vol.31
, pp. 2669-2690
-
-
Nadiga, B.T.1
Luce, B.P.2
-
38
-
-
0345736544
-
Thirty-day forecasting: A review of a ten-year experiment
-
Namias J (1953) Thirty-day forecasting: A review of a ten-year experiment. Meteorol Monogr 2(6):83
-
(1953)
Meteorol Monogr
, vol.2
, Issue.6
, pp. 83
-
-
Namias, J.1
-
39
-
-
0000780934
-
Long-range weather forecasting - History, current status and outlook
-
Namias J (1968) Long-range weather forecasting - history, current status and outlook. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 49:438-470
-
(1968)
Bull Am Meteorol Soc
, vol.49
, pp. 438-470
-
-
Namias, J.1
-
40
-
-
34547895699
-
Towards seamless prediction: Calibration of climate-change projections using seasonal forecasts
-
(submitted)
-
Palmer TN, Doblas-Reyes FJ, Weisheimer A, Rodwell M (2007) Towards seamless prediction: Calibration of climate-change projections using seasonal forecasts. Bull Am Meteorol Soc (submitted)
-
(2007)
Bull Am Meteorol Soc
-
-
Palmer, T.N.1
Doblas-Reyes, F.J.2
Weisheimer, A.3
Rodwell, M.4
-
41
-
-
0038544617
-
Cyclic Markov chains with an application to an intermediate ENSO model
-
Pasmanter RA, Timmermann A (2003) Cyclic Markov chains with an application to an intermediate ENSO model. Nonlinear Proc Geophys 10:197-210
-
(2003)
Nonlinear Proc Geophys
, vol.10
, pp. 197-210
-
-
Pasmanter, R.A.1
Timmermann, A.2
-
42
-
-
0038218313
-
How well does the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System predict blocking
-
Pelly JL, Hoskins BJ (2003) How well does the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System predict blocking. Q J R Meteorol Soc 129:1683-1702
-
(2003)
Q J R Meteorol Soc
, vol.129
, pp. 1683-1702
-
-
Pelly, J.L.1
Hoskins, B.J.2
-
43
-
-
1842739566
-
The boy who cried wolf revisited: The impact of false alarm intolerance on cost-loss scenarios
-
Roulston MS, Smith LA (2004) The boy who cried wolf revisited: The impact of false alarm intolerance on cost-loss scenarios. Weather Forecast 19(2):391-397
-
(2004)
Weather Forecast
, vol.19
, Issue.2
, pp. 391-397
-
-
Roulston, M.S.1
Smith, L.A.2
-
44
-
-
5444261703
-
Preferred regime transition routes and evidence for an unstable periodic orbit in a baroclinic model
-
Selten FM, Branstator G (2004) Preferred regime transition routes and evidence for an unstable periodic orbit in a baroclinic model. J Atmos Sci 61:2267-2282
-
(2004)
J Atmos Sci
, vol.61
, pp. 2267-2282
-
-
Selten, F.M.1
Branstator, G.2
-
46
-
-
0141637397
-
Low-frequency variability in shallow-water models of the wind-driven ocean circulation. Part I: Steady-state solutions
-
Simonnet E, Ghil M, Ide K, Temam R, Wang S (2003a) Low-frequency variability in shallow-water models of the wind-driven ocean circulation. Part I: Steady-state solutions. J Phys Oceanogr 33:712-728
-
(2003)
J Phys Oceanogr
, vol.33
, pp. 712-728
-
-
Simonnet, E.1
Ghil, M.2
Ide, K.3
Temam, R.4
Wang, S.5
-
47
-
-
0141526321
-
Low-frequency variability in shallow-water models of the wind-driven ocean circulation. Part II: Time-dependent solutions
-
Simonnet E, Ghil M, Ide K, Temam R, Wang S (2003b) Low-frequency variability in shallow-water models of the wind-driven ocean circulation. Part II: Time-dependent solutions. J Phys Oceanogr 33:729-752
-
(2003)
J Phys Oceanogr
, vol.33
, pp. 729-752
-
-
Simonnet, E.1
Ghil, M.2
Ide, K.3
Temam, R.4
Wang, S.5
-
48
-
-
27744566830
-
Homoclinic bifurcations in the quasi-geostrophic double-gyre circulation
-
Simonnet E, Ghil M, Dijkstra HA (2005) Homoclinic bifurcations in the quasi-geostrophic double-gyre circulation. J Mar Res 63:931-956
-
(2005)
J Mar Res
, vol.63
, pp. 931-956
-
-
Simonnet, E.1
Ghil, M.2
Dijkstra, H.A.3
-
49
-
-
0033226736
-
Multiple regimes in Northern Hemisphere height fields via mixture model clustering
-
Smyth P, Ide K, Ghil M (1999) Multiple regimes in Northern Hemisphere height fields via mixture model clustering. J Atmos Sci 56:3704-3723
-
(1999)
J Atmos Sci
, vol.56
, pp. 3704-3723
-
-
Smyth, P.1
Ide, K.2
Ghil, M.3
-
50
-
-
0029413996
-
Intraseasonal oscillations in a barotropic model with annual cycle, and their predictability
-
Strong CM, Jin Ff, Ghil M (1995) Intraseasonal oscillations in a barotropic model with annual cycle, and their predictability. J Atmos Sci 52:2627-2642
-
(1995)
J Atmos Sci
, vol.52
, pp. 2627-2642
-
-
Strong, C.M.1
Jin, Ff.2
Ghil, M.3
-
51
-
-
0029510753
-
Statistical properties of predictability from atmospheric analogs and the existence of multiple flow regimes
-
Trevisan A (1995) Statistical properties of predictability from atmospheric analogs and the existence of multiple flow regimes. J Atmos Sci 52:3577-3592
-
(1995)
J Atmos Sci
, vol.52
, pp. 3577-3592
-
-
Trevisan, A.1
-
52
-
-
0035115512
-
Toward a phase-space cartography of the short- and medium-range predictability of weather regimes
-
Vannitsem S (2001) Toward a phase-space cartography of the short- and medium-range predictability of weather regimes. Tellus 53A:56-73
-
(2001)
Tellus
, vol.53 A
, pp. 56-73
-
-
Vannitsem, S.1
-
53
-
-
0025589448
-
Statistical significance test for transition matrices of atmospheric Markov chains
-
Vautard R, Mo K, Ghil M (1990) Statistical significance test for transition matrices of atmospheric Markov chains. J Atmos Sci 47:1926-1931
-
(1990)
J Atmos Sci
, vol.47
, pp. 1926-1931
-
-
Vautard, R.1
Mo, K.2
Ghil, M.3
-
55
-
-
0030665951
-
Transitions between blocked and zonal flows in a rotating annulus with topography
-
Weeks ER, Tian Y, Urbach JS, Ide K, Swinney HL, Ghil M (1997) Transitions between blocked and zonal flows in a rotating annulus with topography. Science 278:1598-1601
-
(1997)
Science
, vol.278
, pp. 1598-1601
-
-
Weeks, E.R.1
Tian, Y.2
Urbach, J.S.3
Ide, K.4
Swinney, H.L.5
Ghil, M.6
-
56
-
-
0035894793
-
A linear model of wintertime low-frequency variability. Part I: Formulation and forecast skill
-
Winkler CR, Newman M, Sardeshmukh P (2001) A linear model of wintertime low-frequency variability. Part I: Formulation and forecast skill. J Clim 14:4474-4494
-
(2001)
J Clim
, vol.14
, pp. 4474-4494
-
-
Winkler, C.R.1
Newman, M.2
Sardeshmukh, P.3
|