Population viability of the narrow endemic Helianthemum juliae (CISTACEAE) in relation to climate variability

Biological Conservation

Volumn 136, Issue 4, 2007, Pages 552-562

  Marrero Gómez, Manuel V ^a   Oostermeijer, J Gerard B ^b   Carqué Álamo, Eduardo ^a   Bañares Baudet, Ángel ^a  

^a Parque Nacional del Teide   (Spain)

^b UNIVERSITY OF AMSTERDAM   (Netherlands)

Author keywords

Canary islands; Conservation; Endangered plants; Extinction; Global warming; Population dynamics; PVA

Indexed keywords

ANGIOSPERM; CLIMATE VARIATION; DROUGHT STRESS; ENDEMIC SPECIES; EXTINCTION RISK; GLOBAL WARMING; HUMAN ACTIVITY; PERENNIAL PLANT; POPULATION DYNAMICS; POPULATION VIABILITY ANALYSIS; PRECIPITATION (CLIMATOLOGY); PRECIPITATION INTENSITY; SPECIES CONSERVATION; SURVIVAL; VULNERABILITY;

ATLANTIC ISLANDS; ATLANTIC OCEAN; CANARY ISLANDS; EURASIA; EUROPE; MACARONESIA; SANTA CRUZ DE TENERIFE [(PRV) CANARY ISLANDS]; SOUTHERN EUROPE; SPAIN; TEIDE NATIONAL PARK; TENERIFE;

HELIANTHEMUM JULIAE;

EID: 33947531745     PISSN: 00063207     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.biocon.2007.01.010     Document Type: Article

References (52)

1. Bañares, A., Marrero, M.V., Carqué, E., 2001. Biología de la conservación de la flora amenazada en los Parques Nacionales Canarios. In: Centro de Estudios Ramón Areces (Ed.), Conservación de especies vegetales amenazadas del área mediterránea: una perspectiva desde el fin de siglo, Madrid, pp. 35-62.
2. Beissinger S.R., and Westphal M.I. On the use of demographic models of population viability analysis in endangered species management. Journal of Wildlife Management 62 (1998) 821-841
3. Bierzychudek P. Looking backwards: assessing the projections of a transition matrix model. Ecological Applications 9 4 (1999) 1278-1287
4. Boletín Oficial del Estado, 1999. Ley 3/1999 de 11 de enero, por la que se crea el Parque Nacional de Sierra Nevada. Boletín Oficial del Estado n° 11 de 13-01-1999, pp. 1512-1525.
5. Caswell H. Prospective and retrospective perturbation analyses: their roles in conservation biology. Ecology 81 (2000) 619-627
6. Caswell H. Matrix Population Models: Construction, Analysis and Interpretation. second ed. (2001), Sinauer Associates, Sunderland, Massachusetts
7. Chabot B.F., and Mooney M.A. Physiological Ecology of North American Plant Communities (1985), Chapman & Hall, New York
8. de Kroon H., Plaisier A., van Groenendael J., and Caswell H. Elasticity: the relative contribution of demographic parameters to population growth rate. Ecology 67 (1986) 1427-1431
9. de Kroon H., van Groenendael J., and Ehrlen J. Elasticities: a review of methods and model limitations. Ecology 81 (2000) 607-618
10. Dennis B., Munholland P.L., and Scott J.M. Estimation of growth and extinction parameters for endangered species. Ecological Monographs 61 (1991) 115-143
11. Escudero A., Somolinos R.C., Olano J.M., and Rubio A. Factors controlling the establishment of Helianthemum squamatum, an endemic gypsophyle of semi-arid Spain. Journal of Ecology 87 (1999) 290-302
12. Falk, D.A., Millar, C.I., Olwell, M., 1996. Introduction. In: Falk, D.A., Millar, C.I., Olwell, M. (Eds.), Restoring Diversity: Estrategies for Reintroduction of Endangered Plants. Island Press, Center for Plant Conservation, Missouri Botanical Garden, pp. xiii-xxii.
13. Fieberg J., and Ellner S.P. When is it meaningful to estimate an extinction probability?. Ecology 81 (2000) 2040-2047
14. Fieberg J., and Ellner S.P. Stochastic matrix models for conservation and management: a comparative review of methods. Ecology Letters 4 (2001) 244-266
15. Folks J.L., and Chhikara R.S. The inverse Gaussian distribution and its statistical application, a review. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B 40 (1978) 263-289
16. García, M.B., Iriondo, J.M., 2002. Modelos matriciales de proyección poblacional. In: Bañares, Á. (Ed.), Biología de la Conservación de Plantas Amenazadas. Organismo Autónomo de Parques Nacionales. Série Técnica, Madrid, pp. 45-54.
17. Goodman D. The demography of chance extinction. In: Soulé M.E. (Ed). Viable Populations for Conservation (1987), Cambridge University Press 11-34
18. Graham R.W., and Grimm E.C. Effects of the global climate change on the patterns of terrestrial biological communities. Trends in Ecology and Evolution 5 9 (1990) 289-292
19. Greenlee, J., Kaye., T.N., 1997. Stochastic matrix projections: a comparison of the effect of element and matrix selection methods on quasi-extinction risk for Haplopappus radiatus (Asteraceae). In: Kaye, T.N., Liston, A., Love, R.M., Luoma, D., Meinke, R.J., Wilson, M.V. (Eds.), Conservation and Management of Native Plants and Fungi. Native Plant Society of Oregon, Corvallis, Oregon, pp. 66-71.
20. Hansen, A., Sunding, P., 1993. Flora of Macaronesia. Checklist of vascular plants, 4 rev. ed. Sommerfeltia 17, pp. 1-295.
21. Harrington G.N. Effects of soil moisture on shrub seedling survival in semi-arid grassland. Ecology 72 (1991) 1138-1149
22. Heppell S., Walters J.R., and Crowder L.B. Evaluating management alternatives for Red-cockaded Woodpeckers: a modeling approach. Journal of Wildlife Management 58 (1994) 479-487
23. High Performance Systems, Inc., 1998. Stella 5.1.1. for Windows, Hannover.
24. Hood, G., 2002. Poptools v. 2.4. http://www.cse.csiro.au/CDG/poptools.
25. Horvitz C., Schemske D.W., and Caswell H. The relative "importance" of life-history stages to population growth: prospective and retrospective analyses. In: Tuljapurkar S., and Caswell H. (Eds). Structured-population Models in Marine, Terrestrial, and Freshwater Systems (1997), Chapman and Hall, New York 247-271
26. Kalisz S., and McPeek M.A. Demography of an age-structured annual: resampled projection matrices, elasticity analyses, and seed bank effects. Ecology 73 (1992) 1082-1093
27. Kaye T.N., and Pyke D.A. The effect of stochastic technique on estimates of population viability from transition matrix models. Ecology 84 (2003) 1464-1476
28. Kutner S.L., and Morse L.E. Reintroduction in a changing climate. In: Falk D.A., Millar C.I., and Olwell M. (Eds). Restoring Diversity: Strategies for Reintroduction of Endangered Plants (1993), Island Press, Center For Plant Conservation, Missouri Botanical Garden 23-48
29. Lavender, B., Smith, J.V., Koshida, G., Mortsch, L.D., 1998. Binational Great Lakes-St. Lawrence Basin Climate Change and Hydrologic Scenarios Report. Downsview. Environmental Adaptation Research Groop, Environment, Canada.
30. Lefkovitch L.P. The study of population growth in organisms grouped by stages. Biometrics 21 (1965) 1-18
31. Marrero M.V., Bañares A., and Carqué E. Plant resource conservation planning in protected natural areas: an example from Canary Islands, Spain. Biological Conservation 113 (2003) 399-410
32. Marrero M.V., Carqué E., and Bañares A. Helianthemum juliae. In: Bañares A., Blanca G., Güemes J., Moreno J.C., and Ortíz S. (Eds). Atlas y Libro Rojo de la Flora Vascular amenazada de España (2003), Dirección General de Conservación de la Naturaleza, Madrid 284-285
33. Maunder M. Plant reintroduction: an overview. Biodiversity and Conservation 1 (1992) 51-61
34. Menges E.S. Predicting the future of rare plant populations: demographic monitoring and modeling. Natural Areas Journal 6 (1986) 13-25
35. Menges E.S. Population viability analysis for an endangered plant. Conservation Biology 4 (1990) 52-62
36. Menges E.S. The application of minimum viable population theory to plants. In: Falk D.A., and Holsinger K.E. (Eds). Genetics and Conservation of Rare Plants (1991), Oxford University Press 47-61
37. Morris W.F., and Doak D.F. Life history of a long-lived gynodioecious plant, Silene acaulis (Caryophyllaceae), inferred from size-based population projection matrices. American Journal of Botany 85 (1998) 784-793
38. N.R.C. (National Research Council). Abrupt Climate Change: Inevitable Surprises (2002), National Academy Press, Washington, DC p. 230
39. Oostermeijer J.G.B. Threats to rare plant persistence. In: Brigham A.C., and Schwartz M.W. (Eds). Population Viability in Plants. Conservation, Management, and Modeling of Rare Plants (2003), Springer, Berlin 17-58
40. Overpeck J.T., Bartlein P.J., and Webb T. Potential magnitude of future vegetation change in Eastern North America: comparison with the past. Science 254 (1991) 692-695
41. Pfister C.A. Patterns of variance in stage-structured populations: evolutionary predictions and ecological implications. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 95 (1998) 213-218
42. Rosenzweig C., and Hillel D. Soils and global climate change: challenges and opportunities. Soil Science 165 (2000) 47-56
43. Root T.L., Price J.T., Hall K.R., Schneider S.H., Rosenzweig C., and Pounds D. Fingerprints of global warming on wild plants and animals. Nature 421 (2002) 57-60
44. Sánchez M.I. Métodos para el estudio de la evaporación y evapotranspiración. Cuadernos Técnicos de la Sociedad Española de Geomorfología n° 3 (1992) 1-36
45. Schneider S.H. The changing climate. Scientific American 290 9 (1989) 70-79
46. Silvertown J., Franco M., Pisanty I., and Mendoza A. Comparative plant demography: relative importance of life cycle components to the finite rate of increase in woody and herbaceous perennials. Journal of Ecology 81 (1993) 67-73
47. Sokal R.R., and Rohlf F.J. Biometry. second ed. (1981), W.H. Freeman and Company, San Francisco
48. Song Y.L. Population viability analysis for two isolated populations of Haianan eld's deer. Conservation Biology 10 (1996) 1467-1472
49. Tuljapurkar S.D., and Orzack S.H. Population dynamics in variable environments I. Long-run growth rates and extinction. Theoretical Population Biology 18 (1980) 314-342
50. Tuljapurkar S.D., Horvitz C., and Pascarella J.B. The many growth rates and elasticities of populations in random environments. American Naturalist 162 4 (2003) 489-502
51. Werner P.A. Predictions of fate from rosette size in teasel (Dipsacus fullonum L.). Oecologia 20 (1975) 197-201
52. Zar S.H. Biostatistical Analysis. second ed. (1984), Prentice-Hall,, Englewood Cliffs, NJ