Do hegemons distribute private goods?: A test of power-transition theory

Journal of Conflict Resolution

Volumn 51, Issue 1, 2007, Pages 88-111

  Bussmann, Margit ^a   Oneal, John R ^b  

^a UNIVERSITY OF KONSTANZ   (Germany)

^b UNIVERSITY OF ALABAMA   (United States)

Author keywords

Hegemon; Hegemonic stability theory; International alliance; Power transition theory

Indexed keywords

EID: 33847108548     PISSN: 00220027     EISSN: 15528766     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1177/0022002706296178     Document Type: Review

References (93)

1. Barro, R. J. 1989. A cross-country study of growth, saving, and government. NBER Working Paper No. 2855. Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research.
2. Barro, R. J.. 1991. Economic growth in a cross section of countries. The Quarterly Journal of Economics 56: 407-443.
3. Barro, R. J.. 1996. Democracy and growth. Journal of Economic Growth 1: 1-27.
4. Barro, R. J.. 2000. Inequality and growth in a panel of countries. Journal of Economic Growth 5: 5-32.
5. Barro, R., and J.-W. Lee. 1994. Data set for a panel of 138 countries. Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research.
6. Beck, N., J. N. Katz, and R. Tucker 1998. Taking time seriously in binary time-series - cross-section analysis. American Journal of Political Science 42: 1260-1288.
7. Bennett, D. S. 2006. Toward a continuous specification of the democracy-autocracy connection. International Studies Quarterly 50 (2). 313-338.
8. Bennett, D. S., and A. Stam. 2000. EUGene: A conceptual manual. International Interactions 26: 179-204. Version 3.04. http://eugenesoftware.org.
9. Bennett, D. S., and A. Stam. 2004. The behavioral origins of war. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press.
10. Boulding, K. E. 1963. Conflict and defense. New York: Harper and Row.
11. Bueno de Mesquita, B. 1981. The war trap. New Haven, CT: Yale University Press.
12. Bueno de Mesquita, B.. 1990. Pride of Place: The Origins of Germany Hegemony. World Politics 43: 28-52.
13. Bueno de Mesquita, B.. 1996. Beliefs about power and the risks of war: A power transition game. In Parity and war: Evaluations and extensions of The War Ledger, edited by J. Kugler and D. Lemke, 271-286. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press.
14. Bueno de Mesquita, B., and J. L. Ray. 2004. The national interest versus individual political ambition: Democracy, autocracy, and the reciprocation of force and violence in militarized interstate disputes. In The scourge of war: New extensions of an old problem, edited by P. Diehl, 94-119. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press.
15. Bueno de Mesquita, B., A. Smith, R. M. Siverson, and J. D. Morrow. 2003. The logic of political survival. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.
16. Bussmann, M. 2001. Examining causality among militarized interstate disputes, regime type, trade openness, and economic growth. PhD diss. University of Alabama, Tuscaloosa.
17. de Soysa, I., and J. R. Oneal. 1999. Boon or bane? Reassessing the productivity of foreign direct investment. American Sociological Review 64: 766-782.
18. de Soysa, I., J. R. Oneal, and Y.-H. Park. 1997. Testing power-transition theory using alternative measures of national capabilities. Journal of Conflict Resolution 41: 509-528.
19. DiCicco, J. M., and J. S. Levy. 1999. Power shifts and problem shifts: The evolution of the power transition research program. Journal of Conflict Resolution 43: 675-704.
20. DiCicco, J. M., and J. S. Levy. 2003. The power transition research program. In Progress in International Relations Theory: Appraising the Field, edited by C. Elman and M. F. Elman, 109-157. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.
21. Epstein, M., ed. 1913. The statesman's yearbook, 1913. London: Macmillan.
22. Geller, D. 1992. Power transition and conflict initiation. Conflict Management and Peace Science 12: 1-16.
23. Gilpin, R. 1981. War and change in world politics. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.
24. Gleditsch, K. S. 2002. Expanded trade and GDP data version 1. Journal of Conflict Resolution 46: 712-724.
25. Hegre, H. 2004. Size asymmetry, trade, and militarized conflict. Journal of Conflict Resolution 48: 403-429.
26. Henderson, E. A. 2002. Democracy and war: The end of an illusion? Boulder, CO: Lynne Rienner.
27. Jaggers, K., and T. R. Gurr. 1995. Tracking democracy's third wave with the Polity III data. Journal of Peace Research 32: 469-482.
28. Kadera, K. M. 2001. The power-conflict story: A dynamic model of interstate rivalry. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press.
29. Kennedy, P. 1988. The rise and fall of the great powers. New York: Random House.
30. Keohane, R. O. 1980. The theory of hegemonic stability and changes in international economic regimes, 1967-1977. In Changes in the international system, edited by O. Holsti, R. Siverson, and A. George, 131-162. Boulder, CO: Westview.
31. Keohane, R. O.. 1984. After hegemony: Cooperation and discord in the world political economy. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.
32. Kim, W. 1991. Alliance transitions and great power war. American Journal of Political Science 35: 833-850.
33. Keohane, R. O.. 1992. Power transitions and great power war from Westphalia to Waterloo. World Politics 45: 153-172.
34. Kim, W. 1996. Power parity, alliance, and war from 1648 to 1975. In Parity and war, edited by J. Kugler and D. Lemke, 93-106. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press.
35. Kim, W., and J. Morrow. 1992. When do power shifts lead to war ? American Journal of Political Science 36: 896-922.
36. King, G. 1991. "Truth" is stranger than prediction, more questionable than causal inference. American Journal of Political Science 35 (4). 1047-1053.
37. Kindleberger, C. 1973. The world in depression, 1929-1939. Los Angeles: University of California Press.
38. Krasner, S. 1976. State power and the structure of international trade. World Politics 28: 317-347.
39. Kugler, J., and D. Lemke, eds. 1996. Parity and war: Evaluations and extensions of The War Ledger. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press.
40. Kugler, J., and D. Lemke 2000. The power transition research program. In Handbook of war studies, 2nd ed., edited by M. I. Midlarsky, 129-163. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press.
41. Lemke, D. 2002. Regions of war and peace. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.
42. Lemke, D.. 2004. Great powers in the post-cold war world: A power transition perspective. In Balance of power: Theory and practice in the 21st century, edited by T. V. Paul, J. J. Wirtz, and M. Fortmann, 52-75. Stanford, CA: Stanford University Press.
43. Lemke, D., and J. Kugler. 1996. The evolution of the power transition perspective. In Parity and war, edited by J. Kugler and D. Lemke, 3-34. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press.
44. Lemke, D., and W. Reed. 1996. Regime types and status quo evaluations: Power transition theory and the democratic peace. International Interactions 22: 143-164.
45. Lemke, D., and W. Reed. 1998. Power is not satisfaction. Journal of Conflict Resolution 42: 511-516.
46. Lemke, D., and S. Werner. 1996. Power parity, commitment to change, and war. International Studies Quarterly 40: 235-260.
47. Levine, R., and D. Renelt. 1992. A sensitivity analysis of cross-country growth regressions. The American economic review 82: 942-963.
48. Lucas, R. E. Jr. 1988. On the mechanics of economic development. Journal of Monetary Economics 22: 3-42.
49. Maddison, A. 1995. Monitoring the world economy: 1820-1992. Paris: Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development.
50. Mansfield, E. 1994. Power, trade, and war. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.
51. Mansfield, E., and B. Pollins, eds. 2003. Economic interdependence and international conflict: New perspectives on an enduring debate. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press.
52. Maoz, Z. 1996. Domestic sources of global change. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press.
53. Maoz, Z. 1999. Dyadic militarized interstate disputes (DYMID1.1). Dataset - Version 1.1. ftp://spirit.tau.ac.il/zeevmaos/dyadmid60.xls. August.
54. Olson, M., 1971. The logic of collective action: Public goods and the theory of groups. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.
55. Oneal, J. R. 2006. Confirming the liberal peace with analyses of directed dyads, 1885-2001. In Approaches, levels, and methods of analysis in international politics: Crossing boundaries, edited by Harvey Starr, 73-94. New York: Palgrave Macmillan.
56. Oneal, J. R., I. de Soysa, and Y.-H. Park. 1998. But power and wealth are satisfying: A reply to Lemke and Reed. Journal of Conflict Resolution 42: 517-517.
57. Oneal, J. R., and P. F. Diehl. 1994. The theory of collective action and NATO defense burdens: New empirical tests. Political Research Quarterly 48: 373-396.
58. Oneal, J. R., and B. Russett. 1997. The classical liberals were right: Democracy, interdependence, and conflict, 1950-1985. International Studies Quarterly 41: 267-294.
59. Oneal, J. R., and B. Russett 2005. Rule of three, let it be? When more really is better. Conflict Management and Peace Science 22 (4). 293-310.
60. Oneal, J. R., B. Russett, and M. L. Berbaum. 2003. Causes of peace: Democracy, interdependence, and international organizations, 1885-1992. International Studies Quarterly 47: 371-393.
61. Oneal, J. R., and J. Tir. 2006. Does the diversionary use of force threaten the democratic peace? Assessing the effect of economic growth on interstate conflict, 1921-2001. International Studies Quarterly 50: 755-779.
62. Organski, A. F. K. 1968. World politics. 2nd ed. New York: Knopf.
63. Organski, A. F. K., and J. Kugler. 1980. The War Ledger. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
64. Peceny, M., C. C. Beer, and S. Sanchez-Terry. 2002. Dictatorial peace ? American Political Science Review 96: 15-26.
65. Peet, C. 1992. Declining hegemony and rising international trade: Moving beyond hegemonic stability theory. International Interactions 18: 101-127.
66. Pollins, B. M. 1996. Global political order, economic change, and armed conflict: Coevolving systems and the use of force. American Political Science Review 90: 103-117.
67. Raknerud, A. and H. Hegre. 1997. The hazard of war: Reassessing the evidence for the democratic peace. Journal of Peace Research 34: 385-404.
68. Ray, J. L. 2005. Constructing multivariate analyses (of dangerous dyads). Conflict Management and Peace Science 22 (4). 277-292.
69. Reed, W. 2003. Information, power, and war. American Political Science Review 97: 633-642.
70. Reiter, D., and A. C. Stam. 2002. Democracies at war. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.
71. Romer, P. M. 1990. Endogenous technological change. Journal of Political Economy 98: 71-102.
72. Russett, B. 1985. The mysterious case of vanishing hegemony; or, is Mark Twain really dead ? International Organization 39: 207-231.
73. Russett, B., and J. R. Oneal. 2001. Triangulating peace: Democracy, interdependence, and international organizations. New York: Norton.
74. Sacko, D. 2003. Hegemonic governance and the process of conflict. PhD diss. Pennsylvania State University, University Park.
75. Sala-i-Martin, Xavier. 1997. I just ran two million regressions. American Economic Review 87 (2). 178-183.
76. Sandler, T., and K. Hartley, eds. 1999. The political economy of NATO: Past, present, and into the 21st century. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.
77. Schneider, G., K. Barbieri, and N. P. Gleditsch, eds. 2003. Globalization and armed conflict. Boulder, CO: Rowan and Littlefield.
78. Senese, P. D., and J. Vasquez. 2005. Assessing the steps to war. British Journal of Political Science 35: 607-633.
79. Signorino, C. S., and J. M. Ritter. 1999. Tau-b or not tau-b: Measuring the similarity of foreign policy positions. International Studies Quarterly 43: 115-144.
80. Siverson, R. M., and R. A. Miller. 1996. The power transition: Problems and prospects. In Parity and war, edited by J. Kugler and D. Lemke, 57-76. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press.
81. Snidal, D. 1985. The limits of hegemonic stability theory. International Organization 39: 579-614.
82. Solow, R. M. 1956. A contribution to the theory of economic growth. Quarterly Journal of Economics 70: 65-94.
83. Spiezio, K. E. 1990. British hegemony and major power wars, 1815-1939: An empirical test of Gilpin's model of hegemonic governance. International Studies Quarterly 34: 165-181.
84. Starr, H. 1978. "Opportunity" and "willingness" as ordering concepts in the study of war. International Interactions 4: 363-387.
85. Stinnett, D., J. Tir, P. Shafer, P. Diehl, and C. Gochman. 2002. The Correlates of War project direct contiguity data. Conflict Management and Peace Science 19: 59-67.
86. Sweeney, K. J. 2003. Are dyadic capability preponderances really more pacific ? Journal of Conflict Resolution 47: 728-750.
87. Tammen, R. L., J. Kugler, D. Lemke, A. C. Stam III, M. Abdollahian, C. Alsharabati, B. Efird, and A. F. K. Organski. 2000. Power transitions: Strategies for the 21st century. New York: Chatham House.
88. Tucker, R. 1999. BTSCS: A binary time-series - cross-section data analysis utility. Version 4.0.4. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University. http://www.fas.harvard.edu/%7Ertucker/programs/btscs/btscs.html (accessed November, 16, 2002).
89. Vasquez, J. 1993. The war puzzle. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.
90. Vasquez, J.. 1996. When are power transitions dangerous?" In Parity and war, edited by J. Kugler and D. Lemke, 35-56. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press.
91. Webb, M. C., and Krasner, S. 1989. Hegemonic stability theory: An empirical assessment. Review of International Studies 15: 183-198.
92. Werner, S. 2000. The effects of political similarity on the onset of militarized disputes, 1816-1985. Political Research Quarterly 53: 343-374.
93. Werner, S., and J. Kugler. 1996. Power transitions and military buildups: Resolving the relationship between arms buildups and war. In Parity and war, edited by J. Kugler and D. Lemke, 187-210. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press.