Resilience of two Banksia species to global change: Comparing results of bioclimatic modelling, demographic and translocation studies

International Journal of Biodiversity Science and Management

Volumn 2, Issue 2, 2006, Pages 59-72

  Witkowski, E T F ^a   Lamont, Byron B ^b  

^a UNIVERSITY OF THE WITWATERSRAND   (South Africa)

^b CURTIN UNIVERSITY   (Australia)

Author keywords

Allee effect; Australia; BIOCLIM; Climatic profiles; Distribution range; Habitat degradation; Habitat loss; Landscape fragmentation; Long distance dispersal; Persistence; Population modelling

Indexed keywords

BIOCLIMATOLOGY; COMPARATIVE STUDY; CONSERVATION MANAGEMENT; DEMOGRAPHY; EVERGREEN TREE; GLOBAL CHANGE; GROWING SEASON; HABITAT FRAGMENTATION; HUMAN ACTIVITY; LANDSCAPE STRUCTURE; POPULATION GROWTH; RESILIENCE; RESPROUTING; TRANSLOCATION;

AUSTRALASIA; AUSTRALIA;

BANKSIA; BANKSIA GARDNERI; BANKSIA GOODII;

EID: 33750000646     PISSN: 17451590     EISSN: 17451604     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1080/17451590609618099     Document Type: Article

References (58)

1. Allee WC. Group survival value for Philodina roseola, a rotifer. Ecology 1949;30:395-7
2. Allison HE and Hobbs RJ. Resilience, adaptive capacity, and the "lock-in trap" of the Western Australian agricultural region. http/www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol9/iss1/art3. Ecology and Society 2004;9(1):3
3. Bartlett WM. Western Australian Year Book. Perth: Australian Bureau of Statistics, Western Australia Office; 1975
4. Beard JS. A new phytogeographical map of Western Australia. Western Australian Herbarium Research Notes 1980;3:37-58
5. Bergelson J, Newman JA and Floresroux EM. Rates of weed spread in spatially heterogeneous environments. Ecology 1993;74:999-1011
6. Brown JH, Stevens GC and Kaufman DM. The geographic range: size, shape, boundaries, and internal structure. Annual Review of Ecology and Systematics 1996;27:597-623
7. Burgman MA and Lamont BB. A stochastic model for the viability of Banksia cuneata populations: environmental, demographic and genetic effects. Journal of Applied Ecology 1992;29:719-27
8. Busby JR. Potential impacts of climate change on Australia's flora and fauna. In Pearman GI (ed.), Greenhouse: planning for climate change. Melbourne: CSIRO; 1988:387-98
9. Busby JR. BIOCLIM - A bioclimatic analysis and prediction system. In Margules CR and Austin MP (eds), Nature conservation: cost effective biological surveys and data analysis. Canberra: CSIRO; 1991:64-8
10. Clark JS, Fastie C, Hurtt G, Jackson ST, Johnson C, et al. Reid's paradox of rapid plant migration. Bioscience 1998;48:13-24
11. Cowling RM and Lamont BB. On the nature of Gondwanan species flocks: diversity of Proteaceae in Mediterranean south-western Australia and South Africa. Australian Journal of Botany 1998;46:335-55
12. Cowling RM, Lamont BB and Enright NJ. Fire and management of south-western Australian banksias. Proceedings of the Ecological Society of Australia 1990;16:177-83
13. Drechsler M, Lamont BB, Burgman MA, Akcakaya HR, Witkowski ETF and Supriyadi. Modelling the persistence of an apparently immortal Banksia species after fire and land clearing. Biological Conservation 1999;88:249-59
14. Drake J, di Castri F, Groves R, Kruger F, Mooney HA, Rejmanek M and Williamson M (eds). Biological invasions: a global perspective. New York: Wiley; 1989
15. Eeley HAC, Lawes MJ and Piper SE. The influence of climate change on the distribution of indigenous forests in Kwazulu-Natal, South Africa. Journal of Biogeography 1999;26:595-617
16. Enright NJ and Lamont BB. Recruitment variability in the resprouting shrub Banksia attenuata and non-sprouting congeners in the northern sandplains heaths of south-western Australia. Acta Oecologica 1992;13:727-42
17. Gaston KJ. The structure and dynamics of geographic ranges. Oxford Series in Ecology and Evolution. Oxford: Oxford University Press; 2003
18. George AS. The genus Banksia L.f. (Proteaceae). Nuytsia 1981;3:239-473
19. Greuter W. Extinctions in the Mediterranean areas. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London B 1994;344:41-6
20. Green JW. Census of Western Australian plants. South Perth: Western Australian Herbarium; 1985
21. Griffin EA and Associates. Vegetation survey of Bakers Junction and Millbrook Nature Reserve. Unpublished Report No. 23. Perth: Department of Conservation and Land Management; 1985
22. He TH, Krauss SL, Lamont BB, Miller BP and Enright NJ. Long distance seed dispersal in a metapopulation of Banksia hookeriana inferred from a population allocation analysis of Amplified Fragment Length Polymorphism data. Molecular Ecology 2004;13:1099-109
23. Henderson-Sellers A and Blarg R. The Greenhouse Effect: Living in a warmer Australia. Kensington: NSW University Press; 1989
24. Higgins SI, Nathan R and Cain ML. Are long-distance dispersal events in plants usually caused by non-standard means of dispersal? Ecology 2003a;84:1945-56
25. Higgins SI, Lavorel S and Revilla E. Estimating plant migration rates under habitat loss and fragmentation. Oikos 2003b;101:354-66
26. Hope P. Projected future changes in synoptic systems influencing southwest Western Australia. Climate Dynamics 2006; in press
27. Hope P, Drosdowsky W and Nicholls N. Shifts in the synoptic systems influencing southwest Western Australia. Climate Dynamics 2006; in press
28. Hopper S. Biogeographical aspects of speciation in the south-west Australian flora. Annual Review of Ecology and Systematics 1979;10:399-422
29. Hopper S and Gioia P. The Southwest Australian Floristic region: evolution and conservation of a global hot spot of biodiversity. Annual Review of Ecology and Systematics 2004;35:623-50
30. Hopper S, van Leeuwen SJ, Brown A and Patrick S. Western Australia's Endangered Flora. Perth: Department of Conservation and Land Management; 1990
31. Huntley BJ. How vegetation responds to climate change: evidence from palaeovegetation studies. In Pernetta JC, Leemans R, Endler D and Humphrey S (eds), Impacts of climate change on ecosystems and species: environmental context. Gland, Switzerland: IUCN; 1995:43-63
32. IUCN. IUCN Red List Categories v. 3.1. IUCN Species Survival Commission, Gland, Switzerland; 2001
33. Kadmon R, Farber O and Danin A. A systematic analysis of factors affecting the performance of climatic envelope models. Ecological Applications 2003;13:853-67
34. Lamont BB and Connell SW. Biogeography of Banksia in southwestern Australia. Journal of Biogeography 1996;23:295-309
35. Lamont BB, Hopkins AJM and Hnatiuk RJ. The flora - composition, diversity and origins. In Pate JS and Beard JS (eds), Kwongan: Plant life of the Sandplain. Nedlands: University of Western Australia Press; 1984:27-50
36. Lamont BB, Klinkhamer PGL and Witkowski ETF. Population fragmentation may reduce fertility to zero in Banksia goodii: a demonstration of the Allee effect. Oecologia 1993;94:446-50
37. Lamont BB and Markey A. Biogeography of fire-killed and resprouting Banksia species in south-western Australia. Australian Journal of Botany 1995;43:283-303
38. Lamont BB, Wills RT and Witkowski ETF. Threats to the conservation of southwestern Australian Proteaceae. Acta Horticulture 1995;387:9-18
39. Lamont BB and Witkowski ETF. A test for lottery recruitment among four banksia species based on their demography and biological attributes. Oecologia 1995;101:299-308
40. Lande R. Extinction thresholds in demographic models of territorial species. American Naturalist 1987;130:624-35
41. Lindenmayer DB, Nix HA, McMahon JP, Hutchinson MF and Tanton MT. The conservation of Leadbeater's possum, Gymnobelideus leadbeateri (McCoy): a case study of the use of bioclimatic modelling. Journal of Biogeography 1991;18:371-83
42. McCarthy MA, Lindenmayer DB and Drechsler M. Extinction debts and risks faced by abundant species. Conservation Biology 1997;11:221-6
43. Nix H. Environmental determinants of biogeography and evolution of Terra Australis. In Barker WR and Greenslade PJM (eds), Evolution of the flora and fauna of arid Australia. Frewville: Peacock; 1982:47-66
44. Nix H. A biogeographical analysis of Australian elapid snakes. In Longmore R (ed.), Atlas of elapid snakes of Australia. Canberra: Bureau of Flora and Fuana; 1986:4-15
45. Pittock AB. Actual and anticipated changes in Australia's climate. In Pearman GI (ed.), Greenhouse: planning for climate change. Australia: Division of Atmospheric Research, CSIRO; 1988:35-51
46. Richardson DM, Cowling RM, Lamont BB and van Hensbergen HJ. Coexistence of Banksia species in southwestern Australia: the role of regional and local processes. Journal of Vegetation Science 1995;6:329-42
47. Rutherford MC and Westfall RH. Biomes of Southern Africa: an objective categorization. Memoirs of the Botanical Survey of South Africa 1986;63:1-94
48. Speck NH. The vegetation of the Darling-Irwin botanical districts and an investigation of the distribution pattern of the family Proteaceae in south western Australia. PhD thesis. Perth: University of Western Australia; 1958
49. Taylor A and Hopper S. The Banksia Atlas. Canberra: Australian Government Publishing Service; 1988
50. Thiele KR and Ladiges PY. A cladistic analysis of Banksia (Proteaceae). Australian Systematic Botany 1996;9:661-733
51. Tilman D, May RM, Lehman CL and Nowak MA. Habitat destruction and the extinction debt. Nature 1994;371:65-6
52. Vitousek PM. Beyond global warming: ecology and global change. Ecology 1994;75:1861-1976
53. Warner RR and Chesson PL. Coexistence mediated by recruitment fluctuations: a field guide to the storage effect. American Naturalist 1985;125:769-87
54. Western Australian Government. Wildlife conservation (rare flora) notice 1999. Government Gazette, WA; 17 December 1999:6194-9
55. Witkowski ETF. Growth and competition between seedlings of Protea repens (L.) L. and the alien invasive, Acacia saligna (Labill.) Wendl. in relation to nutrient availability. Functional Ecology 1991;5:101-10
56. Witkowski ETF and Lamont BB. Does the rare Banksia goodii have inferior vegetative, reproductive or ecological attributes compared with its widespread co-occurring relative B. gardneri? Journal of Biogeography 1997;24:469-82
57. Witkowski ETF, Lamont BB and Connell SJ. Seed bank dynamics of three co-occurring banksias in south coastal Western Australia: the role of plant age, cockatoos, senescence and interfire establishment. Australian Journal of Botany 1991;39:385-97
58. Woodward FI and Williams BG. Climate and plant distribution at global and local scales. Vegetatio 1987;69:189-97