Downy mildew (Plasmopara viticola) epidemics on grapevine under climate change

Global Change Biology

Volumn 12, Issue 7, 2006, Pages 1299-1307

  Salinari, Francesca ^a   Giosuè, Simona ^b   Tubiello, Francesco Nicola ^c   Rettori, Andrea ^a   Rossi, Vittorio ^b   Spanna, Federico ^d   Rosenzweig, Cynthia ^c   Gullino, Maria Lodovica ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF TURIN   (Italy)

^b UNIVERSITÀ CATTOLICA DEL SACRO CUORE   (Italy)

^c Och Spine at New York Presbyterian Hospitals   (United States)

^d Phytosanitary Service   (Italy)

Author keywords

Climate change; Disease pressure; Epidemiology; GCM scenarios; Impacts and adaptation; Modelling; Oomycota; Plant disease; Primary infections

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE CHANGE; EPIDEMIC; EPIDEMIOLOGY; GENERAL CIRCULATION MODEL; GREENHOUSE GAS;

PERONOSPORA FARINOSA; PLASMOPARA VITICOLA; VITIS; VITIS SP.;

EID: 33745253934     PISSN: 13541013     EISSN: 13652486     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2006.01175.x     Document Type: Article

References (43)

1. Blaeser M, Weltzien HC (1979) Epidemiological studies to improve the control of grapevine downy mildew (Plasmopara viticola). Journal of Plant Diseases and Protection, 86, 489-498.
2. 2 under a changing climate? New Phytologist, 159, 733-742.
3. Chakraborty S, Murray GM, Magararey PA et al. (1998) Potential impact of climate change on plant diseases of economic significance to Australia. Australasian Plant Pathology, 27, 15-35.
4. 2. Environmental Pollution, 108, 381-387.
5. Chakraborty S, Tiedemann AV, Teng PS (2000b) Climate change: Potential impact on plant diseases. Environmental Pollution, 108, 317-326.
6. Coakley SM, Scherm H, Chakraborty S (1999) Climate change and plant disease management. Annual Review of Phytopathology, 37, 399-426.
7. Fischer G, Sha M, Tubiello FN et al. (2005) Integrated assessments of global crop production. Proceedings of the Royal Academy of Science, B. 360, 2067-2083.
8. Gobbin D, Jermini M, Loskill B et al. (2005) Importance of secondary inoculum of Plasmopara viticola to epidemics of grapevine downy mildew. Plant Pathology, 54, 522-534.
9. Goeker M, Voglmayr H, Riethmueller A et al. (2003) Taxonomic aspects of Peronosporaceae inferred from Bayesian molecular phylogenetics. Canadian Journal of Botany, 81, 672-683.
10. Gordon C, Cooper C, Senior CA et al. (2000) The simulation of SST, sea ice extents and ocean heat transports in a version of the Hadley Centre-coupled model without flux adjustments. Climate Dynamics, 16, 147-168.
11. Goudriaan J, Zadoks JC (1995) Global climate change: Modelling the potential responses of agro-ecosystems with special reference to crop protection. Environmental Pollution, 87, 215-224.
12. 2 on infection of barley by Erysiphe graminis. Physiological and Molecular Plant Pathology, 48, 37-53.
13. Intergovernmental Panel of Climate Change (IPCC) (2000) IPCC special report. Emissions scenarios. Summary for policymakers. http://wildfire.for.msu.edu/academic/for220/LN31/ IPCC%20Special%20Report%20on%20Emission%202000.pdf
14. IPCC (2001a) Climate change 2001: The scientific base. In: A Contribution of Working Group I to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (eds Houghton JT, Ding Y, Griggs DJ, Noguer MP, van der Linden J, Dai X, Maskell K, Johnson CA), pp. 99-182. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
15. IPCC (2001b) Climate change 2001: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. In: A Contribution of Working Group II to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (eds McCarthy JJ, Canziani OF, Leary NA, Dokken DJ, White KS), pp. 145-342. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
16. IPCC (2001c) Climate change 2001: Mitigation. In: A Contribution of Working Group III to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (eds Banuri T, Barker T, Bashmakov I et al.), pp. 115-166. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
17. 2 concetration on disease development in tomato. New Phytologist, 149, 509-518.
18. Luo Y, Teng PS, Fabellar NG et al. (1998a) Risk analysis of yield losses caused by rice leaf blast associated with temperature changes above and below for five Asian countries. Agriculture, Ecosystem and Environment, 68, 197-205.
19. Luo Y, Teng PS, Fabellar NG et al. (1998b) The effects of global temperature change on rice leaf blast epidemics: A simulation study on three agroecological zones. Agriculture, Ecosystem and Environment, 68, 187-196.
20. 3) and ultraviolet-B (UVB) radiation on plant diseases. Environmental Pollution, 88, 219-245.
21. 2, nitrogen deposition, and decreased species diversity on foliar fungal plant disease. Global Change Biology, 9, 438-451.
22. Monchiero M, Gilardi G, Garibaldi A et al. (2005) Risultati di prove di lotta alla peronospora della vite in Piemonte. Informatore Fitopatologico - La difesa delle piante, 55, 32-37.
23. Pearson RC, Goheen AC (1994) Compendium of Grape Diseases. APS PRESS, St. Paul, MN, USA.
24. Pope VD, Gallani ML, Rowntree PR et al. (2000) The impact of new physical parametrizations in the Hadley Centre climate model - hadam3. Climate Dynamics, 16, 123-146.
25. Reilly J, Tubiello FN, Mc Carl B et al. (2003) US Agriculture and Climate Change: New Results. Climatic Change, 57, 43-69.
26. Rosenzweig C, Parry ML (1994) Potential impact of climate change on world food supply. Nature, 367, 133-138.
27. Rosenzweig C, Tubiello FN, Goldberg RA et al. (2002) Increased crop damage in the US from excess precipitation under climate change. Global Environmental Change, 12, 197-202.
28. Rossi V, Caffi T, Melandri M et al. (2005) Aggiornamenti sulla peronospora della vite. Agronomica, 2, 38-56.
29. Salinari F, GiosuèS, Rettori A et al. (2004a) Influenza del clima sull'epidemiologia di Plasmopara viticola (Berk et Curt.) Berl. Et de Toni in Piemonte: Da un'analisi storica ad un modello empirico - statistico. Informatore Fitopatologico - La difesa delle piante, 54, 25-32.
30. Salinari F, Rettori A, GiosuèS et al. (2004b) Peronospora della vite e variazioni del clima in Piemonte: Indagine storica e proiezioni future. http://www.agrometeorologia.it/pubblicazioni/Convegni%20Aiam/ aiam2004/riassunti/SALINARI.pdf
31. Schmidt GA, Hoffmann G, Shindell DT et al. (2005) Modelling atmospheric stable water isotopes and the potential for constraining cloud processes and stratosphere-troposphere water exchange. Journal of Geophysical Research, in press.
32. Seem RC (2004) Forecasting plant disease in a changing climate: A question of scale. Canadian Journal Plant Pathology, 26, 274-283.
33. Tiedemann AV, Firsching KH (1998) Combined whole-season effects of elevated ozone and carbon dioxide concentrations on a simulated wheat leaf rust (Puccinia recondita f. Sp. Tritici) epidemic. Journal of Plant Diseases and Protection, 105, 555-566.
34. Tubiello FN (2005) Climate Variability and Agriculture: Perspectives on Current and Future Challenges. In: Impact of Climate Change, Variability and Weather Fluctuations on Crops and Their Produce Markets. Impact Reports (ed Knight B), pp. 45-63. Cambridge, U.K.
35. 2 on cropping systems: Model predictions at two Italian locations. European Journal of Agronomy, 13, 179-189.
36. 2 on crops: Approaches and applications for climate change. European Journal of Agronomy, 18, 57-74.
37. 3 on tuber yield potential of potato (cv. Bintje) in the European Union. Agriculture, Ecosystem and Environment, 94, 141-157.
38. http://www.giss.nasa.gov
39. http://www.grida.no/climate/ipcc/emission/094.htm
40. http://www.meto.gov.uk/research/hadleycentre/models/HadCM3.html
41. http://www.regione.piemonte.it/agri/osser_vitivin/dwd/1_03_04.xls
42. Zadoks JC, Schein RD (1979) Epidemiology and Plant Disease Management. Oxford University Press, London.
43. 2. Global Change Biology, 7, 789-796.