Simulated changes in extreme temperature and precipitation events at 6 ka

Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology

Volumn 236, Issue 1-2, 2006, Pages 151-168

  Diffenbaugh, Noah S ^a,b   Bell, Jason L ^a   Sloan, Lisa C ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA   (United States)

^b PURDUE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

Author keywords

Climate change; General circulation models; Holocene; Orbital forcing; Paleoclimatology

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE MODELING; EXTREME EVENT; PALEOCLIMATE; PRECIPITATION (CLIMATOLOGY); TEMPERATURE;

BASIN AND RANGE PROVINCE; GREAT BASIN; NORTH AMERICA; PACIFIC COAST [NORTH AMERICA]; PACIFIC OCEAN; PACIFIC OCEAN (NORTHWEST); UNITED STATES;

EID: 33744506250     PISSN: 00310182     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.palaeo.2005.11.037     Document Type: Article

References (74)

1. Agustsdottir A.M., et al. Storm activity in ancient climates 1. Sensitivity of severe storms to climate forcing factors on geologic timescales. Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres 104 D22 (1999) 27277-27293
2. Agustsdottir A.M., et al. Storm activity in ancient climates 2. An analysis using climate simulations and sedimentary structures. Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres 104 D22 (1999) 27295-27320
3. Allen C.D., and Breshears D.D. Drought-induced shift of a forest-woodland ecotone: rapid landscape response to climatic variation. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 95 25 (1998) 14839-14842
4. Barron J.A., Heusser L., Herbert T., and Lyle M. High-resolution climatic evolution of coastal northern California during the past 16,000 years. Paleoceanography 18 1 (2003) 1020 10.1029/2002PA000768
5. Bartlein P.J., et al. Paleoclimate simulations for North America over the past 21,000 years: features of the simulated climate and comparisons with paleoenvironmental data. Quaternary Science Reviews 17 N6-7 (1998) 549-585
6. Bell J.L., Sloan L.C., and Snyder M.A. Regional changes in extreme climatic events. Journal of Climate 17 1 (2004) 81-87
7. Bergonzini L., Richard Y., and Camberlin P. Interannual variation of the water budget of Lake Tanganyika (1932-1995): changes in the precipitation-lake water excess relationship. Hydrological Sciences Journal 47 5 (2002) 781-796
8. Birkeland K.W., and Mock C.J. The major snow avalanche cycle of February 1986 in the western United States. Natural Hazards 24 (2001) 75-95
9. Braconnot P., Joussaume S., de Noblet N., and Ramstein G. Mid-Holocene and Last Glacial Maximum African monsoon changes as simulated within the Paleoclimate Modelling Intercomparison Project. Global and Planetary Change 26 1-3 (2000) 51-66
10. Caprio J.M., and Quamme J.A. Weather conditions associated with apple production in the Okanagan Valley of British Columbia. Canadian Journal of Plant Science 79 1 (1999) 129-137
11. Davis O.K. Pollen analysis of a late-glacial and Holocene sediment core from Mono Lake, Mono County, California. Quaternary Research 52 2 (1999) 243-249
12. Davis O.K. Pollen analysis of Tulare Lake, California: Great Basin-like vegetation in Central California during the full-glacial and early Holocene. Review of Palaeobotany and Palynology 107 3-4 (1999) 249-257
13. Dickinson R.E., Henderson-Sellers A., and Kennedy P.J. Biosphere-Atmosphere Transfer Scheme (BATS) Version 1e as Coupled to the NCAR Community Climate Model (1993), National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO
14. Diffenbaugh N.S. Sensitivity of extreme climate events to CO2-induced biophysical atmosphere-vegetation feedbacks in the western United States. Geophysical Research Letters 32 (2005) L07702 10.1029/2004GL022184
15. Diffenbaugh N.S., and Sloan L.C. Mid-Holocene orbital forcing of regional-scale climate: a case study of western North America using a high-resolution RCM. Journal of Climate 17 15 (2004) 2927-2937
16. Diffenbaugh N.S., Sloan L.C., and Snyder M.A. Orbital suppression of wind-driven upwelling in the California Current at 6 ka. Paleoceanography 18 2 (2003) 1051 10.1029/2002000865
17. Diffenbaugh N.S., et al. Vegetation sensitivity to global anthropogenic carbon dioxide emissions in a topographically complex region. Global Biogeochemical Cycles 17 2 (2003) 1067 10.1029/2002GB001974
18. Diffenbaugh N.S., Pal J.S., et al. Fine-scale processes regulate the response of extreme events to global climate change. Proceedings Of The National Academy Of Sciences Of The United States Of America 102 44 (2005) 15774-15778
19. Easterling D.R., et al. Climate extremes: observations, modeling, and impacts. Science 289 5487 (2000) 2068-2074
20. Ely L.L. Response of extreme floods in the southwestern United States to climatic variations in the late Holocene. Geomorphology 19 3-4 (1997) 175-201
21. Ely L.L., Enzel Y., Baker V.R., and Cayan D.R. A 5000-year record of extreme floods and climate-change in the southwestern United-States. Science 262 5132 (1993) 410-412
22. Enzel Y., and Wells S.G. Extracting Holocene paleohydrology and paleoclimatology information from modern extreme flood events: an example from southern California. Geomorphology 19 3-4 (1997) 203-226
23. Ferris R., Ellis R.H., Wheeler T.R., and Hadley P. Effect of high temperature stress at anthesis on grain yield and biomass of field-grown crops of wheat. Annals of Botany 82 5 (1998) 631-639
24. Friddell J.E., Thunell R.C., Guilderson T.P., and Kashgarian M. Increased northeast Pacific climatic variability during the warm middle Holocene. Geophysical Research Letters 30 11 (2003) 1560 10.1029/2002GL016834
25. Gao X.J., Zhao Z.C., and Giorgi F. Changes of extreme events in regional climate simulations over East Asia. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences 19 5 (2002) 927-942
26. Giorgi F., and Mearns L.O. Introduction to special section: regional climate modeling revisited. Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres 104 D6 (1999) 6335-6352
27. Giorgi F., and Shields C. Tests of precipitation parameterizations available in latest version of NCAR regional climate model (RegCM) over continental United States. Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres 104 D6 (1999) 6353-6375
28. Grabarova S., and Marinkova M. Climatic risk factors for spruce (Picea abies L. Karst.) stands in lower altitudinal vegetation zones. Ekologia-Bratislava 21 (2002) 136-151
29. Grissino-Mayer H.D. Modeling fire interval data from the American Southwest with the Weibull distribution. International Journal of Wildland Fire 9 1 (1999) 37-50
30. Grissino-Mayer H.D., and Swetnam T.W. Century-scale climate forcing of fire regimes in the American Southwest. Holocene 10 2 (2000) 213-220
31. Gurvich D.E., Diaz S., Falczuk V., Perez-Harguindeguy N., Cabido M., and Thorpe P.C. Foliar resistance to simulated extreme temperature events in contrasting plant functional and chorological types. Global Change Biology 8 11 (2002) 1139-1145
32. Hall N.M.J., and Valdes P.J. A GCM simulation of the climate 6000 years ago. Journal of Climate 10 1 (1997) 3-17
33. Harrison S.P., et al. Intercomparison of simulated global vegetation distributions in response to 6 kyr BP orbital forcing. Journal of Climate 11 11 (1998) 2721-2742
34. Harrison S.P., Kutzbach J.E., Liu Z., Bartlein P.J., Otto-Bliesner B., Muhs D., Prentice I.C., and Thompson R.S. Mid-Holocene climates of the Americas: a dynamical response to changed seasonality. Climate Dynamics 20 7-8 (2003) 663-688
35. Hostetler S.W., and Bartlein P.J. Simulation of the potential responses of regional climate and surface processes in western North America to a cononical Heinrich event. In: Clark P.U., Webb R.S., and Keigwin L.D. (Eds). Mechanisms of Global Climate Change at Millennial Time Scales. American Geophysical Union Monograph. American Geophysical Union Monograph vol. 112 (1999) 313-327
36. Ingram B.L., and DePaolo D.J. A 4300-year strontium isotope record of estuarine paleosalinity in San-Francisco Bay, California. Earth and Planetary Science Letters 119 1-2 (1993) 103-119
37. Ingram B.L., Ingle J.C., and Conrad M.E. A 2000 yr record of Sacramento San Joaquin river inflow to San Francisco Bay estuary, California. Geology 24 4 (1996) 331-334
38. Johnk K.D., Straile D., and Ostendorp W. Water level variability and trends in Lake Constance in the light of the 1999 centennial flood. Limnologica 34 1-2 (2004) 15-21
39. Joussaume S., and Taylor K.E. Status of the Paleoclimate Modeling Intercomparison Project (PMIP). In: Gates W.L. (Ed). First International AMIP Scientific Conference, Monterey, CA (1995) 532
40. Joussaume S., et al. Monsoon changes for 6000 years ago: results of 18 simulations from the Paleoclimate Modeling Intercomparison Project (PMIP). Geophysical Research Letters 26 7 (1999) 859-862
41. Kiehl J.T., et al. The National Center for Atmospheric Research Community Climate Model: CCM3. Journal of Climate 11 6 (1998) 1131-1149
42. Knapp P.A., Grissino-Mayer H.D., and Soule P.T. Climatic regionalization and the spatio-temporal occurrence of extreme single-year drought events (1500-1998) in the interior Pacific Northwest, USA. Quaternary Research 58 3 (2002) 226-233
43. Kohfeld K.E., and Harrison S.P. How well can we simulate past climates? Evaluating the models using global palaeoenvironmental datasets. Quaternary Science Reviews 19 1-5 (2000) 321-346
44. Kong X.G., Wang Y.J., Wu J.Y., and Cheng H. A continuous 3000-year precipitation record of ENSO variability during LGM from a stalagmite in Nanjing. Chinese Science Bulletin 48 5 (2003) 480-484
45. Kutzbach J., et al. Climate and biome simulations for the past 21,000 years. Quaternary Science Reviews 17 6-7 (1998) 473-506
46. Linden L. Re-analyzing historical records of winter injury in Finnish apple orchards. Canadian Journal of Plant Science 81 3 (2001) 479-485
47. Long C.J., and Whitlock C. Fire and vegetation history from the coastal rain forest of the western Oregon coast range. Quaternary Research 58 3 (2002) 215-225
48. Malek E. Microclimate of a desert playa: Evaluation of annual radiation, energy, and water budgets components. International Journal of Climatology 23 3 (2003) 333-345
49. Mock C.J. Climatic controls and spatial variations of precipitation in the western United States. Journal of Climate 9 5 (1996) 1111-1125
50. Mock C.J., and Brunelle-Daines A.R. A modern analogue of western United States summer paleoclimate at 6000 years before present. The Holocene 9 5 (1999) 541-545
51. Munoz A., Ojeda J., and Sanchez-Valverde B. Sunspot-like and ENSO/NAO-like periodicities in lacustrine laminated sediments of the Pliocene Villarroya Basin (La Rioja, Spain). Journal of Paleolimnology 27 4 (2002) 453-463
52. New M., Hulme M., and Jones P. Representing twentieth-century space-time climate variability. Part I: Development of a 1961-90 mean monthly terrestrial climatology. Journal of Climate 12 3 (1999) 829-856
53. Penuelas J., Filella I., Zhang X.Y., Llorens L., Ogaya R., Lloret F., Comas P., Estiarte M., and Terradas J. Complex spatiotemporal phenological shifts as a response to rainfall changes. New Phytologist 161 3 (2004) 837-846
54. Prentice I.C., and Jolly D. Mid-Holocene and glacial-maximum vegetation geography of the northern continents and Africa. Journal of Biogeography 27 3 (2000) 507-519
55. Prentice I.C., Harrison S.P., Jolly D., and Guiot J. The climate and biomes of Europe at 6000 yr BP: Comparison of model simulations and pollen-based reconstructions. Quaternary Science Reviews 17 6-7 (1998) 659-668
56. Rodbell D.T., et al. An similar to 15,000-year record of El Nino-driven alluviation in southwestern Ecuador. Science 283 5401 (1999) 516-520
57. Salinger M.J., and Griffiths G.M. Trends in New Zealand daily temperature and rainfall extremes. International Journal of Climatology 21 12 (2001) 1437-1452
58. Schmitz J.T., and Mullen S.L. Water vapor transport associated with the summertime North American monsoon as depicted by ECMWF analyses. Journal of Climate 9 7 (1996) 1621-1634
59. Selas V. Seed production of a masting dwarf shrub, Vaccinium myrtillus, in relation to previous reproduction and weather. Canadian Journal of Botany 78 4 (2000) 423-429
60. Smoyer-Tomic K.E., Kuhn R., and Hudson A. Heat wave hazards: an overview of heat wave impacts in Canada. Natural Hazards 28 2-3 (2003) 463-485
61. Snyder M.A., Bell J.L., Sloan L.C., Duffy P., and Govindasamy B. Climate responses to doubling of atmospheric carbon dioxide for a climatically vulnerable region. Geophysical Research Letters 29 11 (2002) 1514 10.1029/2001GL014431
62. 2 sensitivity study. Journal of the American Water Resources Association 40 3 (2004) 591-601
63. Swetnam T.W. Fire history and climate change in giant sequoia groves. Science 262 5135 (1993) 885-889
64. Tardif J., and Bergeron Y. Radial growth of Fraxinus nigra in a Canadian boreal floodplain in response to climatic and hydrological fluctuations. Journal of Vegetation Science 79 1 (1993) 129-137
65. Tardif J., and Bergeron Y. Population dynamics of Fraxinus nigra in response to flood-level variations in Northwestern Quebec. Ecological Monographs 69 1 (1999) 107-125
66. Tereshchenko I., Filonov A., Gallegos A., Monzon C., and Rodriguez R. El Nino 1997-98 and the hydrometeorological variability of Chapala, a shallow tropical lake in Mexico. Journal of Hydrology 264 1-4 (2002) 133-146
67. Thompson S.M. Duration of probable maximum precipitation on lake catchments: alternative analysis. Journal of Hydrologic Engineering 8 4 (2003) 190-196
68. Thompson R.S., and Anderson K.H. Biomes of western North America at 18,000, 6000 and 0 C-14 yr BP reconstructed from pollen and packrat midden data. Journal of Biogeography 27 3 (2000) 555-584
69. Thompson R.S., Whitlock C., Bartlein P.J., Harrison S.P., and Spaulding W.G. Climatic changes in the western United States since 18,000 yr B.P. In: Wright H.E.J., et al. (Ed). Global Climates Since the Last Glacial Maximum (1993), University of Minnesota Press, Minneapolis 468-513
70. Tudhope A.W., et al. Variability in the El Nino - southern oscillation through a glacial-interglacial cycle. Science 291 5508 (2001) 1511-1517
71. Vettoretti G., Peltier W.R., and McFarlane N.A. Simulations of mid-Holocene climate using an atmospheric general circulation model. Journal of Climate 11 10 (1998) 2607-2627
72. Walther G.R., Post E., Convey P., Menzel A., Parmesan C., Beebee T.J.C., Fromentin J.M., Hoegh-Guldberg O., and Bairlein F. Ecological responses to recent climate change. Nature 416 6879 (2002) 389-395
73. Wielgolaski F.E. Climatic factors governing plant phenological phases along a Norwegian fjord. International Journal of Biometeorology 47 4 (2003) 213-220
74. Wilhelm E.P., Mullen R.E., Keeling P.L., and Singletary G.W. Heat stress during grain filling in maize: effects of kernel growth and metabolism. Crop Science 39 6 (1999) 1733-1741