Multi-annual spatial and numeric dynamics of the white-headed duck Oxyura leucocephala in southern Europe: Seasonality, density dependence and climatic variability

Journal of Animal Ecology

Volumn 73, Issue 6, 2004, Pages 1013-1023

  Almaraz, Pablo ^a   Amat, Juan A ^b  

^a UNIVERSITY OF GRANADA   (Spain)

^b DEPARTMENT OF CONSERVATION BIOLOGY   (Spain)

Author keywords

Cohort effect; Generalized least squares; Mediterranean basin; Spatio temporal population dynamics modelling; Waterfowl

Indexed keywords

DENSITY DEPENDENCE; ENDANGERED SPECIES; POPULATION DENSITY; POPULATION MODELING; SEASONALITY; SPATIOTEMPORAL ANALYSIS; WATERFOWL;

EASTERN HEMISPHERE; EURASIA; EUROPE; SOUTHERN EUROPE; SPAIN; WORLD;

ANAS; ANAS SP.; ANATIDAE; ANSER; GALLUS GALLUS; OXYURA; OXYURA LEUCOCEPHALA;

EID: 3042716892     PISSN: 00218790     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/j.0021-8790.2004.00873.x     Document Type: Article

References (54)

1. Amat, J.A. & Sánchez, A. (1982) Biología y ecología de la Malvasía (Oxyura leucocephala) en Andalucía. Doñana Acta Vertebrata, 9, 251-320.
2. Barbraud, C. & Weimerskirch, H. (2003) Climate and density shape population dynamics of a top predator. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London B, 270, 2111-2116.
3. Bayliss, P. (1989) Population dynamics of magpie geese in relation to rainfall and density: implications for harvest models in a fluctuating environment. Journal of Applied Ecology, 26, 913-924.
4. Beckerman, A., Benton, T.G., Ranta, E., Kaitala, V. & Lundberg, P. (2002) Population dynamic consequences of delayed life-history effects. Trends in Ecological Evolution, 17, 263-269.
5. Bjørnstad, O.N. & Grenfell, B.T. (2001) Noisy clockwork: time series analysis of population fluctuations in animals. Science, 293, 638-643.
6. Blums, P., Clark, R.G. & Mednis, A. (2002) Patterns of reproductive effort and success in birds: path analyses of long-term data from European ducks. Journal of Animal Ecology, 71, 280-295.
7. Bollen, K.A. (1989) Structural Equations with Latent Variables. John Wiley & Sons, New York.
8. Burnham, K.P. & Anderson, D.R. (1998) Model Selection and Inference: a Practical Information-Theoretic Approach. Springer-Verlag, New York.
9. Capel, J.J. (2000) El Clima de la Península Ibérica. Ariel Geografía, Barcelona.
10. Casado, S. & Montes, C. (1995) Guía de Los Lagos y Humedales de España. J. M. Reyero, Madrid.
11. Cooch, E.G., Lank, D.B., Rockwell, R.F. & Cooke, F. (1989) Long-term decline in fecundity in a snow goose population: evidence for density-dependence? Journal of Animal Ecology, 58, 711-726.
12. Dennis, B., Desharnais, R.A., Cushing, J.M. & Costantino, R.F. (1995) Nonlinear demographic dynamics: mathematical models, statistical methods, and biological experiments. Ecological Monographs, 65, 261-281.
13. Dennis, B. & Otten, M.R.M. (2000) Joint effects of density-dependence and rainfall on abundance of San Joaquin Kit fox. Journal of Wildlife Management, 64, 388-400.
14. Dennis, B. & Taper, M.L. (1994) Density-dependence in time series observations of natural populations: estimation and testing. Ecological Monographs, 64, 205-224.
15. Draper, N.R. & Smith, H. (1998) Applied Regression Analysis, 3rd edn. John Wiley & Sons, New York.
16. Efron, B. & Tibshirani, R. (1993) An Introduction to the Bootstrap. Chapman & Hall, New York.
17. Falck, W., Bjørnstad, O.N. & Stenseth, N.C. (1995) Bootstrap estimated uncertainty of the dominant Lyapunov exponent for Holartic microtine rodents. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London Series B, 261, 159-165.
18. Fox, A.D., Gitay, H., Owen, M., Salmon, D.G. & Ogilvie, M.A. (1989) Population dynamics of Icelandic-nesting geese, 1960-87. Ornis Scandinavica, 20, 289-297.
19. Gaston, K.J. (2003) The Structure and Dynamics of Geographical Ranges. Oxford University Press, Oxford.
20. Green, A.J., Fox, A.D., Hughes, B. & Hilton, G. (1999) Time-activity budgets and site selection of white-headed ducks Oxyura leucocephala at Burdur Lake, Turkey in late winter. Bird Study, 46, 62-73.
21. Green, A.J. & Hughes, B. (2001) White-headed duck Oxyura leucocephala. BWP Update: the Journal of the Birds of the Western Palaearctic (ed. D.B. Parkin), vol. 3, pp. 79-90. Oxford University Press, Oxford.
22. Hill, D.A. (1984) Population regulation in the mallard (Anas platyrhynchos). Journal of Animal Ecology, 53, 191-202.
23. Hurvich, C.M. & Tsai, C.-L. (1989) Regression and time series model selection in small samples. Biometrika, 76, 297-307.
24. Johnsgard, P.A. & Carbonell, M. (1996) Ruddy Ducks and Other Stifftails: Their Behavior and Biology. University of Oklahoma Press, Norman and London.
25. Johnson, D.H., Nichols, J.D. & Schwartz, M.D. (1992) Population dynamics of breeding waterfowl. Ecology and Management of Breeding Waterfowl (eds B.D.J. Batt, A.D. Afton, M.G. Anderson, C. Davidson Akney, D.H. Johnson, J.A. Kadlec & G.L. Krapu), pp. 446-485. University of Minnesota Press, Minneapolis.
26. Kaminski, R.M. & Gluesing, E.A. (1986) Density- and habitat-related recruitment in mallards. Journal of Wildlife Management, 51, 141-148.
27. Krivenko, V.G. (1990) Effect of climate on the dynamics of waterfowl numbers and their ranges. Managing Waterfowl Populations (ed. G.T.V. Matthews), pp. 182-186. IWRB Special Publication 12. IWRB, Slimbridge.
28. Lande, R., Engen, S. & Sæther, B.-E. (2003) Stochastic Population Dynamics in Ecology and Conservation. Oxford University Press, Oxford.
29. Leirs, H., Stenseth, N.C., Nichols, J.D., Hines, J.E., Verhagen, R. & Verheyen, W. (1997) Stochastic seasonality and non-linear density-dependent factors regulate population size in an African rodent. Nature, 389, 176-180.
30. Lewellen, R.H. & Vessey, S.H. (1998) The effect of density dependence and weather on population size of a polyvoltine species. Ecological Monogaphs, 68, 571-594.
31. May, R.M. (1999) Unanswered questions in ecology. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London Series B, 354, 1951-1959.
32. McNamara, J.M. & Harding, K.C. (2004) Measurement error and estimates of population extinction risk. Ecology Letters, 7, 16-20.
33. Miller, M.R. & Duncan, D.C. (1999) The northern pintail in North America: status and conservation needs of a struggling population. Wildlife Society Bulletin, 27, 788-800.
34. Mysterad, A., Coulson, T. & Stenseth, N.C. (2002) The role of males in the dynamics of ungulate populations. Journal of Animal Ecology, 71, 907-915.
35. Newton, I. (1998) Population Limitation in Birds. Academic Press, San Diego.
36. Nichols, J.D. (1996) Sources of variation in migratory movements of animal populations: statistical inference and a selective review of empirical results for birds. Population Dynamics in Ecological Space and Time (eds O.E. Rhodes, R.K. Chesser & M.H. Smith), pp. 147-197. University of Chicago Press, Chicago.
37. Nudds, T.D. (1983) Niche dynamics and organization of waterfowl guilds in variable environments. Ecology, 64, 319-330.
38. Pöysä, H. & Pesonen, M. (2003) Density dependence, regulation and open-closed populations: insights from the wigeon, Anas Penelope. Oikos, 102, 358-366.
39. Rothery, P., Newton, I., Dale, L. & Wesolowski, T. (1997) Testing for density-dependence allowing for weather effects. Oecologia, 112, 518-523.
40. Royama, T. (1992) Analytical Population Dynamics. Chapman & Hall, London.
41. Runge, M.C. (2003) Intrinsic and extrinsic regulation in duck populations: principles, challenges, and applications. 3rd North American Ducks Symposium. California Waterfowl Association, Sacramento, CA.
42. Sæther, B.-E., Sutherland, W.J. & Engen, S. (in press) Climate influences on avian population dynamics. Advances in Ecological Research.
43. Sánchez, M.I., Green, A.J. & Dolz, C. (2000) The diets of the white-headed duck Oxyura leucocephala, ruddy duck O. jamaicensis and their hybrids from Spain. Bird Study, 47, 275-284.
44. Shenk, T.M., White, G.C. & Burnham, K. (1998) Sampling-variance effects on detecting density-dependence from temporal trends in natural populations. Ecological Monographs, 68, 445-463.
45. Sjöberg, K., Pöysä, H., Elmberg, J. & Nummi, P. (2000) Response of mallard ducklings to variation in habitat quality: an experiment of food limitation. Ecology, 81, 329-335.
46. StatSoft, Inc. (2003) STATISTICA (Data Analysis Software System), Version 6.1. Statsoft, Tulsa, OK.
47. Stenseth, N.C., Mysterud, A., Ottersen, G., Hurrell, J.W., Chan, K.-S. & Lima, M. (2002) Ecological effects of climate fluctuations. Science, 297, 1292-1296.
48. Stenseth, N.C., Viljugrein, H., Saitoh, T., Hansen, T.F., Kittilsen, M.O., Bølviken, E. & Glöckner, F. (2003) Seasonality, density dependence, and population cycles in Hokkaido voles. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA, 100, 11478-11483.
49. Tong, H. (1993) Non-Linear Time Series: a Dynamical System Approach, 2nd edn. Oxford University Press, Oxford.
50. Torres, J.A. & Moreno-Arroyo, B. (2000) La recuperación de la Malvasía Cabeciblanca Oxyura leucocephala en España durante el último decenio del siglo XX. Oxyura, 10, 5-53.
51. Turchin, P. (2003) Complex Population Dynamics. A Theoretical/Empirical Synthesis. Princeton University Press, Princeton.
52. Underhill, L.G. & Prys-Jones, R.P. (1994) Index numbers for waterbird populations. I. Review and methodology. Journal of Applied Ecology, 31, 463-480.
53. Vickery, W.L. & Nudds, T.D. (1984) Detection of density-dependent effects in annual duck censuses. Ecology, 65, 96-104.
54. Zeng, Z., Nowierski, R.M., Taper, M.L., Dennis, B. & Kemp, W.P. (1998) Complex population dynamics in the real world: modelling the influence of time varying parameters and time lags. Ecology, 79, 2193-2209.