Modelling the distribution of Ilex aquifolium at the north-eastern edge of its geographical range

Nordic Journal of Botany

Volumn 23, Issue 1, 2003, Pages 129-142

  Bañuelos, María José ^a   Kollmann, Johannes ^a   Hartvig, Per ^b   Quevedo, Mario ^c  

^a UNIVERSITY OF COPENHAGEN   (Denmark)

^b UNIVERSITY OF COPENHAGEN   (Denmark)

^c UPPSALA UNIVERSITY   (Sweden)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ABUNDANCE; CLIMATE; EVERGREEN TREE; GEOGRAPHICAL DISTRIBUTION; LAND USE; PHYTOGEOGRAPHY;

DENMARK; EASTERN HEMISPHERE; EURASIA; EUROPE; NORTHERN EUROPE; SCANDINAVIA; WORLD;

ILEX AQUIFOLIUM;

EID: 11244289383     PISSN: 0107055X     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/j.1756-1051.2003.tb00374.x     Document Type: Article

References (47)

1. Bakkenes, M., Alkemade, J. R. M., Ihle, F., Leemans, R. & Latour, J. B. 2002. Assessing effects of forecasted climate change on the diversity and distribution of European higher plants for 2050. - Global Change Biol. 8: 390-407.
2. Beerling, D. J. 1993. The impact of temperature on the northern distribution limits of the introduced species Fallopia japonica and Impatiens glandulifera in northwest Europe. - J. Biogeogr. 20: 45-53.
3. Berger, S. & Walther, G.-R. 2003. Ilex aquifolium - a bioindicator for climate change? - Verh. Ges. Ökol. 33: 127.
4. Bottyan, Z. & Unger, J. 2003. A multiple linear statistical model for estimating the mean maximum urban heat island. - Theor. Appl. Climatol. 75: 233-243.
5. Bruelheide, H. & Heinemeyer, A. 2002. Climatic factors controlling the eastern and altitudinal distribution boundary of Digitalis purpurea L. in Germany. - Flora 197: 475-490.
6. Chapin III, F. S. & Starfield, A. M. 1997. Time lags and novel ecosystems in response to transient climatic change in arctic Alaska. - Climatic Change 35: 449-461.
7. Collingham, Y. C., Wadsworth, R. A., Huntley, B. & Hulme, P. E. 2000. Predicting the spatial distribution of non-indigenous riparian weeds: issues of spatial scale and extent. - J. Appl. Ecol. 37: 13-27.
8. Crawley, M. J. 2002. Statistical computing: An introduction to data analysis using S-Plus. - Wiley, Chichester.
9. Despland, E. & Houle, G. 1997. Climate influences on growth and reproduction of Pinus banksiana (Pinaceae) at the limit of the species distribution in eastern North America. - Am. J. Bot. 84: 928-937.
10. Dyer, J. M. 1995. Assessment of climatic wanning using a model of forest species migration. - Ecol. Model. 79: 199-219.
11. García, D., Zamora, R., Gómez, J. M., Jordano, P. & Hodar, J. A. 2000. Geographical variation in seed production, predation and abortion in Juniperus communis throughout its range in Europe. - J. Ecol. 88: 436-446.
12. Gaston, K. J. 2003. The structure and dynamics of geographic ranges. - Oxford University Press, Oxford.
13. Guisan, A. & Zimmermann, N. E. 2000. Predictive habitat distribution models in ecology. - Ecol. Modell. 135: 147-186.
14. Hartvig, P. 2002. Forvildede vedplanter fra haver og hegn - et problem for dansk natur? - Dansk Dendrol. Årsskr. 20: 19-28.
15. _ 2004. Atlas Flora Danica - status for 2003. - Urt 28: 26-28.
16. Hoffmann, A. A. & Blows, M. W. 1994. Species borders: ecological and evolutionary perspectives. - Trends Ecol. Evol. 9: 223-227.
17. Iversen, J. 1944. Viscum, Hedera and Ilex as climatic indicators. - Geol. Fören. Förhandl. 66: 463-483.
18. Jacobsen, N. K. 1989. Physical geographical features of Denmark. - Opera Bot. 96: 13-23.
19. Jump, A. S. & Woodward, F. I. 2003. Seed production and population density decline approaching the range-edge of Cirsium species. - New Phytol. 160: 349-358.
20. Lawesson, J. E. 2000. Danish deciduous forest types. - Plant Ecol. 151: 199-221.
21. _ & Oksanen, J. 2002. Niche characteristics of Danish woody species as derived from coenoclines. - J. Veg. Sci. 13: 279-290.
22. _ & Skov, F. 2002. The phytogeography of Denmark revisited. - Plant Ecol. 158: 113-122.
23. _, de Blust, G., Grashof, C., Firbank, L., Honnay, O., Hermy, M., Hobitz, P. & Jensen, L. M. 1998. Species diversity and area-relationships in Danish beech forests. - For. Ecol. Manag. 106: 235-245.
24. Legendre, P. & Legendre, L. 1998. Numerical ecology. - Elsevier, Amsterdam.
25. Loik, M. E. & Nobel, P. S. 1993. Freezing tolerance and water relations of Opuntia fragilis from Canada and the United States. - Ecology 74: 1722-1732.
26. Oberdorfer, E. 2001. Pflanzensoziologische Exkursionsflora. - Ulmer, Stuttgart.
27. Obeso, J. R. 1997. The induction of spinescence in European holly leaves by browsing ungulates. - Plant Ecol. 129: 149-156.
28. Ødum, S. 1968. The distribution of trees and shrubs in Denmark. - Bot. Tidssk. 64: 1-118.
29. Peterken, G. F. & Lloyd, P. S. 1967. Biological Flora of the British Isles: Ilex aquifolium. - J. Ecol. 55: 725-741.
30. Pigott, C. D. 1992. Are the distributions of species determined by failure to seed set? - In: Marshall, C. & Grace, J. (eds), Fruit and seed production: aspects of development, environmental physiology and ecology. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 203-216.
31. Pott, R. 1990. Die nacheiszeitliche Ausbreitung und heutige pflanzensoziologische Stellung von Ilex aquifolium L. - Tuexenia 10: 497-512.
32. Quinn, G. P. & Keough, M. J. 2002. Experimental design and data analysis for biologists. - Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
33. Rackham, O. 2003. Ancient woodland. Its history, vegetation and uses in England. - Castlepoint, Dalbeattie.
34. R Development Core Team 2003. R: A language and environment for statistical computing. - R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria. http://www.R-project.org.
35. Runge, F. 1950. Die Standorte der Hülse (Ilex aquifolium L.) in der Umgebung des Naturschutzgebietes "Heiliges Meer" bei Hopsten (Westf.). - Natur Heimat 10: 1-12.
36. Sammon, J. W. 1969. A non-linear mapping for data structure analysis. - IEE. Transact. Comput. 18: 401-409.
37. Scharling, M. 2000. Klimagrid - Danmark normaler 1961-90. Måneds- og årsværdier. - Danish Meteorological Institute, Technical Report 00-11. http://www.dmi.dk/dmi/index/viden/dmi-publicationer/tekniskerapporter.htm
38. Sebald, O., Seybold, S. & Philippi, G. 1992. Die Farn- und Blütenpflanzen Baden-Württembergs. - Vol. 4, Ulmer, Stuttgart.
39. Siegel, S. & Castellan, N. J. Jr. 1988. Nonparametric statistics for the behavioral sciences. - McGraw-Hill, Boston.
40. Snow, B. & Snow, D. 1988. Birds and berries. - Poyser, Calton.
41. Suárez, A., Gitay, H., Watson, R. T. & Dokken, D. J. 2002. Climate change and biodiversity. - Technical paper V, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). http://www.ipcc.ch/pub/tpbiodiv.pdf
42. Thuiller, W., Araujo, M. B. & Lavorel, S. 2003. Generalized models vs. classification tree analysis: Predicting spatial distributions of plant species at different scales. - J. Veg. Sci. 13: 669-680.
43. Travis, J. M. J. 2003. Climate change and habitat destruction: a deadly anthropogenic cocktail. - P. Roy. Soc. Lond. B. Biol. 270: 467-473.
44. Walther, G.-R. 2004. Plants in a warmer world. - Persp. Plant Ecol. Evol. Syst. 6: 169-185.
45. _, Post, E., Convey, P., Menzel, A., Parmesan, C., Beebee, T. J. C., Fromentin, J. M., Hoegh-Guldberg, O. & Bairlein, F. 2002. Ecological responses to recent climate change. - Nature 416: 389-395.
46. Wilbanks, T. J. & Kates, R. W. 1999. Global change in local places: How scale matters. - Climate Change 43: 601-628.
47. Woodward, F. I. 1987. Climate and plant distribution. - Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.