The evaluation of land-use options in mesoscale catchments: Prospects and limitations of eco-hydrological models

Ecological Modelling

Volumn 187, Issue 1 SPEC. ISS., 2005, Pages 3-14

  Hörmann, Georg ^a   Horn, Andreas ^a   Fohrer, Nicola ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF KIEL   (Germany)

Author keywords

Hydrologic modelling; Land use; Land use change

Indexed keywords

CATCHMENTS; ECOLOGY; EROSION; HYDROLOGY; MATHEMATICAL MODELS; RUNOFF; WATER RECYCLING;

HYDROLOGICAL MODELING; MESOSCALE CATCHMENTS; WATER CYCLES;

LAND USE;

CATCHMENT; ECOHYDROLOGY; EVAPORATION; HYDROLOGICAL MODELING; LAND USE CHANGE; RUNOFF;

EID: 23944461782     PISSN: 03043800     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2005.01.022     Document Type: Conference Paper

References (103)

1. P. Abrahamsen, and S. Hansen Daisy: an open soil-crop-atmosphere system model Environ. Modell. Software 15 2000 313 330
2. Adejuwon, J., 2004. Assessing the suitability of the EPIC crop model for use in the study of impacts of climate variability and climate change in West Africa. AIACC Working Paper No. 5. http://www.aiaccproject.org/working_papers/ Working%20Papers/AIACC_WP_No004.pdf.
3. Agarwal, C., Green, G.M., Grove, J.M., Evans, T.P., Schweik, C.M., 2001. A review and assessment of land-use change models. Dynamics of space, time and human choice. CIPEC Collaborative Report Series 1. Bloomington and South Burlington, Center for the Study of Institutions, Population and Environmental Change, Indiana University and USDA Forest Service. http://www.fs.fed.us/ne/ newtown_square/publications/technical_reports/pdfs/2002/gtrne297.pdf.
4. Ahuja, L.R., Lajpat, R., Ma, L., Howell, T.A., 2002. Agricultural System Models in Field. Research and Technology Transfer. CRC Press.
5. Allen, R.G., Pereira, L.S., Raes, D., Smith, M., 1998. Crop evapotranspiration - guidelines for computing crop water requirements. FAO Irrigation and Drainage Paper 56. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, Rome. http://www.fao.org/docrep/x0490e/x0490e00.htm
6. C.R. Amerman The use of unit-source watershed data for runoff prediction Water Resourc. Res. 1 1965 499 507
7. R.M. Argent, R.A. Vertessy, and F.G.R. Watson A framework for catchment prediction modelling Proceedings of the 26th National and Third International Hydrology and Water Resources Symposium (In Hydro 2000), vol. 2 2000 The Institution of Engineers, Australia Perth 706 711
8. J.G. Arnold, R. Srinivasan, R.S. Muttiah, and J.R. Williams Large area hydrologic modelling and assessment, Part I: Model development J. Am. Water Resourc. Assoc. 34 1 1998 73 89
9. D.B. Beasley, L.F. Huggins, and E.J. Monke ANSWERS: a model for watershed planning Trans. ASAE 23 4 1980 938 944
10. Becker, A., Klöcking, B., Lahmer, W., Pfützner, B., 2002. The hydrological modelling system ARC/EGMO. In: Singh, V.P., Frevert, D.K. (Eds.), Mathematical Models of Watershed Hydrology. Water Resources Publications, Littleton/Colorado. 891 pp. ISBN 1-887201-34-3.
11. T. Berger, and C. Ringler Tradeoffs, efficiency gains and technical change - modeling water management and land-use within a multiple-agent framework Quart. J. Int. Agric. 41 1-2 2002 119 144
12. J.N. Bernardos, E.F. Viglizzo, V. Jouvet, F.A. Lertora, A.J. Pordomingo, and F.D. Cid The use of EPIC model to study the agroecological change during 93 years of farming transformation in the Argentine pampas Agric. Syst. 69 3 2001 215 234
13. Best, A., Lu, Z., McMahon, T., Western, A., Vertessy, R., 2003. A critical review of paired catchment studies with reference to seasonal flows and climatic variability. CSIRO Land and Water Technical Report 25/03. www.clw.csiro.au/publications/technical2003/tr25-03.pdf.
14. K.J. Beven Rainfall-runoff modelling - the primer 2000 Wiley
15. K.J. Beven, R. Lamb, P. Quinn, R. Romanowicz, and J. Freer Topmodel V.P. Singh Computer Models of Watershed Hydrology 1995 Water Resource Publications Highlands Ranch 627 668
16. B. Bhaduri, M. Minner, S. Tatalovich, and J. Harbor Long-term hydrologic impact of urbanization: a tale of two models J. Water Resourc. Planning Manage. 127 1 2001 13 19
17. Bicknell, B.R., Imhoff, J.C., Kittle Jr., J.L., Jobes, T.H., Donigian Jr., A.S., 2001. Hydrological Simulation Program - FORTRAN, HSPF, Version 12. User's Manual. AQUA TERRA Consultants, Mountain View, CA, USA.
18. F. Bouraoui, and T.A. Dillaha ANSWERS-2000: runoff and sediment transport model ASCE J. Environ. Eng. 122 6 1996 493 502
19. H. Briassoulis Analysis of Land-use Change: Theoretical and Modeling Approaches 2000 The Web Book of Regional Science, Regional Research Institute West Virginia University
20. Bronstert, A., Fritsch, U., Katzenmaier, D., 2001. Quantifizierung des Einflusses der Landnutzung und -bedeckung auf den Hochwasserabfluss in Flussgebieten unter Berücksichtigung der aktuellen Bodenbearbeitung, des Zustandes der Vegetationsdecke und möglicher Klimaänderungen. Report for the German Federal Environmental Agency, Berlin, 216 pp. English summary: http://www.umweltbundesamt.de/wasser/veroeffentlich/kurzfassungen/29724508.htm.
21. A. Bronstert, D. Niehoff, and G. Burger Effects of climate and land-use change on storm runoff generation: present knowledge and modelling capabilities Hydrol. Process. 16 2 2002 509 529
22. S.J. Burges, M.S. Wigmosta, and J.M. Meena Hydrological effects of land-use change in a zero-order catchment ASCE J. Hydrol. Eng. 3 1998 86 97
23. CAB International, Inc., 2003. CAB Abstracts database Dec. 2003. CAB International, Inc., Wallingford.
24. COS (Community of Science, Inc.). 2003. GEOREF Database. Version Dec. 18th 2003.
25. R. Costanza, R. d'Arge, and R.S. de Groot The total value of the world's ecosystem services and natural capital Nature 387 1997 253 260
26. R. Costanza, A. Voinov, R. Boumans, T. Maxwell, F. Villa, L. Wainger, and H. Voinov Integrated ecological economic modeling of the Patuxent River watershed, Maryland Ecol. Monogr. 72 2 2002 203 231
27. Danish Hydraulic Institute (DHI), 2004. MIKE SHE Water Movement - User Guide and Technical Reference Manual.
28. R.S. De Groot Functions of Nature: Evaluation of Nature in Environmental Planning, Management and Decision-making 1992 Wolters Noordhoff BV Groningen, The Netherlands 345 pp.
29. Deliman, P.N., Ruiz, C.E., Manwaring, C.T., Nelson, E.J., 2002. Watershed modeling system hydrological simulation program: watershed model user documentation and tutorial. ERDC/EL SR-02-1. U.S. Army Engineer Research and Development Center, Vicksburg, MS. http://www.wes.army.mil/el/elpubs/pdf/srel02- 1.pdf.
30. De Roo, A., Schmuck, G., Perdigao, V., Thielen, J., 2003. The influence of historic land-use changes and future planned land-use scenarios on floods in the Oder catchment. Physics and Chemistry of the Earth, Parts A/B/C, vol. 20, pp. 1291-1300.
31. J. Doorenbos, and W.O. Pruitt Crop Water Requirements 1977 FAO publisher Rome, Italy
32. L. Duemenil-Gates, and S. Liess Impacts of deforestation and afforestation in the Mediterranean region as simulated by the MPI atmospheric GCM Global and Planetary Change 30 3-4 2001 309 328
33. S. El Yacoubi, A. El Jai, P. Jacewicz, and J.G. Pausas LUCAS: an original tool for landscape modelling Environ. Modell. Software 12 2003 429 437
34. EU (European Union), 2000. Directive 2000/60/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 23 October 2000 establishing a framework for Community action in the field of water policy. Official Journal of the European Communities L 327/1, 22.12.2000.
35. J.S. Famiglietti, and E.F. Wood Multiscale modelling of spatially variable water and energy balance processes Wat. Resour. Res. 30 11 1994 3061 3078
36. G. Fischer, and L.X. Sun Model based analysis of future land-use development in China Agric. Ecosyst. Environ. 85 1-3 2001 163 176
37. W. Flügel Delineating hydrological response units by geographical information system analyses for regional hydrological modelling using PRMS/MMS in the drainage basin of the River Bröl, Germany Hydrol. Process. 9 1995 423 436
38. N. Fohrer, S. Haverkamp, K. Eckhardt, and H.G. Frede Policy induced land-use changes and its effect on land degradation: a modelling approach. Man and Soil at the Third Millennium. Proceedings of the International Congress of the European Society for Soil Conservation, vol. 1 2002 257 265
39. N. Fohrer, D. Möller, and N. Steiner An interdisciplinary modelling approach to evaluate the effects of land-use change Phys. Chem. Earth 27 9-10 2002 655 662
40. Fohrer, N., Haverkamp, S., Frede, H.-G., 2005. Assessment of the effects of land-use patterns on hydrologic landscape functions: development of sustainable land-use concepts for low mountain range areas. Hydrol. Proc.
41. T.T. Fujita Mesoscale classifications: their history and their application to forecasting P. Ray Mesoscale Meteorology and Forecasting 1986 AMS Boston (Chapter 2)
42. Gaucherel, C., Baudry, J., Auclair, D., Houllier, F., 2004. Etat de'art de la modelisation du paysage. INRA - SAD Armorique, INRA-EFPA, Montpellier. http://www.rennes.inra.fr/sad/docs_sad_armorique/cedric/Rapp-ModelePaysage.pdf.
43. K. Hafnø, M.N. Madsen, and J. Dørge MIKE 11 - a generalized river modelling package V.P. Singh Computer Models of Watershed Hydrology 1995 Water Resources Publications Highlands Ranch, CO, USA 733 782
44. J. Harbor, M. Grove, B. Bhaduri, and M. Minner Long-term hydrologic impact assessment (L-THIA) GIS Public Works 129 1998 52 54
45. C.A. Jones, and J.R. Kiniry CERES Maize: A Simulation Model of Maize Growth and Development 1986 Texas A&M University Press College Station
46. Jürgens, C., 2001. Application of a hydrologic model with integration of remote sensing and GIS-techniques for the analysis of land-use change effects upon river discharge. In: Owe, M., et al. (Eds.), Remote Sensing and Hydrology. IAHS Press, Wallingford, UK. pp. 598-600.
47. Kiersch, B., 2000. Land-use impacts on water resources: a literature review. Discussion Paper No. 1. Land-Water linkage in Rural watersheds. Electronic Workshop (September 18-October 27, 2000), FAO, Rome. www.fao.org/ag/agl/watershed/watershed/en/eworken/idxewken.stm.
48. Kiker, G.A., Clark, D.J., 2001. The development of a Java based, object oriented modeling system for simulation of Southern African hydrology. ASAE Paper No. 012030. St. Joseph, MI.
49. K. Klein Goldewijk Estimating global land-use change over the past 300 years: the HYDE database Global Biogeochem. Cyc. 15 2001 417 433
50. Klöcking, B., Ströbl, B., Knoblauch, S., Maier, U., Pfützner, B., Gericke, A., 2003. Development and allocation of land-use scenarios in agriculture for hydrological impact studies. Physics and Chemistry of the Earth, Parts A/B/C, vol. 28, pp. 1311-1321.
51. V. Krysanova, D.I. Müller-Wohlfeil, and A. Becker Development and test of a spatially distributed hydrological/water quality model for mesoscale watersheds Ecol. Modell. 106 1-2 1998 261 289
52. D. Legesse, C. Vallet-Coulomb, and F. Gasse Hydrological response of a catchment to climate and land-use changes in Tropical Africa: case study South Central Ethiopia J. Hydrol. 275 2003 67 85
53. V. Lohani, D.F. Kibler, and J. Chanat Constructing a problem solving environment tool for hydrologic assessment of land-use change J. Am. Water Resourc. Assoc. 38 2 2002 439 452
54. J.E. Lovelock Daisy world - a cybernetic proof of the Gaia hypothesis Co-evolution Quart. Summer 1983 66 72
55. C.H. Lu, M.K. van Ittersum, and R. Rabbinge Quantitative assessment of resource-use efficient cropping systems: a case study for Ansai in the Loess Plateau of China Eur. J. Agron. 19 2 2003 311 326
56. Y.A. Martin, and M.B. Church Numerical modelling of landscape evolution: geomorphological perspectives Progr. Physical Geogr. 28 2004 317 339
57. W.J. Mitsch, and J.E. Gosselink Wetlands 2nd ed. 1993 Van Nostrand Reinhold New York
58. D. Möller, N. Fohrer, and A. Weber Methodological aspects of integrated modelling in land-use planning Proceedings of the Second European Conference of European Federation for Information Technology in Agriculture, Food and Environment (EFITA 1999), vol. 27 (30) 1999 108 119
59. F. Müller M. Leupelt Eco Targets, Goal Functions, and Orientors 1998 Springer New York
60. F. Naef, S. Scherrer, and M. Weiler A process based assessment of the potential to reduce flood runoff by land-use change J. Hydrol. 267 2002 74 79
61. D. Niehoff, U. Fritsch, and A. Bronstert Land-use impacts on storm-runoff generation: scenarios of land-use change and simulation of hydrological response in a mesoscale catchment in SW Germany J. Hydrol. 267 1-2 2002 80 93
62. Parker, D.C., Berger, T., Manson, F.M. (Eds.), 2002. Agent-based Models of Land-use and Land-cover Change. Report and Review of an International Workshop, October 4-7, 2001, Irvine, California, USA. http://www.indiana.edu/ act/focus1/ABM_Report6.pdf.
63. Parton, W.J., McKeown, B., Kirchner, V., Ojima, D.S., 1992. CENTURY Users Manual. Colorado State University, NREL Publication, Fort Collins, CO, USA. http://www.nrel.colostate.edu/projects/century5/.
64. C.C. Petit, and E.F. Lambin Long-term land-cover changes in the Belgian Ardennes (1775-929): model-based reconstruction vs. historical maps Global Change Biol. 8 7 2002 616 630
65. L. Pfister, J. Kwadijk, A. Musy, A. Bronstert, and L. Hoffmann Climate change, land-use change and runoff prediction in the Rhine-Meuse basins River Res. Appl. 20 3 2004 229 241
66. A.J. Pitman The evolution of, and revolution in, land surface schemes designed for climate models Int. J. Climatol. 23 5 2003 479 510
67. E.S. Raymond The Cathedral and the Bazaar - Musings on Linux and Open Source by an Accidental Revolutionary 1999 O'Reilly Publishers
68. J.C. Refsgaard, and B. Storm MIKE SHE, Computer Models of Watershed Hydrology 1995 Water Resources Publ. Littleton
69. Regmi, B., 2002. Web-enabled spatial decision support system for interdisciplinary watershed management. Master Thesis. Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University.
70. N.S. Reynard, C. Prudhomme, and S.M. Crooks The flood characteristics of large U.K. rivers: potential effects of changing climate and land-use Clim. Change 48 2001 343 359
71. J.T. Ritchie A model for predicting evaporation from a row crop with incomplete cover Water Resourc. Res. 8 5 1972 1204 1214
72. Roeckner, E., Arpe, K., Bengtsson, L., Christoph, M., Claussen, M., Dümenil, L., Esch, M., Giorgetta, M., Schlese, U., Schulzweida, U., 1996. The atmospheric general circulation model ECHAM-4: model description and simulation of present-day climate. Report 218. Max-Planck-Institut für Meteorologie, Hamburg.
73. E.J. Rubin, C.A. Shaffer, N. Ramakrishnan, L.T. Watson, R.L. Dymond, Kibler, R. Dietz, J.G. Chanat, V. Lohani, D. Bosch, and C. Speir From landscapes to waterscapes: a PSE for landuse change analysis Eng. Comput. (London) 19 1 2003 9 25
74. A.J. Rutter, A.J. Morton, and P.C. Robins A predictive model of rainfall interception in forests II. Generalization of the model and comparison with observations in some coniferous and hardwood stands J. Appl. Ecol. 12 1975 367 380
75. Schaber, J., Badeck, F.-W., Lasch, P., 1999. Ein Modell der Sukzessionsdynamik europäischer Wälder - Forest Ecosystems in a changing Environment (4C). D.R. Pelz, O. Rau and J. Saborowski (Hrsg.), Deutscher Verband forstlicher Versuchsanstalten - Sektion forstliche Biometrie und Informatik. 11. Jahrestagung und Internationale biometrische Gesellschaft. Deutsche Region. Arbeitsgruppe Ökologie, Herbstkolloquium, Freiburg, pp. 212-217.
76. P. Schuepp Spatial modelling of forest landscape change: approaches and applications Agric. For. Methodol. 104 2000 251 252
77. J. Schulla Hydrologische Modellierung von Flussgebieten zur Abschätzung der Folgen von Klimaänderungen, Heft 69 1997 Zürcher Geographische Schriften Zürich, Switzerland
78. V.P. Singh Computer Models of Watershed Hydrology 1995 Water Resources Publications Highlands Ranch, CO, USA
79. V.P. Singh Kinematic Wave Modelling in Water Resources 1996 Wiley Chichester
80. V.P. Singh D.K. Frevert Mathematical Models of Small Watershed - Hydrology and Applications 2002 Water Resources Publications Highlands Range, USA 950
81. V.P. Singh D.K. Frevert Mathematical Models of Large Watershed - Hydrology 2002 Water Resources Publications Highlands Range, USA 890
82. R.B. Thomas, and W.F. Megahan Peak flow responses to clear-cutting and roads in small and large basins, western Cascades. Oregon: a second opinion Water Resourc. Res. 34 12 1998 3393 3403
83. A. Tollan Land-use change and floods: what do we need most, research or management? Water security for the 21st Century - building bridges through dialogue Proceedings of the 11th Stockholm Water Symposium, vol. 45 Stockholm, Sweden Water Sci. Technol. 8 2001 183 190 13-16 August
84. K.E. Trenberth Climate System Modeling 1992 Cambridge University Press
85. Trepel, M., Opitz, S. (Eds.), 2000. Guidelines for Wetland Monitoring, Designing and Modelling. EcoSys, 8, 1-140. www.ecology.uni-kiel.de/michael/wet/ wetguid.htm.
86. USDA Soil Conservation Service (SCS), 1986. Urban Hydrology for Small Watersheds. Technical Release 55, 2nd ed. NTIS PB87-101580. SCS, Springfield, VA.
87. R.R. van der Ploeg, and P. Schweigert Elbe river flood peaks and postwar agricultural land-use in East Germany Naturwissenschaften 88 12 2001 522 525
88. van der Ploeg, R.R., Machulla, G., Hermsmeyer, D., Ilsemann, J., Gieska, M., Bachmann, J., 2002. Changes in land-use and the growing number of flash floods in Germany. In: Steenvoorden, J.H.A.M., Claessen, F.A.M., Willems, J. (Eds.), Proceedings of the International Conference on Agricultural Effects on Ground and Surface Waters, Wageningen, October 1-4, 2000. IAHS-Publication No. 273. IAHS Press, Wallingford, pp. 1-15.
89. A. van Griensven, and W. Bauwens Development of an Integral Water Quality Model for Rural Catchments 2000 1st World Congress of the International Water Association Paris, France
90. A. Veldkamp, P.H. Verburg, K. Kok, G.H.J. de Koning, and W. Soepboer Spatial explicit land-use change scenarios for policy purposes: some applications of the CLUE framework S.J. Walsh K.A. Crews-Meyer Linking People, Place, and Policy: A GIScience Approach 2002 Kluwer Academic Publishers Boston/Dordrecht/London 317 341
91. Watson, F.G.R., 1999. Large scale, long term, physically based modelling of the effects of land cover change on forest water yield. Ph.D. Thesis. Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Melbourne, Australia, 443 pp.
92. Watson, L.T., Lohani, V.K., Kibler, D.F., Dymond, R.L., 2002. In: Ramakrishnan, N., Shaffer, C.A. (Eds.), Integrated Computing Environments for Watershed Management, vol. 16, Number 4. American Society of Civil Engineers, pp. 259-268.
93. M. Wegehenkel Long-term evaluation of land-use changes on catchment water balance - a case study from North-East-Germany Phys. Chem. Earth 28 33-36 2003 1281 1290
94. M. Wegehenkel Estimating the impact of land-use changes using the conceptual hydrological model THESEUS - a case study Phys. Chem. Earth 27 9-10 2002 631 640
95. A. Whitaker, Y. Alila, J. Beckers, and D. Toews Evaluating peak flow sensitivity to clear-cutting in different elevation bands of a snowmelt-dominated mountainous catchment Water Resourc. Res. 38 9 2002 11 17
96. P.G. Whitehead, and M. Robinson Experimental basin studies - an international and historical perspective of forest impacts J. Hydrol. 145 3-4 1993 217 230
97. J. Wilk, and D. Hughes Simulating the impacts of land-use and climate change on water resource availability for a large south Indian catchment Hydrol. Sci. J. 47 1 2002 19 30
98. J.R. Williams, K.G. Renard, and P.T. Dyke EPIC a new model for assessing erosion's effect on soil productivity J. Soil Water Conserv. 38 5 1984 381 383
99. Williams, J.R., Jones, C.A., Dyke, P.T., 1990. The EPIC model. In: Sharpley, A.N., Williams, J.R. (Eds.), EPIC-Erosion/Productivity Impact Calculator: 1. Model Documentation. USDA Tech. Bull. No. 1768. 235 pp. (Chapter 2).
100. Williams, J.R., Dyke, P.T., Fuchs, W.W., Benson, V.W., Rice, O.W., Taylor, E.D., 1990. In: Sharpley, A.N., Williams, J.R., (Eds.), EPIC Erosion/Productivity Impact Calculator: 2. User Manual. USDA Tech. Bull. No. 1768, 127 pp.
101. Wolfram, S., 1994. Cellular Automata and Complexity: Collected Papers. Perseus Books, 596 pp.
102. S. Wolfram A New Kind of Science 2002 Wolfram Media 1197 pp.
103. Wu, J.J., Adams, R.M., Kling, C.L., Tanaka, K., 2003. Assessing the costs and environmental consequences of agricultural land-use changes: a site-specific, policy-scale modeling approach. Working Paper No. 03-WP 330. Center for Agricultural and Rural Development, Iowa State University, 29 pp.