메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 37, Issue 2, 2005, Pages 202-208

Forecasting climate change effects on salamander distribution in the highlands of central Mexico

Author keywords

Amphibian decline; Climate change; Ecological niche modeling; Mexico; Plethodontid salamanders; Pseudoeurycea cephalica; Pseudoeurycea leprosa

Indexed keywords

AMPHIBIAN; CLIMATE CHANGE; ECOLOGICAL MODELING; GEOGRAPHICAL DISTRIBUTION; NICHE; POPULATION DECLINE;

EID: 20444371605     PISSN: 00063606     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/j.1744-7429.2005.00027.x     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (49)

References (52)
  • 1
    • 0033373891 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global amphibian declines: A problem in applied ecology
    • ALFORD, R. A., AND S. J. RICHARDS. 1999. Global amphibian declines: A problem in applied ecology. Ann. Rev. Ecol. Syst. 30: 133-165.
    • (1999) Ann. Rev. Ecol. Syst. , vol.30 , pp. 133-165
    • Alford, R.A.1    Richards, S.J.2
  • 2
    • 0037446358 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluating predictive models of species' distributions: Criteria for selecting optimal models
    • ANDERSON, R. P., D. LEW, AND A. T. PETERSON. 2003. Evaluating predictive models of species' distributions: Criteria for selecting optimal models. Ecol. Model. 162: 211-232.
    • (2003) Ecol. Model. , vol.162 , pp. 211-232
    • Anderson, R.P.1    Lew, D.2    Peterson, A.T.3
  • 3
    • 0347597022 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modeling species' geographic distributions for preliminary conservation assessments: An implementation with the spiny pocket mice (Heteromys) of Ecuador
    • _, AND E. MARTINEZ-MEYER. 2004. Modeling species' geographic distributions for preliminary conservation assessments: An implementation with the spiny pocket mice (Heteromys) of Ecuador. Biol. Conserv. 116: 167-179.
    • (2004) Biol. Conserv. , vol.116 , pp. 167-179
    • Martinez-Meyer, E.1
  • 4
    • 0000481010 scopus 로고
    • Declining amphibian populations: A global phenomenon?
    • BLAUSTEIN, A. R., AND D. B. WAKE. 1990. Declining amphibian populations: A global phenomenon? TREE 5: 203-204.
    • (1990) TREE , vol.5 , pp. 203-204
    • Blaustein, A.R.1    Wake, D.B.2
  • 5
    • 0032546016 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Making mistakes when predicting shifts in species range in response to global warming
    • DAVIS, A. J., L. S. JENKINSON, J. H. LAWTON, B. SHORROCKS, AND S. WOOD. 1998. Making mistakes when predicting shifts in species range in response to global warming. Nature 391: 783-786.
    • (1998) Nature , vol.391 , pp. 783-786
    • Davis, A.J.1    Jenkinson, L.S.2    Lawton, J.H.3    Shorrocks, B.4    Wood, S.5
  • 6
    • 0034745101 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Warming asymmetry in climate change simulations
    • FLATO, G. M., AND G. J. BOER. 2001. Warming asymmetry in climate change simulations. Geophys. Res. Lett. 28: 195-198.
    • (2001) Geophys. Res. Lett. , vol.28 , pp. 195-198
    • Flato, G.M.1    Boer, G.J.2
  • 7
    • 20444385653 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Nuevas especies y cambios taxonomicos para la herpetofauna de México
    • FLORES-VILLELA, O., AND L. CANSECO-MÁRQUEZ. 2004. Nuevas especies y cambios taxonomicos para la herpetofauna de México. Acta Zool. Mex. (n.s.) 20: 115-144.
    • (2004) Acta Zool. Mex. (n.s.) , vol.20 , pp. 115-144
    • Flores-Villela, O.1    Canseco-Márquez, L.2
  • 8
    • 0000952820 scopus 로고
    • Field tests of theories concerning distributional control
    • GRINNELL, J. 1917. Field tests of theories concerning distributional control. Am. Nat. 51: 115-128.
    • (1917) Am. Nat. , vol.51 , pp. 115-128
    • Grinnell, J.1
  • 9
    • 0037159385 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Responses of butterflies to twentieth century climate warming: Implications for future ranges
    • HILL, J. K., C. D. THOMAS, R. FOX, M. G. TELFER, S. G. WILLIS, J. ASHLER, AND B. HUNTLEY. 2002. Responses of butterflies to twentieth century climate warming: Implications for future ranges. Proc. R. Soc. Lond. 269: 2163-2171.
    • (2002) Proc. R. Soc. Lond. , vol.269 , pp. 2163-2171
    • Hill, J.K.1    Thomas, C.D.2    Fox, R.3    Telfer, M.G.4    Willis, S.G.5    Ashler, J.6    Huntley, B.7
  • 10
    • 0037883251 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Possible change in Irish climate and its impact on barley and potato yields
    • HOLDEN, N. M., A. J. BRERETON, R. FEALY, AND J. SWEENEY. 2003. Possible change in Irish climate and its impact on barley and potato yields. Agr. Forest Meteorol. 116: 181-196.
    • (2003) Agr. Forest Meteorol. , vol.116 , pp. 181-196
    • Holden, N.M.1    Brereton, A.J.2    Fealy, R.3    Sweeney, J.4
  • 12
  • 13
    • 0037197915 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Reconciling paleodistribution models and comparative phylogeography in the Wet Tropics rainforest land snail Gnarosophia bellendenkerensis (Brazier 1875)
    • HUGALL, A., C. MORITZ, A. MOUSSALLI, AND J. STANISIC. 2002. Reconciling paleodistribution models and comparative phylogeography in the Wet Tropics rainforest land snail Gnarosophia bellendenkerensis (Brazier 1875). Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 99: 6112-6117.
    • (2002) Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA , vol.99 , pp. 6112-6117
    • Hugall, A.1    Moritz, C.2    Moussalli, A.3    Stanisic, J.4
  • 15
    • 0035810170 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Complex causes of amphibian population declines
    • KIESECKER, J. M., A. R. BLAUSTEIN, AND L. K. BELDEN. 2001. Complex causes of amphibian population declines. Nature 410: 681-684.
    • (2001) Nature , vol.410 , pp. 681-684
    • Kiesecker, J.M.1    Blaustein, A.R.2    Belden, L.K.3
  • 16
    • 0037325232 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change and the potential distribution of an invasive alien plant: Acacia nilotica ssp. indica in Australia
    • KRITICOS, D. J., R. W. SUTHERST, J. R. BROWN, S. W. ADKINS, AND G. F. MAYWALD. 2003. Climate change and the potential distribution of an invasive alien plant: Acacia nilotica ssp. indica in Australia. J. Appl. Ecol. 40: 111-124.
    • (2003) J. Appl. Ecol. , vol.40 , pp. 111-124
    • Kriticos, D.J.1    Sutherst, R.W.2    Brown, J.R.3    Adkins, S.W.4    Maywald, G.F.5
  • 18
    • 0031834551 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The effects of UV-B radiation on toad mortality mountainous areas of central Spain
    • LIZANA, M., AND E. M. PEDRAZA. 1998. The effects of UV-B radiation on toad mortality mountainous areas of central Spain. Conserv. Biol. 12: 703-707.
    • (1998) Conserv. Biol. , vol.12 , pp. 703-707
    • Lizana, M.1    Pedraza, E.M.2
  • 19
    • 0142052906 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Potential changes in skipjack tuna (Katsuwonus pelamis) habitat from a global warming scenario: Modelling approach and preliminary results
    • LOUKOS, H., P. MONFRAY, L. BOPP, AND P. LEHODEY. 2003. Potential changes in skipjack tuna (Katsuwonus pelamis) habitat from a global warming scenario: Modelling approach and preliminary results. Fish. Oceanogr. 12: 474-482.
    • (2003) Fish. Oceanogr. , vol.12 , pp. 474-482
    • Loukos, H.1    Monfray, P.2    Bopp, L.3    Lehodey, P.4
  • 20
    • 0000460188 scopus 로고
    • Genic and morphological differentiation in Mexican Pseudoeurycea (Caudata: Plethodontidae), with a description of a new species
    • LYNCH, J. F., D. B. WAKE, AND S. Y. YANG. 1983. Genic and morphological differentiation in Mexican Pseudoeurycea (Caudata: Plethodontidae), with a description of a new species. Copeia 1983: 884-894.
    • (1983) Copeia , vol.1983 , pp. 884-894
    • Lynch, J.F.1    Wake, D.B.2    Yang, S.Y.3
  • 21
    • 3042760102 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ecological niches as stable distributional constraints on mammals, with implications for Pleistocene Extinctions
    • MARTÍNEZ-MEYER, E., A. T. PETERSON, AND W. W. HARGROVE. 2004. Ecological niches as stable distributional constraints on mammals, with implications for Pleistocene Extinctions. Global Ecol. Biogeogr. 13: 305-314.
    • (2004) Global Ecol. Biogeogr. , vol.13 , pp. 305-314
    • Martínez-Meyer, E.1    Peterson, A.T.2    Hargrove, W.W.3
  • 22
    • 0342356430 scopus 로고
    • Carbon emissions from deforestation in México: Current situation and long-term scenarios
    • W. Makundi and J. Sathaye (Eds.). Report lbl-32665. Lawrence Berkeley Laboratory, University of California. Berkeley, California
    • MASERA, O., M. J. ORDÓN̄EZ, AND R. DIRZO. 1992. Carbon emissions from deforestation in México: Current situation and long-term scenarios. In W. Makundi and J. Sathaye (Eds.). Carbon emission and sequestration in forests: Case studies from seven developing countries: Summary. Report lbl-32665. Lawrence Berkeley Laboratory, University of California. Berkeley, California.
    • (1992) Carbon Emission and Sequestration in Forests: Case Studies from Seven Developing Countries: Summary
    • Masera, O.1    Ordónez, M.J.2    Dirzo, R.3
  • 23
    • 1942473055 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Effects of global climate change on geographic distributions of vertebrates in North Queensland
    • MEYNECKE, J. O. 2004. Effects of global climate change on geographic distributions of vertebrates in North Queensland. Ecol. Model. 174: 347-357.
    • (2004) Ecol. Model. , vol.174 , pp. 347-357
    • Meynecke, J.O.1
  • 24
    • 0345060893 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modeling current and future potential wintering distributions of eastern North American monarch butterflies
    • OBERHAUSER, K., AND A. T. PETERSON. 2003. Modeling current and future potential wintering distributions of eastern North American monarch butterflies. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 100: 14063-14068.
    • (2003) Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA , vol.100 , pp. 14063-14068
    • Oberhauser, K.1    Peterson, A.T.2
  • 25
    • 2342533938 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling spatial patterns of biodiversity for conservation prioritization in North-eastern Mexico
    • ORTEGA-HUERTA, M. A., AND A. T. PETERSON. 2004. Modelling spatial patterns of biodiversity for conservation prioritization in North-eastern Mexico. Div. Distrib. 10: 39-54.
    • (2004) Div. Distrib. , vol.10 , pp. 39-54
    • Ortega-Huerta, M.A.1    Peterson, A.T.2
  • 27
    • 0000511713 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Status of some populations of Mexican salamanders (Amphibia: Plethodontidae)
    • PARRA-OLEA, G., M. GARCÍA-PARIS, AND D. B. WAKE. 1999. Status of some populations of Mexican salamanders (Amphibia: Plethodontidae). Rev. Biol. Trop. 47: 217-223.
    • (1999) Rev. Biol. Trop. , vol.47 , pp. 217-223
    • Parra-Olea, G.1    García-Paris, M.2    Wake, D.B.3
  • 28
    • 1642291890 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Molecular diversification of the genus Bolitoglossa and its evolutionary and biogeographic consequences for the invasion of American tropics
    • _, AND _. 2004. Molecular diversification of the genus Bolitoglossa and its evolutionary and biogeographic consequences for the invasion of American tropics. Biol. J. Linn. Soc. 81: 325-346.
    • (2004) Biol. J. Linn. Soc. , vol.81 , pp. 325-346
  • 29
    • 0141856572 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicting the impacts of climate change on the distribution of species: Are bioclimate envelope models useful?
    • PEARSON, R. G., AND T. P. DAWSON. 2003. Predicting the impacts of climate change on the distribution of species: Are bioclimate envelope models useful? Global Ecol. Biogeogr. 12: 361-371.
    • (2003) Global Ecol. Biogeogr. , vol.12 , pp. 361-371
    • Pearson, R.G.1    Dawson, T.P.2
  • 30
    • 0034864959 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicting species' geographic distributions based on ecological niche modeling
    • PETERSON, A. T. 2001. Predicting species' geographic distributions based on ecological niche modeling. Condor 103: 599-605.
    • (2001) Condor , vol.103 , pp. 599-605
    • Peterson, A.T.1
  • 31
    • 0347033478 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicting the geography of species' invasions via ecological niche modeling
    • _. 2003. Predicting the geography of species' invasions via ecological niche modeling. Quart. Rev. Biol. 78: 419-433.
    • (2003) Quart. Rev. Biol. , vol.78 , pp. 419-433
  • 32
    • 0142029119 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Lutzomyia vectors for cutaneous leishmaniasis in Southern Brazil: Ecological niche models, predicted geographic distributions, and climate change effects
    • _, AND J. SHAW. 2003. Lutzomyia vectors for cutaneous leishmaniasis in Southern Brazil: Ecological niche models, predicted geographic distributions, and climate change effects. Int. J. Parasitol. 33: 919-931.
    • (2003) Int. J. Parasitol. , vol.33 , pp. 919-931
    • Shaw, J.1
  • 35
    • 0035810180 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate and amphibian declines
    • POUNDS, J. A. 2001. Climate and amphibian declines. Nature 410: 639-640.
    • (2001) Nature , vol.410 , pp. 639-640
    • Pounds, J.A.1
  • 36
    • 0347087550 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Clouded futures
    • _, AND R. PUSCHENDORF. 2004. Clouded futures. Nature 427: 107-109.
    • (2004) Nature , vol.427 , pp. 107-109
    • Puschendorf, R.1
  • 37
    • 0037325036 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Spatial and temporal distribution of bioclimatic potential for the Codling moth and the Colorado potato beetle in Norway: Model predictions versus climate and field data from the 1990s
    • RAFOSS, T., AND M. G. SAETHRE. 2003. Spatial and temporal distribution of bioclimatic potential for the Codling moth and the Colorado potato beetle in Norway: Model predictions versus climate and field data from the 1990s. Agric. Forest Entomol. 5: 75-86.
    • (2003) Agric. Forest Entomol. , vol.5 , pp. 75-86
    • Rafoss, T.1    Saethre, M.G.2
  • 38
    • 0001195680 scopus 로고
    • Induction of sets of rules from animal distribution data: A robust and informative method of data analysis
    • STOCKWELL, D. R. B., AND I. R. NOBLE. 1992. Induction of sets of rules from animal distribution data: A robust and informative method of data analysis. Math. Comput. Simulat. 33: 385-390.
    • (1992) Math. Comput. Simulat. , vol.33 , pp. 385-390
    • Stockwell, D.R.B.1    Noble, I.R.2
  • 39
    • 0032903209 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The GARP modeling system: Problems and solutions to automated spatial prediction
    • _, AND D. PETERS. 1999. The GARP modeling system: Problems and solutions to automated spatial prediction. Int. J. Geogr. Inf. Sci. 13: 143-158.
    • (1999) Int. J. Geogr. Inf. Sci. , vol.13 , pp. 143-158
    • Peters, D.1
  • 41
    • 0038580557 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Protected areas and climate change: A case study of the cacti in the tehuacan-cuicatlan biosphere reserve, Mexico
    • TELLEZ-VALDEZ, O., AND P. DAVILA-ARANDA. 2003. Protected areas and climate change: A case study of the cacti in the tehuacan-cuicatlan biosphere reserve, Mexico. Conserv. Biol. 17: 846-853.
    • (2003) Conserv. Biol. , vol.17 , pp. 846-853
    • Tellez-Valdez, O.1    Davila-Aranda, P.2
  • 43
    • 0242275331 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Optimizing predictions of species distributions and projecting potential future shifts under global change
    • THUILLER, W. 2003. Optimizing predictions of species distributions and projecting potential future shifts under global change. Global Change Biol. 9: 1353-1362.
    • (2003) Global Change Biol. , vol.9 , pp. 1353-1362
    • Thuiller, W.1
  • 44
    • 20444404439 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • USGS. 2001. Available at http://edcdaac.usgs.gov/gtopo30/hydro/.
    • (2001)
  • 45
    • 0347319559 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling the spatial distribution of two important South African plantation forestry pathogens
    • VAN STADEN, V., B. F. ERASMUS, J. ROUX, M. J. WINGFIELD, AND A. S. VAN JAARSVELD. 2004. Modelling the spatial distribution of two important South African plantation forestry pathogens. Forest Ecol. Manag. 187: 61-73.
    • (2004) Forest Ecol. Manag. , vol.187 , pp. 61-73
    • Van Staden, V.1    Erasmus, B.F.2    Roux, J.3    Wingfield, M.J.4    Van Jaarsveld, A.S.5
  • 46
    • 0032104658 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change on Mexican forests and natural protected areas
    • VILLERS-RUÍZ, L., AND I. TREJO-VAZQUEZ. 1998. Climate change on Mexican forests and natural protected areas. Global Environ. Chang. 8: 141-157.
    • (1998) Global Environ. Chang. , vol.8 , pp. 141-157
    • Villers-Ruíz, L.1    Trejo-Vazquez, I.2
  • 47
    • 0000884801 scopus 로고
    • Adaptive radiation of salamanders in Middle American cloud forests
    • WAKE, D. B. 1987. Adaptive radiation of salamanders in Middle American cloud forests. Ann. Mis. Bot. Gardens 74: 242-264.
    • (1987) Ann. Mis. Bot. Gardens , vol.74 , pp. 242-264
    • Wake, D.B.1
  • 48
    • 0025900560 scopus 로고
    • Declining amphibian populations
    • _. 1991. Declining amphibian populations. Science 253: 860.
    • (1991) Science , vol.253 , pp. 860
  • 49
    • 0002746011 scopus 로고
    • The distribution, ecology and evolutionary history of plethodontid salamanders in tropical America
    • _, AND J. F. LYNCH. 1976. The distribution, ecology and evolutionary history of plethodontid salamanders in tropical America. Nat. Hist. Mus. Los Angeles Co. Sci. Bull 25: 1-65.
    • (1976) Nat. Hist. Mus. Los Angeles Co. Sci. Bull , vol.25 , pp. 1-65
    • Lynch, J.F.1
  • 51
    • 0141860957 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change in Australian tropical rainforests: An impending environmental catastrophe
    • WILLIAMS, S. E., E. E. BOLITHO, AND S. FOX. 2003. Climate change in Australian tropical rainforests: An impending environmental catastrophe. P. Roy. Soc. Lond. B 270: 1887-1892.
    • (2003) P. Roy. Soc. Lond. B , vol.270 , pp. 1887-1892
    • Williams, S.E.1    Bolitho, E.E.2    Fox, S.3
  • 52
    • 0040927707 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Using climate data to map the potential distribution of Culicoides imicola (Diptera: Ceratopogonidae) in Europe
    • Office Int. des Epizooties
    • WITTMANN, E. J., P. S. MELLOR, AND M. BAYLIS. 2001. Using climate data to map the potential distribution of Culicoides imicola (Diptera: Ceratopogonidae) in Europe. Revue Scientifique et Technique. Office Int. des Epizooties 20: 731-740.
    • (2001) Revue Scientifique et Technique , vol.20 , pp. 731-740
    • Wittmann, E.J.1    Mellor, P.S.2    Baylis, M.3


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.