Potential changes in skipjack tuna (Katsuwonus pelamis) habitat from a global warming scenario: Modelling approach and preliminary results

Fisheries Oceanography

Volumn 12, Issue 4-5, 2003, Pages 474-482

  Loukos, Harilaos ^a,c   Monfray, Patrick ^a,d   Bopp, Laurent ^a   Lehodey, Patrick ^b  

^a INSTITUT PIERRE SIMON LAPLACE   (France)

^b SECRETARIAT OF THE PACIFIC COMMUNITY   (New Caledonia)

^c CLIMPACT SAS   (France)

^d LEGOS   (France)

Author keywords

Climate; CO2; El Ni o Southern Oscillation; Global change; Primary production; Spatial modelling; Tuna forage; Tuna habitat

Indexed keywords

EL NINO-SOUTHERN OSCILLATION; GLOBAL CHANGE; GLOBAL WARMING; MODELING; OCEANIC CIRCULATION; PRIMARY PRODUCTION;

KATSUWONUS PELAMIS; PELAMIS; SCOMBRIDAE GEN. SP.;

EID: 0142052906     PISSN: 10546006     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1046/j.1365-2419.2003.00241.x     Document Type: Conference Paper

References (41)

1. Allain, V. (2002) Food Web Study in the Tuna Ecosystem of the Western and Central Pacific Ocean 15th Standing Committee on Tuna and Billfish, Honolulu, Hawaii, 22-27 July 2002. Working Paper BBRG-7, 6 pp.
2. André, J.-M., Menkes, C., Duboz, R., Ménard, F., Marchal, E. and Loukos, H. (2000) Modeling tuna environment in the equatorial Atlantic, paper presented at American Geophysical Union (AGU) 2000 Ocean Science Meeting, San-Antonio Texas, Jan. 24-28, 2000. EOS 80(suppl.):1999.
3. Aumont, O., Belviso, S. and Monfray, P. (2002) DMSP and DMS sea surface distributions simulated from a global 3-D ocean carbon cycle model. J. Geophys. Res. Oceans. 107(C4):10.1029/1999JC000111.
4. Bakun, A., and Broad, K. (eds) (2002) Climate and Fisheries: Interacting Paradigms, Scales and Policy Approaches.The IRI-IPRC Pacific Climate-Fisheries Workshop, Honolulu, 14-17 November, 2001. Columbia Earth Institute, Palisades, New York, 10964, USA: The International Research Institute for Climate Prediction (IRI), IRI Publication IRI-CW/02/1:70 pp.
5. Barkley, R.A., Neil, W.H. and Gooding, R.M. (1978) Skipjack tuna (Kastuwonus pelamis) habitat based on temperature and oxygen requirements. Fish. Bull. 76:653-662.
6. Beaufort, L., De Garidel-Thoron, T., Mix, A.C. and Pisias, N.G. (2001) ENSO-like forcing on Oceanic Primary Production during the late pleistocene. Science 293:2440-2444.
7. Bertignac, M., Lehodey, P. and Hampton, J. (1998) A spatial population dynamics simulation model of tropical tunas using a habitat index based on environmental parameters. Fish. Oceanogr. 7:326-335.
8. Bertrand, A., Le Borgne, R. and Josse, E. (1999) Acoustic characterization of micronekton distribution in French Polynesia. Mar. Ecol. Prog. 191:127-140.
9. Bertrand A., Bard F.-X. and Josse E. (2002) Tuna food habits related to the micronekton distribution in French Polynesia. Marine Biology 140:1023-1037.
10. Bopp, L., Monfray, P., Aumont, O. et al. (2001) Potential impact of climate change on marine export production. Global Biogeochemical Cycles 15:81-99.
11. Brill, R.W. (1994) A review of temperature and oxygen tolerance studies of tunas pertinent to movement models and stock assessment. Fish. Oceanog. 3:204-216.
12. Chai, F., Dugdale, R.C., Peng, T.-H., Wilkerson, F.P. and Barber, R.T. (2002) One Dimensional Ecosystem Model of the Equatorial Pacific Upwelling System, Part I: Model Development and Silicon and Nitrogen Cycle. Deep Sea Res. II 49:2713-2745.
13. Chai, F., Jiang, M., Barber, R.T., Dugdale, R.C. and Chao, Y. (2003) Interdecadal Variation of the Transition Zone Chlorophyll Front, A Physical-Biological Model Simulation between 1960 and 1990. Journal of Oceanography (in press).
14. Dagorn, L. and Fréon, P. (1999) Tropical tuna associated with floating objects: a simulation study of the meeting point hypothesis. Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci. 56:984-993
15. Hampton, J. (2002) Stock Assessment of Skipjack Tuna in the Western, and Central Pacific Ocean. 15th SCTB, Hawaii, 22-27th July 2002, Oceanic Fisheries Programme, Secretariat of the Pacific Community, Noumea, New Caledonia. Working Paper SKJ-1:36 pp. http://www.spc.int/OceanFish/ Html/SCTB/SCTB15/SKJ-l.pdf. Date accessed: June 2003.
16. Heith, M., Carlotti, F., De young, B., Fiksen, O. and Werner, F. (2001) Secondary Production in the Oceans and the Response to Climate Change. Paper presented at Global Change Open Science Conference, 10-13 July 2001, Amsterdam.
17. Houghton, J.H. et al. (2001) Climate change 2001. The Scientific Basis, The Contribution of Working Group I to the Third Assesment Report of the Intergovernment Panel on Climate Change. J.H. Houghton et al (ed), Cambridge, Cambridge University Press.. 944 pp.
18. Jennings, S., Warr, K.J. and Mackinson, S. (2002) Use of size-based production and stable isotope analyses to predict trophic transfer efficiencies and predator-prey body mass ratios in food webs. Mar. Ecol. Prog. Ser. 240:11-20.
19. Kirby, D.S. (2001) Modeling the Behavior of Tunas in Relation to their Environment, PhD thesis. Leicester: University of Leicester, 140 pp.
20. Kirby D. S., Fiksen O. and Hart P. J. B. (2000) A dynamic optimisation model for the behavior of tunas at ocean fronts. Fish. Oceanogr. 9:328-342
21. Kirby D.S., Huse G., Lehodey P. and Hart, P.J.B. (submitted). An Individual-based Model for the Spatial Population Dynamics of Pacific Skipjack Tuna Katsuwonus pelamis: Model Structure. ICES Symposium on Fish Behavior in Exploited Ecosystems, 23-26 June 2003, Bergen, Norway.
22. Lehodey, P. (2001) The pelagic ecosystem of the tropical Pacific Ocean: dynamic spatial modeling and biological consequences of ENSO. Prog. Oceanogr. 49:439-468.
23. Lehodey, P. (2002a) SEPODYM Development and Application to Skipjack Population and Fisheries. 15th SCTB, Hawaii, 22-27th July 2002, Oceanic Fisheries Programme, Secretariat of the Pacific Community, Noumea, New Caledonia. Working Paper SKJ-5:17 pp. http://www.spc.int/OceanFish/Html/ SCTB/SCTB15/SKJ-5.pdf Date accessed: June 2003.
24. Lehodey, P. (2002b) Preliminary Results of SEPODYM Application to Albacore in the Pacific Ocean. 15th SCTB, Hawaii, 22-27th July 2002, Oceanic Fisheries Programme, Secretariat of the Pacific Community, Noumea, New Caledonia. Working Paper ALB-6:9 pp. http://www.spc.int/OceanFish/Html/SCTB/SCTB15/alb-6.pdf.
25. Lehodey, P., Bertignac, M., Hampton, J., Lewis, A. and Picaut, J. (1997) El Niño Southern Oscillation and tuna in the western Pacific. Nature 389:715-718.
26. Lehodey, P., Andre, J.-M., Bertignac, M. et al. (1998) Predicting skipjack tuna forage distributions in the equatorial Pacific using a coupled dynamical bio-geochemical model. Fish. Oceanogr. 7:317-325.
27. Lehodey, P., Chai, F. and Hampton, J. (2003) Modelling climate-related variability of tuna populations from a coupled ocean-biogeochemical-populations dynamics model. J. Oceanogr. (in press).
28. Madec, G., Delecluse, P., Imbard, M. and Lévy, C. (1997) OPA Version 8.0 Ocean General Circulation Model, Reference manual. Paris, France: Laboratoire d'Océanographie Dynamique et de Climatologie, 200 pp.
29. 2 interaction between ocean circulation and biology. Clin. Dyn. 12:711-721.
30. 2 on the ocean-atmosphere system. Nature 364:215-218.
31. 2, Part II. J. Clim. 4:785-818.
32. 2 uptake. Tellus, Series B 51B:722-733.
33. Maunder, M.N. (2002) Status of Skipjack Tuna in the Eastern Pacific Ocean in 2001 and outlook for 2002. 15th SCTB, Hawaii, 22-27th July 2002, Oceanic Fisheries Programme, Secretariat of the Pacific Community, Noumea, New Caledonia. Working Paper SKJ-2:52 pp. http://www.spc.int/OceanFish/Html/SCTB/SCTB15/SKJ-2.pdf Date accessed: June 2003.
34. Roemmich, D. and McGowan, J. (1995) Climatic warming and the decline of zooplankton in the California Current. Science 267:1324-1326.
35. Sadourny, R. and Laval, K. (1984) January and July performances of the LMD general circulation model. In: New Perspectives in Climate Modeling. A. Berger (ed.) New-York: Elsevier, pp. 722-733.
36. Sarmiento, J.L. and Le Quéré, C. (1996) Oceanic carbon dioxide uptake in a model of century-scale global warming. Science 274:1346-1350.
37. Sarmiento, J.L., Hughes, T.M.C., Stouffer, R.J. and Manabe, S. (1998) Simulated response of the ocean carbon cycle to anthropogenic climate warming. Nature 393:245-249.
38. Sibert J.R., Hampton J., Fournier D.A. and Bills P.J. (1999) An advection-diffusion-reaction model for the estimation of fish movement parameters from tagging data, with application to skipjack tuna (Katsuwonus pelamis). Can. J. Fish. Aqu. Sci. 56:925-938.
39. Stoens, A., Menkes, C., Dandonneau, Y. and Mémery, L. (1998) New production in the equatorial Pacific: a coupled dynamical-biogeochemical model. Fish. Oceanog. 7:311-316.
40. Timmermann, A., Oberhuber, J., Bacher, A., Esch, M., Latif, M. and Roeckner, E. (1999) Increased El Niño frequency in a climate model forced by future greenhouse warming. Nature 398:694-697.
41. Vinogradov, M.E. (1981) Ecosystems of equatorial upwellings. In: Analysis of Marine Ecosystems. A.R. Longhurst (ed.) London: Academic Press, pp. 69-93.