The remarkable 2003-2004 winter and other recent warm winters in the Arctic stratosphere since the late 1990s

Journal of Geophysical Research D: Atmospheres

Volumn 110, Issue 4, 2005, Pages 1-14

  Manney, Gloria L ^a,b   Krüger, Kirstin ^c,d   Sabutis, Joseph L ^b   Sena, Sara Amina ^b   Pawson, Steven ^e  

^a CALIFORNIA INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY   (United States)

^b NEW MEXICO HIGHLANDS UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^c FREIE UNIVERSITÄT BERLIN   (Germany)

^d ALFRED WEGENER INSTITUTE FOR POLAR AND MARINE RESEARCH   (Germany)

^e NASA GODDARD SPACE FLIGHT CENTER   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

STRATOSPHERE; TEMPERATURE; VORTEX; WARMING; WINTER;

ARCTIC; ARCTIC AND ANTARCTIC; WORLD;

EID: 16644401725     PISSN: 01480227     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1029/2004JD005367     Document Type: Article

References (61)

1. Anderson S. B., and B.M. Knudsen (2002), the influence of vortex ozone depletion on Arctic ozone trends, Geophys. Res Lett., 29(21) 2013, doi:10.1029/2001GL0214595.
2. Austin, J., et al. (2003), Uncertainties and assessments of chemistry-climate models of the stratosphere, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 3 1-27.
3. Baldwin, M. P., and T.J. Dunkenton (1989), The strat opheric major warming of early December 1987, J. Atmos. Sci., 46, 2863-2884.
4. Chipperfield, M. P., and J. A. Pyle (1998), Model sensitivity studies of Arctic ozone depletion, J. Geophys. Res., 103, 28,389-28,403.
5. Christiansen, B. (2003), Evidence for nonlinear climate change: Two stratospheric regimes and a regime shift, J. Clim., 16, 3681-3690.
6. Corti, S., F. Molteni, and T. N. Palmer (1999), Signatures of recent climate change in frequencies of natural atmospheric circulation regimes, Nature, 398, 799-802.
7. Curmold, D. M., E.-S. Yang, M. J. Newchurch, G. C. Reinsel, J. M. Zawodny, and J. M. Russell III (2004), Comment on "Enhanced upper stratospheric ozone: Sign of recovery or solar cycle effect?" by W. Steinbrecht et al., J. Geophys. Res., 109, D14305, doi:10.1029/ 2004JD004826.
8. Degórska, M., and B. Rajewska-Wiech (1996), The role of stratospheric minor warmings in producing the total ozone deficiencies over Europe in 1992 and 1993, J. Atmos. Terr. Phys., 58, 1855-1862.
9. Dunkerton, T. J., and D. P. Delisi (1986), Evolution of potential vorticity in the winter stratosphere of January-February 1979, J. Geophys. Res., 91, 1199-1208.
10. Fioletov, V. E., and I G. Shepherd (2003), Seasonal persistence of midlatitude total ozone anomalies, Geophys. Res. Lett., 30(7), 1417, doi:10.1029/2002GL016739.
11. Fioletov, V. E., G. E. Bodeker, A. J. Miller, R. D. McPeters,and R. Stolarski (2002), Global and zonal total ozone variations estimated from ground-based and satellite measurements: 1964-2000, J. Geophys. Res., 107(D22), 4647, doi:10.1029/2001JD001350.
12. Hamilton, K. (1995), Interannual variability in the Northern Hemisphere winter midle atmosphee in control and perturbed experiments with the GFDL SKIHI general circulation model, J. Atmos. Sci., 52, 44-66.
13. Harvey, V. L., R. B. Pierce, T. D. Fairlie, and M. H. Hitchman (2002), A climatology of stratospheric polar vortices and anticyclones, J. Geophys. Res., 107(D20), 4442, doi:10.1029/2001JD001471.
14. Labitzke, K. (1972), Temperature changes in the mesosphere and stratosphere connected with circulation changes in winter, J. Atmos. Sci., 29, 756-766.
15. Labitzke, K. (1982), On the interannual variability of the middle stratosphere during the northern winters, J. Meteorol. Soc. Jpn., 60 124-139.
16. Labitzke, K., and M. Kunze (2005), Stratospheric temperatures over the Arctic: Comparison of three datasets, Meteorol. Z., in press.
17. Labitzke, K., and H. van Loon (1999), The Stratosphere, Springer, New York.
18. Labitzke, K., et al. (2002), The Berlin Stratospheric Data Series [CD-ROM], Meteorol. Inst., Free Univ. Berlin, Berlin.
19. Lin, S.-J. (2004), A vertically Lagrangian finite-volurne dynamical core for global models, Mon. Rea. Rev., 132, 2293-2307.
20. Manney, G. L., and J. L. Sabutis (2000), Development of the polar vortex in the 1999-2000 Arctic winter stratosphere, Geophys. Res.Lett., 27 2589-2592.
21. Manney, G. L., J. D. Farrara, and C. R. Mechoso (1994a), Simulations of the February 1979 stratospheric sudden warming: Model comparisons and three-dimensional evolution, Mon. Weather Rev., 122, 1115-1140.
22. Manney, G. L., R. W. Zurek, A. O'Neill, and R. Swinbank (1994b), On the motion of air through the stratospheric polar vortex, J. Atmos. Sci., 51, 2973-2994.
23. Manney, G. L., W. A. Lahoz, R. Swinbank, A. O'Neill, P. M. Connew, and R. W. Zurek (1999), Simulation of the December 1998 stratospheric major warming, Geophys. Res. Lett., 26, 2733-2736.
24. Manney, G. L., L. Froidevaux, M. L. Santee, N. J. Livesey, J. L. Sabutis, and J. W. Waters (2003a), Variability of ozone loss during Arctic winter (1991-2000) estimated from UARS Microwave Limb Sounder measurements, J. Geophys. Res., 108(D4), 4149, doi:10.1029/ 2002JD002634.
25. Manney, G. L., J. L. Sabutis, S. Pawson, M. L. Santee, B. Naujokat, R. Swinbank, M. E. Gelman, and W. Ebisuzaki (2003b), Lower stratospheric temperature differences between meteorological analyses in two cold Arctic winters and their impact on polar processing studies, J. Geophys. Res., 108(D5), 8328,doi:10.1029/2001JD001149.
26. Manney, G. L., et al. (2005), Diagnostic comparison of meteorological analyses during the 2002 Antarctic winter, Mon. Weather Rev., in press.
27. Naujokat, B., and K. Labitzke (Eds.) (1993), Solar-Terrestrial Energy Program: Collection of Reports on the Stratospheric Circulation During the Winters 1974/75-1991/92, Sci. Comm. on Sol. Terr Phys., Urbana, III.
28. Naujokat, B., K. Krüger, K. Matthes, J. Hoffmann, M. Kunze, and K. Labitzke (2002), The early major warming in December 2001-exceptional?, Geophys. Res. Lett., 29(21), 2023, doi:10.1029/2002GL015316.
29. Newchurch, M. J., E. Yang, D. M. Curmold, G. C. Reinsel, J. M. Zawodny, and J. M. Russell III (2003), Evidence for slowdown in stratospheric ozone loss: First stage of ozone recovery, J. Geophys. Res., 108 D16), 4507, doi:10.1029/2003JD00347.
30. Newman, P. A., E. R. Nash, and J. E. Rosenfield (2001), What controls the temperatures of the Arctic stratosphere during the spring?, J. Geophys. Res., 106, 19,999-20,010.
31. Offermann, D., M. Donner, P. Kneiling, and B. Naujokat (2004), Middle atmosphere temperature changes and the duration of summer, J. Atmos. Sol. Terr. Phys., 66, 437-450.
32. Pawson, S., and B. Naujokat (1999), The cold winters of the middle 1990s in the northern lower stratosphere, J. Geophys. Res., 104, 14,209-14,222.
33. Pawson, S., K. Labitzke, and S. Leder (1998), Stepwise changes in stratospheric temperature, Geophys. Res. Lett., 25, 2157-2160.
34. Perlwitz, J., and H. R. Graf (2001), Troposphere-stratosphere dynamic coupling under strong and weak polar vortex conditions, Geophys. Res. Lett., 28, 271-274.
35. Perlwitz, J., and N. Hamik (2003), Observational evidence of a stratospheric influence on the troposphere by planetary wave reflection, J Clim. 16, 3011-3026.
36. Polvani, L. M., and R. Saravanan (2000), The three-dimensional structure of breaking Rossby waves in the polar wintertime stratosphere, J. Atmos. Sci., 57, 3663-3685.
37. Ramaswamy, V., et al. (2001), Stratospheric temperature trends: Observations and model simulations, Rev. Geophys., 39, 71-122.
38. Randel, W. J. (1987), The evaluation of winds from geopotential height data in the stratosphere, J. Atmos. Sci., 44, 3097-3120.
39. Randel, W. J., and B. A. Boville (1987), Observations of a major stratospheric warming during december 1984, J. Atmos. Sci., 44, 2179-2186.
40. Reinsel, G. C., E. Weatherhead, G. C. Tiao, A. J. Miller, R. M. Nagatani, D. J. Wuebbles, and L. E. Flynn (2002), On detection of turnaround and recovery in trend for ozone, J.Geophys. Res., 107 1310), 4078, doi:10.1029/2001JD000500.
41. Rex, M., R. J. Salawitch, P. von der Gathen, N. R. P. Harris, M. P. Chipperfield, and B. Naujokat (2004), Arctic ozone loss and climate change, Geophys. Res. Lett., 31, L04116, doi:10.1029/2003GL018844.
42. Salby, M., and P. Callaghan (2002), Interannual changes of the stratospheric circulation: Relationship to ozone and tropospheric structure, J. Clim., 15, 3673-3685.
43. Salby, M., and P. Callaghan (2004), Interannual changes of the stratospheric circulation: Influence on the tropics and Southern Hemisphere, J. Clim., 17, 952-964.
44. Salby, M., P. Callaghan, P. Keckhut, S. Godin, and M. Guirlet (2002), Interannual changes of temperature and ozone: Relationship between the lower and upper stratosphere, J. Geophys. Res., 107(D18), 4342, doi: 10. 1029/2001SD000421.
45. Seidel, D. J., and J. R. Lanzante (2004), An assessment of three alternatives to linear trends for characterizing global atmospheric temperature changes, J. Geophys. Res., 109, D14108, doi:10.1029/ 2003JD004414.
46. Shine, K. P., et al. (2003), A comparison of model-simulated trends in stratospheric temperatures, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 129, 1565-1588.
47. Simmons, A. J., M. Hortal, G. Kelly, A. McNally, A. Untch, and S. Uppala (2005), ECMWF analyses and forecasts of stratospheric winter polar vortex break-up: September 2002 in the Southern Hemisphere and related events, J. Atmos. Sci., in press.
48. Steinbrecht, W., H. Claude, and P. Winkler (2004a), Enhanced upper stratospheric ozone: Sign of recovery or solar cycle effect?, J Geophys. Res., 109, D02308, doi:10.1029/2003JD004284.
49. Steinbrecht, W., H. Claude, and P. Winkler (2004b), Reply to comment by D. M. Cunnold et al. on "Enhanced upper stratospheric ozone: Sign of recovery or solar cycle effect?" J. Geophys. Res., 109, D14306, doi: 10.1029/2004JD004948.
50. Tabazadeh, A., M. L. Santee, M. Y. Danilin, H. C. Pumphrey, P. A. Newman, P. J. Hamill, and J. L. Mergenthaler (2000), Quantifying dcnitrification and its effect on ozone recovery, Science, 288, 1407-1411.
51. Taguchi, M., and S. Yoden (2002), Internal interannual variability of the troposphere-stratosphere coupled system in a simple global circulation model. Part 11: Millennium integrations, J. Atmos. Sci., 59, 3037-3050.
52. Waibel, A., et al. (1999), Arctic ozone loss due to denitrification, Science 283(5410), 2064-2069.
53. Waugh, D. W., and D. G. Dritschel (1999), The dependence of Rossby wave breaking on the vertical structure of the polar vortex, J. Atmos. Sci., 56, 2359-2375.
54. Waugh, D. W., and W. J. Randel (1999), Climatology of Arctic and Antarctic polar vortices using elliptical diagnostics, J. Atmos. Sci., 56, 1594-1613.
55. Waugh, D. W., and P. Rong (2002), Interannual variability in the decay of lower stratospheric arctic vortices, J. Meteorol. Soc.Jpn., 80, 997-1012.
56. Waugh, D. W, W. J. Randel, S. Pawson, P. A. Newman, and E. R. Nash (1999), Persistence of the lower stratospheric polar vortices, J Geophys. Res., 104, 27,191-27,201,
57. Weatherhead, E. C., et al. (1998), Factors affecting the detection of trends: Statistical considerations and applications to environmental data, J Geophys. Res., 103, 17,149-17,161.
58. Weatherhead, E. C., et al. (2000), Detecting the recovery of total column ozone, J. Geophys. Res., 105, 22,201-22,210.
59. Weatherhead, E. C., G. C. Reinsel, and S. B. Andersen (2004), Detecting total column ozone recovery, in Proceedings Quadrennial Ozone Symposium, pp. 83-84, Int. Ozone Comm., Athens.
60. World Meteorological Organization (WMO) (1999), Scientific Assessment of Stratospheric Ozone Depletion: 1998, Geneva.
61. World Meteorological Organization (WMO) (2003), Scientific Assessment of Stratospheric Ozne Depletion: 2002, Geneva.