A century of change: The U.S. labor force, 1950-2050

Monthly Labor Review

Volumn 125, Issue 5, 2002, Pages 15-28

  Toossi, Mitra ^a  

^a BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 0242538616     PISSN: 00981818     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: None     Document Type: Review

References (13)

1. The civilian labor force consists of all employed and unemployed persons actively seeking jobs in the civilian noninstitutional population.
2. See Howard N Fullerton, Jr., and Mitra Toossi, "Labor force projections to 2010: steady growth and changing composition," Monthly Labor Review, November 2001, pp. 21-38.
3. The following assumptions about the future course of events are made before the labor force projections are carried out: The current definition of the labor force will remain the same over the projection period. Work patterns will not change significantly during the projection period. No major war or social upheaval will occur during the projection period. Laws and legislation will not change the conditions under which individuals decide to enter or stay out of the labor force. The general structure of economic relationships in the future will be roughly identical to those in the past, and economic condition will follow the basic trends of the post-World War II era.
4. The CPS is a monthly survey of households, conducted by the Bureau of the Cenusus for the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
5. Fredrick W. Hollman, Tammany J. Mulder, and Jeffrey E. Kallan, "Population Projections of the United States, 1999 to 2100: Methodology and Assumptions," working paper no. 38 (U.S. Bureau of the Census, 1999).
6. The civilian noninstitutional population does not include the Armed forces and comprises all persons 16 years and older who are not inmates of penal or mental institutions, sanitariums, or homes for the aged.
7. The civilian labor force participation rate is the proportion of the civilian noninstitutional population that is in the labor force.
8. See Howard N Fullerton, Jr., "Labor force 2006: slowing down and changing composition," Monthly Labor Review, November 1997, pp. 23-38.
9. A cohort is defined as those people within a population who have experienced the same significant life event within a given period of time. The cohorts used for social scientific research usually consist of people who experienced a common significant life event within a period of from 1 to 10 years.
10. Douglas S. Massey, University of Pennsylvania Symposium on the Role of Research Universities in Innovation, Social Mobility, and Quality of Life in the 20th Century, Washington, DC, Association of American Universities, Apr. 17, 2000.
11. Kingsley Davis and Pietronella Van den Oever, "Demographic Foundations of New Sex Roles," Population and Development Review, September 1982, pp. 495-511.
12. These standards were revised in 1997 for implementation no later than 2003. For more information, see "Revisions to the Standards for the Classification of Federal Data on Race and Ethnicity" (Office of Management and Budget, Oct. 30, 1997); on the Internet at http:// www.whitehouse.gov/omb/fedreg/ombdir15.html (accessed 6/18/02).
13. Hollman, Mulder, and Kallan, "Population Projections," p. 18.