The effects of different cumulus parameterization schemes on the intensity forecast of Typhoon Flo (1990)

Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan

Volumn 78, Issue 6, 2000, Pages 819-833

  Murata, Akihiko ^a   Ueno, Mitsuru ^a  

^a METEOROLOGICAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE   (Japan)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 0040214626     PISSN: 00261165     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.2151/jmsj1965.78.6_819     Document Type: Article

References (40)

1. Alliss, R.J., S. Raman and S.W. Chang, 1992: Special Sensor Microwave/Imager (SSM/I) observations of hurricane Hugo (1989). Mon. Wea. Rev., 120, 2723-2737.
2. _, G.D. Sandlin, S.W. Chang and S. Raman, 1993: Applications of SSM/I data in the analysis of hurricane Florence (1988). J. Appl. Meteor., 32, 1581-1591.
3. Anthes, R.A., 1977: A cumulus parameterization scheme utilizing a one-dimensional cloud model. Mon. Wea. Rev., 105, 270-286.
4. Aonashi, K., A. Shibata and G. Liu, 1996: An over-ocean precipitation retrieval using SSM/I multichannel brightness temperature. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 74, 617-637.
5. Arakawa, A. and W.H. Schubert, 1974: Interaction of a cumulus cloud ensemble with the large-scale environment, Part I. J. Atmos. Sci., 31, 674-701.
6. Baik, J.-J., M. DeMaria and S. Raman, 1991: Tropical cyclone simulations with the Betts convective adjustment scheme. Part III: Comparisons with the Kuo convective parameterization. Mon. Wea. Rev., 119, 2889-2899.
7. Bender, M.A., R.J. Ross, R.E. Tuleya and Y. Kurihara, 1993: Improvements in tropical cyclone track and intensity forecasts using the GFDL initialization system. Mon. Wea. Rev., 121, 2046-2061.
8. Betts, A.K., 1986: A new convective adjustment scheme. Part II: Observation and theoretical basis. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 112, 677-691.
9. _ and M.J. Miller, 1986: A new convective adjustment scheme. Part II: Single column tests using GATE wave, BONEX, and arctic air-mass data sets. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 112, 693-709.
10. Elsberry, R.L., 1990: International experiments to study tropical cyclones in the western North Pacific. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 71, 1305-1316.
11. _, G.J. Holland, H. Gerrish, M. DeMaria, C.P. Guard and K. Emanuel, 1992: Is there any hope for tropical cyclone intensity prediction? - A panel discussion. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 73, 264-275.
12. _, 1995: Recent advancements in dynamical tropical cyclone track prediction. Meteor. Atmos. Phy., 56, 81-99.
13. Gadd, A.J. and J.F. Keers, 1970: Surface exchanges of sensible and latent heat in a 10-level model atmosphere. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 96, 297-308.
14. Hack, J.J. and W.H. Schubert, 1986: Nonlinear response of atmospheric vortices to heating by organized cumulus convection. J. Atmos. Sci., 43, 1559-1573.
15. Kasahara, A., J. Tsutsui and H. Hirakuchi, 1996: Inversion methods of three cumulus parameterizations for diabatic initialization of a tropical cyclone model. Mon. Wea. Rev., 124, 2304-2321.
16. Kuma, K., C.-H. Cho, C. Muroi and M. Ueno, 1993: Improvement of typhoon track forecast by the JMA global model: An impact of cumulus parameterization. Papers presented at the third Technical Conference on SPECTRUM. Report No. TCP-33, WMO/TD-No. 595. World Meteor. Org., Geneva, Switzerland, IV 1-8.
17. Kuo, H.L., 1974: Further studies of the parameterization of the influence of cumulus convection on large-scale flow. J. Atmos. Sci., 31, 1232-1240.
18. Kuo, Y.-H. and R.A. Anthes, 1984: Semiprognostic tests of Kuo-type cumulus parameterization schemes in an extratropical convective system. Mon. Wea. Rev., 112, 1498-1509.
19. Kurihara, Y., 1973: A scheme of moist convective adjustment. Mon. Wea. Rev., 101, 547-553.
20. _, R.E. Tuleya and M.A. Bender, 1998: The GFDL Hurricane prediction system and its performance in the 1995 Hurricane season. Mon. Wea. Rev., 126, 1306-1322.
21. Moorthi, S. and M.J. Suarez, 1992: Relaxed Arakawa-Schubert: A parameterization of moist convection for general circulation models. Mon. Wea. Rev., 120, 978-1002.
22. Murata, A., K. Aonashi and A. Shibata, 1996: The impact of the analysis field which contains tropical cyclone bogus on the track and intensity forecast. Papers presented at the fourth Technical Conference on SPECTRUM. Report No. TCP-39, WMO/TD-No. 752. World Meteor. Org., Geneva, Switzerland, V36-43.
23. Nagata, M., Y. Tahara and C. Muroi, 1998: Enhanced accuracy of typhoon prediction of the advanced numerical models at the Japan Meteorological Agency. Technical Review, No. 2, RSMC Tokyo - Typhoon Center.
24. Nakamura, M., 1992: Verification of the new JSM. Text for the numerical prediction, Forecast Department of JMA, 25, 10-38 (in Japanese).
25. Puri, K. and M.J. Miller, 1990: Sensitivity of ECMWF analyses-forecast of tropical cyclones to cumulus parameterization. Mon. Wea. Rev., 118, 1709-1742.
26. Rodgers, E.B., J.-J. Baik and H.F. Pierce, 1994a: The environmental influence on tropical cyclone precipitation. J. Appl. Meteor., 33, 573-593.
27. _, S.W. Chang and H.F. Pierce, 1994b: A satellite observational and numerical study of precipitation characteristics in western North Atlantic tropical cyclones. J. Appl. Meteor., 33, 129-139.
28. _ and H.F. Pierce, 1995: Environmental influence on Typhoon Bobbie's precipitation distribution. J. Appl. Meteor., 34, 2515-2532.
29. _ and W.S. Olson, 1998: Satellite-derived latent heating distribution and environmental influences in hurricane Opal (1995). Mon. Wea. Rev., 126, 1229-1247.
30. Schubert, W.H. and J.J. Hack, 1982: Inertial stability and tropical cyclone development. J. Atmos. Sci., 39, 1687-1697.
31. Segami, A., K. Kurihara, H. Nakamura, M. Ueno, I. Takano and Y. Tatsumi, 1989: Operational mesoscale weather prediction with Japan Spectral Model. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 67, 907-924.
32. Shapiro, L.J. and H.E. Willoughby, 1982: The response of balanced hurricane to local sources of heat and momentum. J. Atmos. Sci., 39, 378-394.
33. Tsutsui, J., A. Kasahara and H. Hirakuchi, 1998: Impacts of diabatic initialization and cumulus parameterization on numerical typhoon prediction. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 76, 889-907.
34. Ueno, M., 1995: A study on the impact of asymmetric components around tropical cyclone center on the accuracy of bogus data and the track forecast. Meteor. Atmos. Phy., 56, 125-134.
35. Weatherford, C.L. and W.M. Gray, 1988: Typhoon structure as revealed by aircraft reconnaissance. Part I: Data analysis and climatology. Mon. Wea. Rev., 116, 1032-1043.
36. Willoughby, H.E., 1990: Temporal change of the primary circulation in tropical cyclones. J. Atmos. Sci., 47, 242-264.
37. _, 1998: Tropical cyclone eye thermodynamics. Mon. Wea. Rev., 126, 3053-3067.
38. Yamasaki, M., 1968a: Numerical simulation of tropical cyclone development with the use of primitive equations. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 46, 178-201.
39. _, 1968b: A tropical cyclone model with parameterized vertical partition of released latent heat. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 46, 202-214.
40. _, 1992: A study of tropical cyclone motion with a nested-grid model including rainwater prediction. Pap. Met. Geophys., 43, 61-77.