메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 153, Issue 1, 2003, Pages 103-110

Accelerating seismic crustal deformation before the Izmit (NW Turkey) large mainshock of 1999 August 17 and the evolution of its aftershock sequence

Author keywords

b values; Earthquake prediction

Indexed keywords

AFTERSHOCK; CRUSTAL DEFORMATION; EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION; KOCAELI EARTHQUAKE 1999; NORTH ANATOLIAN FAULT; SEISMICITY;

EID: 0037394646     PISSN: 0956540X     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1046/j.1365-246X.2003.01883.x     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (5)

References (56)
  • 1
    • 0018655872 scopus 로고
    • Characterization of barriers on an earthquake fault
    • Aki, K., 1979. Characterization of barriers on an earthquake fault, J. geophys. Res., 84, 6140-6148.
    • (1979) J. Geophys. Res. , vol.84 , pp. 6140-6148
    • Aki, K.1
  • 2
    • 0013095326 scopus 로고
    • Strong motion prediction using mathematical modeling techniques
    • Aki, K., 1982. Strong motion prediction using mathematical modeling techniques, Bull. seism. Soc. Am., 72, S29-S41.
    • (1982) Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. , vol.72
    • Aki, K.1
  • 3
    • 0028565748 scopus 로고
    • Introduction of scaling techniques in brittle failure of rocks
    • Allègre, C.J. & Le Mouel, J.L., 1994. Introduction of scaling techniques in brittle failure of rocks, Phys. Earth planet. Inter., 87, 85-93.
    • (1994) Phys. Earth Planet. Inter. , vol.87 , pp. 85-93
    • Allègre, C.J.1    Le Mouel, J.L.2
  • 4
    • 0003697528 scopus 로고
    • Contr. no 1577, Div. Geol. Sci. Calif. Inst. Tech
    • Allen, C., 1969. Active faulting in northern Turkey, Contr. no 1577, Div. Geol. Sci. Calif. Inst. Tech., p. 2.
    • (1969) Active Faulting in Northern Turkey , pp. 2
    • Allen, C.1
  • 7
    • 0034035441 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Seismicity of the Sea of Marmara (Turkey) since 1500
    • Ambraseys, N. & Jackson, J.A., 2000. Seismicity of the Sea of Marmara (Turkey) since 1500, Geophys. J. Int., 141, 1-6.
    • (2000) Geophys. J. Int. , vol.141 , pp. 1-6
    • Ambraseys, N.1    Jackson, J.A.2
  • 8
    • 0002731080 scopus 로고
    • Mechanism and strain characteristics of the White Wolf fault as indicated by the aftershock sequence, in Earthquakes in Kern County, California, during 1952
    • Benioff, H., 1952. Mechanism and strain characteristics of the White Wolf fault as indicated by the aftershock sequence, in Earthquakes in Kern County, California, during 1952, Calif. Dept. Nat. Res., Div. Mines Bull., 171, 199-202.
    • (1952) Calif. Dept. Nat. Res., Div. Mines Bull. , vol.171 , pp. 199-202
    • Benioff, H.1
  • 10
    • 0027455235 scopus 로고
    • Predictive modelling of seismic cycle of the Great San Francisco Bay Region
    • Bufe, C.G. & Varnes, D.J., 1993. Predictive modelling of seismic cycle of the Great San Francisco Bay Region, J. geophys. Res., 98, 9871-9883.
    • (1993) J. Geophys. Res. , vol.98 , pp. 9871-9883
    • Bufe, C.G.1    Varnes, D.J.2
  • 12
    • 0000553546 scopus 로고
    • Seismicity of northern Anatolia
    • Dewey, J.W., 1976. Seismicity of northern Anatolia, Bull. seism. Soc. Am., 66, 843-868.
    • (1976) Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. , vol.66 , pp. 843-868
    • Dewey, J.W.1
  • 13
    • 0019353421 scopus 로고
    • The 1906 San Francisco earthquake and the seismic cycle
    • eds Simpson, D.W. & Richards, P.G., Maurice Ewing Series 4. Am. Geophys. Un., Washington, DC
    • Ellsworth, W.L., Lindh, A.G., Prescott, W.H. & Berd, D.G., 1981. The 1906 San Francisco earthquake and the seismic cycle, in Earthquake Prediction, an International Review, pp. 126-140, eds Simpson, D.W. & Richards, P.G., Maurice Ewing Series 4. Am. Geophys. Un., Washington, DC.
    • (1981) Earthquake Prediction, an International Review , pp. 126-140
    • Ellsworth, W.L.1    Lindh, A.G.2    Prescott, W.H.3    Berd, D.G.4
  • 14
    • 0000406441 scopus 로고
    • Variation of the frequency-magnitude relation during earthquake sequences in New Zealand
    • Gibowicz, S.J., 1973. Variation of the frequency-magnitude relation during earthquake sequences in New Zealand, Bull. seism. Soc. Am., 63, 517-528.
    • (1973) Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. , vol.63 , pp. 517-528
    • Gibowicz, S.J.1
  • 15
    • 0000501207 scopus 로고
    • Frequency of earthquakes in California
    • Gutenberg, B. & Richter, C.F., 1944. Frequency of earthquakes in California, Bull. seism. Soc. Am., 34, 185-188.
    • (1944) Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. , vol.34 , pp. 185-188
    • Gutenberg, B.1    Richter, C.F.2
  • 16
    • 0036477221 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Dynamics of Izmit earthquake postseismic deformation and loading of the Düzce earthquake hypocenter
    • Hearn, E.H., Bürgmann, R. & Reilinger, R.E., 2002. Dynamics of Izmit earthquake postseismic deformation and loading of the Düzce earthquake hypocenter, Bull. seism. Soc. Am., 92, 172-193.
    • (2002) Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. , vol.92 , pp. 172-193
    • Hearn, E.H.1    Bürgmann, R.2    Reilinger, R.E.3
  • 17
    • 0031617487 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Precursors, aftershocks, criticality and self organized criticality
    • Huang, Y., Saleur, H., Sammis, C. & Sornette, D., 1998. Precursors, aftershocks, criticality and self organized criticality, Europhys. Lett., 41, 43-48.
    • (1998) Europhys. Lett. , vol.41 , pp. 43-48
    • Huang, Y.1    Saleur, H.2    Sammis, C.3    Sornette, D.4
  • 19
    • 0029768399 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evolution of moderate seismicity in the San Francisco Bay region, 1850 to 1993: Seismicity changes related to the occurrence of large and great earthquakes
    • Jaumé, S.C. & Sykes, L.R., 1996. Evolution of moderate seismicity in the San Francisco Bay region, 1850 to 1993: seismicity changes related to the occurrence of large and great earthquakes, J. geophys. Res., 101, 765-789.
    • (1996) J. Geophys. Res. , vol.101 , pp. 765-789
    • Jaumé, S.C.1    Sykes, L.R.2
  • 20
    • 0032710320 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evolving towards a critical point: A review of accelerating seismic moment/energy release rate prior to large and great earthquakes
    • Jaumé, S.C. & Sykes, L.R., 1999. Evolving towards a critical point: a review of accelerating seismic moment/energy release rate prior to large and great earthquakes, Pure appl. Geophys., 155, 279-306.
    • (1999) Pure Appl. Geophys. , vol.155 , pp. 279-306
    • Jaumé, S.C.1    Sykes, L.R.2
  • 23
    • 0013143141 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Time variation of parameters related to the accelerating pre-shock crustal deformation in the Aegean area
    • Karakaisis, G.F., Savvaidis, A.S. & Papazachos, C.B., 2003. Time variation of parameters related to the accelerating pre-shock crustal deformation in the Aegean area, Pure appl. Geophys., 160, 1-13.
    • (2003) Pure Appl. Geophys. , vol.160 , pp. 1-13
    • Karakaisis, G.F.1    Savvaidis, A.S.2    Papazachos, C.B.3
  • 26
    • 0029751098 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Increased long-range intermediate-magnitude earthquake activity prior to strong earthquakes in California
    • Knopoff, L., Levshina, T., Keilis-Borok, V.J. & Mattoni C., 1996. Increased long-range intermediate-magnitude earthquake activity prior to strong earthquakes in California, J. geophys. Res., 101, 5779-5796.
    • (1996) J. Geophys. Res. , vol.101 , pp. 5779-5796
    • Knopoff, L.1    Levshina, T.2    Keilis-Borok, V.J.3    Mattoni, C.4
  • 27
    • 0001110632 scopus 로고
    • Study of elastic shocks caused by the fracture of heterogeneous materials and their relation to earthquake phenomena
    • Univ. Tokyo
    • Mogi, K., 1962. Study of elastic shocks caused by the fracture of heterogeneous materials and their relation to earthquake phenomena, Bull. Earthq. Res. Inst., Univ. Tokyo, 40, 125-73.
    • (1962) Bull. Earthq. Res. Inst. , vol.40 , pp. 125-173
    • Mogi, K.1
  • 28
    • 0000890061 scopus 로고
    • Some features of the recent seismic activity in and near Japan. 2, activity before and after great earthquakes
    • Univ. Tokyo
    • Mogi, K., 1969. Some features of the recent seismic activity in and near Japan. 2, activity before and after great earthquakes, Bull. Earthq. Res. Inst., Univ. Tokyo. 47, 395-417.
    • (1969) Bull. Earthq. Res. Inst. , vol.47 , pp. 395-417
    • Mogi, K.1
  • 30
    • 0034905842 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Retrospective selection bias (or the benefit of hindsight)
    • Mulargia, F., 2001. Retrospective selection bias (or the benefit of hindsight), Geophys. J. Int., 146, 489-496.
    • (2001) Geophys. J. Int. , vol.146 , pp. 489-496
    • Mulargia, F.1
  • 32
    • 0034535429 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • w = 7.4 Izmit earthquake defined by the microseismicity of the two decades before it
    • w = 7.4 Izmit earthquake defined by the microseismicity of the two decades before it. Geophys. J. Int., 143, 501-506.
    • (2000) Geophys. J. Int. , vol.143 , pp. 501-506
    • Öncel, A.O.1    Wyss, M.2
  • 34
    • 0000194621 scopus 로고
    • On the time distribution of aftershocks and foreshocks in the area of Greece
    • Papazachos, B.C., 1974. On the time distribution of aftershocks and foreshocks in the area of Greece, Pure appl. Geophys., 112, 627-631.
    • (1974) Pure Appl. Geophys. , vol.112 , pp. 627-631
    • Papazachos, B.C.1
  • 37
    • 0033757945 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Accelerated pre-shock deformation of broad regions in the Aegean area
    • Papazachos, B.C. & Papazachos, C.B., 2000a. Accelerated pre-shock deformation of broad regions in the Aegean area, Pure appl. Geophys., 157, 1663-1681.
    • (2000) Pure Appl. Geophys. , vol.157 , pp. 1663-1681
    • Papazachos, B.C.1    Papazachos, C.B.2
  • 38
    • 0000470994 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Observations on pre-shock seismic deformation in the Aegean area and earthquake prediction
    • 10-15 Sept. 2000, Esc
    • Papazachos, C.B. & Papazachos, B.C., 2000b. Observations on pre-shock seismic deformation in the Aegean area and earthquake prediction, 27 Gen. Assembly Europ. Seismol. Comm., Lisbon, 10-15 Sept. 2000, pp. 301-305, Esc.
    • (2000) 27 Gen. Assembly Europ Seismol. Comm., Lisbon , pp. 301-305
    • Papazachos, C.B.1    Papazachos, B.C.2
  • 39
    • 0034837146 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Precursory accelerated Benioff strain in the Aegean area
    • Papazachos, C.B. & Papazachos, B.C., 2001. Precursory accelerated Benioff strain in the Aegean area, Ann. Geofis., 44, 460-474.
    • (2001) Ann. Geofis. , vol.44 , pp. 460-474
    • Papazachos, C.B.1    Papazachos, B.C.2
  • 40
    • 0034477717 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Earthquake triggering in the north and east Aegean plate boundaries due to the Anatolia westward motion
    • Papazachos, B.C., Karakaisis, G.F., Papazachos, C.B. & Scordilis, E.M., 2000a. Earthquake triggering in the north and east Aegean plate boundaries due to the Anatolia westward motion, Geophys. Res. Lett., 27, 3957-3960.
    • (2000) Geophys. Res. Lett. , vol.27 , pp. 3957-3960
    • Papazachos, B.C.1    Karakaisis, G.F.2    Papazachos, C.B.3    Scordilis, E.M.4
  • 43
    • 0013098673 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Results of a retrospective prediction of past strong mainshocks in the broader Aegean area by application of the accelerating seismic deformation method
    • Genoa, 1-6 September 2002, Esc
    • Papazachos, C.B., Karakaisis, G.F. & Scordilis, E.M., 2002b. Results of a retrospective prediction of past strong mainshocks in the broader Aegean area by application of the accelerating seismic deformation method, 28th General Assembly of E.S.C., Genoa, 1-6 September 2002, p. 49, Esc.
    • (2002) 28th General Assembly of E.S.C. , pp. 49
    • Papazachos, C.B.1    Karakaisis, G.F.2    Scordilis, E.M.3
  • 44
    • 0034724954 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Heightened odds of large earthquakes near Istanbul: An interaction-based probability calculation
    • Parsons, T., Toda, S., Stein, R.S., Barka, A. & Dieterich, J.H., 2000. Heightened odds of large earthquakes near Istanbul: an interaction-based probability calculation, Science. 288, 661-665.
    • (2000) Science , vol.288 , pp. 661-665
    • Parsons, T.1    Toda, S.2    Stein, R.S.3    Barka, A.4    Dieterich, J.H.5
  • 46
    • 0037133291 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Positive feedback, memory, and the predictability of earthquakes
    • Sammis, C.G. & Sornette, D., 2002. Positive feedback, memory, and the predictability of earthquakes, PNAS. 99, suppl. 1, 2501-2508(www.pnas.org/cgi/doi/10.1073/pnas.012580999).
    • (2002) PNAS , vol.99 , Issue.1 SUPPL. , pp. 2501-2508
    • Sammis, C.G.1    Sornette, D.2
  • 47
    • 0001621903 scopus 로고
    • The frequency-magnitude relation of microfracturing in rock and its relation to earthquakes
    • Scholz, C.H., 1968. The frequency-magnitude relation of microfracturing in rock and its relation to earthquakes, Bull. seism. Soc. Am., 58, 399-415.
    • (1968) Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. , vol.58 , pp. 399-415
    • Scholz, C.H.1
  • 49
    • 0025593559 scopus 로고
    • Earthquake rupture as a critical point. Consequences for telluric precursors
    • Sornette, A. & Sornette, D., 1990. Earthquake rupture as a critical point. Consequences for telluric precursors. Tectonophysics. 179, 327-334.
    • (1990) Tectonophysics , vol.179 , pp. 327-334
    • Sornette, A.1    Sornette, D.2
  • 50
    • 0000190329 scopus 로고
    • Complex critical exponents from renormalization group theory of earthquakes: Implications for earthquake predictions
    • Sornette, D. & Sammis, C.G., 1995. Complex critical exponents from renormalization group theory of earthquakes: implications for earthquake predictions, J. Phys. I France, 5, 607-619.
    • (1995) J. Phys. I France , vol.5 , pp. 607-619
    • Sornette, D.1    Sammis, C.G.2
  • 51
    • 0030797184 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Progressive failure on the North Anatolian fault since 1939 by earthquake sress triggering
    • Stein, R.S., Barka, A.A. & Dieterich, J.H., 1997. Progressive failure on the North Anatolian fault since 1939 by earthquake sress triggering. Geophys. J. Int., 128, 594-604.
    • (1997) Geophys. J. Int. , vol.128 , pp. 594-604
    • Stein, R.S.1    Barka, A.A.2    Dieterich, J.H.3
  • 52
    • 0025645243 scopus 로고
    • Seismic activity on neighboring faults as a long term precursor to large earthquakes in the San Francisco Bay area
    • Sykes, L.R. & Jaumé, S., 1990. Seismic activity on neighboring faults as a long term precursor to large earthquakes in the San Francisco Bay area, Nature, 348, 595-599.
    • (1990) Nature , vol.348 , pp. 595-599
    • Sykes, L.R.1    Jaumé, S.2
  • 53
    • 0002078184 scopus 로고
    • Seismic history of the San Francisco bay region
    • Tocher, D., 1959. Seismic history of the San Francisco bay region, Calif. Div. Mines Spec. Rep., 57, 39-48.
    • (1959) Calif. Div. Mines Spec. Rep. , vol.57 , pp. 39-48
    • Tocher, D.1
  • 54
    • 0000624779 scopus 로고
    • Space-time migration of earthquakes along the north Anatolian fault zone and seismic gaps
    • Töksoz, M.N., Shakal, A.F. & Michael, A.J., 1979. Space-time migration of earthquakes along the north Anatolian fault zone and seismic gaps, Pure appl. Geophys., 117, 1258-1270.
    • (1979) Pure Appl. Geophys. , vol.117 , pp. 1258-1270
    • Töksoz, M.N.1    Shakal, A.F.2    Michael, A.J.3
  • 55
    • 0002539589 scopus 로고
    • A method for determining the value of b in a formula log n = a - bM showing the magnitude-frequency relation for earthquakes
    • Utsu, T., 1965. A method for determining the value of b in a formula log n = a - bM showing the magnitude-frequency relation for earthquakes, Geoph. Bull. Hokkaido University. 13, 99-103.
    • (1965) Geoph. Bull. Hokkaido University , vol.13 , pp. 99-103
    • Utsu, T.1
  • 56


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.