Earthquake prediction: State-of-the-art and emerging possibilities

Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences

Volumn 30, Issue , 2002, Pages 1-33

  Keilis Borok, Vladimir ^a  

^a INSTITUTE OF EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION THEORY AND MATHEMATICAL GEOPHYSICS   (Russian Federation)

Author keywords

Complexity; Critical transitions; Earthquake preparedness; Premonitory seismicity patterns

Indexed keywords

EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION; RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT;

EID: 0036435789     PISSN: 00846597     EISSN: None     Source Type: Book Series    
DOI: 10.1146/annurev.earth.30.100301.083856     Document Type: Article

References (60)

1. Scale dependence in earthquake phenomena and its relevance to earthquake prediction
2. Formal morphostructural zoning of mountain territories
3. Filtration model of earthquake sequence
4. An observational test of the critical earthquake concept
5. Predictive modeling of the seismic cycle of the greater San Francisco bay region
6. Long-term premonitory seismicity patterns in Italy
7. Chaos
8. Geometric incompatibility in a fault system
9. Long-term premonitory seismicity patterns in Italy
10. Patterns of stress corrosion: Geometry of the principal stresses
11. Colliding cascades model for earthquake prediction
12. Pattern recognition applied to earthquake epicenters in California
13. Recognition of earthquake prone areas: Validity of results obtained from 1972 to 2000
14. Earthquake prediction and decision-making: Social, economic and civil protection aspects
15. The lithosphere of the Earth as a non-linear system with implications for earthquake prediction
16. Intermediate-term earthquake prediction: Models, phenomenology, worldwide tests
17. Bursts of aftershocks, long-term precursors of strong earthquakes
18. Premonitory activation of earthquake flow: Algorithm M8
19. One regularity in the occurrence of strong earthquakes
20. On seismological applications of pattern recognition
21. Diagnosis of time of increased probability of strong earthquakes in different regions of the world: Algorithm CN
22. Dynamics of lithosphere and earthquake prediction
23. The accommodation of large strain in the upper lithosphere of the Earth and other solids by self-similar fault systems: The geometrical origin of b-value
24. Increased long-range intermediate-magnitude earthquake activity prior to strong earthquakes in California
25. Active zone size vs. activity. A study of different seismicity patterns in the context of prediction algorithm M8
26. Similarities of multiple fracturing on a neutron star and on the Earth
27. Localization of intermediate-term earthquake prediction
28. Testing earthquake prediction algorithms: Statistically significant advance prediction of the largest earthquakes in the Circum-Pacific, 1992-1997
29. Application of algorithm for prediction of a strong repeated earthquake to the Joshua Tree and Landers earthquakes
30. Evolution of triple junctions
31. The North Pacific: An example of tectonics on a sphere
32. Earthquake prediction as a decision-making problem
33. Statistical analysis of the results of earthquake prediction, based on burst of aftershocks
34. An algorithm of earthquake prediction
35. Log-periodic behavior of a hierarchical failure model with applications to precursory seismic activation
36. Prediction of large events on a dynamical model of fault
37. Pattern of seismic release in the southern California region
38. Real time test of the long-range aftershock algorithm as a tool for mid-term earthquake prediction in Southern California
39. Discussion of paper by VI Keilis-Borok and LN Malinovskaya, "one regularity in the occurrence of strong earthquakes"
40. Spatiotemporal patterns in the energy-release of great earthquakes
41. Seismicity dynamics prior to and after the largest earthquakes worldwide 1985-2000
42. Premonitory transformation of steel fracturing and seismicity
43. Premonitory raise of the earthquakes' correlation range: Lesser Antilles
44. Phenomenon of local "seismic reversal" before strong earthquakes
45. Formal definition of premonitory seismic quiescence
46. Long-range interaction between synthetic earthquakes in the model of block structure dynamics
47. Complex critical exponents from renormalization group theory of earthquakes: Implications for earthquake predictions
48. Prediction of a subsequent strong earthquake
49. Prediction of a second large earthquake based on aftershock sequence
50. Premonitory spreading of seismicity over the fault network in S. California: Precursor accord
51. Boolean delay model of colliding cascades. II: Prediction of critical transitions
52. Observation of growing correlation length as an indicator for critical point behavior prior to large earthquakes
53. Kinetic concept for strength of solids