Premonitory transformation of steel fracturing and seismicity

Physics of the Earth and Planetary Interiors

Volumn 101, Issue 1-2, 1997, Pages 61-71

  Rotwain, I ^a   Keilis Borok, V ^a   Botvina, L ^b  

^a INSTITUTE OF EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION THEORY AND MATHEMATICAL GEOPHYSICS   (Russian Federation)

^b BAIKOV INSTITUTE OF METALLURGY AND MATERIALS SCIENCE   (Russian Federation)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EARTHQUAKE PRECURSOR; FRACTURE MECHANICS; MICROFRACTURING; SEISMICITY; STEEL;

USA, CALIFORNIA;

EID: 0030723816     PISSN: 00319201     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/S0031-9201(96)03224-4     Document Type: Article

References (50)

1. Allegre, C.J., Le Mouel, J.L. and Provost A., 1982. Scaling rules in rock fracture and possible implications for earthquake prediction. Nature, 297: 47-49.
2. Allegre, C.J. and Le Mouel, J.L., 1994. Introduction of scaling technique in brittle fracture of rocks. Phys. Earth Planet. Inter., 87: 85-93.
3. Allegre, C.J., Le Mouel, J.L., Chau, H.D. and Narteau, C. 1995. Scaling organisation of fracture tectonics (SOFT) and earthquake mechanism. Phys. Earth Planet. Inter., 92: 215-233.
4. Barenblatt, G.I., 1982. Similarity, Self-similarity and Intermediate Asymptotics, Consultants Bureau, New York.
5. Barenblatt, G.I., 1993. Micromechanics of Fracture, Elsevier, TUTAM, pp. 25-51.
6. Barenblatt, G.I. and Botvina, L.R., 1983. Self-similarity of fatigue fracture. Damage accumulation. Bull, Acad. Sci. U.S.S.R. Mechanics of Solids, 4: 161-165 (in Russian).
7. Barenblatt, G.L. and Botvina, L.R., 1993. Self-oscillatory modes of fatigue fracture and the formation of self-similar structures at the fracture surface. Proc. R. Soc. London A, 442: 489-494.
8. Barenblatt, G.I., Keilis-Borok, V.I. and Monin, A.S., 1983. Filtration model of earthquake sequence. Dokl. Akad. Nauk SSSR, 169: 831-834.
9. Barenblatt, G.I. and Prostokishin, V.M., 1993. A mathematical model of damage accumulation taking into account microstructural effects. Eur. J. Appl. Mathematics, 4: 225-240.
10. Blanter, E.M., Shnirman, M.G., Le Mouel, J.-L. and Allegre, C.J., 1996. Scaling laws in block dynamics and dynamic self-organized criticality. Phys. Earth Planet. Inter., in press.
11. Botvina, L.R. and Barenblatt, G.I., 1985. Self-similarity of damage accumulation. Problems of Strength, 12: 17-24 (in Russian).
12. Botvina, L.R., Fradkin, Ju L. and Bridge, B., 1995a. Power laws and generalised dimensional analysis in ultrasonic NDE. J. Non Destructive Testing and Evaluation, 12: 103-118.
13. Botvina, L.R., Rotwain, I.M., Keilis-Borok, V.I. and Oparina, J.B., 1995b. On the character of the Gutenberg-Richter relation on different stages of damage accumulation and earthquake generation. Dokl. RAN, 345(6): 809-812.
14. Brace, W.F. and Bombolakis, A.G., 1963. A note on brittle crack growth in compression. J. Geophys. Res., 68: 3709-3713.
15. Caputo, M., Console, R., Gabrielov, A.M., Keilis-Borok, V.I. and Sidorenko, T.V., 1983. Long-term premonitory seismicity patterns in Italy. Geophys. J. R. Astr. Soc., 75: 71-75.
16. Catalog of Earthquakes of Southern California, 1994, Californian Institute of Technology, electronic FTP file.
17. Gabrielov, A.M., Keilis-Borok, V.I. and Jackson, D., 1996. Geometric incompatibility in a fault system. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 93: 3838-3842.
18. Gabrielov, A.M., Levshina, T.A. and Rotwain, I.M., 1990. Block model of earthquake sequence. Phys. Earth Planet. Inter., 61: 18-29.
19. Gardner, J.K. and Knopoff, L., 1974. In the sequence of earthquake in Southern California, with aftershocks removed, Poissonian? Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 64: 1363-1367.
20. Gutenberg, B. and Richter, C.F., 1954, Seismicity of the Earth and Associated Phenomenon, 2nd edn., Princeton University.
21. Hirata, T., 1987. Omori's power law aftershock sequences of microfracturing in rock fracture experiment. J. Geophys. Res., 92: 6215-6221.
22. Hirata, T., Satoh, T. and Ito, K., 1987. Fractal structure of spatial distribution of microfracturing in rock. Geophys. J. R. Astr. Soc., 90: 369-374.
23. Keilis-Borok, V.I. (Editor) 1990. Intermediate-term earthquake prediction: Models, algorithms, worldwide tests. Phys. Earth Planet. Inter., 61.
24. Keilis-Borok, V.I., 1996. Intermediate-term earthquake prediction. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 93: 3748-3755.
25. Keilis-Borok, V.I., Knopoff, L., Rotwain, I.M. and Sidorenko, T.M., 1980. Burst of Seismicity as Long-Term Precursors of Strong Earthquakes. J. Geophys. Res., 85: 803-811.
26. Keilis-Borok, V.I. and Rotwain, I.M., 1990. Diagnosis of time of increased probability of strong earthquake in different regions of the world: Algorithm CN. Phys. Earth Planet. Inter., 61: 55-72.
27. Knopoff, L., Kagan, Y. and Knopoff, R., 1982. b-value for foreshocks and aftershocks in real and simulated earthquake sequence. Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 72 (5): 1663-1676.
28. Knopoff, L. and Newman W.I., 1983. Crack fusion as a model for repetitive seismicity. PAGEOPH, 121 (3): 495-510.
29. Kossobokov, V.G. and Carlson, J.M., 1995. Active zone size vs. activity. A study of different seismicity patterns in the context of prediction algorithm M8. J. Geophys. Res., 100: 6431-6441.
30. Langer, J.S., Carlson, J.M., Moyers, Ch.R. and Shaw, B.E., 1996. Slip complexity in dynamic models of earthquake faults. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 93: 3825-3829.
31. Molchan, G.M., 1994. Models for optimisation of earthquake prediction, Computational Seismology and Geodynamics, Vol. 2, AGU, Washington, D.C., pp. 1-11.
32. Molchan, G.M. and Dmitrieva, O.E., 1990. Dynamics of the magnitude frequency relation for foreshocks. Phys. Earth Planet. Inter., 61: 99-113.
33. Molchan, G.M., Kronrod, T.L. and Panza, G.F., 1997. Hazard oriented multiscale seismicity model: Italy. BSSA, submitted.
34. Molchan, G.M. and Podgaetskaya, V.M., 1973. Parameters of global seismicity. Computational Seismology, 6: 3-37 (in Russian).
35. Narkunskaya, G.S. and Shnirman, M.G., 1990. Hierarchical model of defect development and seismicity. Phys. Earth Planet. Inter., 61: 29-36.
36. Narkunskaya, G.S. and Shnirman, M.G., 1994. An algorithm of earthquake prediction, Computational Seismology and Geodynamics, Vol. 1, AGU, Washington, D.C., pp. 20-24.
37. Newman, W.I. and Gabrielov, A., 1991. Failure of hierarchical distributions of fiber bundles. I. Int. J. Fracture, 50: 1-14.
38. Newman, W.I., Gabrielov, A. and Turcotte, D.L. (Editors) 1994. Nonlinear Dynamics and Predictability of Geophysical Phenomena. Geophys. Monograph Series, IUGG-AGU, Washington, D.C.
39. Newman, W.I., Turcotte, D.L. and Gabrielov, A., 1995. Log-periodic behaviour of a hierarchical failure model with applications to precursory seismic activation. Phys. Rev. E., 52: 4827-4835.
40. Pertsov, N.V. and Traskin, V.Yu., 1992. Rhebinder effect in nature, Progress in Colloidal Chemistry and Physico-Chemical Mechanics, Moscow, Nauka, pp. 155-165.
41. Shamina, O.G., Budnikov, V.A., Vinogradov, S.D. et al., 1980. Laboratory experiments on the physics of the earthquake source. Physical Processes in Earthquake Sources, pp. 56-68 (in Russian).
42. Scholz, C., 1990. The Mechanics of Earthquake and Faulting, Cambridge University.
43. Shaw, B.E., Carlson, J.M. and Langer, J.S., 1992. Patterns of seismic activity preceding large earthquakes. J. Geophys. Res., 97: 479.
44. Sherman S.I., Borniakov S.A. and Buddo V.Yu., 1983. Areas of Dynamic Effects of Faults, Novosibirsk, Nauka, 111 pp. (in Russian).
45. Smalley, R.F., Turcotte, D.L. and Solla, S., 1985. A renormalization group approach to the stick-slip behaviour of faults. J. Geophys. Res., 90: 1894-1900.
46. Syh, C.M., Yuuki, R. and Kitagawa H., 1985. Fatigue microcracks in a low carbon steel. Fatigue Fract. Engng. Mater. Struct., 8(1): 193-203.
47. Turcotte, D.L., 1992. Fractals and Chaos in Geology and Geophysics, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK.
48. Zhurkov, S.N., Kuksenko, V.S., Petrov, V.A. et al., 1978. Concentration criterion of volume-type fracture in solids, Physical Processes in Earthquake Sources, Moscow, Nauka, pp. 101-116 (in Russian).
49. Vorobieva, I.A. and Levshina, T.L., 1992. Prediction of the reoccurrence strong shock using the aftershock sequence, Computational Seismology and Geodynamics, Vol. 2, AGU, Washington, D.C., pp. 27-37.
50. Yamashita, T. and Knopoff, L., 1992. Model for intermediate-term precursory clustering of earthquakes. J. Geophys. Res., 97: 19873-19879.