메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 6, Issue 3, 2000, Pages 171-182

People focus on optimistic scenarios and disregard pessimistic scenarios while predicting task completion times

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

AFFECT; ARTICLE; ATTITUDE; FEMALE; FORECASTING; HUMAN; MALE; QUESTIONNAIRE;

EID: 0034266668     PISSN: 1076898X     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1037/1076-898X.6.3.171     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (136)

References (23)
  • 2
    • 77956732897 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Situated optimism: Specific outcome expectancies and self-regulation
    • M. P. Zanna (Ed.), New York: Academic Press
    • Armor, D. A., & Taylor, S. E. (1998). Situated optimism: Specific outcome expectancies and self-regulation. In M. P. Zanna (Ed.), Advances in experimental social psychology (Vol. 30, pp. 309-379). New York: Academic Press.
    • (1998) Advances in Experimental Social Psychology , vol.30 , pp. 309-379
    • Armor, D.A.1    Taylor, S.E.2
  • 5
    • 21844497186 scopus 로고
    • Exploring the "planning fallacy": Why people underestimate their task completion times
    • Buehler, R., Griffin, D., & Ross, M. (1994). Exploring the "planning fallacy": Why people underestimate their task completion times. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 67, 366-381.
    • (1994) Journal of Personality and Social Psychology , vol.67 , pp. 366-381
    • Buehler, R.1    Griffin, D.2    Ross, M.3
  • 6
    • 84953475353 scopus 로고
    • It's about time: Optimistic predictions in love and work
    • W. Stroebe & M. Hewstone (Eds.), Chichester, England: Wiley
    • Buehler, R., Griffin, D., & Ross, M. (1995). It's about time: Optimistic predictions in love and work. In W. Stroebe & M. Hewstone (Eds.), The European review of social psychology (Vol. 6, pp. 1-32). Chichester, England: Wiley.
    • (1995) The European Review of Social Psychology , vol.6 , pp. 1-32
    • Buehler, R.1    Griffin, D.2    Ross, M.3
  • 8
    • 0000284887 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Cognitive and motivational factors influencing time prediction
    • Byram, S. J. (1997). Cognitive and motivational factors influencing time prediction. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied, 3, 216-239.
    • (1997) Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied , vol.3 , pp. 216-239
    • Byram, S.J.1
  • 9
    • 0002777512 scopus 로고
    • The effect of imagining an event on expectations for the event: An interpretation in terms of the availability heuristic
    • Carroll, J. S. (1978). The effect of imagining an event on expectations for the event: An interpretation in terms of the availability heuristic. Journal of Experimental Social Psychology, 14, 88-96.
    • (1978) Journal of Experimental Social Psychology , vol.14 , pp. 88-96
    • Carroll, J.S.1
  • 11
    • 0029181376 scopus 로고
    • The correspondence bias
    • Gilbert, D. T. (1995). The correspondence bias. Psychological Bulletin, 117, 121-138.
    • (1995) Psychological Bulletin , vol.117 , pp. 121-138
    • Gilbert, D.T.1
  • 12
    • 0025618529 scopus 로고
    • The role of construal processes in overconfident predictions about the self and others
    • Griffin, D., Dunning, D., & Ross, L. (1990). The role of construal processes in overconfident predictions about the self and others. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 59, 1128-1139.
    • (1990) Journal of Personality and Social Psychology , vol.59 , pp. 1128-1139
    • Griffin, D.1    Dunning, D.2    Ross, L.3
  • 14
    • 0002554835 scopus 로고
    • The simulation heuristic
    • D. Kahneman, P. Slovic, & A. Tversky (Eds.), Cambridge, England: Cambridge University Press
    • Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1982). The simulation heuristic. In D. Kahneman, P. Slovic, & A. Tversky (Eds.), Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases (pp. 201-208). Cambridge, England: Cambridge University Press.
    • (1982) Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases , pp. 201-208
    • Kahneman, D.1    Tversky, A.2
  • 15
    • 0040164861 scopus 로고
    • Thinking about the future: A cognitive perspective
    • Klayman, J., & Schoemaker, P. J. H. (1993). Thinking about the future: A cognitive perspective. Journal of Forecasting, 12, 161-168.
    • (1993) Journal of Forecasting , vol.12 , pp. 161-168
    • Klayman, J.1    Schoemaker, P.J.H.2
  • 16
    • 0026249754 scopus 로고
    • Explanation, imagination, and confidence in judgment
    • Koehler, D. J. (1991). Explanation, imagination, and confidence in judgment. Psychological Bulletin, 110, 499-519.
    • (1991) Psychological Bulletin , vol.110 , pp. 499-519
    • Koehler, D.J.1
  • 18
    • 23744508345 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Confidence and uncertainty in judgmental forecasting: Differential effects of scenario presentation
    • Kuhn, K. M., & Sniezek, J. A. (1996). Confidence and uncertainty in judgmental forecasting: Differential effects of scenario presentation. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 9, 231-247.
    • (1996) Journal of Behavioral Decision Making , vol.9 , pp. 231-247
    • Kuhn, K.M.1    Sniezek, J.A.2
  • 21
    • 84989132948 scopus 로고
    • Multiple scenario development: Its conceptual and behavioral foundation
    • Schoemaker, P. J. H. (1993). Multiple scenario development: Its conceptual and behavioral foundation. Strategic Management Journal, 14, 193-213.
    • (1993) Strategic Management Journal , vol.14 , pp. 193-213
    • Schoemaker, P.J.H.1
  • 22
    • 0003376794 scopus 로고
    • Scenarios: Uncharted waters ahead
    • Wack, P. (1985). Scenarios: Uncharted waters ahead. Harvard Business Review, 65, 73-89.
    • (1985) Harvard Business Review , vol.65 , pp. 73-89
    • Wack, P.1
  • 23
    • 0029190627 scopus 로고
    • Knowing what you'll do: Effects of analyzing reasons on self-prediction
    • Wilson, T. D., & LaFleur, S. J. (1995). Knowing what you'll do: Effects of analyzing reasons on self-prediction. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 68, 21-35.
    • (1995) Journal of Personality and Social Psychology , vol.68 , pp. 21-35
    • Wilson, T.D.1    LaFleur, S.J.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.