In the nick of time: Conflict management, mediation timing, and the duration of interstate disputes

International Studies Quarterly

Volumn 44, Issue 2, 2000, Pages 239-260

  Regan, Patrick M ^a   Stam, Allan C ^b  

^a BINGHAMTON UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^b YALE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

CONFLICT MANAGEMENT; DISPUTE RESOLUTION; THEORETICAL STUDY;

EID: 0034107893     PISSN: 00208833     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/0020-8833.00157     Document Type: Article

References (61)

1. ALLISON, P. D. (1984) Event History Analysis. London: Sage.
2. ASSEFA, H. (1987) Mediation of Civil Wars: Approaches and Strategies - The Sudan Conflict. Boulder, CO: Westview Press.
3. BENNETT, D. S. (1999) Parametric Models, Duration Dependence, and Time-Varying Data Revisited: Comment on J. M. Box-Steffensmeier and B. S. Jones. American Journal of Political Science 43(1): 256-270.
4. BENNETT, D. S., AND A. C. STAM III (1996) The Duration of Interstate Wars, 1816-1985. American Political Science Review 90(June):239-257.
5. BERCOVITCH, J. (1986) International Mediation: A Study of Incidence, Strategies and Conditions of Successful Outcomes. Cooperation and Conflict 21(3):155-168.
6. BERCOVITCH, J. (1989) "International Dispute Mediation: A Comparative Empirical Analysis." In Mediation Research, edited by K. Kressel et al. San Francisco: Jossey-Bass.
7. BERCOVITCH, J. (1997) "Mediation in International Conflict: An Overview of Theory, A Review of Practice." In Peacemaking in International Conflict: Methods and Techniques, edited by W. Zartman and J. L. Rasmussen. Washington, DC: U.S. Institute of Peace.
8. BERCOVITCH, J. (1999) Coding Manual for Mediation Data. University of Canterbury, Christchurch, New Zealand. Typescript.
9. BERCOVITCH, J., J. T. ANACNOSON, AND D. WILLE (1991) Some Conceptual Issues and Empirical Trends in the Study of Successful Mediation in International Relations. Journal of Peace Research 28:7-17.
10. BERCOVITCH, J., AND R. JACKSON (1997) International Conflict: A Chronological Encyclopedia of Conflicts and Their Management, 1945-1995. Washington, DC: Congressional Quarterly Press.
11. BERCOVITCII, J., AND J. LANGLEY (1993) The Nature of Dispute and the Effectiveness of International Mediation. Journal of Conflict Resolution 37:670-691.
12. BERCOVITCH, J., AND P. M. REGAN (1996) "Managing Risk in International Relations: The Mediation of Enduring Rivals." In Enforcing Cooperation: Risky States and the Intergovernmental Management of Conflict, edited by G. Schneider and P. Weitsman. London: Macmillan.
13. BOBROW, D. B. (1996) Complex Insecurity: Implication of a Sobering Metaphor. International Studies Quarterly 40(4):435-450.
14. BOX-STEFFENSMEIER, J. M., AND B. S. JONES (1997) Time Is of the Essence: Event History Models in Political Science. American Journal of Political Science 41(October):1414-1461.
15. BUENO DE MESQUITA, B., AND R. M. SIVERSON (1995) War and the Survival of Political Leaders: A Comparative Study of Regime Types and Political Accountability. American Political Science Review 89(December):841-855.
16. CARNEVALE, P. (1986) Strategic Choice in Mediation. Negotiation Journal 2:41-56.
17. CURRY, A., AND P. PECORINO (1993) The Use of Final Offer Arbitration as a Screening Device. Journal of Conflict Resolution 37:655-669.
18. DIXON, W. (1993) Democracy and the Management of International Conflict. Journal of Conflict Resolution 37(1):42-68.
19. DIXON, W. (1996) Third-party Techniques for Preventing Conflict Escalation and Promoting Peaceful Settlement. International Organization 50:653-681.
20. EWALD, P. W. (1994) Evolution of Infectious Disease. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
21. FREI, D. (1976) Conditions Affecting the Effectiveness of Mediation. Peace Science Society (International) Papers 26:67-84.
22. GOERTZ, G., AND P. F. DIEHL (1995) The Initiation and Termination of Enduring Rivalries: The Impact of Political Shocks. American Journal of Political Science 39:30-52.
23. GOERTZ, G., AND P. M. REGAN (1997) Conflict Management in Enduring Rivalries. International Interactions 22(4):321-340.
24. GREENE, W. H. (1993) Econometric Analysis, 2nd ed. New York: Macmillan.
25. HAASS, R. N. (1990) Conflicts Unending: The United States and Regional Disputes. New Haven: Yale University Press.
26. HANUSHEK, E. A., AND J. E. JACKSON (1977) Statistical Methods for Social Scientists. New York: Academic Press.
27. HUTH, P. K. (1997) Standing Your Ground: Territorial Disputes and International Conflict. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press.
28. IKLÉ, F. C. (1964) How Nations Negotiate. New York: Harper and Row.
29. JONES, D. M., S. A. BREMER, AND J. D. SINGER (1997) Militarized Interstate Disputes, 1816-1992: Ratioale, Coding Rules, and Empirical Patterns. Conflict Management and Peace Science 15(Fall):163-213.
30. JONES, N. (1997) Transmission Systems and Dynamics in Infectious Disease Epidemiology. Typescript, University of Canterbury, Christchurch, New Zealand.
31. KALBFLEISCH, J. D., AND R. L. PRENTICE (1980) The Statistical Analysis of Failure Time Data. New York: John Wiley and Sons.
32. KEASHLY, L., AND R. J. FISHER (1990) Toward a Contingency Approach to Third Party Intervention in Regional Conflict: A Cyprus Illustration. International Journal 45(2):424-453.
33. KEOHANE, R. O. (1989) International Institutions and State Power: Essays in International Relations Theory. Boulder, CO: Westview Press.
34. KIEFER, N. M. (1988) Economic Duration Data and Hazard Functions. Journal of Economic Literature 26(June):646-679.
35. KING, G. (1989) Unifying Political Methodology. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
36. KLEIBOER, M. (1996) Understanding Success and Failure in International Mediation. Journal of Conflict Resolution 40(2):360-389.
37. KRIESBERG, L. (1989) "Transforming Conflict in the Middle East and Central Europe." In Intractable Conflicts and Their Transformation, edited by L. Kriesberg et al. Syracuse, NY: Syracuse University Press.
38. KRIESBERG, L. (1991a) Formal and Quasi-mediators in International Disputes: An Exploratory Analysis. Journal of Peace Research 28:19-27.
39. KRIESBERG, L. (1991b) "Introduction: Timing, Conditions, Strategies, and Errors." In Timing the De-Escalation of International Conflicts, edited by L. Kriesberg and S. J. Thorson. Syracuse, NY: Syracuse University Press.
40. LANCASTER, T. (1990) The Econometric Analysis of Transition Data. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
41. LENG, R. J. (1983) Will They Ever Learn? Coercive Bargaining in Recurrent Crises. Journal of Conflict Resolution 27(3):379-419.
42. MARTIN, L. L. (1992) Institutions and Cooperation: Sanctions During the Falkland Islands Conflict. International Security 16(4):143-178.
43. MORGAN, T. C. (1995) Untying the Knot of War: A Bargaining Theory of International Crises. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press.
44. NORTHEDGE, F. S., AND M. D. DONELAN (1971) International Disputes: The Political Aspects. London: Europa Publications.
45. PETERSEN, T. (1986) Fitting Parametric Survival Models with Time-Dependent Covariates. Applied Statistics 35:281-288.
46. PILLAR, P. R. (1983) Negotiating Peace: War Termination as a Bargaining Process. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.
47. PUTNAM, R. D. (1988) Diplomacy and Domestic Politics: The Logic of Two-Level Games. International Organization 42:427-460.
48. REED, W. (1998) The Relevance of Politically Relevant Dyads. Paper presented at the annual meeting of the Peace Science Society, Rutgers University, October.
49. REGAN, P. M. (1996) Conditions of Successful Third Party Intervention in Intrastate Conflicts. Journal of Conflict Resolution 40:336-359.
50. SAGRIPANTI, J., L. B. ROUTSON, A. C. BONIFACINO, AND C. D. LYTLE (1997) Mechanism of CopperMediated Inactivation of Herpes Simplex Virus. Antimicrobial Agents and Chemotherapy 41(4):812-817.
51. SCHELLING, T. C. (1972) "The Process of Residential Segregation: Neighborhood Tipping." In Racial Discrimination in Economic Life, edited by A. H. Pascal. Lexington, MA: Lexington Books.
52. SIGNORINO, C. S. (1998) Estimation and Strategic Interaction in Discrete Choice Models of International Conflict. Harvard University Center for International Affairs Working Paper 98-4. http://data.fas.harvard.edu/cfia/cfiapubs/abstract/signor3.htm
53. SMITH, A. (1996) To Intervene or Not to Intervene: A Biased Decision. Journal of Conflict Resolution 40(1):16-40.
54. SMITH, W. P. (1985) Effectiveness of the Biased Mediator. Negotiation Journal 1:363-372.
55. STATA MANUAL REFERENCE P-Z PG 350. STATACORP (1997) Stata Statistical Software; Release 5.0. College Station, TX: Stata Corporation.
56. TOUVAL, S., AND I. W. ZARTMAN, EDS. (1985) International Mediation in Theory and Practice. Boulder, CO: Westview Press.
57. VERONESI, U., A. LUINI, L. MARIANI, M. DEL VECHIO, D. ALVEZ, C. ANDREOLI, A. GIACOBONE, M. MERSON, G. PACETTI, R. RASELLI, AND R. SACCOZZI (1994) Effect of Menstrual Phase on Surgical Treatment of Breast Cancer. Lancet, June 18(434):1545-1547.
58. VUCHINICH, S. I., AND J. TEACHMAN (1993) The Duration of Wars, Strikes, Riots, and Family Arguments. Journal of Conflict Resolution 37:544-568.
59. WARWICK, P. V. (1992) Rising Hazards: An Underlying Dynamic of Parliamentary Government. American Journal of Political Science 36:857-876.
60. ZARTMAN, I. W. (1985) Ripe for Resolution: Conflict and Intervention in Africa. New York: Oxford University Press.
61. ZARTMAN, I. W. (1995) "Dynamics and Constraints in Negotiations in Internal Conflicts." In Elusive Peace: Negotiating an End to Civil Wars, edited by I. W. Zartman. Washington, DC: Brookings Institution.