The continuing search for an anthropogenic climate change signal: Limitations of correlation-based approaches

Geophysical Research Letters

Volumn 24, Issue 18, 1997, Pages 2319-2322

  Legates, David R ^a   Davis, Robert E ^b  

^a LOUISIANA STATE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^b UNIVERSITY OF VIRGINIA   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EARTH SCIENCES; GEOPHYSICS; CORRELATION METHODS; MATHEMATICAL MODELS;

ANTHROPOGENIC CLIMATE CHANGES; GENERAL CIRCULATION MODEL; HUMAN INFLUENCES; PATTERN CORRELATION;

CLIMATE CHANGE;

ANTHROPOGENIC CLIMATE CHANGE; CENTERED PATTERN CORRELATION STATISTICS; GENERAL CIRCULATION MODEL;

ANTHROPOGENIC CLIMATE CHANGE;

EID: 0031224890     PISSN: 00948276     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1029/97GL02207     Document Type: Article

References (15)

1. Barnett, T.P., and M.E. Schlesinger, Detecting changes in global climate induced by greenhouse gases, J. Geophys. Res., 92, 14772-14780, 1987.
2. Bradley, R.S., and P.D. Jones (eds.), Climate Since A.D. 1500 (Revised Edition), Routledge, London, 706pp., 1995.
3. Gunst, R.F., Estimating spatial correlations from spatial-temporal meteorological data, J. Clim., 8, 2454-2470, 1995
4. Hegerl, G.C., H. von Storch, K. Hasselmann, B.D. Santer, U. Cubasch, and P.D. Jones, Detecting greenhouse gas-induced climate change with an optimal fingerprint method, J. Clim., 9, 2281-2306, 1996.
5. Jones, P.D., T.M.L. Wigley, and G. Farmer, Marine and land temperature data sets: A comparison and look at recent trends, Greenhouse-Gas-Induced Climatic Change: A Critical Appraisal of Simulations and Observations, M.E. Schlesinger (ed.), Elsevier, Amsterdam, 153-172, 1991.
6. Jones, R.H., Estimating the variance of time averages, J. Appl. Meteor., 14, 159-163, 1975.
7. Kessler, E. and B. Neas, On correlation, with applications to the radar and raingage measurement of rainfall, Atmos. Res., 34, 217-229, 1994.
8. Leith, C.E., The standard error of time-average estimates of climatic means, J. Appl. Meteor., 12, 1066-1069, 1973.
9. Madden, R.A., A simple approximation for the variance of meteorological time averages, J. Appl. Meteor., 18, 703-706, 1979.
10. Moore, D.S., Statistics: Concepts and Controversies, 3rd Edition, W.H. Freeman and Company, New York, 439pp., 1991.
11. Nash, J.E., and J.V. Sutcliffe, River flow forecasting through conceptual models: Part I - A discussion of principles, J. Hydrol., 10, 282-290, 1970.
12. Santer, B.D., K.E. Taylor, T.M.L. Wigley, J.E. Penner, P.D. Jones, and U. Cubasch, Towards the detection and attribution of an anthropogenic effect on climate, Clim. Dynamics, 12, 77-100, 1995.
13. Santer, B.D., K.E. Taylor, T.M.L. Wigley, T.C. Johns, P.D. Jones, D.J. Karoly, J.F.B. Mitchell, A.H. Oort, J.E. Penner, V. Ramaswamy, M.D. Schwarzkopf, R.J. Stouffer, and S. Tett, A search for human influences on the thermal structure in the atmosphere, Nature, 382, 39-46, 1996.
14. Willmott, C.J., On the validation of models, Phys. Geog., 2, 184-194, 1981.
15. Willmott, C.J., S.G. Ackleson, R.E. Davis, J.J. Feddema, K.M. Klink, D.R. Legates, J. O'Donnell, and C.M. Rowe, Statistics for the evaluation and comparison of models, J. Geophys. Res., 90, 8995-9005, 1985.