-
1
-
-
0002368157
-
Information integration theory: A brief survey
-
Krantz D, Atkinson RC, Luce RD, Suppes P (eds). WH Freeman: San Francisco
-
Anderson NH. 1974. Information integration theory: a brief survey. In Contemporary Developments in Mathematical Psychology (Vol. 2), Krantz D, Atkinson RC, Luce RD, Suppes P (eds). WH Freeman: San Francisco; 237-305.
-
(1974)
Contemporary Developments in Mathematical Psychology
, vol.2
, pp. 237-305
-
-
Anderson, N.H.1
-
2
-
-
84956437142
-
The forecasting accuracy of trainee accountants using judge-mental and statistical techniques
-
Angus-Leppan P, Fatseas V. 1986. The forecasting accuracy of trainee accountants using judge-mental and statistical techniques. Accounting and Business Research 16: 179-188.
-
(1986)
Accounting and Business Research
, vol.16
, pp. 179-188
-
-
Angus-Leppan, P.1
Fatseas, V.2
-
6
-
-
38149073718
-
Effects of cognitive feedback components, display format, and elaboration of performance
-
Balzer WK, Hammer LB, Sumner KE, Birchenough TR, Martens SP, Raymark PH. 1994. Effects of cognitive feedback components, display format, and elaboration of performance. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes 58: 369-385.
-
(1994)
Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes
, vol.58
, pp. 369-385
-
-
Balzer, W.K.1
Hammer, L.B.2
Sumner, K.E.3
Birchenough, T.R.4
Martens, S.P.5
Raymark, P.H.6
-
7
-
-
0000602959
-
The base-rate fallacy in probability judgements
-
Bar-Hillel M. 1980. The base-rate fallacy in probability judgements. Acta Psychologica 44: 211-213.
-
(1980)
Acta Psychologica
, vol.44
, pp. 211-213
-
-
Bar-Hillel, M.1
-
9
-
-
0003307840
-
Laboratory studies of subjective probability: A status report
-
Wright G, Ayton P (eds). John Wiley: Chichester
-
Beach LR, Braun GP. 1994. Laboratory studies of subjective probability: a status report. In Subjective Probability, Wright G, Ayton P (eds). John Wiley: Chichester.
-
(1994)
Subjective Probability
-
-
Beach, L.R.1
Braun, G.P.2
-
10
-
-
38249007793
-
The effects of feedback and training on the performance of probability forecasters
-
Benson PG, Önkal D. 1992. The effects of feedback and training on the performance of probability forecasters. International Journal of Forecasting 8: 559-573.
-
(1992)
International Journal of Forecasting
, vol.8
, pp. 559-573
-
-
Benson, P.G.1
Önkal, D.2
-
11
-
-
84981636014
-
Feedforward and feedback as determiners of knowledge and policy: Notes on a neglected issue
-
Björkman M. 1972. Feedforward and feedback as determiners of knowledge and policy: notes on a neglected issue. Scandinavian Journal of Psychology 13: 152-158.
-
(1972)
Scandinavian Journal of Psychology
, vol.13
, pp. 152-158
-
-
Björkman, M.1
-
12
-
-
84980149346
-
A case study of expert judgement: Economists probabilities versus base-rate model forecasts
-
Braun PA, Yaniv I. 1992. A case study of expert judgement: economists probabilities versus base-rate model forecasts. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making 5: 217-231.
-
(1992)
Journal of Behavioral Decision Making
, vol.5
, pp. 217-231
-
-
Braun, P.A.1
Yaniv, I.2
-
14
-
-
0003010182
-
Verification of forecasts expressed in terms of a probability
-
Brier GW. 1950. Verification of forecasts expressed in terms of a probability. Monthly Weather Review 78(1): 1-3.
-
(1950)
Monthly Weather Review
, vol.78
, Issue.1
, pp. 1-3
-
-
Brier, G.W.1
-
17
-
-
0026181956
-
An experimental study comparing the effectiveness of computer graphics data versus computer tabular data
-
Coll R, Thyagarajan A, Chopra S. 1991. An experimental study comparing the effectiveness of computer graphics data versus computer tabular data. IEEE Transactions in Systems, Man and Cybernetics 21: 897-900.
-
(1991)
IEEE Transactions in Systems, Man and Cybernetics
, vol.21
, pp. 897-900
-
-
Coll, R.1
Thyagarajan, A.2
Chopra, S.3
-
18
-
-
84985765969
-
Computer graphics as design aids: Directions for research
-
De Sanctis G. 1984. Computer graphics as design aids: directions for research. Decision Sciences 15: 463-487.
-
(1984)
Decision Sciences
, vol.15
, pp. 463-487
-
-
De Sanctis, G.1
-
20
-
-
6744229791
-
Principles of risk management
-
Vincent C (ed.). BMA: London
-
Dickson G. 1995. Principles of risk management. In Clinical Risk Management, Vincent C (ed.). BMA: London; 18-30.
-
(1995)
Clinical Risk Management
, pp. 18-30
-
-
Dickson, G.1
-
21
-
-
0022526125
-
Understanding the effectiveness of computer graphics for decision support: A cumulative experimental approach
-
Dickson GW, De Sanctis G, McBride DJ. 1986. Understanding the effectiveness of computer graphics for decision support: a cumulative experimental approach. Communications of the ACM 29: 40-47.
-
(1986)
Communications of the ACM
, vol.29
, pp. 40-47
-
-
Dickson, G.W.1
De Sanctis, G.2
McBride, D.J.3
-
22
-
-
77956774066
-
Cognitive feedback
-
Brehmer B, Joyce CRB (eds). North-Holland: Amsterdam
-
Doherty M, Balzer WK. 1988. Cognitive feedback. In Human Judgement: The SJT View, Brehmer B, Joyce CRB (eds). North-Holland: Amsterdam; 163-197.
-
(1988)
Human Judgement: The SJT View
, pp. 163-197
-
-
Doherty, M.1
Balzer, W.K.2
-
23
-
-
0040653185
-
Intergroup relations and polarization in individual and collective judgements
-
Doise W. 1969. Intergroup relations and polarization in individual and collective judgements. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 12: 136-143.
-
(1969)
Journal of Personality and Social Psychology
, vol.12
, pp. 136-143
-
-
Doise, W.1
-
24
-
-
0000897802
-
Discrete subjective probabilities and decision analysis: Elicitation, calibration and combination
-
Wright G, Ayton P (eds). John Wiley: Chichester
-
Ferrell WR. 1994. Discrete subjective probabilities and decision analysis: elicitation, calibration and combination. In Subjective Probability, Wright G, Ayton P (eds). John Wiley: Chichester; 411-451.
-
(1994)
Subjective Probability
, pp. 411-451
-
-
Ferrell, W.R.1
-
26
-
-
0001363701
-
Scoring-rule feedback and the overconfidence syndrome in subjective probability forecasting
-
Fischer GW. 1982. Scoring-rule feedback and the overconfidence syndrome in subjective probability forecasting. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes 29: 352-369.
-
(1982)
Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes
, vol.29
, pp. 352-369
-
-
Fischer, G.W.1
-
28
-
-
0001805401
-
A little learning ... : Confidence in multicue judgement
-
Nickerson R (ed.). Earlbaum: Hillsdale, NJ
-
Fischhoff B, Slovic P. 1980. A little learning ... : confidence in multicue judgement. In Attention and Performance VIII Nickerson R (ed.). Earlbaum: Hillsdale, NJ.
-
(1980)
Attention and Performance VIII
-
-
Fischhoff, B.1
Slovic, P.2
-
30
-
-
85072393582
-
Weighing the risks: Which risks are acceptable?
-
Slovic P (ed.). Earthscan: London
-
Fischhoff B, Slovic P, Lichtenstein S. 2000. Weighing the risks: which risks are acceptable? In The Perception of Risk, Slovic P (ed.). Earthscan: London; 121-136.
-
(2000)
The Perception of Risk
, pp. 121-136
-
-
Fischhoff, B.1
Slovic, P.2
Lichtenstein, S.3
-
31
-
-
0033070632
-
Frequency, probability, and prediction: Easy solutions to cognitive illusions?
-
Griffin D, Buehler R. 1999. Frequency, probability, and prediction: easy solutions to cognitive illusions? Cognitive Psychology 38: 48-78.
-
(1999)
Cognitive Psychology
, vol.38
, pp. 48-78
-
-
Griffin, D.1
Buehler, R.2
-
32
-
-
44049114641
-
The weighting of evidence and the determinants of confidence
-
Griffin D, Tversky A. 1992. The weighting of evidence and the determinants of confidence. Cognitive Psychology 24: 411-435.
-
(1992)
Cognitive Psychology
, vol.24
, pp. 411-435
-
-
Griffin, D.1
Tversky, A.2
-
33
-
-
0000399254
-
Probabilistic functionalism and the clinical method
-
Hammond KR. 1955. Probabilistic functionalism and the clinical method. Psychological Review 62: 255-262.
-
(1955)
Psychological Review
, vol.62
, pp. 255-262
-
-
Hammond, K.R.1
-
34
-
-
0015243176
-
Computer graphics as an aid to learning
-
Hammond KR. 1971. Computer graphics as an aid to learning. Science 172: 903-908.
-
(1971)
Science
, vol.172
, pp. 903-908
-
-
Hammond, K.R.1
-
37
-
-
0030094903
-
Graphs versus tables: Effects of data presentation format on judgemental forecasting
-
Harvey N, Bolger F. 1996. Graphs versus tables: effects of data presentation format on judgemental forecasting. International Journal of Forecasting 12: 119-137.
-
(1996)
International Journal of Forecasting
, vol.12
, pp. 119-137
-
-
Harvey, N.1
Bolger, F.2
-
39
-
-
84980193709
-
Graphic displays in decision making - The visual salience effect
-
Jarvenpaa SL. 1990. Graphic displays in decision making - the visual salience effect. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making 3: 247-262.
-
(1990)
Journal of Behavioral Decision Making
, vol.3
, pp. 247-262
-
-
Jarvenpaa, S.L.1
-
41
-
-
0024009378
-
On the ability of monitoring non-veridical perceptions and uncertain knowledge: Some calibration studies
-
Keren G. 1988. On the ability of monitoring non-veridical perceptions and uncertain knowledge: some calibration studies. Acta Psychologica 67: 95-119.
-
(1988)
Acta Psychologica
, vol.67
, pp. 95-119
-
-
Keren, G.1
-
42
-
-
0001037403
-
Calibration and probability judgements: Conceptual and methodological issues
-
Keren G. 1991. Calibration and probability judgements: conceptual and methodological issues. Acta Psychologica 77: 217-273.
-
(1991)
Acta Psychologica
, vol.77
, pp. 217-273
-
-
Keren, G.1
-
44
-
-
0029969593
-
The base rate fallacy reconsidered: Descriptive, normative, and methodological challenges
-
Koehler JJ. 1996. The base rate fallacy reconsidered: descriptive, normative, and methodological challenges. Behavioral and Brain Sciences 19: 1-53.
-
(1996)
Behavioral and Brain Sciences
, vol.19
, pp. 1-53
-
-
Koehler, J.J.1
-
46
-
-
84984516269
-
An exploration of some practical issues in the use of quantitative forecasting models
-
Lawrence MJ. 1983. An exploration of some practical issues in the use of quantitative forecasting models. Journal of Forecasting 2: 169-179.
-
(1983)
Journal of Forecasting
, vol.2
, pp. 169-179
-
-
Lawrence, M.J.1
-
50
-
-
0002941732
-
Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art to 1980
-
Kahneman D, Slovic P, Tversky A (eds). Cambridge University Press: Cambridge
-
Lichtenstein S, Fischhoff B, Phillips LD. 1982. Calibration of probabilities: the state of the art to 1980. In Judgement Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases, Kahneman D, Slovic P, Tversky A (eds). Cambridge University Press: Cambridge.
-
(1982)
Judgement Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases
-
-
Lichtenstein, S.1
Fischhoff, B.2
Phillips, L.D.3
-
51
-
-
0000007264
-
The calibration of subjective probabilities: Theories and models 1980-94
-
Wright G, Ayton P (eds). John Wiley: Chichester
-
McClelland AGR, Bolger F. 1994. The calibration of subjective probabilities: theories and models 1980-94. In Subjective Probability Wright G, Ayton P (eds). John Wiley: Chichester; 453-482.
-
(1994)
Subjective Probability
, pp. 453-482
-
-
McClelland, A.G.R.1
Bolger, F.2
-
52
-
-
0024554734
-
How well can physicians estimate mortality in a medical intensive care unit?
-
McClish DK, Powell SH. 1989. How well can physicians estimate mortality in a medical intensive care unit? Medical Decision Making 9: 125-132.
-
(1989)
Medical Decision Making
, vol.9
, pp. 125-132
-
-
McClish, D.K.1
Powell, S.H.2
-
54
-
-
0021537766
-
Impacts of feedback and experience on the quality of subjective probability forecasts: Comparison of results from the first and second years of the Zierikzee experiment
-
Murphy AH, Daan H. 1984. Impacts of feedback and experience on the quality of subjective probability forecasts: comparison of results from the first and second years of the Zierikzee experiment. Monthly Weather Review 112: 413-425.
-
(1984)
Monthly Weather Review
, vol.112
, pp. 413-425
-
-
Murphy, A.H.1
Daan, H.2
-
56
-
-
0023403864
-
A study of graphical and tabular displays and their interaction with environmental complexity
-
Remus W. 1987. A study of graphical and tabular displays and their interaction with environmental complexity. Management Science 33: 1200-1204.
-
(1987)
Management Science
, vol.33
, pp. 1200-1204
-
-
Remus, W.1
-
58
-
-
0003585959
-
-
(2nd edn). Human Kinetics Publishers: Champaign, IL
-
Schmidt RA. 1988. Motor Control and Learning (2nd edn). Human Kinetics Publishers: Champaign, IL.
-
(1988)
Motor Control and Learning
-
-
Schmidt, R.A.1
-
59
-
-
0000004866
-
Effects of decision importance on ability to generate warranted subjective certainty
-
Sieber JE. 1974. Effects of decision importance on ability to generate warranted subjective certainty. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 30: 688-694.
-
(1974)
Journal of Personality and Social Psychology
, vol.30
, pp. 688-694
-
-
Sieber, J.E.1
-
61
-
-
77956735072
-
The effect of base rate on calibration of subjective probability for true-false questions: Model and experiment
-
Humphreys P, Svenson O, Vari A (eds). North-Holland: Amsterdam
-
Smith M, Ferrell WR. 1983. The effect of base rate on calibration of subjective probability for true-false questions: model and experiment. In Analyzing and Aiding Decisions, Humphreys P, Svenson O, Vari A (eds). North-Holland: Amsterdam; 469-488.
-
(1983)
Analyzing and Aiding Decisions
, pp. 469-488
-
-
Smith, M.1
Ferrell, W.R.2
-
65
-
-
0002642770
-
Analysis of expert judgement in a hail forecasting experiment
-
Stewart TR, Moninger WR, Grassia J, Brady RH, Merrem FH. 1989. Analysis of expert judgement in a hail forecasting experiment. Weather and Forecasting 4: 24-34.
-
(1989)
Weather and Forecasting
, vol.4
, pp. 24-34
-
-
Stewart, T.R.1
Moninger, W.R.2
Grassia, J.3
Brady, R.H.4
Merrem, F.H.5
-
66
-
-
0023890867
-
Measuring the accuracy of diagnostic systems
-
Swets JA. 1988. Measuring the accuracy of diagnostic systems. Science 240: 1285-1293.
-
(1988)
Science
, vol.240
, pp. 1285-1293
-
-
Swets, J.A.1
-
67
-
-
0000417121
-
Decision errors made by individuals and groups
-
Castellan NJ, Jr (ed.). Erlbaum: Hillsdale, NJ
-
Tindale RS. 1993. Decision errors made by individuals and groups. In Individual and Group Decision Making: Current Issues, Castellan NJ, Jr (ed.). Erlbaum: Hillsdale, NJ; 109-124.
-
(1993)
Individual and Group Decision Making: Current Issues
, pp. 109-124
-
-
Tindale, R.S.1
-
69
-
-
0011474147
-
Screen design
-
Helander M (ed.). North-Holland: Amsterdam
-
Tullis TS. 1988. Screen design. In Human-computer Interaction, Helander M (ed.). North-Holland: Amsterdam; 367-411.
-
(1988)
Human-computer Interaction
, pp. 367-411
-
-
Tullis, T.S.1
-
70
-
-
0016264378
-
Judgement under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases
-
Tversky A, Kahneman D. 1974. Judgement under uncertainty: heuristics and biases. Science 185: 1124-1131.
-
(1974)
Science
, vol.185
, pp. 1124-1131
-
-
Tversky, A.1
Kahneman, D.2
-
72
-
-
0030095054
-
An application of probability judgement accuracy measures to currency forecasting
-
Wilkie ME, Pollock AC. 1996. An application of probability judgement accuracy measures to currency forecasting. International Journal of Forecasting 12: 25-40.
-
(1996)
International Journal of Forecasting
, vol.12
, pp. 25-40
-
-
Wilkie, M.E.1
Pollock, A.C.2
-
73
-
-
0001107693
-
External correspondence: Decompositions of the mean probability score
-
Yates JF. 1982. External correspondence: decompositions of the mean probability score.Organizational Behavior and Human Performance 30: 132-156.
-
(1982)
Organizational Behavior and Human Performance
, vol.30
, pp. 132-156
-
-
Yates, J.F.1
-
75
-
-
0002278536
-
Subjective probability accuracy analysis
-
Wright G, Ayton P (eds). John Wiley: Chichester
-
Yates JF. 1994. Subjective probability accuracy analysis. In Subjective Probability, Wright G, Ayton P (eds). John Wiley: Chichester; 381-410.
-
(1994)
Subjective Probability
, pp. 381-410
-
-
Yates, J.F.1
-
76
-
-
0011450361
-
The influence of computerized feedback on overconfidence in knowledge
-
Zahay D. 1992. The influence of computerized feedback on overconfidence in knowledge. Behavior and Information Technology 11: 324-333.
-
(1992)
Behavior and Information Technology
, vol.11
, pp. 324-333
-
-
Zahay, D.1
|