메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 376, Issue 2119, 2018, Pages

Stabilization of global temperature at 1.5°C and 2.0°C: Implications for coastal areas

Author keywords

Climate adaptation; Climate mitigation; Coastal impacts; Ocean pH; Sea level rise

Indexed keywords

COASTAL ZONES; ECOLOGY; FLOODS; PUBLIC POLICY; SEA LEVEL;

EID: 85045553830     PISSN: 1364503X     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1098/rsta.2016.0448     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (89)

References (125)
  • 1
    • 84924597611 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Future coastal population growth and exposure to sea-level rise and coastal flooding - A global assessment
    • Neumann B, Vafeidis AT, Zimmermann J, Nicholls RJ 2015 Future coastal population growth and exposure to sea-level rise and coastal flooding-a global assessment. PLoS ONE 10, e0118571. (doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0118571)
    • (2015) PLoS ONE , vol.10 , pp. e0118571
    • Neumann, B.1    Vafeidis, A.T.2    Zimmermann, J.3    Nicholls, R.J.4
  • 2
    • 34247276126 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The rising tide: Assessing the risks of climate change and human settlements in low elevation coastal zones
    • McGranahan G, Balk D, Anderson B. 2007 The rising tide: assessing the risks of climate change and human settlements in low elevation coastal zones. Environ. Urban. 19, 17-37. (doi:10.1177/0956247807076960)
    • (2007) Environ. Urban. , vol.19 , pp. 17-37
    • McGranahan, G.1    Balk, D.2    Anderson, B.3
  • 5
    • 77953758379 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The impact of climate change on the world's marine ecosystems
    • Hoegh-Guldberg O, Bruno JF 2010 The impact of climate change on the world's marine ecosystems. Science 328, 1523-1528. (doi:10.1126/science.1189930)
    • (2010) Science , vol.328 , pp. 1523-1528
    • Hoegh-Guldberg, O.1    Bruno, J.F.2
  • 6
    • 4344591847 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Benefits of mitigation of climate change for coastal areas
    • Nicholls RJ, Lowe JA 2004 Benefits of mitigation of climate change for coastal areas. Glob. Environ. Change Hum. Policy Dimen. 14, 229-244. (doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2004.04.005)
    • (2004) Glob. Environ. Change Hum. Policy Dimen. , vol.14 , pp. 229-244
    • Nicholls, R.J.1    Lowe, J.A.2
  • 7
    • 79959685885 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sea-level rise and impacts projections under a future scenario with large greenhouse gas emission reductions
    • Pardaens AK, Lowe JA, Brown S, Nicholls RJ, de Gusmão D. 2011 Sea-level rise and impacts projections under a future scenario with large greenhouse gas emission reductions. Geophys. Res. Lett. 38, L12604. (doi:10.1029/2011GL047678)
    • (2011) Geophys. Res. Lett. , vol.38 , pp. L12604
    • Pardaens, A.K.1    Lowe, J.A.2    Brown, S.3    Nicholls, R.J.4    De Gusmão, D.5
  • 9
    • 84975107368 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • United Nations. 2015 Paris Agreement. See http://unfccc.int/files/essential-background/convention/application/pdf/english-paris-agreement.pdf.
    • (2015) Paris Agreement
  • 10
    • 85056686986 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The Paris agreement and climate change negotiations: Small islands, big players
    • In press
    • Ourbak T, Magnan AK In press. The Paris Agreement and climate change negotiations: small islands, big players. Reg. Environ. Change. (doi:10.1007/s10113-017-1262-x)
    • Reg. Environ. Change
    • Ourbak, T.1    Magnan, A.K.2
  • 11
    • 84961674083 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • How historic simulation-observation discrepancy affects future warming projections in a very large model ensemble
    • Goodwin P. 2016 How historic simulation-observation discrepancy affects future warming projections in a very large model ensemble. Clim. Dyn. 47, 2219-2233. (doi:10.1007/s00382-015-2960-z)
    • (2016) Clim. Dyn. , vol.47 , pp. 2219-2233
    • Goodwin, P.1
  • 12
    • 85013660702 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A new approach to projecting 21st century sea-level changes and extremes
    • Goodwin P, Haigh ID, Rohling EJ, Slangen A. 2017 A new approach to projecting 21st century sea-level changes and extremes. Earth's Future 5, 240-253. (doi:10.1002/2016ef000508)
    • (2017) Earth's Future , vol.5 , pp. 240-253
    • Goodwin, P.1    Haigh, I.D.2    Rohling, E.J.3    Slangen, A.4
  • 13
    • 84864658227 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Geoengineering the climate: An overview and update
    • Shepherd JG. 2012 Geoengineering the climate: an overview and update. Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A 370, 4166-4175. (doi:10.1098/rsta.2012.0186)
    • (2012) Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A , vol.370 , pp. 4166-4175
    • Shepherd, J.G.1
  • 14
    • 84882974137 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Long-term effects of warming and ocean acidification are modified by seasonal variation in species responses and environmental conditions
    • Godbold JA, Solan M. 2013 Long-term effects of warming and ocean acidification are modified by seasonal variation in species responses and environmental conditions. Phil. Trans. R. Soc. B 368, 20130186. (doi:10.1098/rstb.2013.0186)
    • (2013) Phil. Trans. R. Soc. B , vol.368 , pp. 20130186
    • Godbold, J.A.1    Solan, M.2
  • 15
    • 84867559989 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • How warming and steric sea level rise relate to cumulative carbon emissions
    • Williams RG, Goodwin P, Ridgwell A, Woodworth PL 2012 How warming and steric sea level rise relate to cumulative carbon emissions. Geophys. Res. Lett. 39, L19715. (doi:10.1029/2012GL052771)
    • (2012) Geophys. Res. Lett. , vol.39 , pp. L19715
    • Williams, R.G.1    Goodwin, P.2    Ridgwell, A.3    Woodworth, P.L.4
  • 18
    • 80053904283 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The RCP greenhouse gas concentrations and their extensions from 1765 to 2300
    • Meinshausen M et al. 2011 The RCP greenhouse gas concentrations and their extensions from 1765 to 2300. Clim. Change 109, 213-241. (doi:10.1007/s10584-011-0156-z)
    • (2011) Clim. Change , vol.109 , pp. 213-241
    • Meinshausen, M.1
  • 23
    • 84895835798 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Coastal flood damage and adaptation costs under 21st century sea-level rise
    • Hinkel J et al. 2014 Coastal flood damage and adaptation costs under 21st century sea-level rise. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 111, 3292-3297. (doi:10.1073/pnas.1222469111)
    • (2014) Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA , vol.111 , pp. 3292-3297
    • Hinkel, J.1
  • 25
    • 84906846860 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Shifting perspectives on coastal impacts and adaptation
    • Brown S et al. 2014 Shifting perspectives on coastal impacts and adaptation. Nat. Clim. Change 4, 752-755. (doi:10.1038/nclimate2344)
    • (2014) Nat. Clim. Change , vol.4 , pp. 752-755
    • Brown, S.1
  • 26
    • 42049123692 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change and coastal vulnerability assessment: Scenarios for integrated assessment
    • Nicholls RJ, Wong PP, Burkett V, Woodroffe CD, Hay J. 2008 Climate change and coastal vulnerability assessment: scenarios for integrated assessment. Sustainability Sci. 3, 89-102. (doi:10.1007/s11625-008-0050-4)
    • (2008) Sustainability Sci. , vol.3 , pp. 89-102
    • Nicholls, R.J.1    Wong, P.P.2    Burkett, V.3    Woodroffe, C.D.4    Hay, J.5
  • 28
    • 84964200006 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimating global damages from sea level rise with the coastal impact and adaptation model (CIAM)
    • Diaz DB. 2016 Estimating global damages from sea level rise with the Coastal Impact and Adaptation Model (CIAM). Clim. Change 137, 143-156. (doi:10.1007/s10584-016-1675-4)
    • (2016) Clim. Change , vol.137 , pp. 143-156
    • Diaz, D.B.1
  • 30
    • 0007462816 scopus 로고
    • Potential impacts of sea-level rise on China's coastal environment and cities: A national assessment
    • SI14, 79-95
    • Han M, Hou J, Wu L. 1995 Potential impacts of sea-level rise on China's coastal environment and cities: a national assessment. J. Coast. Res. SI14, 79-95.
    • (1995) J. Coast. Res.
    • Han, M.1    Hou, J.2    Wu, L.3
  • 31
    • 76749096338 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment
    • Moss RH et al. 2010 The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment. Nature 463, 747-756. (doi:10.1038/nature08823)
    • (2010) Nature , vol.463 , pp. 747-756
    • Moss, R.H.1
  • 33
    • 85036644673 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Assessing the impacts of 1.5°C global warming-simulation protocol of the inter-sectoral impact model intercomparison project (ISIMIP2b)
    • Frieler K et al. 2017 Assessing the impacts of 1.5°C global warming-simulation protocol of the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP2b). Geosci. Model Dev. 10, 4321-4345. (doi:10.5194/gmd-10-4321-2017)
    • (2017) Geosci. Model Dev. , vol.10 , pp. 4321-4345
    • Frieler, K.1
  • 34
    • 0010613065 scopus 로고
    • World oceans and coastal zones
    • (eds WJM Tegart, GW Sheldon, DC Griffiths) Canberra, Australia: Australia Government Publishing Service
    • Tsyban A, Everett JT, Titus J. 1990 World oceans and coastal zones. In The IPCC impacts assessment (eds WJM Tegart, GW Sheldon, DC Griffiths), pp. 6.1-6.28. Canberra, Australia: Australia Government Publishing Service.
    • (1990) The IPCC Impacts Assessment , pp. 61-628
    • Tsyban, A.1    Everett, J.T.2    Titus, J.3
  • 36
    • 77953758378 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sea-level rise and its impact on coastal zones
    • Nicholls RJ, Cazenave A. 2010 Sea-level rise and its impact on coastal zones. Science 328, 1517-1520. (doi:10.1126/science.1185782)
    • (2010) Science , vol.328 , pp. 1517-1520
    • Nicholls, R.J.1    Cazenave, A.2
  • 37
    • 84942342399 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Many atolls may be uninhabitable within decades due to climate change
    • Storlazzi CD, Elias EPL, Berkowitz P. 2015 Many atolls may be uninhabitable within decades due to climate change. Sci. Rep. 5, 14546. (doi:10.1038/srep14546)
    • (2015) Sci. Rep. , vol.5 , pp. 14546
    • Storlazzi, C.D.1    Elias, E.P.L.2    Berkowitz, P.3
  • 38
    • 84903178679 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sea level rise and its coastal impacts
    • Cazenave A, Cozannet GL 2014 Sea level rise and its coastal impacts. Earth's Future 2, 15-34. (doi:10.1002/2013EF000188)
    • (2014) Earth's Future , vol.2 , pp. 15-34
    • Cazenave, A.1    Cozannet, G.L.2
  • 40
    • 84945318697 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Exposure of coastal built assets in the South pacific to climate risks
    • Kumar L, Taylor S. 2015 Exposure of coastal built assets in the South Pacific to climate risks. Nat. Clim. Change 5, 992-996. (doi:10.1038/nclimate2702)
    • (2015) Nat. Clim. Change , vol.5 , pp. 992-996
    • Kumar, L.1    Taylor, S.2
  • 42
    • 84975473957 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Interactions between sea-level rise and wave exposure on reef island dynamics in the Solomon Islands
    • Albert S, Leon JX, Grinham AR, Church JA, Gibbes BR, Woodroffe CD 2016 Interactions between sea-level rise and wave exposure on reef island dynamics in the Solomon Islands. Environ. Res. Lett. 11, 054011. (doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/5/054011)
    • (2016) Environ. Res. Lett. , vol.11 , pp. 054011
    • Albert, S.1    Leon, J.X.2    Grinham, A.R.3    Church, J.A.4    Gibbes, B.R.5    Woodroffe, C.D.6
  • 43
    • 85033675639 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Future reef growth can mitigate physical impacts of sea-level rise on atoll islands
    • Beetham E, Kench PS, Popinet S. 2017 Future reef growth can mitigate physical impacts of sea-level rise on atoll islands. Earth's Future 5, 1002-1014. (doi:10.1002/2017EF000589)
    • (2017) Earth's Future , vol.5 , pp. 1002-1014
    • Beetham, E.1    Kench, P.S.2    Popinet, S.3
  • 44
    • 84939653991 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Destruction or persistence of coral atoll islands in the face of 20th and 21st century sea-level rise?
    • McLean R, Kench P. 2015 Destruction or persistence of coral atoll islands in the face of 20th and 21st century sea-level rise? Wiley Interdis. Rev. Clim. Change 6, 445-463. (doi:10.1002/wcc.350)
    • (2015) Wiley Interdis. Rev. Clim. Change , vol.6 , pp. 445-463
    • McLean, R.1    Kench, P.2
  • 45
    • 77954145285 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The dynamic response of reef islands to sea-level rise: Evidence from multi-decadal analysis of island change in the central pacific
    • Webb AP, Kench PS 2010 The dynamic response of reef islands to sea-level rise: evidence from multi-decadal analysis of island change in the Central Pacific. Glob. Planet. Change 72, 234-246. (doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2010.05.003)
    • (2010) Glob. Planet. Change , vol.72 , pp. 234-246
    • Webb, A.P.1    Kench, P.S.2
  • 46
    • 84929620244 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Coral islands defy sea-level rise over the past century: Records from a central pacific atoll
    • Kench PS, Thompson D, Ford MR, Ogawa H, McLean RF 2015 Coral islands defy sea-level rise over the past century: records from a central Pacific atoll. Geology 43, 515-518. (doi:10.1130/g36555.1)
    • (2015) Geology , vol.43 , pp. 515-518
    • Kench, P.S.1    Thompson, D.2    Ford, M.R.3    Ogawa, H.4    McLean, R.F.5
  • 47
    • 85020740618 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Coastal flooding in the Maldives: An assessment of historic events and their implications
    • Wadey M, Brown S, Nicholls RJ, Haigh I. 2017 Coastal flooding in the Maldives: an assessment of historic events and their implications. Nat. Hazards 89, 131-159. (doi:10.1007/s11069-017-2957-5)
    • (2017) Nat. Hazards , vol.89 , pp. 131-159
    • Wadey, M.1    Brown, S.2    Nicholls, R.J.3    Haigh, I.4
  • 49
    • 85000843919 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Difficult decisions: Migration from small island developing states under climate change
    • Kelman I. 2015 Difficult decisions: migration from small island developing states under climate change. Earth's Future 3, 133-142. (doi:10.1002/2014ef000278)
    • (2015) Earth's Future , vol.3 , pp. 133-142
    • Kelman, I.1
  • 50
    • 84978153996 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change and migration in the pacific: Options for Tuvalu and the Marshall Islands
    • Constable AL. 2017 Climate change and migration in the Pacific: options for Tuvalu and the Marshall Islands. Reg. Environ. Change 17, 1029-1038. (doi:10.1007/s10113-016-1004-5)
    • (2017) Reg. Environ. Change , vol.17 , pp. 1029-1038
    • Constable, A.L.1
  • 51
    • 84958759821 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Planning for community relocations due to climate change in Fiji
    • McNamara KE, des Combes HJ. 2015 Planning for community relocations due to climate change in Fiji. Int. J. Disaster Risk Sci. 6, 315-319. (doi: 10.1007/s13753-015-0065-2)
    • (2015) Int. J. Disaster Risk Sci. , vol.6 , pp. 315-319
    • McNamara, K.E.1    Des Combes, H.J.2
  • 54
    • 33644543766 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Effective sea-level rise and deltas: Causes of change and human dimension implications
    • Ericson JP, Vorosmarty CJ, Dingman SL, Ward LG, Meybeck M. 2006 Effective sea-level rise and deltas: causes of change and human dimension implications. Glob. Planet. Change 50, 63-82. (doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2005.07.004)
    • (2006) Glob. Planet. Change , vol.50 , pp. 63-82
    • Ericson, J.P.1    Vorosmarty, C.J.2    Dingman, S.L.3    Ward, L.G.4    Meybeck, M.5
  • 56
    • 42049104129 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Deltas at risk
    • Syvitski JPM. 2008 Deltas at risk. Sustainability Sci. 3, 23-32. (doi:10.1007/s11625-008-0043-3)
    • (2008) Sustainability Sci. , vol.3 , pp. 23-32
    • Syvitski, J.P.M.1
  • 57
    • 85030451132 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A model of water and sediment balance as determinants of relative sea level rise in contemporary and future deltas
    • Tessler ZD, Vörösmarty CJ, Overeem I, Syvitski JPM. 2018 A model of water and sediment balance as determinants of relative sea level rise in contemporary and future deltas. Geomorphology 305, 209-220. (doi:10.1016/j.geomorph.2017.09.040)
    • (2018) Geomorphology , vol.305 , pp. 209-220
    • Tessler, Z.D.1    Vörösmarty, C.J.2    Overeem, I.3    Syvitski, J.P.M.4
  • 58
    • 70349767045 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sinking deltas due to human activities
    • Syvitski JPM et al. 2009 Sinking deltas due to human activities. Nat. Geosci. 2, 681-686. (doi:10.1038/ngeo629)
    • (2009) Nat. Geosci. , vol.2 , pp. 681-686
    • Syvitski, J.P.M.1
  • 59
    • 84931066324 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A first look at the influence of anthropogenic climate change on the future delivery of fluvial sediment to the ganges-brahmaputra-meghna delta
    • Darby SE, Dunn FE, Nicholls RJ, Rahman M, Riddy L. 2015 A first look at the influence of anthropogenic climate change on the future delivery of fluvial sediment to the Ganges-Brahmaputra-Meghna delta. Environ. Sci. Process. Impacts 17, 1587-1600. (doi:10.1039/c5em00252d)
    • (2015) Environ. Sci. Process. Impacts , vol.17 , pp. 1587-1600
    • Darby, S.E.1    Dunn, F.E.2    Nicholls, R.J.3    Rahman, M.4    Riddy, L.5
  • 60
    • 84931049470 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Impacts of climate change and socio-economic scenarios on flow and water quality of the ganges, brahmaputra and meghna (GBM) river systems: Low flow and flood statistics
    • Whitehead PG et al. 2015 Impacts of climate change and socio-economic scenarios on flow and water quality of the Ganges, Brahmaputra and Meghna (GBM) river systems: low flow and flood statistics. Environ. Sci. Process. Impacts 17, 1057-1069. (doi:10.1039/c4em00619d)
    • (2015) Environ. Sci. Process. Impacts , vol.17 , pp. 1057-1069
    • Whitehead, P.G.1
  • 61
    • 84929347202 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Subsidence and human influences in mega deltas: The case of the ganges-brahmaputra-meghna
    • Brown S, Nicholls RJ 2015 Subsidence and human influences in mega deltas: the case of the Ganges-Brahmaputra-Meghna. Sci. Total Environ. 527, 362-374. (doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2015.04.124)
    • (2015) Sci. Total Environ. , vol.527 , pp. 362-374
    • Brown, S.1    Nicholls, R.J.2
  • 62
    • 84923027929 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Flood risk of natural and embanked landscapes on the GangesBrahmaputra tidal delta plain
    • Auerbach LW et al. 2015 Flood risk of natural and embanked landscapes on the GangesBrahmaputra tidal delta plain. Nat. Clim. Change 5, 153-157. (doi:10.1038/nclimate2472)
    • (2015) Nat. Clim. Change , vol.5 , pp. 153-157
    • Auerbach, L.W.1
  • 63
    • 84886237693 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Rapid rise in effective sea-level in Southwest Bangladesh: Its causes and contemporary rates
    • Pethick J, Orford JD 2013 Rapid rise in effective sea-level in southwest Bangladesh: its causes and contemporary rates. Glob. Planet. Change 111, 237-245. (doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2013.09.019)
    • (2013) Glob. Planet. Change , vol.111 , pp. 237-245
    • Pethick, J.1    Orford, J.D.2
  • 64
    • 0027750650 scopus 로고
    • Sea level and initiation of predynastic culture in the nile delta
    • Stanely DJ, Warne AG 1993 Sea level and initiation of predynastic culture in the Nile Delta. Nature 363, 435-438. (doi:10.1038/363435a0)
    • (1993) Nature , vol.363 , pp. 435-438
    • Stanely, D.J.1    Warne, A.G.2
  • 65
    • 84890387847 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Long-term urbanization and land subsidence in Asian megacities: An indicators system approach
    • (ed. M Taniguchi) Tokyo, Japan: Springer
    • Kaneko S, Toyota T. 2011 Long-term urbanization and land subsidence in Asian megacities: an indicators system approach. In Groundwater and subsurface environments: human impacts in Asian coastal cities (ed. M Taniguchi), pp. 249-270. Tokyo, Japan: Springer.
    • (2011) Groundwater and Subsurface Environments: Human Impacts in Asian Coastal Cities , pp. 249-270
    • Kaneko, S.1    Toyota, T.2
  • 68
    • 84899848644 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Historical analysis of rationalizing South West coastal polders of Bangladesh
    • Nowreen S, Jalal MR, Alam Khan MS. 2014 Historical analysis of rationalizing south west coastal polders of Bangladesh. Water Policy 16, 264-279. (doi:10.2166/wp.2013.172)
    • (2014) Water Policy , vol.16 , pp. 264-279
    • Nowreen, S.1    Jalal, M.R.2    Alam Khan, M.S.3
  • 71
    • 84962274909 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Consequences of twenty-first-century policy for multi-millennial climate and sea-level change
    • Clark PU et al. 2016 Consequences of twenty-first-century policy for multi-millennial climate and sea-level change. Nat. Clim. Change 6, 360-369. (doi:10.1038/nclimate2923)
    • (2016) Nat. Clim. Change , vol.6 , pp. 360-369
    • Clark, P.U.1
  • 73
    • 84925519650 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Managing flood risk in the thames estuary - The development of a long-term robust and flexible strategy
    • (ed. P Sayers) London, UK: ICE Publishing
    • Tarrant O, Sayers P. 2012 Managing flood risk in the Thames Estuary-the development of a long-term robust and flexible strategy. In Flood risk: planning, design and management of flood defence infrastructure (ed. P Sayers), pp. 202-326. London, UK: ICE Publishing.
    • (2012) Flood Risk: Planning, Design and Management of Flood Defence Infrastructure , pp. 202-326
    • Tarrant, O.1    Sayers, P.2
  • 74
    • 23444455791 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Flood risk management in the thames estuary looking ahead 100 years
    • Lavery S, Donovan B. 2005 Flood risk management in the Thames Estuary looking ahead 100 years. Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A 363, 1455-1474. (doi:10.1098/rsta.2005.1579)
    • (2005) Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A , vol.363 , pp. 1455-1474
    • Lavery, S.1    Donovan, B.2
  • 75
    • 84896503711 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Addressing 'deep' uncertainty over long-term climate in major infrastructure projects: Four innovations of the thames estuary 2100 project
    • Ranger N, Reeder T, Lowe J. 2013 Addressing 'deep' uncertainty over long-term climate in major infrastructure projects: four innovations of the Thames Estuary 2100 Project. EURO J. Decis. Process. 1, 233-262. (doi:10.1007/s40070-013-0014-5)
    • (2013) EURO J. Decis. Process. , vol.1 , pp. 233-262
    • Ranger, N.1    Reeder, T.2    Lowe, J.3
  • 80
    • 84905262046 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Interdependency of tropical marine ecosystems in response to climate change
    • Saunders MI et al. 2014 Interdependency of tropical marine ecosystems in response to climate change. Nat. Clim. Change 4, 724-729. (doi:10.1038/nclimate2274)
    • (2014) Nat. Clim. Change , vol.4 , pp. 724-729
    • Saunders, M.I.1
  • 81
    • 84979030809 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate-driven regime shift of a temperate marine ecosystem
    • Wernberg T et al. 2016 Climate-driven regime shift of a temperate marine ecosystem. Science 353, 169-172. (doi:10.1126/science.aad8745)
    • (2016) Science , vol.353 , pp. 169-172
    • Wernberg, T.1
  • 84
    • 84904496840 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Have we been underestimating the effects of ocean acidification in zooplankton?
    • Cripps G, Lindeque P, Flynn KJ 2015 Have we been underestimating the effects of ocean acidification in zooplankton? Glob. Change Biol. 20, 3377-3385. (doi:10.1111/gcb.12582)
    • (2015) Glob. Change Biol. , vol.20 , pp. 3377-3385
    • Cripps, G.1    Lindeque, P.2    Flynn, K.J.3
  • 85
    • 85011579884 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Can community structure track sea-level rise? Stress and competitive controls in tidal wetlands
    • Schile LM, Callaway JC, Suding KN, Kelly NM 2017 Can community structure track sea-level rise? Stress and competitive controls in tidal wetlands. Ecol. Evol. 7, 1276-1285. (doi:10.1002/ece3.2758)
    • (2017) Ecol. Evol. , vol.7 , pp. 1276-1285
    • Schile, L.M.1    Callaway, J.C.2    Suding, K.N.3    Kelly, N.M.4
  • 86
    • 84991486795 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Uncertainties in projecting climate-change impacts in marine ecosystems
    • Payne MR et al. 2016 Uncertainties in projecting climate-change impacts in marine ecosystems. ICES J. Mar. Sci. 73, 1272-1282. (doi:10.1093/icesjms/fsv231)
    • (2016) ICES J. Mar. Sci. , vol.73 , pp. 1272-1282
    • Payne, M.R.1
  • 87
    • 85000605853 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Tidal benthic mesocosms simulating future climate change scenarios in the field of marine ecology
    • Pansch A, Winde V, Asmus R, Asmus H. 2016 Tidal benthic mesocosms simulating future climate change scenarios in the field of marine ecology. Limnol. Oceanogr. Methods 14, 257-267. (doi:10.1002/lom3.10086)
    • (2016) Limnol. Oceanogr. Methods , vol.14 , pp. 257-267
    • Pansch, A.1    Winde, V.2    Asmus, R.3    Asmus, H.4
  • 88
    • 84989879818 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The maximum climate ambition needs a firm research backing
    • Anonymous
    • Anonymous. 2016 The maximum climate ambition needs a firm research backing. Nature 537, 585-586. (doi:10.1038/537585b)
    • (2016) Nature , vol.537 , pp. 585-586
  • 91
    • 84949192473 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Thermal biases and vulnerability to warming in the world's marine fauna
    • Stuart-Smith RD, Edgar GJ, Barrett NS, Kininmonth SJ, Bates AE 2015 Thermal biases and vulnerability to warming in the world's marine fauna. Nature 528, 88-92. (doi:10.1038/nature16144)
    • (2015) Nature , vol.528 , pp. 88-92
    • Stuart-Smith, R.D.1    Edgar, G.J.2    Barrett, N.S.3    Kininmonth, S.J.4    Bates, A.E.5
  • 92
    • 78650407188 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Meta-analysis reveals negative yet variable effects of ocean acidification on marine organisms
    • Kroeker KJ, Kordas RL, Crim RN, Singh GG 2010 Meta-analysis reveals negative yet variable effects of ocean acidification on marine organisms. Ecol. Lett. 13, 1419-1434. (doi:10.1111/j.1461-0248.2010.01518.x)
    • (2010) Ecol. Lett. , vol.13 , pp. 1419-1434
    • Kroeker, K.J.1    Kordas, R.L.2    Crim, R.N.3    Singh, G.G.4
  • 93
    • 84886722508 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global imprint of climate change on marine life
    • Poloczanska ES et al. 2013 Global imprint of climate change on marine life. Nat. Clim. Change 3, 919-925. (doi:10.1038/nclimate1958)
    • (2013) Nat. Clim. Change , vol.3 , pp. 919-925
    • Poloczanska, E.S.1
  • 95
    • 85007107469 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Large benefits to marine fisheries of meeting the 1.5°C global warming target
    • Cheung WWL, Reygondeau G, Froicher TL 2016 Large benefits to marine fisheries of meeting the 1.5°C global warming target. Science 354, 1591-1594. (doi:10.1126/science.aag2331)
    • (2016) Science , vol.354 , pp. 1591-1594
    • Cheung, W.W.L.1    Reygondeau, G.2    Froicher, T.L.3
  • 97
    • 77649199218 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The physiology of climate change: How potentials for acclimatization and genetic adaptation will determine 'winners' and 'losers'
    • Somero GN. 2010 The physiology of climate change: how potentials for acclimatization and genetic adaptation will determine 'winners' and 'losers'. J. Exp. Biol. 213, 912-920. (doi:10.1242/jeb.037473)
    • (2010) J. Exp. Biol. , vol.213 , pp. 912-920
    • Somero, G.N.1
  • 98
    • 84977119288 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Paris agreement climate proposals need a boost to keep warming well below 2°C
    • Rogelj J et al. 2016 Paris Agreement climate proposals need a boost to keep warming well below 2°C. Nature 534, 631-639. (doi:10.1038/nature18307)
    • (2016) Nature , vol.534 , pp. 631-639
    • Rogelj, J.1
  • 99
    • 85020101649 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Australian climate extremes at 1.5°C and 2°C of global warming
    • King AD, Karoly DJ, Henley BJ 2017 Australian climate extremes at 1.5°C and 2°C of global warming. Nat. Clim. Change 7, 412-416. (doi:10.1038/nclimate3296)
    • (2017) Nat. Clim. Change , vol.7 , pp. 412-416
    • King, A.D.1    Karoly, D.J.2    Henley, B.J.3
  • 100
    • 84983643591 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Science and policy characteristics of the Paris agreement temperature goal
    • Schleussner CF et al. 2016 Science and policy characteristics of the Paris Agreement temperature goal. Nat. Clim. Change 6, 827-835. (doi:10.1038/nclimate3096)
    • (2016) Nat. Clim. Change , vol.6 , pp. 827-835
    • Schleussner, C.F.1
  • 101
    • 84980414007 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Testing antarctic resilience: The effects of elevated seawater temperature and decreased pH on two gastropod species
    • Schram JB, Schoenrock KM, McClintock JB, Amsler CD, Angus RA 2016 Testing Antarctic resilience: the effects of elevated seawater temperature and decreased pH on two gastropod species. ICES J. Mar. Sci. 73, 739-752. (doi:10.1093/icesjms/fsv233)
    • (2016) ICES J. Mar. Sci. , vol.73 , pp. 739-752
    • Schram, J.B.1    Schoenrock, K.M.2    McClintock, J.B.3    Amsler, C.D.4    Angus, R.A.5
  • 102
    • 85021070828 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • New climatic targets against global warming: Will the maximum 2°C temperature rise affect estuarine benthic communities?
    • Crespo D et al. 2017 New climatic targets against global warming: will the maximum 2°C temperature rise affect estuarine benthic communities? Sci. Rep. 7, 3918. (doi:10.1038/s41598-017-04309-0)
    • (2017) Sci. Rep. , vol.7 , pp. 3918
    • Crespo, D.1
  • 104
    • 85027930253 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Host adaptation and unexpected symbiont partners enable reef-building corals to tolerate extreme temperatures
    • Howells EJ, Abrego D, Meyer E, Kirk NL, Burt JA 2016 Host adaptation and unexpected symbiont partners enable reef-building corals to tolerate extreme temperatures. Glob. Change Biol. 22, 2702-2714. (doi:10.1111/gcb.13250)
    • (2016) Glob. Change Biol. , vol.22 , pp. 2702-2714
    • Howells, E.J.1    Abrego, D.2    Meyer, E.3    Kirk, N.L.4    Burt, J.A.5
  • 105
    • 85018957982 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Rapid thermal adaptation in photosymbionts of reef-building corals
    • Chakravarti LJ, Beltran VH, van Oppen MJH. 2017 Rapid thermal adaptation in photosymbionts of reef-building corals. Glob. Change Biol. 23, 4675-46688. (doi:10.1111/gcb.13702)
    • (2017) Glob. Change Biol. , vol.23 , pp. 4675-46688
    • Chakravarti, L.J.1    Beltran, V.H.2    Van Oppen, M.J.H.3
  • 106
    • 85018944789 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Scenario dependence of future changes in climate extremes under 1.5°C and 2°C global warming
    • Wang ZL, Lin L, Zhang XY, Zhang H, Liu LK, Xu YY 2017 Scenario dependence of future changes in climate extremes under 1.5°C and 2°C global warming. Sci. Rep. 7, 46432. (doi:10.1038/srep46432)
    • (2017) Sci. Rep. , vol.7 , pp. 46432
    • Wang, Z.L.1    Lin, L.2    Zhang, X.Y.3    Zhang, H.4    Liu, L.K.5    Xu, Y.Y.6
  • 107
    • 85029881731 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Communicating the deadly consequences of global warming for human heat stress
    • Matthews TKR, Wilby RL, Murphy C. 2017 Communicating the deadly consequences of global warming for human heat stress. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 114, 3861-3866. (doi:10.1073/pnas.1617526114)
    • (2017) Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA , vol.114 , pp. 3861-3866
    • Matthews, T.K.R.1    Wilby, R.L.2    Murphy, C.3
  • 108
    • 85018941425 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Expansion of corals on temperate reefs: Direct and indirect effects of marine heatwaves
    • Tuckett CA, de Bettignies T, Fromont J, Wernberg T. 2017 Expansion of corals on temperate reefs: direct and indirect effects of marine heatwaves. Coral Reefs 36, 947-956. (doi:10.1007/s00338-017-1586-5)
    • (2017) Coral Reefs , vol.36 , pp. 947-956
    • Tuckett, C.A.1    De Bettignies, T.2    Fromont, J.3    Wernberg, T.4
  • 109
    • 85032801332 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Marine heatwave causes unprecedented regional mass bleaching of thermally resistant corals in Northwestern Australia
    • Le Nohaic R et al. 2017 Marine heatwave causes unprecedented regional mass bleaching of thermally resistant corals in northwestern Australia. Sci. Rep. 7, 14999. (doi:10.1038/s41598-017-14794-y)
    • (2017) Sci. Rep. , vol.7 , pp. 14999
    • Le Nohaic, R.1
  • 112
    • 67650299745 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Latitudinal trends in spartina alterniflora productivity and the response of coastal marshes to global change
    • Kirwan ML, Guntenspergen GR, Morris JT 2009 Latitudinal trends in Spartina alterniflora productivity and the response of coastal marshes to global change. Glob. Change Biol. 15, 1982-1989. (doi:10.1111/j.1365-2486.2008.01834.x)
    • (2009) Glob. Change Biol. , vol.15 , pp. 1982-1989
    • Kirwan, M.L.1    Guntenspergen, G.R.2    Morris, J.T.3
  • 114
    • 85007246724 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The interplay between extrinsic and intrinsic controls in determining floodplain wetland characteristics in the South African drylands
    • Larkin ZT, Ralph TJ, Tooth S, McCarthy TS 2017 The interplay between extrinsic and intrinsic controls in determining floodplain wetland characteristics in the South African drylands. Earth Surf. Processes Landforms 42, 1092-1109. (doi:10.1002/esp.4075)
    • (2017) Earth Surf. Processes Landforms , vol.42 , pp. 1092-1109
    • Larkin, Z.T.1    Ralph, T.J.2    Tooth, S.3    McCarthy, T.S.4
  • 115
    • 84928703926 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Nonlinearity of ocean heat uptake during warming and cooling in the FAMOUS climate model
    • Bouttes N, Good P, Gregory JM, Lowe JA 2015 Nonlinearity of ocean heat uptake during warming and cooling in the FAMOUS climate model. Geophys. Res. Lett. 42, 2409-2416. (doi:10.1002/2014GL062807)
    • (2015) Geophys. Res. Lett. , vol.42 , pp. 2409-2416
    • Bouttes, N.1    Good, P.2    Gregory, J.M.3    Lowe, J.A.4
  • 117
    • 85045542906 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The risks of sea-level rise for coastal cities
    • (eds D King, D Schrag, Z Dadi, Q Ye, A Ghosh) London, UK: Foreign and Commonwealth Office
    • Nicholls RJ, Reeder T, Brown S, Haigh ID 2015 The risks of sea-level rise for coastal cities. In Climate change: a risk assessment (eds D King, D Schrag, Z Dadi, Q Ye, A Ghosh), pp. 94-98. London, UK: Foreign and Commonwealth Office.
    • (2015) Climate Change: A Risk Assessment , pp. 94-98
    • Nicholls, R.J.1    Reeder, T.2    Brown, S.3    Haigh, I.D.4
  • 118
    • 84878015971 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Dynamic adaptive policy pathways: A method for crafting robust decisions for a deeply uncertain world
    • Haasnoot M, Kwakkel JH, Walker WE, ter Maat J. 2013 Dynamic adaptive policy pathways: a method for crafting robust decisions for a deeply uncertain world. Glob. Environ. Change 23, 485-498. (doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2012.12.006)
    • (2013) Glob. Environ. Change , vol.23 , pp. 485-498
    • Haasnoot, M.1    Kwakkel, J.H.2    Walker, W.E.3    Ter Maat, J.4
  • 119
    • 84865772470 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Opportunities. Partnerships. National Climate Change Strategy 2012, Creating a climate for sustainable growth, securing a liveable environment for our future. National Climate Change Secretariat, Prime Minister's Office, Republic of Singapore
    • NCCS. 2012 Climate Change & Singapore: Challenges. Opportunities. Partnerships. National Climate Change Strategy 2012, Creating a climate for sustainable growth, securing a liveable environment for our future. National Climate Change Secretariat, Prime Minister's Office, Republic of Singapore. See https://www.nccs.gov.sg/sites/nccs/files/NCCS-2012.pdf.
    • (2012) Climate Change & Singapore: Challenges
  • 120
    • 84870369645 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Long-term sea-level rise implied by 1.57°C and 2°C warming levels
    • Schaeffer M, Hare W, Rahmstorf S, Vermeer M. 2012 Long-term sea-level rise implied by 1.57°C and 2°C warming levels. Nat. Clim. Change 2, 867-870. (doi:10.1038/nclimate1584)
    • (2012) Nat. Clim. Change , vol.2 , pp. 867-870
    • Schaeffer, M.1    Hare, W.2    Rahmstorf, S.3    Vermeer, M.4
  • 121
    • 80755148805 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sea level projections to AD 2500 with a new generation of climate change scenarios
    • Jevrajeva S, Moore JC, Grinstead A. 2012 Sea level projections to AD 2500 with a new generation of climate change scenarios. Glob. Planet. Change 80-81, 14-20. (doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2011.09.006)
    • (2012) Glob. Planet. Change , vol.80-81 , pp. 14-20
    • Jevrajeva, S.1    Moore, J.C.2    Grinstead, A.3
  • 122
    • 84861651461 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Multistability and critical thresholds of the Greenland ice sheet
    • Robinson A, Calov R, Ganopolski A. 2012 Multistability and critical thresholds of the Greenland ice sheet. Nat. Clim. Change 2, 429-432. (doi:10.1038/nclimate1449)
    • (2012) Nat. Clim. Change , vol.2 , pp. 429-432
    • Robinson, A.1    Calov, R.2    Ganopolski, A.3
  • 123
    • 84949232624 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Potential sea-level rise from antarctic ice-sheet instability constrained by observations
    • Ritz C, Edwards TL, Durand G, Payne AJ, Peyaud V, Hindmarsh RCA. 2015 Potential sea-level rise from Antarctic ice-sheet instability constrained by observations. Nature 528, 115-118. (doi:10.1038/nature16147)
    • (2015) Nature , vol.528 , pp. 115-118
    • Ritz, C.1    Edwards, T.L.2    Durand, G.3    Payne, A.J.4    Peyaud, V.5    Hindmarsh, R.C.A.6
  • 125
    • 84919513633 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change 2001: Synthesis report
    • Watson RT et al. 2001 Climate change 2001: synthesis report. Summary for policymakers. See https://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/climate-changes-2001/synthesis-syr/english/summary-policymakers.pdf.
    • (2001) Summary for Policymakers
    • Watson, R.T.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.