Impact of temperature variation on mortality: An observational study from 12 counties across Hubei Province in China

Science of the Total Environment

Volumn 587-588, Issue , 2017, Pages 196-203

  Zhang, Yunquan ^a   Yu, Chuanhua ^a   Bao, Junzhe ^a,b   Li, Xudong ^c  

^a WUHAN UNIVERSITY   (China)

^b SUN YAT SEN UNIVERSITY   (China)

^c CHINESE CENTER FOR DISEASE CONTROL AND PREVENTION   (China)

Author keywords

China; Climate change; Diurnal temperature range; Mortality; Temperature variation

Indexed keywords

TEMPERATURE DISTRIBUTION;

CHINA; DIURNAL TEMPERATURE RANGES; EFFECTS OF TEMPERATURE; GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGES; IMPACT OF TEMPERATURES; ISCHEMIC HEART DISEASE; MORTALITY; TEMPERATURE VARIATION;

CLIMATE CHANGE;

CLIMATE CHANGE; DIURNAL VARIATION; HEALTH IMPACT; MORTALITY; PUBLIC HEALTH; RISK FACTOR; TEMPERATURE EFFECT;

AGE; AGED; ARTICLE; CARDIOVASCULAR MORTALITY; CHINA; CONTROLLED STUDY; DECISION MAKING; FEMALE; HEALTH IMPACT ASSESSMENT; HUMAN; HUMIDITY; ISCHEMIC HEART DISEASE; MALE; MORTALITY; NEWBORN; OBSERVATIONAL STUDY; PUBLIC HEALTH; RISK FACTOR; RURAL AREA; SEASONAL VARIATION; SEX DIFFERENCE; TEMPERATURE; TEMPERATURE VARIATION; URBAN AREA; VULNERABLE POPULATION; CLIMATE CHANGE; ENVIRONMENTAL EXPOSURE; EPIDEMIOLOGY; NONLINEAR SYSTEM; STATISTICS AND NUMERICAL DATA; TRENDS; WEATHER;

CHINA; HUBEI;

CHINA; CLIMATE CHANGE; ENVIRONMENTAL EXPOSURE; HUMANS; MORTALITY; NONLINEAR DYNAMICS; TEMPERATURE; WEATHER;

EID: 85027957393     PISSN: 00489697     EISSN: 18791026     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.02.117     Document Type: Article

References (45)

1. Anthony, C., Mustafa, A., Adriana, A., Sarah, B., Sarah, B., Richard, B., et al. Managing the health effects of climate change: Lancet and University College London Institute for Global Health Commission. Lancet 373 (2009), 1693–1733.
2. Baccini, M., Biggeri, A., Accetta, G., Kosatsky, T., Katsouyanni, K., Analitis, A., et al. Heat effects on mortality in 15 European cities. Epidemiology 19 (2008), 711–719.
3. Basu, R., High ambient temperature and mortality: a review of epidemiologic studies from 2001 to 2008. Environ. Health, 8, 2009, 40.
4. Bunker, A., Wildenhain, J., Vandenbergh, A., Henschke, N., Rocklov, J., Hajat, S., et al. Effects of air temperature on climate-sensitive mortality and morbidity outcomes in the elderly; a systematic review and meta-analysis of epidemiological evidence. EBioMedicine 6 (2016), 258–268.
5. Cao, J., Cheng, Y., Zhao, N., Song, W., Jiang, C., Chen, R., et al. Diurnal temperature range is a risk factor for coronary heart disease death. J. Epidemiol. 19 (2009), 328–332.
6. Chen, R., Peng, R.D., Meng, X., Zhou, Z., Chen, B., Kan, H., Seasonal variation in the acute effect of particulate air pollution on mortality in the China Air Pollution and Health Effects Study (CAPES). Sci. Total Environ. 450–451 (2013), 259–265.
7. Chen, K., Bi, J., Chen, J., Chen, X., Huang, L., Zhou, L., Influence of heat wave definitions to the added effect of heat waves on daily mortality in Nanjing, China. Sci. Total Environ. 506–507 (2015), 18–25.
8. Cheng, J., Xu, Z., Zhu, R., Wang, X., Jin, L., Song, J., et al. Impact of diurnal temperature range on human health: a systematic review. Int. J. Biometeorol. 58 (2014), 2011–2024.
9. Curriero, F.C., Heiner, K.S., Samet, J.M., Zeger, S.L., Strug, L., Patz, J.A., Temperature and mortality in 11 cities of the eastern United States. Am. J. Epidemiol. 155 (2002), 80–87.
10. Ding, Z., Guo, P., Xie, F., Chu, H., Li, K., Pu, J., et al. Impact of diurnal temperature range on mortality in a high plateau area in southwest China: a time series analysis. Sci. Total Environ. 526 (2015), 358–365.
11. Ding, Z., Li, L., Xin, L., Pi, F., Dong, W., Wen, Y., et al. High diurnal temperature range and mortality: effect modification by individual characteristics and mortality causes in a case-only analysis. Sci. Total Environ. 544 (2016), 627–634.
12. Gasparrini, A., Armstrong, B., Time series analysis on the health effects of temperature: advancements and limitations. Environ. Res. 110 (2010), 633–638.
13. Gasparrini, A., Armstrong, B., Kenward, M.G., Distributed lag non-linear models. Stat. Med. 29 (2010), 2224–2234.
14. Gasparrini, A., Guo, Y., Hashizume, M., Lavigne, E., Zanobetti, A., Schwartz, J., et al. Mortality risk attributable to high and low ambient temperature: a multicountry observational study. Lancet 386 (2015), 369–375.
15. Gronlund, C.J., Zanobetti, A., Schwartz, J.D., Wellenius, G.A., O'Neill, M.S., Heat, heat waves, and hospital admissions among the elderly in the United States, 1992–2006. Environ. Health Perspect. 122 (2014), 1187–1192.
16. Guo, Y., Barnett, A.G., Tong, S., Spatiotemporal model or time series model for assessing city-wide temperature effects on mortality?. Environ. Res. 120 (2013), 55–62.
17. Guo, Y., Gasparrini, A., Armstrong, B., Li, S., Tawatsupa, B., Tobias, A., et al. Global variation in the effects of ambient temperature on mortality: a systematic evaluation. Epidemiology 25 (2014), 781–789.
18. Guo, Y., Gasparrini, A., Armstrong, B.G., Tawatsupa, B., Tobias, A., Lavigne, E., et al. Temperature variability and mortality: a multi-country study. Environ. Health Perspect. 124 (2016), 1554–1559.
19. Hua, L.J., Ma, Z.G., Guo, W.D., The impact of urbanization on air temperature across China. Theor. Appl. Climatol. 93 (2007), 179–194.
20. Huang, C., Barnett, A.G., Xu, Z., Chu, C., Wang, X., Turner, L.R., et al. Managing the health effects of temperature in response to climate change: challenges ahead. Environ. Health Perspect. 121 (2013), 415–419.
21. Huang, Z., Lin, H., Liu, Y., Zhou, M., Liu, T., Xiao, J., et al. Individual-level and community-level effect modifiers of the temperature-mortality relationship in 66 Chinese communities. BMJ Open, 5, 2015, e009172.
22. Kan, H., London, S.J., Chen, H., Song, G., Chen, G., Jiang, L., et al. Diurnal temperature range and daily mortality in Shanghai, China. Environ. Res. 103 (2007), 424–431.
23. Kim, J., Shin, J., Lim, Y.H., Honda, Y., Hashizume, M., Guo, Y.L., et al. Comprehensive approach to understand the association between diurnal temperature range and mortality in East Asia. Sci. Total Environ. 539 (2016), 313–321.
24. Kravchenko, J., Abernethy, A.P., Fawzy, M., Lyerly, H.K., Minimization of heatwave morbidity and mortality. Am. J. Prev. Med. 44 (2013), 274–282.
25. Lim, Y.H., Reid, C.E., Mann, J.K., Jerrett, M., Kim, H., Diurnal temperature range and short-term mortality in large US communities. Int. J. Biometeorol. 59 (2014), 1311–1319.
26. Lim, Y.H., Hong, Y.C., Kim, H., Effects of diurnal temperature range on cardiovascular and respiratory hospital admissions in Korea. Sci. Total Environ. 417–418 (2012), 55–60.
27. Lim, Y.H., Park, A.K., Kim, H., Modifiers of diurnal temperature range and mortality association in six Korean cities. Int. J. Biometeorol. 56 (2012), 33–42.
28. Lin, H., Zhang, Y., Xu, Y., Xu, X., Liu, T., Luo, Y., et al. Temperature changes between neighboring days and mortality in summer: a distributed lag non-linear time series analysis. PLoS One, 8, 2013, e66403.
29. Ma, W., Wang, L., Lin, H., Liu, T., Zhang, Y., Rutherford, S., et al. The temperature-mortality relationship in China: an analysis from 66 Chinese communities. Environ. Res. 137 (2015), 72–77.
30. Ma, W., Zeng, W., Zhou, M., Wang, L., Rutherford, S., Lin, H., et al. The short-term effect of heat waves on mortality and its modifiers in China: an analysis from 66 communities. Environ. Int. 75 (2015), 103–109.
31. Martin, S.L., Cakmak, S., Hebbern, C.A., Avramescu, M.L., Tremblay, N., Climate change and future temperature-related mortality in 15 Canadian cities. Int. J. Biometeorol. 56 (2012), 605–619.
32. Martinez-Nicolas, A., Meyer, M., Hunkler, S., Madrid, J.A., Rol, M.A., Meyer, A.H., et al. Daytime variation in ambient temperature affects skin temperatures and blood pressure: ambulatory winter/summer comparison in healthy young women. Physiol. Behav. 149 (2015), 203–211.
33. McMichael, A.J., Wilkinson, P., Kovats, R.S., Pattenden, S., Hajat, S., Armstrong, B., et al. International study of temperature, heat and urban mortality: the ‘ISOTHURM’ project. Int. J. Epidemiol. 37 (2008), 1121–1131.
34. Mohan, M., Kandya, A., Impact of urbanization and land-use/land-cover change on diurnal temperature range: a case study of tropical urban airshed of India using remote sensing data. Sci. Total Environ. 506–507 (2015), 453–465.
35. O'Neill, M.S., Modifiers of the temperature and mortality association in seven US cities. Am. J. Epidemiol. 157 (2003), 1074–1082.
36. Pan, J., Zhang, L., Zhang, Q., He, T., Fu, Y., Ren, S., Underreporting of death in disease surveillance system in Hubei, 2009–2011. Dis. Surveill. 28 (2013), 478–480.
37. Shi, L., Kloog, I., Zanobetti, A., Liu, P., Schwartz, J.D., Impacts of temperature and its variability on mortality in New England. Nat. Clim. Chang. 5 (2015), 988–991.
38. Tian, Z., Li, S., Zhang, J., Jaakkola, J.J., Guo, Y., Ambient temperature and coronary heart disease mortality in Beijing, China: a time series study. Environ. Health, 11, 2012, 56.
39. Wang, C., Chen, R., Kuang, X., Duan, X., Kan, H., Temperature and daily mortality in Suzhou, China: a time series analysis. Sci. Total Environ. 466–467 (2014), 985–990.
40. Xie, H., Yao, Z., Zhang, Y., Xu, Y., Xu, X., Liu, T., et al. Short-term effects of the 2008 cold spell on mortality in three subtropical cities in Guangdong Province, China. Environ. Health Perspect. 121 (2013), 210–216.
41. Yang, J., Liu, H.Z., Ou, C.Q., Lin, G.Z., Zhou, Q., Shen, G.C., et al. Global climate change: impact of diurnal temperature range on mortality in Guangzhou, China. Environ. Pollut. 175 (2013), 131–136.
42. Ye, X., Wolff, R., Yu, W., Vaneckova, P., Pan, X., Tong, S., Ambient temperature and morbidity: a review of epidemiological evidence. Environ. Health Perspect. 120 (2012), 19–28.
43. Zhang, N.J., Guo, M., Zheng, X., China: awakening giant developing solutions to population aging. Gerontologist 52 (2012), 589–596.
44. Zhou, M., Jiang, Y., Huang, Z., Wu, F., Adjustment and representativeness evaluation of national disease surveillance points system. Dis. Surveill. 25 (2010), 239–244.
45. Zhou, X., Zhao, A., Meng, X., Chen, R., Kuang, X., Duan, X., et al. Acute effects of diurnal temperature range on mortality in 8 Chinese cities. Sci. Total Environ. 493 (2014), 92–97.