Individual-level and community-level effect modifiers of the temperature-mortality relationship in 66 Chinese communities

BMJ Open

Volumn 5, Issue 9, 2015, Pages

  Huang, Zhengjing ^a   Lin, Hualiang ^b   Liu, Yunning ^a   Zhou, Maigeng ^a   Liu, Tao ^b   Xiao, Jianpeng ^b   Zeng, Weilin ^b   Li, Xing ^b   Zhang, Yonghui ^b   Ebi, Kristie L ^c   Tong, Shilu ^d   Ma, Wenjun ^b   Wang, Lijun ^a  

^a CHINESE CENTER FOR DISEASE CONTROL AND PREVENTION   (China)

^b GUANGZHOU CENTER FOR DISEASE CONTROL AND PREVENTION   (China)

^c UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON   (United States)

^d QUEENSLAND UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY   (Australia)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ADULT; ADVERSE OUTCOME; AGE; AGED; ARTICLE; CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE; CAUSE OF DEATH; CHINESE; COLD EXPOSURE; DEATH; EDUCATIONAL STATUS; ENVIRONMENTAL TEMPERATURE; FEMALE; HIGH TEMPERATURE; HUMAN; INCOME; LATITUDE; LOW TEMPERATURE; MALE; MORTALITY; PUBLIC HEALTH; RESPIRATORY TRACT DISEASE; SEX DIFFERENCE; SOCIAL STATUS; URBAN POPULATION; WEATHER; ADOLESCENT; CHILD; CHINA; EPIDEMIOLOGY; FACTUAL DATABASE; HEALTH CARE DELIVERY; INFANT; MIDDLE AGED; NONLINEAR SYSTEM; POPULATION DENSITY; PRESCHOOL CHILD; REGRESSION ANALYSIS; RISK FACTOR; SOCIOECONOMICS; STATISTICS AND NUMERICAL DATA; TEMPERATURE; VERY ELDERLY; YOUNG ADULT;

ADOLESCENT; ADULT; AGED; AGED, 80 AND OVER; CHILD; CHILD, PRESCHOOL; CHINA; DATABASES, FACTUAL; FEMALE; HEALTH SERVICES ACCESSIBILITY; HUMANS; INFANT; MALE; MIDDLE AGED; MORTALITY; NONLINEAR DYNAMICS; POPULATION DENSITY; REGRESSION ANALYSIS; RISK FACTORS; SOCIOECONOMIC FACTORS; TEMPERATURE; YOUNG ADULT;

EID: 84946074024     PISSN: None     EISSN: 20446055     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2015-009172     Document Type: Article

References (55)

1. Kunst AE, Looman CW, Mackenbach JP. Outdoor air temperature, and mortality in the Netherlands: a time-series analysis. Am J Epidemiol. 1993; 137: 331-41.
2. Pan WH, Li LA, Tsai MJ. Temperature extremes, and mortality from coronary heart disease, and cerebral infarction in elderly Chinese. Lancet. 1995; 345: 353-5.
3. Anderson BG, Bell ML. Weather-related mortality: how heat, cold, and heat waves affect mortality in the United States. Epidemiology. 2009; 20: 205.
4. Zanobetti A, Schwartz J. Temperature, and mortality in nine US cities. Epidemiology. 2008; 19: 563.
5. Yu W, Hu W, Mengersen K, et al. Time course of temperature effects on cardiovascular mortality in Brisbane, Australia. Heart. 2011; 97: 1089-93.
6. Luo Y, Zhang YH, Liu T, et al. Lagged effect of diurnal temperature range on mortality in a subtropical megacity of China. PLoS ONE. 2013; 8: e55280.
7. Lin H, Zhang Y, Xu Y, et al. Temperature changes between neighboring days, and mortality in summer: a distributed lag non-linear time series analysis. PLoS ONE. 2013; 8: e66403.
8. Dixon PG, Brommer DM, Hedquist BC, et al. Heat mortality versus cold mortality: a study of conflicting databases in the United States. Bulletin Am Meteorol Soc. 2005; 86: 937-43.
9. Zeng W, Lao X, Rutherford S, et al. The effect of heat waves on mortality, and effect modifiers in four communities of Guangdong Province, China. Sci Total Environ. 2014; 482-483: 214-21.
10. Ma W, Yang C, Chu C, et al. The impact of the 2008 cold spell on mortality in Shanghai, China. Int J Biometeorol. 2013; 57: 179-84.
11. McMichael AJ, Wilkinson P, Kovats RS, et al. International study of temperature, heat, and urban mortality: the ?ISOTHURM?project. Int J Epidemiol. 2008; 37: 1121-31.
12. Greene S, Kalkstein LS, Mills DM, et al. An examination of climate change on extreme heat events, and climate-mortality relationships in large US Cities. Weather Climate Soc. 2011; 3: 281-91.
13. Medina-Ramon M, Zanobetti A, Cavanagh DP, et al. Extreme temperatures, and mortality: assessing effect modification by personal characteristics, and specific cause of death in a multi-city case-only analysis. Environ Health Perspect. 2006; 114: 1331.
14. Oneill MS, Zanobetti A, Schwartz J. Modifiers of the temperature, and mortality association in seven US cities. Am J Epidemiol. 2003; 157: 1074-82.
15. Yu W, Vaneckova P, Mengersen K, et al. Is the association between temperature, and mortality modified by age, gender, and socio-economic status? Sci Total Environ. 2010; 408: 3513-18.
16. Medina-Ramón M, Schwartz J. Temperature, temperature extremes, and mortality: a study of acclimatisation, and effect modification in 50 US cities. Occup Environ Med. 2007; 64: 827-33.
17. Ma W, Yang C, Tan J, et al. Modifiers of the temperature-mortality association in Shanghai, China. Int J Biometeorol. 2012; 56: 205-7.
18. Bateson TF, Schwartz J. Who is sensitive to the effects of particulate air pollution on mortality?: a case-crossover analysis of effect modifiers. Epidemiology. 2004; 15: 143-9.
19. Hales S, Blakely T, Foster RH, et al. Seasonal patterns of mortality in relation to social factors. J Epidemiol Community Health. 2012; 66: 379-84.
20. Shen D, Varis OFF Climate change in China. Ambioff 2001; 30: 381-3.
21. Kan H. Climate change, and human health in China. Environ Health Perspect. 2011; 119: A60.
22. Xie HY, Yao ZB, Zhang YH, et al. Short-Term effects of the 2008 cold spell on mortality in three subtropical cities in Guangdong Province, China. Environ Health Perspect. 2013; 121: 210-16.
23. Li Q, Wang Y. Changes in the observed trends in extreme temperatures over China around 1990. J Climate. 2012; 25: 5208-22.
24. Ma W, Wang L, Lin H, et al. The temperature-mortality relationship in China: an analysis from 66 Chinese communities. Environ Res. 2015; 137: 72-7.
25. Ma W, Zeng W, Zhou M, et al. The short-Term effect of heat waves on mortality, and its modifiers in China: an analysis from 66 communities. Environ Int. 2015; 75: 103-9.
26. Ma J. Release of the sixth national census data. China Bureau of Statistics, (5-20-2011) 2011. http://wwwgovcn/gzdt/2011-04/28/content-1854048htm
27. Gasparrini A, Armstrong B, Kenward M. Distributed lag non-linear models. Stat Med. 2010; 29: 2224-34.
28. Armstrong B. Models for the relationship between ambient temperature, and daily mortality. Epidemiology. 2006; 17: 624-31.
29. Dockery DW, Pope CA III, Kanner RE, et al. Daily changes in oxygen saturation, and pulse rate associated with particulate air pollution, and barometric pressure. Res Rep Health Eff Inst 1999 (83): 1-19; discussion 21-18.
30. González S, Díaz J, Pajares M, et al. Relationship between atmospheric pressure, and mortality in the Madrid Autonomous Region: a time-series study. Int J Biometeorol. 2001; 45: 34-40.
31. Wu W, Xiao YZ, Li GC, et al. Temperature-mortality relationship in four subtropical Chinese cities: a time-series study using a distributed lag non-linear model. Sci Total Environ. 2013; 449: 355-62.
32. Guo Y, Barnett AG, Pan X, et al. The impact of temperature on mortality in Tianjin, China: a case-crossover design with a distributed lag non-linear model. Environ Health Perspect. 2011; 119: 1719-25.
33. Braga AL, Zanobetti A, Schwartz J. The time course of weather-related deaths. Epidemiology. 2001; 12: 662-7.
34. Hunter JE, Schmidt FL. Fixed effects vs. random effects meta-Analysis models: implications for cumulative research knowledge. Int J Sel Assess. 2000; 8: 275-92.
35. Bagnardi V, Zambon A, Quatto P, et al. Flexible meta-regression functions for modeling aggregate dose-response data, with an application to alcohol, and mortality. Am J Epidemiol. 2004; 159: 1077-86.
36. Bouchama A, Knochel JP. Heat stroke. N Engl J Med. 2002; 346: 1978-88.
37. Kawahara J, Sano H, Fukuzaki H, et al. Acute effects of exposure to cold on blood pressure, platelet function, and sympathetic nervous activity in humans. Am J Hypertens. 1989; 2: 724.
38. Anderson GB, Bell ML. Heat waves in the United States: mortality risk during heat waves, and effect modification by heat wave characteristics in 43 US communities. Environ Health Perspect. 2011; 119: 210.
39. Goggins WB, Chan EY, Ng E, et al. Effect modification of the association between short-Term meteorological factors, and mortality by urban heat islands in Hong Kong. PLoS ONE. 2012; 7: e38551.
40. Semenza JC, Rubin CH, Falter KH, et al. Heat-related deaths during the July 1995 heat wave in Chicagoff N Engl J Med. 1996; 335: 84-90.
41. Greenberg JH, Bromberg J, Reed CM, et al. The epidemiology of heat-related deaths, Texas-1950, 1970-79, and 1980. Am J Public Health. 1983; 73: 805-7.
42. Zeka A, Zanobetti A, Schwartz J. Individual-level modifiers of the effects of particulate matter on daily mortality. Am J Epidemiol. 2006; 163: 849-59.
43. [No authors listed]. Cold exposure, and winter mortality from ischaemic heart disease, cerebrovascular disease, respiratory disease, and all causes in warm, and cold regions of Europe. The Eurowinter Group. Lancet. 1997; 349: 1341-6.
44. Zanobetti A, Oneill MS, Gronlund CJ, et al. Susceptibility to mortality in weather extremes: effect modification by personal, and small-Area characteristics. Epidemiology. 2013; 24: 809-19.
45. Curriero FC, Heiner KS, Samet JM, et al. Temperature, and mortality in 11 cities of the eastern United States. Am J Epidemiol. 2002; 155: 80-7.
46. Huynen MM, Martens P, Schram D, et al. The impact of heat waves, and cold spells on mortality rates in the Dutch population. Environ Health Perspect. 2001; 109: 463.
47. Oneill MS, Ebi KL. Temperature extremes, and health: impacts of climate variability, and change in the United States. J Occup Environ Med. 2009; 51: 13-25.
48. Gosling SN, Lowe JA, McGregor GR, et al. Associations between elevated atmospheric temperature, and human mortality: a critical review of the literature. Climatic Change. 2009; 92: 299-341.
49. Steenland K, Henley J, Thun M. All-cause, and cause-specific death rates by educational status for two million people in two American Cancer Society Cohorts, 1959-1996. Am J Epidemiol. 2002; 156: 11-21.
50. Klinenberg E. Heat wave: a social autopsy of disaster in Chicagoff Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Press, 2002.
51. Chestnut LG, Breffle WS, Smith JB, et al. Analysis of differences in hot-weather-related mortality across 44 US metropolitan areas. Environ Sci Policy. 1998; 1: 59-70.
52. Xiao J, Peng J, Zhang Y, et al. How much does latitude modify temperature-mortality relationship in 13 eastern US cities? Int J Biometeorol. 2014; 59: 365-72.
53. Kalkstein LS, Greene JS. An evaluation of climate/mortality relationships in large US cities, and the possible impacts of a climate change. Environ Health Perspect. 1997; 105: 84-93.
54. Oneill MS, Hajat S, Zanobetti A, et al. Impact of control for air pollution, and respiratory epidemics on the estimated associations of temperature, and daily mortality. Int J Biometeorol. 2005; 50: 121-9.
55. Goldberg MS, Gasparrini A, Armstrong B, et al. The short-Term influence of temperature on daily mortality in the temperate climate of Montreal, Canada. Environ Res. 2011; 111: 853-60.