메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 107, Issue , 2017, Pages 196-204

Projected temperature-related deaths in ten large U.S. metropolitan areas under different climate change scenarios

Author keywords

Ambient temperature; Climate change; Health impacts; United States

Indexed keywords

ATMOSPHERIC TEMPERATURE; CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE MODELS; GAS EMISSIONS; GREENHOUSE GASES; TEMPERATURE;

EID: 85025477351     PISSN: 01604120     EISSN: 18736750     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.envint.2017.07.006     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (75)

References (37)
  • 1
  • 2
    • 84994235802 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A difference-in-differences approach to assess the effect of a heat action plan on heat-related mortality, and differences in effectiveness according to sex, age, and socioeconomic status (Montreal, Quebec)
    • Benmarhnia, T., Bailey, Z., Kaiser, D., Auger, N., King, N., Kaufman, J.S., A difference-in-differences approach to assess the effect of a heat action plan on heat-related mortality, and differences in effectiveness according to sex, age, and socioeconomic status (Montreal, Quebec). Environ. Health Perspect. 124:11 (2016), 1694–1699.
    • (2016) Environ. Health Perspect. , vol.124 , Issue.11 , pp. 1694-1699
    • Benmarhnia, T.1    Bailey, Z.2    Kaiser, D.3    Auger, N.4    King, N.5    Kaufman, J.S.6
  • 3
    • 84905216322 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Heat-related mortality and adaptation to heat in the United States
    • Bobb, J.F., Peng, R.D., Bell, M.L., Dominici, F., Heat-related mortality and adaptation to heat in the United States. Environ. Health Perspect. 122:8 (2014), 811–816.
    • (2014) Environ. Health Perspect. , vol.122 , Issue.8 , pp. 811-816
    • Bobb, J.F.1    Peng, R.D.2    Bell, M.L.3    Dominici, F.4
  • 4
    • 84906880148 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Downscaled CMIP3 and CMIP5 Climate Projections: Release of Downscaled CMIP5 Climate Projections
    • U.S. Department of the Interior, Bureau of Reclamation Denver, CO
    • Brekke, L., Thrasher, B., Maurer, E.P., Pruitt, T., Downscaled CMIP3 and CMIP5 Climate Projections: Release of Downscaled CMIP5 Climate Projections. Comparison with Preceding Information, and Summary of User Needs, 2013, U.S. Department of the Interior, Bureau of Reclamation, Denver, CO.
    • (2013) Comparison with Preceding Information, and Summary of User Needs
    • Brekke, L.1    Thrasher, B.2    Maurer, E.P.3    Pruitt, T.4
  • 5
    • 41849092453 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Has the impact of heat waves on mortality changed in France since the European heat wave of summer 2003? A study of the 2006 heat wave
    • Fouillet, A., Rey, G., Wagner, V., Laaidi, K., Empereur-Bissonnet, P., Le Tertre, A. et al., Has the impact of heat waves on mortality changed in France since the European heat wave of summer 2003? A study of the 2006 heat wave. Int. J. Epidemiol. 37:2 (2008), 309–317.
    • (2008) Int. J. Epidemiol. , vol.37 , Issue.2 , pp. 309-317
    • Fouillet, A.1    Rey, G.2    Wagner, V.3    Laaidi, K.4    Empereur-Bissonnet, P.5    Le Tertre, A.6
  • 6
    • 80051478503 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Distributed lag linear and non-linear models in R: the package dlnm
    • Gasparrini, A., Distributed lag linear and non-linear models in R: the package dlnm. J. Stat. Softw. 43:8 (2011), 1–20.
    • (2011) J. Stat. Softw. , vol.43 , Issue.8 , pp. 1-20
    • Gasparrini, A.1
  • 7
    • 84900456022 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Attributable risk from distributed lag models
    • Gasparrini, A., Leone, M., Attributable risk from distributed lag models. BMC Med. Res. Methodol., 14, 2014, 55.
    • (2014) BMC Med. Res. Methodol. , vol.14 , pp. 55
    • Gasparrini, A.1    Leone, M.2
  • 8
    • 84870061584 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Multivariate meta-analysis for non-linear and other multi-parameter associations
    • Gasparrini, A., Armstrong, B., Kenward, M.G., Multivariate meta-analysis for non-linear and other multi-parameter associations. Stat. Med. 31:29 (2012), 3821–3839.
    • (2012) Stat. Med. , vol.31 , Issue.29 , pp. 3821-3839
    • Gasparrini, A.1    Armstrong, B.2    Kenward, M.G.3
  • 10
    • 84937966469 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Mortality risk attributable to high and low ambient temperature: a multicountry observational study
    • Gasparrini, A., Guo, Y., Hashizume, M., Lavigne, E., Zanobetti, A., Schwartz, J. et al., Mortality risk attributable to high and low ambient temperature: a multicountry observational study. Lancet 386 (2015), 369–375.
    • (2015) Lancet , vol.386 , pp. 369-375
    • Gasparrini, A.1    Guo, Y.2    Hashizume, M.3    Lavigne, E.4    Zanobetti, A.5    Schwartz, J.6
  • 11
    • 84927699517 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global variation in the effects of ambient temperature on mortality: a systematic evaluation
    • Guo, Y., Gasparrini, A., Armstrong, B., Li, S., Tawatsupa, B., Tobias, A., Lavigne, E. et al., Global variation in the effects of ambient temperature on mortality: a systematic evaluation. Epidemiology 25:6 (2014), 781–789.
    • (2014) Epidemiology , vol.25 , Issue.6 , pp. 781-789
    • Guo, Y.1    Gasparrini, A.2    Armstrong, B.3    Li, S.4    Tawatsupa, B.5    Tobias, A.6    Lavigne, E.7
  • 12
    • 84959125791 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Projecting future temperature-related mortality in three largest Australian cities
    • Guo, Y., Li, S., Liu de, L., Chen, D., Williams, G., Tong, S., Projecting future temperature-related mortality in three largest Australian cities. Environ. Pollut. 208 (2016), 66–73.
    • (2016) Environ. Pollut. , vol.208 , pp. 66-73
    • Guo, Y.1    Li, S.2    Liu de, L.3    Chen, D.4    Williams, G.5    Tong, S.6
  • 13
    • 84897373256 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change effects on human health: projections of temperature-related mortality for the UK during the 2020s, 2050s and 2080s
    • Hajat, S., Vardoulakis, S., Heaviside, C., Eggen, B., Climate change effects on human health: projections of temperature-related mortality for the UK during the 2020s, 2050s and 2080s. J. Epidemiol. Community Health 68 (2014), 641–648.
    • (2014) J. Epidemiol. Community Health , vol.68 , pp. 641-648
    • Hajat, S.1    Vardoulakis, S.2    Heaviside, C.3    Eggen, B.4
  • 14
    • 84945422958 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change effects on heat- and cold-related mortality in the Netherlands: a scenario-based integrated environmental health impact assessment
    • Huynen, M.M., Martens, P., Climate change effects on heat- and cold-related mortality in the Netherlands: a scenario-based integrated environmental health impact assessment. Int. J. Environ. Public Health 12:10 (2015), 13295–13320.
    • (2015) Int. J. Environ. Public Health , vol.12 , Issue.10 , pp. 13295-13320
    • Huynen, M.M.1    Martens, P.2
  • 18
    • 84965093288 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Acclimatization across space and time in the effects of temperature on mortality: a time-series analysis
    • Lee, M., Nordio, F., Zanobetti, A., Kinney, P., Vautard, R., Schwartz, J., Acclimatization across space and time in the effects of temperature on mortality: a time-series analysis. Environ. Health, 13, 2014, 89.
    • (2014) Environ. Health , vol.13 , pp. 89
    • Lee, M.1    Nordio, F.2    Zanobetti, A.3    Kinney, P.4    Vautard, R.5    Schwartz, J.6
  • 19
    • 84880861447 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Future projections of seasonal patterns in temperature-related deaths for Manhattan
    • Li, T., Horton, R.M., Kinney, P., Future projections of seasonal patterns in temperature-related deaths for Manhattan. Nat. Clim. Chang. 3 (2013), 717–721.
    • (2013) Nat. Clim. Chang. , vol.3 , pp. 717-721
    • Li, T.1    Horton, R.M.2    Kinney, P.3
  • 20
    • 84862884674 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change and future temperature-related mortality in 15 Canadian cities
    • Martin, S.L., Cakmak, S., Hebbern, C.A., Avramescu, M.L., Tremblay, N., Climate change and future temperature-related mortality in 15 Canadian cities. Int. J. Biometeorol. 56:4 (2012), 605–619.
    • (2012) Int. J. Biometeorol. , vol.56 , Issue.4 , pp. 605-619
    • Martin, S.L.1    Cakmak, S.2    Hebbern, C.A.3    Avramescu, M.L.4    Tremblay, N.5
  • 21
    • 67349209900 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Fine-resolution climate projections enhance regional climate change impact studies
    • Maurer, E.P., Brekke, L., Pruitt, T., Duffy, P.B., Fine-resolution climate projections enhance regional climate change impact studies. Eos. Trans. AGU, 88(47), 2007, 504.
    • (2007) Eos. Trans. AGU , vol.88 , Issue.47 , pp. 504
    • Maurer, E.P.1    Brekke, L.2    Pruitt, T.3    Duffy, P.B.4
  • 22
    • 34648822438 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Temperature, temperature extremes, and mortality: a study of acclimatisation and effect modification in 50 US cities
    • Medina-Ramon, M., Schwartz, J., Temperature, temperature extremes, and mortality: a study of acclimatisation and effect modification in 50 US cities. Occup. Environ. Med. 64:12 (2007), 827–833.
    • (2007) Occup. Environ. Med. , vol.64 , Issue.12 , pp. 827-833
    • Medina-Ramon, M.1    Schwartz, J.2
  • 23
    • 84933672330 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change impacts on extreme temperature mortality in select metropolitan areas in the United States
    • Mills, D., Schwartz, J., Lee, M., Sarofim, M., Jones, R., Lawson, M. et al., Climate change impacts on extreme temperature mortality in select metropolitan areas in the United States. Clim. Chang. 131 (2015), 83–95.
    • (2015) Clim. Chang. , vol.131 , pp. 83-95
    • Mills, D.1    Schwartz, J.2    Lee, M.3    Sarofim, M.4    Jones, R.5    Lawson, M.6
  • 24
    • 0003564167 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Special Report on Emissions Scenarios: A Special Report of Working Group III of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
    • Cambridge University Press Cambridge, U.K. Available:
    • Nakicenovic, N., Alcamo, J., Davis, G., de Vries, B., Fenhann, J., Gaffin, S., Special Report on Emissions Scenarios: A Special Report of Working Group III of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. 2000, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, U.K. Available: http://www.grida.no/climate/ipcc/emission/index.htm.
    • (2000)
    • Nakicenovic, N.1    Alcamo, J.2    Davis, G.3    de Vries, B.4    Fenhann, J.5    Gaffin, S.6
  • 25
    • 84867528805 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The impact of future summer temperature on public health in Barcelona and Catalonia, Spain
    • Ostro, B., Barrera-Gomez, J., Ballester, J., Basagana, X., Sunyer, J., The impact of future summer temperature on public health in Barcelona and Catalonia, Spain. Int. J. Biometeorol. 56:6 (2012), 1135–1144.
    • (2012) Int. J. Biometeorol. , vol.56 , Issue.6 , pp. 1135-1144
    • Ostro, B.1    Barrera-Gomez, J.2    Ballester, J.3    Basagana, X.4    Sunyer, J.5
  • 26
    • 79955819958 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Toward a quantitative estimate of future heat wave mortality under global climate change
    • Peng, R.D., Bobb, J.F., Tebaldi, C., McDaniel, L., Bell, M.L., Dominici, F., Toward a quantitative estimate of future heat wave mortality under global climate change. Environ. Health Perspect. 119:5 (2011), 701–706.
    • (2011) Environ. Health Perspect. , vol.119 , Issue.5 , pp. 701-706
    • Peng, R.D.1    Bobb, J.F.2    Tebaldi, C.3    McDaniel, L.4    Bell, M.L.5    Dominici, F.6
  • 27
    • 5344244656 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing
    • R Foundation for Statistical Computing Vienna, Austria
    • R Development Core Team, R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing. 2013, R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria.
    • (2013)
    • R Development Core Team1
  • 28
    • 84946119977 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Projections of temperature-attributable premature deaths in 209 U.S. cities using a cluster-based Poisson approach
    • Schwartz, J.D., Lee, M., Kinney, P.L., Yang, S., Mills, D., Sarofim, M.C. et al., Projections of temperature-attributable premature deaths in 209 U.S. cities using a cluster-based Poisson approach. Environ. Health 14:6 (2015), 85–99.
    • (2015) Environ. Health , vol.14 , Issue.6 , pp. 85-99
    • Schwartz, J.D.1    Lee, M.2    Kinney, P.L.3    Yang, S.4    Mills, D.5    Sarofim, M.C.6
  • 31
    • 85025479677 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • State and county intercensal tables: 1990–2000
    • Available: (Accessed January 2015)
    • U.S. Census Bureau, State and county intercensal tables: 1990–2000. Available: https://www.census.gov/data/tables/time-series/demo/popest/intercensal-1990-2000-state-and-county-totals.html, 2002 (Accessed January 2015).
    • (2002)
    • U.S. Census Bureau1
  • 33
    • 84899930617 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • ICLUS Tools and Datasets (Version 1.3.2)
    • U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Washington, DC (EPA/600/R-09/143F)
    • U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), ICLUS Tools and Datasets (Version 1.3.2). 2010, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, DC (EPA/600/R-09/143F).
    • (2010)
    • U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA)1
  • 35
    • 84936802575 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Comparative assessment of the effects of climate change on heat- and cold-related mortality in the United Kingdom and Australia
    • Vardoulakis, S., Dear, K., Hajat, S., Heaviside, C., Eggen, B., McMichael, A.J., Comparative assessment of the effects of climate change on heat- and cold-related mortality in the United Kingdom and Australia. Environ. Health Perspect. 122 (2014), 1285–1292.
    • (2014) Environ. Health Perspect. , vol.122 , pp. 1285-1292
    • Vardoulakis, S.1    Dear, K.2    Hajat, S.3    Heaviside, C.4    Eggen, B.5    McMichael, A.J.6


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.