Contrasting effects of climate and population density over time and life stages in a long-lived seabird

Functional Ecology

Volumn 31, Issue 6, 2017, Pages 1275-1284

  Fay, Rémi ^a   Barbraud, Christophe ^a   Delord, Karine ^a   Weimerskirch, Henri ^a  

^a CENTRE D ETUDES BIOLOGIQUES DE CHIZÉ   (France)

Author keywords

Diomedea exulans; early life vital rate; juvenile survival; long term effect; recruitment age

Indexed keywords

AGE CLASS; AGE STRUCTURE; CLIMATE CONDITIONS; CLIMATE EFFECT; COMPETITIVE ABILITY; DEMOGRAPHY; DENSITY DEPENDENCE; JUVENILE; LONG-TERM CHANGE; MARINE ENVIRONMENT; MARK-RECAPTURE METHOD; POPULATION DENSITY; POPULATION SIZE; RECRUITMENT (POPULATION DYNAMICS); SEABIRD; SURVIVAL;

DIOMEDEA EXULANS;

EID: 85017370778     PISSN: 02698463     EISSN: 13652435     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/1365-2435.12831     Document Type: Article

References (80)

1. Ainley, D.G., Sydeman, W.J. & Norton, J. (1995) Upper trophic level predators indicate interannual negative and positive anomalies in the California Current food web. Oceanographic Literature Review, 10, 69–79.
2. Allee, W.C. (1931) Animal Aggregations, a Study in General Sociology. The University of Chicago Press, Chicago, IL, USA.
3. Angulo, E., Roemer, G.W., Berec, L., Gascoigne, J. & Courchamp, F. (2007) Double Allee effects and extinction in the island fox. Conservation Biology, 21, 1082–1091.
4. Barbraud, C. & Weimerskirch, H. (2001) Emperor penguins and climate change. Nature, 411, 183–186.
5. Barbraud, C., Rolland, V., Jenouvrier, S., Nevoux, M., Delord, K. & Weimerskirch, H. (2012) Effects of climate change and fisheries bycatch on Southern Ocean seabirds: a review. Marine Ecology Progress Series, 454, 285–307.
6. Beauplet, G., Barbraud, C., Chambellant, M. & Guinet, C. (2005) Interannual variation in the post-weaning and juvenile survival of subantarctic fur seals: influence of pup sex, growth rate and oceanographic conditions. Journal of Animal Ecology, 74, 1160–1172.
7. Bonenfant, C., Gaillard, J.-M., Coulson, T. et al. (2009) Empirical evidence of density-dependence in populations of large herbivores. Advances in Ecological Research, 41, 313–357.
8. Bost, C.A., Cotté, C., Terray, P. et al. (2015) Large-scale climatic anomalies affect marine predator foraging behaviour and demography. Nature Communications, 6, 8220.
9. Bried, J., Pontier, D. & Jouventin, P. (2003) Mate fidelity in monogamous birds: a re-examination of the Procellariiformes. Animal Behaviour, 65, 235–246.
10. Clobert, J., Danchin, E., Dhondt, A.A. & Nichols, J.D. (2001) Dispersal. Oxford University Press, Oxford, UK.
11. Clutton-Brock, T. & Sheldon, B.C. (2010) Individuals and populations: the role of long-term, individual-based studies of animals in ecology and evolutionary biology. Trends in Ecology & Evolution, 25, 562–573.
12. Constable, A.J., Melbourne-Thomas, J., Corney, S.P. et al. (2014) Climate change and Southern Ocean ecosystems I: how changes in physical habitats directly affect marine biota. Global Change Biology, 20, 3004–3025.
13. Coulson, T. (2001) Age, sex, density, winter weather, and population crashes in Soay sheep. Science, 292, 1528–1531.
14. Croxall, J.P., Trathan, P.N. & Murphy, E.J. (2002) Environmental change and Antarctic seabird populations. Science, 297, 1510–1514.
15. Delord, K., Besson, D., Barbraud, C. & Weimerskirch, H. (2008) Population trends in a community of large Procellariiforms of Indian Ocean: potential effects of environment and fisheries interactions. Biological Conservation, 141, 1840–1856.
16. Dillon, M.E., Wang, G. & Huey, R.B. (2010) Global metabolic impacts of recent climate warming. Nature, 467, 704–706.
17. Durant, J.M., Anker-Nilssen, T. & Stenseth, N.C. (2003) Trophic interactions under climate fluctuations: the Atlantic puffin as an example. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London B: Biological Sciences, 270, 1461–1466.
18. Durant, J.M., Anker-Nilssen, T., Hjermann, D.Ø. & Stenseth, N.C. (2004) Regime shifts in the breeding of an Atlantic puffin population. Ecology Letters, 7, 388–394.
19. Dybala, K.E., Eadie, J.M., Gardali, T., Seavy, N.E. & Herzog, M.P. (2013) Projecting demographic responses to climate change: adult and juvenile survival respond differently to direct and indirect effects of weather in a passerine population. Global Change Biology, 19, 2688–2697.
20. Eberhardt, L.L. (2002) A paradigm for population analysis of long-lived vertebrates. Ecology, 83, 2841–2854.
21. Fauchereau, N., Tagliabue, A., Bopp, L. & Monteiro, P. (2011) The response of phytoplankton biomass to transient mixing events in the Southern Ocean. Geophysical Research Letters, 38, L17601.
22. Fay, R., Weimerskirch, H., Delord, K. & Barbraud, C. (2015a) Population density and climate shape early-life survival and recruitment in a long-lived pelagic seabird. Journal of Animal Ecology, 84, 1423–1433.
23. Fay, R., Weimerskirch, H., Delord, K. & Barbraud, C. (2015b) Data from: Population density and climate shape early-life survival and recruitment in a long-lived pelagic seabird. Dryad Digital Repository, https://doi.org/10.5061/dryad.p62h7.
24. Fay, R., Barbraud, C., Delord, K. & Weimerskirch, H. (2016) Paternal but not maternal age influences early-life performance of offspring in a long-lived seabird. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London B: Biological Sciences, 283, 20152318.
25. Ferrer, M., Otalora, F. & García-Ruiz, J.M. (2004) Density-dependent age of first reproduction as a buffer affecting persistence of small populations. Ecological Applications, 14, 616–624.
26. Gaillard, J.-M., Festa-Bianchet, M., Yoccoz, N.G., Loison, A. & Toigo, C. (2000) Temporal variation in fitness components and population dynamics of large herbivores. Annual Review of Ecology and Systematics, 31, 367–393.
27. Grosbois, V., Gimenez, O., Gaillard, J.-M., Pradel, R., Barbraud, C., Clobert, J., Møller, A.P. & Weimerskirch, H. (2008) Assessing the impact of climate variation on survival in vertebrate populations. Biological Reviews, 83, 357–399.
28. Guinet, C., Chastel, O., Koudil, M., Durbec, J.-P. & Jouventin, P. (1998) Effects of warm sea–surface temperature anomalies on the blue petrel at the Kerguelen Islands. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London B: Biological Sciences, 265, 1001–1006.
29. Inchausti, P., Guinet, C., Koudil, M., Durbec, J.-P., Barbraud, C., Weimerskirch, H., Cherel, Y. & Jouventin, P. (2003) Inter-annual variability in the breeding performance of seabirds in relation to oceanographic anomalies that affect the Crozet and the Kerguelen sectors of the Southern Ocean. Journal of Avian Biology, 34, 170–176.
30. Inouye, D.W. (2008) Effects of climate change on phenology, frost damage, and floral abundance of montane wildflowers. Ecology, 89, 353–362.
31. IUCN (2016) The IUCN Red List of Threatened Species. Version 2016-3. www.iucnredlist.org
32. Jenouvrier, S. (2013) Impacts of climate change on avian populations. Global Change Biology, 19, 2036–2057.
33. Jenouvrier, S., Barbraud, C. & Weimerskirch, H. (2003) Effects of climate variability on the temporal population dynamics of southern fulmars. Journal of Animal Ecology, 72, 576–587.
34. Lebreton, J.D. & Pradel, R. (2002) Multistate recapture models: modelling incomplete individual histories. Journal of Applied Statistics, 29, 353–369.
35. Lewis, S., Sherratt, T.N., Hamer, K.C. & Wanless, S. (2001) Evidence of intra-specific competition for food in a pelagic seabird. Nature, 412, 816–819.
36. Lewison, R., Oro, D., Godley, B. et al. (2012) Research priorities for seabirds: improving conservation and management in the 21st century. Endangered Species Research, 17, 93–121.
37. Lovenduski, N.S. (2005) Impact of the Southern Annular Mode on Southern Ocean circulation and biology. Geophysical Research Letters, 32, L11603.
38. Marshall, G.J. (2003) Trends in the Southern Annular Mode from observations and reanalyses. Journal of Climate, 16, 4134–4143.
39. Martin, J.G.A. & Festa-Bianchet, M. (2012) Determinants and consequences of age of primiparity in bighorn ewes. Oikos, 121, 752–760.
40. McCarthy, M.A. (1997) The Allee effect, finding mates and theoretical models. Ecological Modelling, 103, 99–102.
41. McMahon, C.R. & Burton, H.R. (2005) Climate change and seal survival: evidence for environmentally mediated changes in elephant seal, Mirounga leonina, pup survival. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 272, 923–928.
42. Nevoux, M., Weimerskirch, H. & Barbraud, C. (2007) Environmental variation and experience-related differences in the demography of the long-lived black-browed albatross. Journal of Animal Ecology, 76, 159–167.
43. Nevoux, M., Weimerskirch, H. & Barbraud, C. (2010) Long- and short-term influence of environment on recruitment in a species with highly delayed maturity. Oecologia, 162, 383–392.
44. Newton, I. (1989) Lifetime Reproduction in Birds. Academic Press, London, UK.
45. Oosthuizen, W.C., Bester, M.N., Altwegg, R., McIntyre, T. & De Bruyn, P.J. (2015) Decomposing the variance in southern elephant seal weaning mass: partitioning environmental signals and maternal effects. Ecosphere, 6, 1–22.
46. Oro, D., Torres, R., Rodríguez, C. & Drummond, H. (2010) Climatic influence on demographic parameters of a tropical seabird varies with age and sex. Ecology, 91, 1205–1214.
47. Oro, D., Hernández, N., Jover, L. & Genovart, M. (2014) From recruitment to senescence: food shapes the age-dependent pattern of breeding performance in a long-lived bird. Ecology, 95, 446–457.
48. Pardo, D., Barbraud, C., Authier, M. & Weimerskirch, H. (2013) Evidence for an age-dependent influence of environmental variations on a long-lived seabird's life-history traits. Ecology, 94, 208–220.
49. Parmesan, C. (2006) Ecological and evolutionary responses to recent climate change. Annual Review of Ecology, Evolution, and Systematics, 37, 637–669.
50. Pendlebury, S. & Barnes-Keoghan, I.P. (2007) Climate and climate change in the sub-Antarctic. Papers and Proceedings of the Royal Society of Tasmania, 141, 67–81.
51. Pradel, R. (2005) Multievent: an extension of multistate capture–recapture models to uncertain states. Biometrics, 61, 442–447.
52. Pradel, R., Johnson, A.R., Viallefont, A., Nager, R.G. & Cezilly, F. (1997) Local recruitment in the greater flamingo: a new approach using capture–mark–recapture data. Ecology, 78, 1431–1445.
53. Radchuk, V., Turlure, C. & Schtickzelle, N. (2013) Each life stage matters: the importance of assessing the response to climate change over the complete life cycle in butterflies. Journal of Animal Ecology, 82, 275–285.
54. Reay, D.S., Priddle, J., Nedwell, D.B., Whitehouse, M.J., Ellis-Evans, J.C., Deubert, C. & Connelly, D.P. (2001) Regulation by low temperature of phytoplankton growth and nutrient uptake in the Southern Ocean. Marine Ecology Progress Series, 219, 51–64.
55. Reid, K., Prince, P.A. & Croxall, J.P. (2000) Fly or die: the role of fat stores in the growth and development of Grey-headed Albatross Diomedea chrysostoma chicks. Ibis, 142, 188–198.
56. Reid, J.M., Bignal, E.M., Bignal, S., McCracken, D.I. & Monaghan, P. (2003) Environmental variability, life-history covariation and cohort effects in the red-billed chough Pyrrhocorax pyrrhocorax. Journal of Animal Ecology, 72, 36–46.
57. Rolland, V., Weimerskirch, H. & Barbraud, C. (2010) Relative influence of fisheries and climate on the demography of four albatross species: fisheries, climate and albatross demography. Global Change Biology, 16, 1910–1922.
58. Rolland, V., Nevoux, M., Barbraud, C. & Weimerskirch, H. (2009) Respective impact of climate and fisheries on the growth of an albatross population. Ecological Applications, 19, 1336–1346.
59. Sæther, B.-E., Engen, S. & Matthysen, E. (2002) Demographic characteristics and population dynamical patterns of solitary birds. Science, 295, 2070–2073.
60. Sæther, B.-E., Coulson, T., Grøtan, V. et al. (2013) How life history influences population dynamics in fluctuating environments. The American Naturalist, 182, 743–759.
61. Sallée, J.B., Speer, K.G. & Rintoul, S.R. (2010) Zonally asymmetric response of the Southern Ocean mixed-layer depth to the Southern Annular Mode. Nature Geoscience, 3, 273–279.
62. Sandvik, H., Erikstad, K.E., Barrett, R.T. & Yoccoz, N.G. (2005) The effect of climate on adult survival in five species of North Atlantic seabirds. Journal of Animal Ecology, 74, 817–831.
63. Skalski, J.R. (1996) Regression of abundance estimates from mark recapture surveys against environmental covariates. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, 53, 196–204.
64. Sol, D., Santos, D.M., Garcia, J. & Cuadrado, M. (1998) Competition for food in urban pigeons: the cost of being juvenile. Condor, 100, 298–304.
65. Strong, D.R. (1986) Density-vague population change. Trends in Ecology & Evolution, 1, 39–42.
66. Takao, S., Hirawake, T., Wright, S.W. & Suzuki, K. (2012) Variations of net primary productivity and phytoplankton community composition in the Indian sector of the Southern Ocean as estimated from ocean color remote sensing data. Biogeosciences, 9, 3875–3890.
67. Tickell, W.L.N. (2000) Albatrosses. Pica Press, Sussex, UK.
68. Tréguer, P. & Jacques, G. (1992) Dynamics of nutrients and phytoplankton, and fluxes of carbon, nitrogen and silicon in the Antarctic Ocean. Polar Biology, 12, 149–162.
69. Vitousek, P.M. (1994) Beyond global warming: ecology and global change. Ecology, 75, 1861–1876.
70. Votier, S.C., Birkhead, T.R., Oro, D., Trinder, M., Grantham, M.J., Clark, J.A., McCleery, R.H. & Hatchwell, B.J. (2008) Recruitment and survival of immature seabirds in relation to oil spills and climate variability. Journal of Animal Ecology, 77, 974–983.
71. Walther, G.-R., Post, E., Convey, P., Menzel, A., Parmesan, C., Beebee, T.J., Fromentin, J.-M., Hoegh-Guldberg, O. & Bairlein, F. (2002) Ecological responses to recent climate change. Nature, 416, 389–395.
72. Weimerskirch, H. (1992) Reproductive effort in long-lived birds: age-specific patterns of condition, reproduction and survival in the wandering albatross. Oikos, 64, 464–473.
73. Weimerskirch, H., Barbraud, C. & Lys, P. (2000) Sex differences in parental investment and chick growth in wandering albatrosses: fitness consequences. Ecology, 81, 309–318.
74. Weimerskirch, H., Brothers, N. & Jouventin, P. (1997) Population dynamics of wandering albatross Diomedea exulans and Amsterdam albatross D. amsterdamensis in the Indian Ocean and their relationships with long-line fisheries: conservation implications. Biological Conservation, 79, 257–270.
75. Weimerskirch, H. & Jouventin, P. (1987) Population dynamics of the wandering albatross, Diomedea exulans, of the Crozet Islands: causes and consequences of the population decline. Oikos, 49, 315–322.
76. Weimerskirch, H., Zimmermann, L. & Prince, P.A. (2001) Influence of environmental variability on breeding effort in a long-lived seabird, the yellow-nosed albatross. Behavioral Ecology, 12, 22–30.
77. Weimerskirch, H., Inchausti, P., Guinet, C. & Barbraud, C. (2003) Trends in bird and seal populations as indicators of a system shift in the Southern Ocean. Antarctic Science, 15, 249–256.
78. Weimerskirch, H., Louzao, M., De Grissac, S. & Delord, K. (2012) Changes in wind pattern alter albatross distribution and life-history traits. Science, 335, 211–214.
79. Weimerskirch, H., Cherel, Y., Delord, K., Jaeger, A., Patrick, S.C. & Riotte-Lambert, L. (2014) Lifetime foraging patterns of the wandering albatross: life on the move! Journal of Experimental Marine Biology and Ecology, 450, 68–78.
80. Wunderle, J.M. (1991) Age-specific foraging proficiency in birds. Current Ornithology, 8, 273–324.