메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 32, Issue 2, 2017, Pages 407-421

Improving NOAA NAQFC PM2.5 predictions with a bias correction approach

Author keywords

Aerosols; Air quality; Bias; Ensembles; Operational forecasting

Indexed keywords

AEROSOLS; AIR NAVIGATION; AIR QUALITY;

EID: 85016592233     PISSN: 08828156     EISSN: 15200434     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1175/WAF-D-16-0118.1     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (44)

References (39)
  • 1
    • 2642540057 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Air pollution and cardiovascular disease: A statement for healthcare professionals from the export panel on population and prevention science of the American Heart Association
    • Brook, R. D., and Coauthors, 2004: Air pollution and cardiovascular disease: A statement for healthcare professionals from the export panel on population and prevention science of the American Heart Association. Circulation, 109, 2655-2671, doi:10.1161/01.CIR.0000128587.30041.C8.
    • (2004) Circulation , vol.109 , pp. 2655-2671
    • Brook, R.D.1
  • 2
    • 33745196539 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Review of the governing equations, computational algorithms, and other components of the Models-3 Community Multiscale Air Quality (CMAQ) modeling system
    • Byun, D., and K. L. Schere, 2006: Review of the governing equations, computational algorithms, and other components of the Models-3 Community Multiscale Air Quality (CMAQ) modeling system. Appl. Mech. Rev., 59, 51-77, doi:10.1115/1.2128636.
    • (2006) Appl. Mech. Rev , vol.59 , pp. 51-77
    • Byun, D.1    Schere, K.L.2
  • 3
    • 84942798867 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ozone and NOx chemistry in the eastern US: Evaluation of CMAQ/CB05 with satellite (OMI) data
    • Canty, T. P., and Coauthors, 2015: Ozone and NOx chemistry in the eastern US: Evaluation of CMAQ/CB05 with satellite (OMI) data. Atmos. Chem. Phys., 15, 10 965-10 982, doi:10.5194/acp-15-10965-2015.
    • (2015) Atmos. Chem. Phys , vol.15 , pp. 10965-10982
    • Canty, T.P.1
  • 5
    • 84863003008 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bias correction for global ensemble forecast
    • Cui, B., Z. Toth, Y. Zhu, and D. Hou, 2012: Bias correction for global ensemble forecast. Wea. Forecasting, 27, 396-410, doi:10.1175/WAF-D-11-00011.1.
    • (2012) Wea. Forecasting , vol.27 , pp. 396-410
    • Cui, B.1    Toth, Z.2    Zhu, Y.3    Hou, D.4
  • 7
    • 41549099325 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A Kalman-filter bias correction of ozone deterministic, ensemble-averaged, and probabilistic forecasts
    • Delle Monache, L., and Coauthors, 2008: A Kalman-filter bias correction of ozone deterministic, ensemble-averaged, and probabilistic forecasts. Tellus, 60B, 238-249, doi:10.1111/j.1600-0889.2007.00332.x.
    • (2008) Tellus , vol.60B , pp. 238-249
    • Delle Monache, L.1
  • 8
    • 84862912812 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Kalman filter and analog schemes to postprocess numerical weather predictions
    • Delle Monache, L., T. Nipen, Y. Liu, G. Roux, and R. Stull, 2011: Kalman filter and analog schemes to postprocess numerical weather predictions. Mon. Wea. Rev., 139, 3554-3570, doi:10.1175/2011MWR3653.1.
    • (2011) Mon. Wea. Rev , vol.139 , pp. 3554-3570
    • Delle Monache, L.1    Nipen, T.2    Liu, Y.3    Roux, G.4    Stull, R.5
  • 9
    • 84884969315 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Probabilistic weather prediction with an analog ensemble
    • Delle Monache, L., T. Eckel, D. Rife, and B. Nagarajan, 2013: Probabilistic weather prediction with an analog ensemble. Mon. Wea. Rev., 141, 3498-3516, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-12-00281.1.
    • (2013) Mon. Wea. Rev , vol.141 , pp. 3498-3516
    • Delle Monache, L.1    Eckel, T.2    Rife, D.3    Nagarajan, B.4
  • 10
    • 73749087508 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ensemble and bias-correction techniques for probabilistic forecast of surface O3 and PM2.5 during the TEXAQS-II experiment of 2006
    • Djalalova, I., and Coauthors, 2010: Ensemble and bias-correction techniques for probabilistic forecast of surface O3 and PM2.5 during the TEXAQS-II experiment of 2006. Atmos. Environ., 44, 455-467, doi:10.1016/j.atmosenv.2009.11.007.
    • (2010) Atmos. Environ , vol.44 , pp. 455-467
    • Djalalova, I.1
  • 11
    • 84930912296 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • PM2.5 analog forecast and Kalman filter post-processing for the Community Multiscale Air Quality (CMAQ) model
    • Djalalova, I., L. D. Monache, and J. Wilczak, 2015: PM2.5 analog forecast and Kalman filter post-processing for the Community Multiscale Air Quality (CMAQ) model. Atmos. Environ., 119, 431-442, doi:10.1016/j.atmosenv.2015.05.057.
    • (2015) Atmos. Environ , vol.119 , pp. 431-442
    • Djalalova, I.1    Monache, L.D.2    Wilczak, J.3
  • 12
    • 84905712394 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluation of statistical bias correction methods for numerical weather prediction model forecasts of maximum and minimum temperatures
    • Durai, V. R., and R. Bhradwaj, 2014: Evaluation of statistical bias correction methods for numerical weather prediction model forecasts of maximum and minimum temperatures. Nat. Hazards, 73, 1229-1254, doi:10.1007/s11069-014-1136-1.
    • (2014) Nat. Hazards , vol.73 , pp. 1229-1254
    • Durai, V.R.1    Bhradwaj, R.2
  • 14
    • 84855318897 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimating the national public health burden associated with exposure to ambient PM2.5 and ozone
    • Fann, N., A. D. Lamson, S. C. Anenberg, K. Wesson, D. Risley, and B. J. Hubbell, 2012: Estimating the national public health burden associated with exposure to ambient PM2.5 and ozone. Risk Anal., 32, 81-95, doi:10.1111/j.1539-6924.2011.01630.x.
    • (2012) Risk Anal , vol.32 , pp. 81-95
    • Fann, N.1    Lamson, A.D.2    Anenberg, S.C.3    Wesson, K.4    Risley, D.5    Hubbell, B.J.6
  • 15
    • 84904958530 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Determining an optimal decay factor for bias-correcting MOS temperature and dewpoint forecasts
    • Glahn, B., 2014: Determining an optimal decay factor for bias-correcting MOS temperature and dewpoint forecasts. Wea. Forecasting, 29, 1076-1090, doi:10.1175/WAF-D-13-00123.1.
    • (2014) Wea. Forecasting , vol.29 , pp. 1076-1090
    • Glahn, B.1
  • 16
    • 0001737050 scopus 로고
    • The use of model output statistics(MOS) in objective weather forecasting
    • Glahn, H., and D. Lowry, 1972: The use of model output statistics(MOS) in objective weather forecasting. J. Appl. Meteor., 11, 1203-1211, doi:10.1175/1520-0450(1972)011<1203:TUOMOS>2.0.CO;2.
    • (1972) J. Appl. Meteor , vol.11 , pp. 1203-1211
    • Glahn, H.1    Lowry, D.2
  • 17
    • 33845386005 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Probabilistic quantitative precipitation forecasts based on reforecast analog: Theory and application
    • Hamill, T. M., and J. S. Whitaker, 2006: Probabilistic quantitative precipitation forecasts based on reforecast analog: Theory and application. Mon. Wea. Rev., 134, 3209-3229, doi:10.1175/MWR3237.1.
    • (2006) Mon. Wea. Rev , vol.134 , pp. 3209-3229
    • Hamill, T.M.1    Whitaker, J.S.2
  • 19
    • 0033792893 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Emission inventory development and processing for the Seasonal Model for Regional Air Quality (SMRAQ) project
    • Houyoux, M. R., J. M. Vukovich, C. J. Coats Jr., N. J. M. Wheeler, and P. S. Kasibhatla, 2000: Emission inventory development and processing for the Seasonal Model for Regional Air Quality (SMRAQ) project. J. Geophys. Res., 105, 9079-9090, doi:10.1029/1999JD900975.
    • (2000) J. Geophys. Res , vol.105 , pp. 9079-9090
    • Houyoux, M.R.1    Vukovich, J.M.2    Coats, C.J.3    Wheeler, N.J.M.4    Kasibhatla, P.S.5
  • 21
    • 84945493055 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Improvement of CGCM prediction for wet season precipitation over Maritime Continent using a bias correction method
    • Jo, S., and J. Ahn, 2015: Improvement of CGCM prediction for wet season precipitation over Maritime Continent using a bias correction method. Int. J. Climatol., 35, 3721-3732, doi:10.1002/joc.4232.
    • (2015) Int. J. Climatol , vol.35 , pp. 3721-3732
    • Jo, S.1    Ahn, J.2
  • 22
    • 84937554047 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predictor-weighting strategies for probabilistic wind power forecasting with an analog ensemble
    • Junk, C., L. Delle Monache, S. Alessandrini, L. von Bremen, and G. Cervone, 2015: Predictor-weighting strategies for probabilistic wind power forecasting with an analog ensemble. Meteor. Z., 24, 361-379, doi:10.1127/metz/2015/0659.
    • (2015) Meteor. Z , vol.24 , pp. 361-379
    • Junk, C.1    Delle Monache, L.2    Alessandrini, S.3    von Bremen, L.4    Cervone, G.5
  • 23
    • 59749101439 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bias adjustment techniques for improving ozone air quality forecasts
    • Kang, D., R. Mathur, S. T. Rao, and S. Yu, 2008: Bias adjustment techniques for improving ozone air quality forecasts. J. Geophys. Res., 113, D23308, doi:10.1029/2008JD010151.
    • (2008) J. Geophys. Res , vol.113 , pp. D23308
    • Kang, D.1    Mathur, R.2    Rao, S.T.3    Yu, S.4
  • 24
    • 77952305980 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Real-time bias-adjusted O3 and PM2.5 air quality index forecasts and their performance evaluations over the continental United States
    • Kang, D., R. Mathur, and S. T. Rao, 2010: Real-time bias-adjusted O3 and PM2.5 air quality index forecasts and their performance evaluations over the continental United States. Atmos. Environ., 44, 2203-2212, doi:10.1016/j.atmosenv.2010.03.017.
    • (2010) Atmos. Environ , vol.44 , pp. 2203-2212
    • Kang, D.1    Mathur, R.2    Rao, S.T.3
  • 25
    • 84883611386 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Implementation and evaluation of PM2.5 source contribution analysis in a photochemical model
    • Kwok, R. H. F., S. L. Napelenok, and K. R. Baker, 2013: Implementation and evaluation of PM2.5 source contribution analysis in a photochemical model. Atmos. Environ., 80, 398-407, doi:10.1016/j.atmosenv.2013.08.017.
    • (2013) Atmos. Environ , vol.80 , pp. 398-407
    • Kwok, R.H.F.1    Napelenok, S.L.2    Baker, K.R.3
  • 26
    • 72149099565 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The BlueSky smoke modeling framework
    • Larkin, N. K., and Coauthors, 2009: The BlueSky smoke modeling framework. Int. J. Wildland Fire, 18, 906-920, doi:10.1071/WF07086.
    • (2009) Int. J. Wildland Fire , vol.18 , pp. 906-920
    • Larkin, N.K.1
  • 27
    • 85016629569 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • NAQFC developmental forecast guidance for fine particulate matter (PM2.5)
    • in press
    • Lee, P., and Coauthors, 2017: NAQFC developmental forecast guidance for fine particulate matter (PM2.5). Wea. Forecasting, doi:10.1175/WAF-D-15-0163.1, in press.
    • (2017) Wea. Forecasting
    • Lee, P.1
  • 28
    • 18244377974 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Air pollution-related illness: Effects of particles
    • Nel, A., 2005: Air pollution-related illness: Effects of particles. Science, 308, 804-806, doi:10.1126/science.1108752.
    • (2005) Science , vol.308 , pp. 804-806
    • Nel, A.1
  • 29
    • 51949086435 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Regional real-time smoke prediction systems
    • A. Bytnerowicz et al., Eds., Developments in Environmental Science, Vol. 8, Elsevier
    • O'Neill, S. M., and Coauthors, 2009: Regional real-time smoke prediction systems. Wildland Fires and Air Pollution: Developments in Environmental Science, A. Bytnerowicz et al., Eds., Developments in Environmental Science, Vol. 8, Elsevier, 499-534.
    • (2009) Wildland Fires and Air Pollution: Developments in Environmental Science , pp. 499-534
    • O'Neill, S.M.1
  • 30
    • 77953957891 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The Meteorology-Chemistry Interface Processor (MCIP) for the CMAQ modeling system: Updates through MCIPv3.4.1
    • Otte, T. L., and J. E. Pleim, 2010: The Meteorology-Chemistry Interface Processor (MCIP) for the CMAQ modeling system: Updates through MCIPv3.4.1. Geosci. Model Dev., 3, 243-256, doi:10.5194/gmd-3-243-2010.
    • (2010) Geosci. Model Dev , vol.3 , pp. 243-256
    • Otte, T.L.1    Pleim, J.E.2
  • 31
    • 23144442008 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • ing the eta model with the Community Multiscale Air Quality (CMAQ) modeling system to build a national air quality forecasting system
    • Otte, T. L., and Coauthors, 2005:ing the eta model with the Community Multiscale Air Quality (CMAQ) modeling system to build a national air quality forecasting system. Wea. Forecasting, 20, 367-384, doi:10.1175/WAF855.1.
    • (2005) Wea. Forecasting , vol.20 , pp. 367-384
    • Otte, T.L.1
  • 33
    • 85016618269 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Preprints, 15th Int. Emission Inventory Conf.: Reinventing Inventories-New Ideas in New Orleans, New Orleans, LA, EPA
    • Ruminski, M., S. Kondragunta, R. Draxler, and J. Zeng, 2006: Recent change to the Hazard Mapping System. Preprints, 15th Int. Emission Inventory Conf.: Reinventing Inventories-New Ideas in New Orleans, New Orleans, LA, EPA. [Available online at http://www.epa.gov/ttn/chief/conference/ei15/session10/ruminski.pdf.].
    • (2006) Recent change to the Hazard Mapping System
    • Ruminski, M.1    Kondragunta, S.2    Draxler, R.3    Zeng, J.4
  • 34
    • 84875759528 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Identifying the causes of differences in ozone production from CB05 and CBMIV chemical mechanisms
    • Saylor, R. D., and A. F. Stein, 2012: Identifying the causes of differences in ozone production from CB05 and CBMIV chemical mechanisms. Geosci. Model Dev., 5, 257-268, doi:10.5194/gmd-5-257-2012.
    • (2012) Geosci. Model Dev , vol.5 , pp. 257-268
    • Saylor, R.D.1    Stein, A.F.2
  • 35
    • 84886793694 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • US National Air Quality Forecast Capability: Expanding coverage to include particulate matter
    • D. G. Steyn and S. T. Castelli, Eds., NATO Science for Peace and Security Series C: Environmental Security, Springer
    • Stajner, I., P. Davidson, D. Byun, J. McQueen, R. Draxler, P. Dickerson, and J. Meagher, 2012: US National Air Quality Forecast Capability: Expanding coverage to include particulate matter. Air Pollution Modeling and Its Application XXI, D. G. Steyn and S. T. Castelli, Eds., NATO Science for Peace and Security Series C: Environmental Security, Springer, 379-384, doi:10.1007/978-94-007-1359-8_64.
    • (2012) Air Pollution Modeling and Its Application XXI , pp. 379-384
    • Stajner, I.1    Davidson, P.2    Byun, D.3    McQueen, J.4    Draxler, R.5    Dickerson, P.6    Meagher, J.7
  • 36
    • 84922607562 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Long-term NOx trends over large cities in the United States during the great recession: Comparison of satellite retrievals, ground observations, and emission inventories
    • Tong, D. Q., and Coauthors, 2015: Long-term NOx trends over large cities in the United States during the great recession: Comparison of satellite retrievals, ground observations, and emission inventories. Atmos. Environ., 107, 70-84, doi:10.1016/j.atmosenv.2015.01.035.
    • (2015) Atmos. Environ , vol.107 , pp. 70-84
    • Tong, D.Q.1
  • 37
    • 34547607751 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bias-corrected ensemble and probabilistic forecasts of surface ozone over eastern North America during the summer of 2004
    • Wilczak, J., and Coauthors, 2006: Bias-corrected ensemble and probabilistic forecasts of surface ozone over eastern North America during the summer of 2004. J. Geophys. Res., 111, D23S28, doi:10.1029/2006JD007598.
    • (2006) J. Geophys. Res , vol.111 , pp. D23S28
    • Wilczak, J.1
  • 39
    • 84944589226 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Precipitation calibration based on the frequency-matching method
    • Zhu, Y., and Y. Luo, 2015: Precipitation calibration based on the frequency-matching method. Wea. Forecasting, 30, 1109-1124, doi:10.1175/WAF-D-13-00049.1.
    • (2015) Wea. Forecasting , vol.30 , pp. 1109-1124
    • Zhu, Y.1    Luo, Y.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.