메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 113, Issue 23, 2008, Pages

Bias adjustment techniques for improving ozone air quality forecasts

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

AIR QUALITY; ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY; ERRORS; ESTIMATION; KALMAN FILTERS; MATHEMATICAL MODELS; OZONE; WEATHER FORECASTING;

EID: 59749101439     PISSN: 01480227     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1029/2008JD010151     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (69)

References (32)
  • 1
    • 36348945647 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Appel, K. W, A. B. Gilliland, G. Sarwar, and R. C. Gilliam (2007, Evaluation of the Community Mulitiscale Air Quality (CMAQ) model version 4.5: Uncertainties and sensitivities impacting model performance; Part I, ozone, Atmos. Environ, 40, 9603-9615
    • Appel, K. W., A. B. Gilliland, G. Sarwar, and R. C. Gilliam (2007), Evaluation of the Community Mulitiscale Air Quality (CMAQ) model version 4.5: Uncertainties and sensitivities impacting model performance; Part I - ozone, Atmos. Environ., 40, 9603-9615.
  • 2
    • 0035248744 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Uncertainties in episodic ozone modeling stemming from uncertainties in meteorological fields
    • doi:10.1175/ 1520-0450(2001)040<0117:UIEOMS>2.0.CO;2
    • Biswas, J., and S. T. Rao (2001), Uncertainties in episodic ozone modeling stemming from uncertainties in meteorological fields, J. Appl. Meteorol., 40, 117-136, doi:10.1175/ 1520-0450(2001)040<0117:UIEOMS>2.0.CO;2.
    • (2001) J. Appl. Meteorol , vol.40 , pp. 117-136
    • Biswas, J.1    Rao, S.T.2
  • 3
    • 0028602325 scopus 로고
    • The new NMC mesoscale Eta Model: Description and forecast examples
    • doi:10.1175/ 1520-0434 (1994)009<0265:TNNMEM>2.0.CO;2
    • Black, T. (1994), The new NMC mesoscale Eta Model: Description and forecast examples, Weather Forecast., 9, 265-278, doi:10.1175/ 1520-0434 (1994)009<0265:TNNMEM>2.0.CO;2.
    • (1994) Weather Forecast , vol.9 , pp. 265-278
    • Black, T.1
  • 4
    • 33745196539 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Review of the governing equations, computational algorithms, and other components of the Models-3 Community Multiscale Air Quality (CMAQ) modeling system
    • doi: 10. 1115/1.2128636
    • Byun, D. W., and K. L. Schere (2006), Review of the governing equations, computational algorithms, and other components of the Models-3 Community Multiscale Air Quality (CMAQ) modeling system, Appl. Mech. Rev., 59, 51-77, doi: 10. 1115/1.2128636.
    • (2006) Appl. Mech. Rev , vol.59 , pp. 51-77
    • Byun, D.W.1    Schere, K.L.2
  • 5
    • 0000849462 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Linking changes in ozone to changes in emissions and meteorology
    • paper presented at, Wessex Inst. of Technol, Palo Alto, Calif
    • Chan, D., S. T. Rao, L G. Zurbenko, and P. S. Porter (1999), Linking changes in ozone to changes in emissions and meteorology, paper presented at Air Pollution 99 Conference, Wessex Inst. of Technol., Palo Alto, Calif.
    • (1999) Air Pollution 99 Conference
    • Chan, D.1    Rao, S.T.2    Zurbenko, L.G.3    Porter, P.S.4
  • 6
    • 33646368683 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ozone ensemble forecasts: 2. A Kalman filter predictor bias correction
    • doi:10.1029/2005JD006311
    • Delle Monache, L., T. Nipen, X. Deng, Y. Zhou, and R. Stull (2006), Ozone ensemble forecasts: 2. A Kalman filter predictor bias correction, J. Geophys. Res., 111, D05308, doi:10.1029/2005JD006311.
    • (2006) J. Geophys. Res , vol.111
    • Delle Monache, L.1    Nipen, T.2    Deng, X.3    Zhou, Y.4    Stull, R.5
  • 7
    • 41549099325 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A Kalman-filter bias correction method applied to deterministic, ensemble averaged, and probabilistic forecasts of surface ozone
    • doi:10.1111/j.1600-0889.2007.00332.x
    • Delle Monache, L., J. Wilczak, S. Mckeen, G. Grell, M. Pagowski, S. Peckham, R. Stull, J. Mchenry, and J. McQueen (2008), A Kalman-filter bias correction method applied to deterministic, ensemble averaged, and probabilistic forecasts of surface ozone, Tellus, Ser. B, 60, 238-249, doi:10.1111/j.1600-0889.2007.00332.x.
    • (2008) Tellus, Ser. B , vol.60 , pp. 238-249
    • Delle Monache, L.1    Wilczak, J.2    Mckeen, S.3    Grell, G.4    Pagowski, M.5    Peckham, S.6    Stull, R.7    Mchenry, J.8    McQueen, J.9
  • 8
    • 0031402340 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Separating different scales of motion in time series of meteorological variables
    • doi:10.1175/1520-0477 (1997)078<1473:SDSOMI>2.0.CO;2
    • Eskridge, R. E., J.-Y. Ku, S. T. Rao, P. S. Porter, and I. G. Zurbenko (1997), Separating different scales of motion in time series of meteorological variables, Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 78, 1473-1483, doi:10.1175/1520-0477 (1997)078<1473:SDSOMI>2.0.CO;2.
    • (1997) Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc , vol.78 , pp. 1473-1483
    • Eskridge, R.E.1    Ku, J.-Y.2    Rao, S.T.3    Porter, P.S.4    Zurbenko, I.G.5
  • 9
    • 0019657520 scopus 로고
    • Judging air quality model performance: A summary of the AMS Workshop on Dispersion Model Performance
    • Fox, D. G. (1981), Judging air quality model performance: A summary of the AMS Workshop on Dispersion Model Performance, Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 62, 599-609.
    • (1981) Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc , vol.62 , pp. 599-609
    • Fox, D.G.1
  • 10
    • 0001737050 scopus 로고
    • The use of model output statistics (MOS) in objective weather forecasting
    • doi:10.1175/1520-0450(1972)011<1203:TUOMOS>2.0.CO;2
    • Glahn, H. R., and D. A. Lowry (1972), The use of model output statistics (MOS) in objective weather forecasting, J. Appl. Meteorol., 11, 1203-1211, doi:10.1175/1520-0450(1972)011<1203:TUOMOS>2.0.CO;2.
    • (1972) J. Appl. Meteorol , vol.11 , pp. 1203-1211
    • Glahn, H.R.1    Lowry, D.A.2
  • 11
    • 0000387518 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Interpreting the information in ozone observations and model predictions relevant to regulatory policies in the eastern United States
    • doi:10.117511520-0477(2000)081<2083:ITIIOO>2.3.CO;2
    • Hogrefe, C., S. T. Rao, I. G. Zurbenko, and P. S. Porter (2000), Interpreting the information in ozone observations and model predictions relevant to regulatory policies in the eastern United States, Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 81, 2083-2106, doi:10.117511520-0477(2000)081<2083:ITIIOO>2.3.CO;2.
    • (2000) Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc , vol.81 , pp. 2083-2106
    • Hogrefe, C.1    Rao, S.T.2    Zurbenko, I.G.3    Porter, P.S.4
  • 12
    • 17844372769 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluating the performance of regional-scale photochemical modeling systems: Part I - Meteorological predictions
    • doi:10.1016/S1352-2310(01)00182-0
    • Hogrefe, C., S. T. Rao, P. Kasibhatla, G. Kallos, C. J. Tremback, W. Hao, D. Olerud, A. Xiu, J. McHenry, and K. Alapaty (2001i), Evaluating the performance of regional-scale photochemical modeling systems: Part I - Meteorological predictions, Atmos. Environ., 35, 4159-4174, doi:10.1016/S1352-2310(01)00182-0.
    • (2001) Atmos. Environ , vol.35 , pp. 4159-4174
    • Hogrefe, C.1    Rao, S.T.2    Kasibhatla, P.3    Kallos, G.4    Tremback, C.J.5    Hao, W.6    Olerud, D.7    Xiu, A.8    McHenry, J.9    Alapaty, K.10
  • 13
    • 0034959191 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluating the performance of regional-scale photochemical modeling systems: Part II-Ozone predictions
    • doi:10.1016/S1352-2310(01)00183-2
    • Hogrefe, C., S. T. Rao, P. Kasibhatla, W. Hao, G. Sistla, R. Mathur, and J. Mchenry (2001b), Evaluating the performance of regional-scale photochemical modeling systems: Part II-Ozone predictions, Atmos. Environ., 35, 4175-4188, doi:10.1016/S1352-2310(01)00183-2.
    • (2001) Atmos. Environ , vol.35 , pp. 4175-4188
    • Hogrefe, C.1    Rao, S.T.2    Kasibhatla, P.3    Hao, W.4    Sistla, G.5    Mathur, R.6    Mchenry, J.7
  • 14
    • 0346667101 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A comparison of four techniques for separating different time scales in atmospheric variables
    • doi:10.1016/ S1352-2310(02)00897-X
    • Hogrefe, C., S. Vempaty, S. T. Rao, and P. S. Porter (2003), A comparison of four techniques for separating different time scales in atmospheric variables, Atmos. Environ., 37, 313-325, doi:10.1016/ S1352-2310(02)00897-X.
    • (2003) Atmos. Environ , vol.37 , pp. 313-325
    • Hogrefe, C.1    Vempaty, S.2    Rao, S.T.3    Porter, P.S.4
  • 15
    • 0029431814 scopus 로고
    • Diurnal corrections of short-term surface temperature forecasts using Kalman filter
    • doi:10.1175/1520-0434(1995)010<0689:DCOSTS>2.0.CO;2
    • Homleid, M. (1995), Diurnal corrections of short-term surface temperature forecasts using Kalman filter, Weather Forecast., 10, 689-707, doi:10.1175/1520-0434(1995)010<0689:DCOSTS>2.0.CO;2.
    • (1995) Weather Forecast , vol.10 , pp. 689-707
    • Homleid, M.1
  • 16
    • 13244288261 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Atmospheric data assimilation with an ensemble Kalman filter: Results with real observations
    • doi:10.1175/MWR-2864.1
    • Houtekamer, P. L., H. L. Mitchell, G. Pellerin, M. Buehner, M. Charron, L. Spacek, and B. Hansen (2005), Atmospheric data assimilation with an ensemble Kalman filter: Results with real observations, Mon. Weather Rev., 133, 604-620, doi:10.1175/MWR-2864.1.
    • (2005) Mon. Weather Rev , vol.133 , pp. 604-620
    • Houtekamer, P.L.1    Mitchell, H.L.2    Pellerin, G.3    Buehner, M.4    Charron, M.5    Spacek, L.6    Hansen, B.7
  • 17
    • 0033792893 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Emission inventory development and processing for the Seasonal Model for Regional Air Quality (SMRAQ) project
    • doi:10.1029/1999JD900975
    • Houyoux, M. R., J. M. Vukovich, C. J. Coats Jr., N. M. Wheeler, and P. S. Kasibliatla (2000), Emission inventory development and processing for the Seasonal Model for Regional Air Quality (SMRAQ) project, J. Geophys. Res., 105, 9079-9090, doi:10.1029/1999JD900975.
    • (2000) J. Geophys. Res , vol.105 , pp. 9079-9090
    • Houyoux, M.R.1    Vukovich, J.M.2    Coats Jr., C.J.3    Wheeler, N.M.4    Kasibliatla, P.S.5
  • 18
    • 85024429815 scopus 로고
    • A new approach to linear filtering and prediction problems
    • Kalman, R. E. (1960), A new approach to linear filtering and prediction problems, J. Basic Eng., 82, 35-45.
    • (1960) J. Basic Eng , vol.82 , pp. 35-45
    • Kalman, R.E.1
  • 19
    • 27544472966 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The New England air quality forecasting pilot program: Development of an evaluation protocol and performance benchmark
    • Kang, D., B. K. Eder, A. F. Stein, G. A. Grell, S. E. Peckham, and J. McHenry (2005), The New England air quality forecasting pilot program: Development of an evaluation protocol and performance benchmark, J. Air Waste Manage. Assoc., 55, 1782-1796.
    • (2005) J. Air Waste Manage. Assoc , vol.55 , pp. 1782-1796
    • Kang, D.1    Eder, B.K.2    Stein, A.F.3    Grell, G.A.4    Peckham, S.E.5    McHenry, J.6
  • 20
    • 41649113189 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Assessment of the wintertime performance of developmental particulate matter forecasts with the Eta-Community Multiscale Air Quality modeling system
    • doi:10.1029/2007JD008580
    • Mathur, R., S. Yu, D. Kang, and K. L. Schere (2008), Assessment of the wintertime performance of developmental particulate matter forecasts with the Eta-Community Multiscale Air Quality modeling system, J. Geophys. Res., 113, D02303, doi:10.1029/2007JD008580.
    • (2008) J. Geophys. Res , vol.113
    • Mathur, R.1    Yu, S.2    Kang, D.3    Schere, K.L.4
  • 21
    • 29244474099 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • McKeen, S., et al. (2005), Assessment of an ensemble of seven real-time ozone forecasts over eastern North America during the summer of 2004, J. Geophys. Res., 110, D21307, doi:10.1029/2005JD005858.
    • McKeen, S., et al. (2005), Assessment of an ensemble of seven real-time ozone forecasts over eastern North America during the summer of 2004, J. Geophys. Res., 110, D21307, doi:10.1029/2005JD005858.
  • 22
    • 23144442008 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Linking the Eta model with the Community Multiscale Air Quality (CMAQ) modeling system to build a national air quality forecasting system
    • doi:10.1175/WAF855.1
    • Otte, T. L., et al. (2005), Linking the Eta model with the Community Multiscale Air Quality (CMAQ) modeling system to build a national air quality forecasting system, Weather Forecast., 20, 367-384, doi:10.1175/WAF855.1.
    • (2005) Weather Forecast , vol.20 , pp. 367-384
    • Otte, T.L.1
  • 23
    • 0028043974 scopus 로고
    • Detecting and tracking changes in ozone air quality
    • Rao, S. T., and I. G. Zurbenko (1994), Detecting and tracking changes in ozone air quality, J. Air Waste Manage. Assoc., 44, 1089-1092.
    • (1994) J. Air Waste Manage. Assoc , vol.44 , pp. 1089-1092
    • Rao, S.T.1    Zurbenko, I.G.2
  • 24
    • 0031429922 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Space and time scales in ambient ozone data
    • doi:10.1175/1520-0477(1997) 078<2153:SATSIA>2.0.CO;2
    • Rao, S. T., I. G. Zurbenko, R. Neagu, P. S. Porter, J. Y. Ku, and R. F. Henry (1997), Space and time scales in ambient ozone data, Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 78, 2153-2166, doi:10.1175/1520-0477(1997) 078<2153:SATSIA>2.0.CO;2.
    • (1997) Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc , vol.78 , pp. 2153-2166
    • Rao, S.T.1    Zurbenko, I.G.2    Neagu, R.3    Porter, P.S.4    Ku, J.Y.5    Henry, R.F.6
  • 25
    • 0030433346 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Changes to the operational "early" Eta Analysis/Forecast System at the National Centers for Environmental Prediction
    • doi:10.1175/1520-0434(1996)011<0391:CTTOEA>2.0.CO;2
    • Rogers, E., T. L. BlacK D. G. Deaven, G. J. DiMego, O. Zhao, M. Baldwin, N. W. Junker, and Y. Lin (1996), Changes to the operational "early" Eta Analysis/Forecast System at the National Centers for Environmental Prediction, Weather Foreeast., 11, 391-413, doi:10.1175/1520-0434(1996)011<0391:CTTOEA>2.0.CO;2.
    • (1996) Weather Foreeast , vol.11 , pp. 391-413
    • Rogers, E.1    BlacK, T.L.2    Deaven, D.G.3    DiMego, G.J.4    Zhao, O.5    Baldwin, M.6    Junker, N.W.7    Lin, Y.8
  • 26
    • 34047222707 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A comparison of hybrid ensemble transform Kalman filter-optimum interpolation and the ensemble square root filter analysis schemes
    • doi:10.1175/MWR3307.1
    • Wang, X., T. M. Hamill, J. S. Whitaker, and C. H. Bishop (2007), A comparison of hybrid ensemble transform Kalman filter-optimum interpolation and the ensemble square root filter analysis schemes, Mon. Weather Rev., 135, 1055-1076, doi:10.1175/MWR3307.1.
    • (2007) Mon. Weather Rev , vol.135 , pp. 1055-1076
    • Wang, X.1    Hamill, T.M.2    Whitaker, J.S.3    Bishop, C.H.4
  • 27
    • 2442668784 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Mon. Weather Rev., 132
    • doi:10.1175/ 1520-0493(2004)132<1190:RWRUED>2.0.CO;2
    • Whitaker, J. S., G. P. Compo, X. Wei, and T. M. Hamill (2004), Reanalysis without radiosondes with real observations, Mon. Weather Rev., 132, 1190-1200, doi:10.1175/ 1520-0493(2004)132<1190:RWRUED>2.0.CO;2.
    • (2004) , pp. 1190-1200
    • Whitaker, J.S.1    Compo, G.P.2    Wei, X.3    Hamill, T.M.4
  • 28
    • 34547607751 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Wilczak, J., et al. (2006), Bias-corrected ensemble and probabilistic forecasts of surface ozone over eastern North America during the summer of 2004, J. Geophys. Res., 111, D23S28, doi:10.1029/2006JD007598.
    • Wilczak, J., et al. (2006), Bias-corrected ensemble and probabilistic forecasts of surface ozone over eastern North America during the summer of 2004, J. Geophys. Res., 111, D23S28, doi:10.1029/2006JD007598.
  • 29
    • 0019707668 scopus 로고
    • On the validation of models
    • Willmott, C. J. (1981), On the validation of models, Phys. Geogr., 2, 184-194.
    • (1981) Phys. Geogr , vol.2 , pp. 184-194
    • Willmott, C.J.1
  • 30
    • 19344361817 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Meteorologically adjusted urban air quality trends in the southwestern United States
    • doi:10.1016/j.atmosenv.2005.01.024
    • Wise, E. K., and A. C. Comrie (2005), Meteorologically adjusted urban air quality trends in the southwestern United States, Atmos. Environ., 39, 2969-2980, doi:10.1016/j.atmosenv.2005.01.024.
    • (2005) Atmos. Environ , vol.39 , pp. 2969-2980
    • Wise, E.K.1    Comrie, A.C.2
  • 31
    • 34547793684 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A detailed evaluation of the Eta-CMAQ forecast model performance for O3, its related precursors, and meteorological parameters during 2004 ICARTT study
    • doi:10.1029/2006JD0077115
    • Yu, S., R. Mathur, K. Schere, D. Kang, J. Pleim, and T. Otte (2007), A detailed evaluation of the Eta-CMAQ forecast model performance for O3, its related precursors, and meteorological parameters during 2004 ICARTT study, J. Geophys. Res., 112, D12S14, doi:10.1029/2006JD0077115.
    • (2007) J. Geophys. Res , vol.112
    • Yu, S.1    Mathur, R.2    Schere, K.3    Kang, D.4    Pleim, J.5    Otte, T.6


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.