Modelling the effect on injuries and fatalities when changing mode of transport from car to bicycle

Accident Analysis and Prevention

Volumn 100, Issue , 2017, Pages 30-36

  Nilsson, Philip ^a   Stigson, Helena ^a,b   Ohlin, Maria ^b,c   Strandroth, Johan ^b,d  

^a Stockholm and Folksam Research   (Sweden)

^b CHALMERS UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY   (Sweden)

^c UNIVERSITY OF GOTHENBURG   (Sweden)

^d SWEDISH TRANSPORT ADMINISTRATION   (Sweden)

Author keywords

Bicycle injuries; Car injuries; DALY; Modelling; Transport mode change

Indexed keywords

BICYCLES; HEALTH RISKS; HOSPITALS; LAW ENFORCEMENT; MODELS; RISK PERCEPTION;

DALY; DISABILITY-ADJUSTED LIFE YEAR; MODE OF TRANSPORT; NUMBER OF INJURIES; PREVENTIVE MEASURES; SUSTAINABLE SOCIETY; TRAFFIC CRASHES; TRANSPORT MODES;

ACCIDENTS;

CYCLING; HUMAN; INJURIES; INJURY; MORTALITY; RISK ASSESSMENT; SAFETY; STATISTICS AND NUMERICAL DATA; TRAFFIC ACCIDENT; TRAFFIC AND TRANSPORT; WORKPLACE;

ACCIDENTS, TRAFFIC; BICYCLING; HUMANS; RISK ASSESSMENT; SAFETY; TRANSPORTATION; WORKPLACE; WOUNDS AND INJURIES;

EID: 85008884585     PISSN: 00014575     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.aap.2016.12.020     Document Type: Article

References (30)

1. Andersen, L.B., Schnohr, P., Schroll, M., Hein, H.O., All-cause mortality associated with physical activity during leisure time, work, sports, and cycling to work. Arch. Int. Med. 160 (2000), 1621–1628.
2. Björketun, U., Nilson, G., Skaderisker för Motorcyklister [Accident Risks for Motorcyclists] VTI report 11-2006., 2006, Swedish National Road and Transport Research Institute (VTI), Linköping, Sweden.
3. de Hartog, J., Boogaard, H., Nijland, H., Hoek, G., Do the health benefits of cycling outweigh the risks?. Environ. Health Perspect. 118 (2010), 1109–1116.
4. Forsman, Å., Forecasting Models of the Number of Fatalities in Road Traffic. An Evaluation of a Poisson Regression Model with Serially Correlated Residuals. 2008, VTI, Linköping, Sweden.
5. Hamer, M., Chida, Y., Active commuting and cardiovascular risk: a meta-analytic review. Prev. Med. 46 (2008), 9–13.
6. Holm, A.L., Glumer, C., Diderichsen, F., Health Impact Assessment of increased cycling to place of work or education in Copenhagen. BMJ Open, 2, 2012.
7. Hu, G., Tuomilehto, J., Borodulin, K., Jousilahti, P., The joint associations of occupational, commuting, and leisure-time physical activity, and the Framingham risk score on the 10-year risk of coronary heart disease. Eur. Heart J. 28 (2007), 492–498.
8. Jacobsen, P.L., Safety in numbers: more walkers and bicyclists, safer walking and bicycling. Inj. Prev. 9:3 (2003), 205–209.
9. Kelly, P., Kahlmeier, S., Götschi, T., Orsini, N., Richards, J., Roberts, N., Scarborough, P., Foster, C., Systematic review and meta-analysis of reduction in all-cause mortality from walking and cycling and shape of dose response relationship. Int. J. Behav. Nutr. Phys. Act., 11(1), 2014.
10. Lindsay, G., Macmillan, A., Woodward, A., Moving urban trips from cars to bicycles: impact on health and emissions. Aust. N. Z. J. Public Health 35:1 (2011), 54–60.
11. Lord, D., Washington, S.P., Ivan, J.N., Poisson, Poisson-gamma and zero-inflated regression models of motor vehicle crashes: balancing statistical fit and theory. Accid. Anal. Prev. 37:1 (2005), 35–46.
12. Marshall, W.E., Garrick, N.W., Evidence on why bike-friendly cities are safer for all road users. Environ. Pract. 13:01 (2011), 16–27.
13. Matthews, C.E., Jurj, A.L., Shu, X.O., Li, H.L., Yang, G., Li, Q., Gao, Y.T., Zheng, W., Influence of exercise, walking, cycling, and overall nonexercise physical activity on mortality in Chinese women. Am. J. Epidemiol. 165 (2007), 1343–1350.
14. Niska, A., Gustafsson, S., Nyberg, J., ERIKSSON, J., Cyklisters singelolyckor – Analys av olycks- och skadedata samt djupintervjuer [Single bicycle accidents Analysis of hospital injury data and interviews]. 2013, VTI, Linköping, Sweden.
15. Ohlin, M., Strandroth, J., Tingvall, C., The combined effect of vehicle frontal design, speed reduction, autonomous emergency braking and helmet use in reducing real life bicycle injuries. Saf. Sci. 92 (2016), 338–344.
16. Oja, P., Titze, S., Bauman, A., DE Geus, B., Krenn, P., Reger-Nash, B., Kohlberger, T., Health benefits of cycling: a systematic review. Scand. J. Med. Sci. Sports 21:4 (2011), 496–509.
17. Olivier, J., Creighton, P., Bicycle injuries and helmet use: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Int. J. Epidemiol., 2016, 10.1093/ije/dyw153.
18. Ossiander, E.M., Cummings, P., Freeway speed limits and traffic fatalities in Washington State. Accid. Anal. Prev. 34:1 (2002), 13–18.
19. Otte, D., Facius, T., Situation of Pedelecs and comparison to conventional Bicycles. Proceedings of International Cycling Saftey Conference, Bologna, Italy, 2016.
20. RVU Sweden. Transport Analysis. 2014. Stockholm, Sweden. Available at: http://www.trafa.se/globalassets/statistik/resvanor/rvu_sverige_2015.pdf (Accessed 15 July 2016).
21. Rabl, A., DE Nazelle, A., Benefts of shift from car to active transport. Transp. Policy 19:1 (2012), 121–131.
22. Rizzi, M., Stigson, H., Krafft, M., Cyclist injuries leading to permanent medical impairment in Sweden and the effect of bicycle helmets. Int. IRCOBI Conf. on the Biomechanics of Injury, Gothenburg, Sweden, 2013.
23. STA, Analysis of Road Safety Trends–Management by Objectives for Road Safety Work Towards the 2020 Interim Targets. STA Publication 2014:129. 2015, Swedish Transport Administration, Borlänge, Sweden.
24. STRADA – Swedish Traffic Accident Data Acquisition, 2016. Swedish Transport Agency. Norrköping, Sweden. Available at: https://www.transportstyrelsen.se/sv/vagtrafik/statistik-och-register/STRADA-informationssystem-for-olyckor-skador/ (Accessed 15 July 2016).
25. Salomon, J.A., Vos, T., Hogan, D.R., Gagnon, M., Naghavi, M., Mokdad, A., Farje, M.R., Common values in assessing health outcomes from disease and injury: disability weights measurement study for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010. Lancet 380:9859 (2013), 2129–2143.
26. Schantz, P., Om gång och cykling, hälsa och en hållbar utveckling [About walking and bicycling, health and a sustainable development]. 2015, The Swedish School of Sport and Health Sciences, Stockholm Available at: http://www.diva-portal.org/smash/record.jsf?aq2=%5B%5B%5D%5D&c=11&af=%5B%5D&searchType=SIMPLE&query=Peter+Schantz&language=sv&pid=diva2%3A849879&aq=%5B%5B%5D%5D&sf=research&aqe=%5B%5D&sortOrder=dateIssued_sort_desc&onlyFullText=false&noOfRows=250&dswid=-6448 (Accessed 15 July 2016).
27. Schepers, P., Agerholm, N., Amoros, E., Benington, R., Bjornskau, T., Dhondt, S., Geus, D.E., Hagemeister, B., Loo, C., Niska, B.P., An international review of the frequency of single-bicycle crashes (SBCs) and their relation to bicycle modal share. Inj. Prev. 21:e1 (2014), e138–e143 electronic source.
28. Tainio, M., Olkowicz, D., Teresiński, G., DE Nazelle, A., Nieuwenhuijsen, M.J., Severity of injuries in different modes of transport, expressed with disability-adjusted life years (DALYs). BMC Public Health, 14(1), 2014, 1.
29. Thompson, D.C., Rivara, F.P., Thompson, R., Helmets for preventing head and facial injuries in bicyclists. Cochrane Database Syst. Rev., 4, 1999, 10.1002/14651858.CD001855 CD001855.
30. UN, UN Sustainable Development Goals. New York. 2016 Available at: http://www.un.org/sustainabledevelopment/cities/ (Accessed 18 July 2016).