Impacts of local soil moisture anomalies on the atmospheric circulation and on remote surface meteorological fields during boreal summer: A comprehensive analysis over North America

Journal of Climate

Volumn 29, Issue 20, 2016, Pages 7345-7364

  Koster, Randal D ^a   Chang, Yehui ^a,b   Wang, Hailan ^a,c   Schubert, Siegfried D ^a  

^a NASA GODDARD SPACE FLIGHT CENTER   (United States)

^b MORGAN STATE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^c SCIENCE SYSTEMS AND APPLICATIONS INC   (United States)

Author keywords

Atm Ocean Structure Phenomena; Atmosphere land interaction; Circulation Dynamics; Drought; General circulation models; Hydrometeorology; Models and modeling; Physical Meteorology and Climatology; Planetary waves; Soil moisture

Indexed keywords

CLIMATOLOGY; DROUGHT; EARTH ATMOSPHERE; HEATING; LOCATION; METEOROLOGICAL INSTRUMENTS; STORM SEWERS;

ATMOSPHERE-LAND INTERACTIONS; ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION; ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION ANOMALY; ATMOSPHERIC GENERAL CIRCULATION MODELS; GENERAL CIRCULATION MODEL; HYDROMETEOROLOGY; PLANETARY WAVES; PRECIPITATION DEFICITS;

SOIL MOISTURE;

ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION; ATMOSPHERIC DYNAMICS; CLIMATOLOGY; DROUGHT; GENERAL CIRCULATION MODEL; HYDROMETEOROLOGY; PLANETARY WAVE; SOIL MOISTURE;

UNITED STATES;

EID: 84993990150     PISSN: 08948755     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0192.1     Document Type: Article

References (54)

1. Adler, R. F., and Coauthors, 2003: The version-2 Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCP) monthly precipitation analysis (1979-present). J. Hydrometeor., 4, 1147-1167, doi:10.1175/1525-7541(2003)004<1147:TVGPCP>2.0.CO;2.
2. Bacmeister, J. T., M. J. Suarez, and F. R. Robertson, 2006: Rain reevaporation, boundary layer convection interactions, and Pacific rainfall patterns in an AGCM. J. Atmos. Sci., 63, 3383-3403, doi:10.1175/JAS3791.1.
3. Barsugli, J. J., S.-I. Shin, and P. D. Sardeshmukh, 2006: Sensitivity of global warming to the pattern of tropical ocean warming. Climate Dyn., 27, 483-492, doi:10.1007/s00382-006-0143-7.
4. Betts, A. K., and J. H. Ball, 1995: The FIFE surface diurnal cycle climate. J. Geophys. Res., 100, 25 679-25 693, doi:10.1029/94JD03121.
5. Betts, A. K., J. H. Ball, A. C. M. Beljaars, M. J. Miller, and P. Viterbo, 1994: Coupling between land-surface, boundary-layer parameterizations and rainfall on local and regional scales: Lessons from the wet summer of 1993. Preprints, Fifth Conf. on Global Change Studies, Nashville, TN, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 174-181.
6. Bosilovich, M., and Coauthors, 2015: MERRA-2: Initial evaluation of the climate. NASA/TM-2012-104606, Vol. 43, 139 pp.
7. 2 with applications to climate studies. J. Climate, 3, 209-217, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(1990)003<0209:PFTAOS>2.0.CO;2.
8. Chou, M.-D., 1992: A solar radiation model for use in climate studies. J. Atmos. Sci., 49, 762-772, doi:10.1175/1520-0469(1992)049<0762:ASRMFU>2.0.CO;2.
9. Chou, M.-D., and M. J. Suarez, 1994: An efficient thermal infrared radiation parameterization for use in general circulation models. NASA Tech. Memo. 104606, Vol. 3, 84 pp.
10. Cohen, J., J. C. Furtado, J. Jones, M. Barlow, D. Whittleston, and D. Entekhabi, 2014: Linking Siberian snow cover to precursors of stratospheric variability. J. Climate, 27, 5422-5432, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00779.1.
11. Dee, D. P., and Coauthors, 2011: The ERA-Interim reanalysis: Configuration and performance of the data assimilation system. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 137, 553-597, doi:10.1002/qj.828.
12. Delworth, T. L., and S. Manabe, 1989: The influence of soil wetness on near-surface atmospheric variability. J. Climate, 2, 1447-1462, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(1989)002<1447:TIOSWO>2.0.CO;2.
13. Dirmeyer, P. A., S. Kumar, M. J. Fennessy, E. L. Altshuler, T. DelSole, Z. C. Guo, B. A. Cash, and D. Straus, 2013: Model estimates of land-driven predictability in a changing climate from CCSM4. J. Climate, 26, 8495-8512, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00029.1.
14. Douville, H., 2002: Influence of soil moisture on the Asian and African monsoons. Part II: Interannual variability. J. Climate, 15, 701-720, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(2002)015<0701:IOSMOT>2.0.CO;2.
15. Douville, H., and F. Chauvin, 2000: Relevance of soil moisture for seasonal climate predictions: A preliminary study. Climate Dyn., 16, 719-736, doi:10.1007/s003820000080.
16. Entin, J. K., A. Robock, K. Y. Vinnikov, S. E. Hollinger, S. Liu, and A. Namkhai, 2000: Temporal and spatial scales of observed soil moisture variations in the extratropics. J. Geophys. Res., 105, 11 865-11 877, doi:10.1029/2000JD900051.
17. Findell, K. L., and E. A. B. Eltahir, 1997: An analysis of the soil moisture-rainfall feedback, based on direct observations from Illinois. Water Resour. Res., 33, 725-735, doi:10.1029/96WR03756.
18. Gates, W. L., 1992: AMIP: The Atmospheric Model Intercomparison Project. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 73, 1962-1970, doi:10.1175/1520-0477(1992)073<1962:ATAMIP>2.0.CO;2.
19. Gelaro, R., and Coauthors, 2014: Evaluation of the 7-km GEOS-5 Nature Run. NASA/TM-2014-104606, Vol. 36, 285 pp. [Available online at http://ntrs.nasa.gov/search.jsp?R=20150011486.]
20. Guo, Z., and Coauthors, 2006: GLACE: The Global Land-Atmosphere Coupling Experiment. Part II: Analysis. J. Hydrometeor., 7, 611-625, doi:10.1175/JHM511.1.
21. Ham, Y.-G., S. D. Schubert, Y. Vikhliaev, and M. J. Suarez, 2014: An assessment of the ENSO forecast skill of the GEOS-5 system. Climate Dyn., 43, 2415-2430, doi:10.1007/s00382-014-2063-2.
22. Held, I. M., M. Ting, and H. Wang, 2002: Northern winter stationary waves: Theory and modeling. J. Climate, 15, 2125-2144, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(2002)015<2125:NWSWTA>2.0.CO;2.
23. Helfand, H. M., and S. D. Schubert, 1995: Climatology of the simulated Great Plains low-level jet and its contribution to the continental moisture budget of the United States. J. Climate, 8, 784-806, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(1995)008<0784:COTSGP>2.0.CO;2.
24. Huffman, G. J., R. F. Adler, D. T. Bolvin, and G. Gu, 2009: Improving the global precipitation record: GPCP version 2.1. Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L17808, doi:10.1029/2009GL040000.
25. Koster, R. D., M. J. Suarez, A. Ducharne, M. Stieglitz, and P. Kumar, 2000: A catchment-based approach to modeling land surface processes in a general circulation model: 1. Model structure. J. Geophys. Res., 105, 24 809-24 822, doi:10.1029/2000JD900327.
26. Koster, R. D., M. J. Suarez, R. W. Higgins, and H. M. Van den Dool, 2003: Observational evidence that soil moisture variations affect precipitation. Geophys. Res. Lett., 30, 1241, doi:10.1029/2002GL016571.
27. Koster, R. D., and Coauthors, 2006: GLACE: The Global Land-Atmosphere Coupling Experiment. Part I: Overview. J. Hydrometeor., 7, 590-610, doi:10.1175/JHM510.1.
28. Koster, R. D., Z. Guo, R. Yang, P. A. Dirmeyer, K. Mitchell, and M. J. Puma, 2009: On the nature of soil moisture in land surface models. J. Climate, 22, 4322-4335, doi:10.1175/2009JCLI2832.1.
29. Koster, R. D., and Coauthors, 2011: The second phase of the Global Land-Atmosphere Coupling Experiment: Soil moisture contributions to subseasonal forecast skill. J. Hydrometeor., 12, 805-822, doi:10.1175/2011JHM1365.1.
30. Koster, R. D., Y. Chang, and S. D. Schubert, 2014: A mechanism for land-atmosphere feedback involving planetary wave structures. J. Climate, 27, 9290-9301, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00315.1.
31. Lau, W. K. M, and K.-M. Kim, 2012: The 2010 Pakistan flood and Russian heat wave, Teleconnection of hydrometeorological extremes. J. Hydrometeor., 13, 392-403, doi:10.1175/JHM-D-11-016.1.
32. Lock, A. P., A. R. Brown, M. R. Bush, G. M. Martin, and R. N. B. Smith, 2000: A new boundary layer mixing scheme. Part I: Scheme description and single-column model tests. Mon. Wea. Rev., 128, 3187-3199, doi:10.1175/1520-0493(2000)128<3187:ANBLMS>2.0.CO;2.
33. Molod, A., L. Takacs, M. Suarez, J. Bacmeister, I.-S. Song, and A. Eichmann, 2012: The GEOS-5 atmospheric general circulation model: Mean climate and development from MERRA to Fortuna. NASA/TM-2012-104606, Vol. 28, 115 pp.
34. Moorthi, S., and M. J. Suarez, 1992: Relaxed Arakawa Schubert: A parameterization of moist convection for general circulation models. Mon. Wea. Rev., 120, 978-1002, doi:10.1175/1520-0493(1992)120<0978:RASAPO>2.0.CO;2.
35. National Research Council, 2010: Assessment of Intraseasonal to Interannual Climate Prediction and Predictability. National Academies Press, 181 pp.
36. Peings, Y., H. Douville, R. Alkama, and B. Decharme, 2011: Snow contribution to springtime atmospheric predictability over the second half of the twentieth century. Climate Dyn., 37, 985-1004, doi:10.1007/s00382-010-0884-1.
37. Putman, W. M., and S.-J. Lin, 2007: Finite-volume transport on various cubed-sphere grids. J. Comput. Phys., 227, 55-78, doi:10.1016/j.jcp.2007.07.022.
38. Reichle, R. H., and Q. Liu, 2014: Observation-corrected precipitation estimates in GEOS-5. NASA/TM-2014-104606, Vol. 35, 18 pp.
39. Rienecker, M. M., and Coauthors, 2011: MERRA, NASA's Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications. J. Climate, 24, 3624-3648, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00015.1.
40. Robock, A., M. Mu, K. Vinnikov, and D. Robinson, 2003: Land surface conditions over Eurasia and Indian summer monsoon rainfall. J. Geophys. Res., 108, 4131, doi:10.1029/2002JD002286.
41. Schubert, S. D., H. Wang, and M. Suarez, 2011: Warm season subseasonal variability and climate extremes in the Northern Hemisphere: The role of stationary Rossby waves. J. Climate, 24, 4773-4792, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-10-05035.1.
42. Schubert, S. D., H. Wang, R. D. Koster, M. J. Suarez, and P. Ya. Groisman, 2014: Northern Eurasian heat waves and droughts. J. Climate, 27, 3169-3207, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00360.1.
43. Seneviratne, S. I., T. Corti, E. L. Davin, M. Hirschi, E. B. Jaeger, I. Lehner, B. Orlowsky, and A. J. Teuling, 2010: Investigating soil moisture-climate interactions in a changing climate: A review. Earth-Sci. Rev., 99, 125-161, doi:10.1016/j.earscirev.2010.02.004.
44. Simmons, A. J., K. M. Willett, P. D. Jones, P. W. Thorne, and D. P. Dee, 2010: Low-frequency variations in surface atmospheric humidity, temperature, and precipitation: Inferences from reanalyses and monthly gridded observational data sets. J. Geophys. Res., 115, D01110, doi:10.1029/2009JD012442.
45. Taylor, C. M., A. Gounou, F. Guichard, P. P. Harris, R. J. Ellis, F. Couvreux, and M. De Kauwe, 2011: Frequency of Sahelian storm initiation enhanced over mesoscale soil-moisture patterns. Nat. Geosci., 4, 430-433, doi:10.1038/ngeo1173.
46. Thomas, J. A., A. A. Bert, and W. J. Merryfield, 2015: Influence of snow and soil moisture initialization on sub-seasonal predictability and forecast skill in boreal spring. Climate Dyn., 47, 49-65, doi:10.1007/s00382-015-2821-9.
47. Ting, M. F., and L. H. Yu, 1998: Steady response to tropical heating in wavy linear and nonlinear baroclinic models. J. Atmos. Sci., 55, 3565-3582, doi:10.1175/1520-0469(1998)055<3565:SRTTHI>2.0.CO;2.
48. Vinnikov, K. Ya., and I. B. Yeserkepova, 1991: Soil moisture: Empirical data and model results. J. Climate, 4, 66-79, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(1991)004<0066:SMEDAM>2.0.CO;2.
49. Wang, A., T. J. Bohn, S. P. Mahanama, R. D. Koster, and D. P. Lettenmaier, 2009: Multimodel ensemble reconstruction of drought over the continental United States. J. Climate, 22, 2694-2712, doi:10.1175/2008JCLI2586.1.
50. Wang, H., and S. D. Schubert, 2014: The precipitation response over the continental United States to cold tropical Pacific sea surface temperatures. J. Climate, 27, 5036-5055, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00453.1.
51. Wang, H., S. D. Schubert, M. J. Suarez, and R. D. Koster, 2010: The physical mechanisms by which the leading patterns of SST variability impact U.S. precipitation. J. Climate, 23, 1815-1836, doi:10.1175/2009JCLI3188.1.
52. Wang, H., S. D. Schubert, and R. D. Koster, 2016: North American drought and links to northern Eurasia: The role of stationary Rossby waves. Climate Extremes: Mechanisms and Potential Prediction, Geophys. Monogr., Amer. Geophys. Union, in press.
53. Xia, Y., and Coauthors, 2012: Continental-scale water and energy flux analysis and validation for the North American Land Data Assimilation System project phase 2 (NLDAS-2): 1. Intercomparison and application of model products. J. Geophys. Res., 117, D03109, doi:10.1029/2011JD016048.
54. Xue, Y., R. Vasic, Z. Janjic, Y. M. Liu, and P. C. Chu, 2012: The impact of spring subsurface soil temperature anomaly in the western U.S. on North American summer precipitation: A case study using regional climate model downscaling. J. Geophys. Res., 117, D11103, doi:10.1029/2012JD017692.