The Circumglobal North American wave pattern and its relation to cold events in eastern North America

Geophysical Research Letters

Volumn 43, Issue 20, 2016, Pages 11,015-11,023

  Harnik, Nili ^a,b   Messori, Gabriele ^b   Caballero, Rodrigo ^b   Feldstein, Steven B ^c  

^a TEL AVIV UNIVERSITY   (Israel)

^b STOCKHOLM UNIVERSITY   (Sweden)

^c PENNSYLVANIA STATE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

Author keywords

Circumglobal Teleconnection Pattern; North American extreme cold events; Rossby waves

Indexed keywords

ATMOSPHERIC TEMPERATURE; WAVE PACKETS;

CIRCUMGLOBAL TELECONNECTION PATTERNS; COLD TEMPERATURES; EASTERN NORTH AMERICA; MERIDIONAL WINDS; NORTH AMERICAN; ROSSBY WAVE; SURFACE TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES; WAVE PATTERNS;

MECHANICAL WAVES;

JET STREAM; ROSSBY WAVE; SURFACE TEMPERATURE; TELECONNECTION; TEMPERATURE ANOMALY; TROPOSPHERE; WAVE PROPAGATION; ZONAL WIND;

ASIA; CANADA; UNITED STATES;

EID: 84991823643     PISSN: 00948276     EISSN: 19448007     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1002/2016GL070760     Document Type: Article

References (32)

1. Bao, M., and J. M. Wallace (2015), Cluster analysis of Northern Hemisphere wintertime 500-hPa flow regimes during 1920–2014, J. Atmos. Sci., 72, 3597–3608.
2. Baxter, S., and S. Nigam (2015), Key role of the North Pacific Oscillation–West Pacific Pattern in generating the extreme 2013/14 North American winter, J. Clim., 28(20), 8109–8117.
3. Branstator, G. (2002), Circumglobal teleconnections, the jet stream waveguide, and the North Atlantic Oscillation, J. Clim., 15, 1893–1910.
4. Cellitti, M. P., J. E. Walsh, R. M. Rauber, and D. H. Portis (2006), Extreme cold air outbreaks over the United States, the polar vortex, and the large-scale circulation, J. Geophys. Res., 111, D02114, doi:10.1029/2005JD006273.
5. Davies, H. C. (2015), Weather chains during the 2013/2014 winter and their significance for seasonal prediction, Nat. Geosci., 8, 833–837, doi:10.1038/NGEO2561.
6. Dee, D. P., et al. (2011), The ERA-Interim reanalysis: Configuration and performance of the data assimilation system, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 137, 553–597, doi:10.1002/qj.828.
7. Feldstein, S. B., and U. Dayan (2008), Circumglobal teleconnections and wave packets associated with Israeli winter precipitation, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 134(631), 455–467, doi:10.1002/qj.225.
8. Grazzini, F., and F. Vitart (2015), Atmospheric predictability and Rossby wave packets, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 141(692), 2793–2802, doi:10.1002/qj.2564.
9. Grotjahn, R., et al. (2015), North American extreme temperature events and related large scale meteorological patterns: A review of statistical methods, dynamics, modeling, and trends, Clim. Dyn., 46(3), 1151–1184, doi:10.1007/s00382-015-2638-6.
10. Hartmann, D. L. (2015), Pacific sea surface temperature and the winter of 2014, Geophys. Res. Lett., 42, 1894–1902, doi:10.1002/2015GL063083.
11. Kalnay, E., et al. (1996), The NCEP/NCAR 40-year reanalysis project, Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 77(434–471).
12. Konrad, C. E. I. (1996), Relationships between the intensity of cold air outbreaks and the evolution of synoptic and planetary scale features over North America, Mon. Weather Rev., 124, 1067–1083.
13. Lee, M.-Y., C.-C. Hong, and H.-H. Hsu (2015), Compounding effects of warm sea surface temperature and reduced sea ice on the extreme circulation over the extratropical North Pacific and North America during the 2013–2014 boreal winter, Geophys. Res. Lett., 42, 1612–1618, doi:10.1002/2014GL062956.
14. Linkin, M. E., and S. Nigam (2008), The North Pacific Oscillation–West Pacific teleconnection pattern: Mature-phase structure and winter impacts, J. Clim., 21(9), 1979–1997.
15. Loikith, P. C., and A. J. Broccoli (2012), Characteristics of observed atmospheric circulation patterns associated with temperature extremes over North America, J. Clim., 25(20), 7266–7281, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00709.1.
16. Messori, G., R. Caballero, and M. Gaetani (2016), On cold spells in North America and storminess in western Europe, Geophys. Res. Lett., 43, 6620–6628, doi:10.1002/2016GL069392.
17. North, G. R., T. L. Bell, R. F. Cahalan, and F. J. Moeng (1982), Sampling errors in the estimation of empirical orthogonal functions, Mon. Weather Rev., 110(7), 699–706.
18. Portis, D. H., M. P. Cellitti, W. L. Chapman, and J. E. Walsh (2006), Low-frequency variability and evolution of North American cold air outbreaks, Mon. Weather Rev., 134(2), 579–597, doi:10.1175/MWR3083.1.
19. Schubert, S., H. Wang, and M. Suarez (2011), Warm season subseasonal variability and climate extremes in the Northern Hemisphere: The role of stationary Rossby waves, J. Clim., 24(18), 4773–4792, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-10-05035.1.
20. Seager, R., and N. Henderson (2016), Tropical ocean forcing of the persistent North American west coast ridge of winter 2013/14, J. Clim., doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0145.1.
21. Seager, R., M. Hoerling, S. Schubert, H. Wang, B. Lyon, A. Kumar, J. Nakamura, and N. Henderson(2015), Causes of the 2011–14 California drought, J. Clim., 28(18), 6997–7024.
22. Teng, H., G. Branstator, H. Wang, G. A. Meehl, and W. M. Washington (2013), Probability of US heat waves affected by a subseasonal planetary wave pattern, Nat. Geosci., 6(12), 1056–1061.
23. Walker, G. T., and E. W. Bliss (1932), World weather V, Mem. R. Meteorol. Soc., 4(36), 53–84.
24. Wallace, J. M., and D. S. Gutzler (1981), Teleconnections in the geopotential height field during the Northern Hemisphere winter, Mon. Weather Rev., 109, 784–812.
25. Wallace, J. M., I. M. Held, D. W. Thompson, K. E. Trenberth, and J. E. Walsh (2014), Global warming and winter weather, Science, 343(6172), 729–730.
26. Walsh, J. E., A. S. Phillips, D. H. Portis, and W. L. Chapman (2001), Extreme cold outbreaks in the United States and Europe, 1948–99, J. Clim., 14, 2642–2658.
27. Wang, S.-Y., L. Hipps, R. R. Gillies, and J.-H. Yoon (2014), Probable causes of the abnormal ridge accompanying the 2013–2014 California drought: ENSO precursor and anthropogenic warming footprint, Geophys. Res. Lett., 41, 3220–3226, doi:10.1002/2014GL059748.
28. Watanabe, M. (2004), Asian jet waveguide and a downstream extension of the North Atlantic Oscillation, J. Clim., 17(24), 4674–4691, doi:10.1175/JCLI-3228.1.
29. Watson, P. A. G., A. Weisheimer, J. R. Knight, and T. N. Palmer (2016), The role of the tropical West Pacific in the extreme Northern Hemisphere winter of 2013/2014, J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 121, 1698–1714, doi:10.1002/2015JD024048.
30. Waugh, D. W., A. H. Sobel, and L. M. Polvani (2016), What is the polar vortex and how does it influence weather?, Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00212.1.
31. Yu, B., and X. Zhang (2015), A physical analysis of the severe 2013/2014 cold winter in North America, J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 120, 10,149–10,165, doi:10.1002/2015JD023116.
32. Yuan, J., S. B. Feldstein, S. Lee, and B. Tan (2011), The relationship between the North Atlantic jet and tropical convection over the Indian and Western Pacific Oceans, J. Clim., 24, 6100–6113.