Probability of US heat waves affected by a subseasonal planetary wave pattern

Nature Geoscience

Volumn 6, Issue 12, 2013, Pages 1056-1061

  Teng, Haiyan ^a   Branstator, Grant ^a   Wang, Hailan ^b   Meehl, Gerald A ^a   Washington, Warren M ^a  

^a NATIONAL CENTER FOR ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH   (United States)

^b SCIENCE SYSTEMS AND APPLICATIONS INC   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ATMOSPHERIC CONVECTION; ATMOSPHERIC DYNAMICS; ATMOSPHERIC GENERAL CIRCULATION MODEL; CLIMATE PREDICTION; HEATING; PLANETARY WAVE; WAVE MODELING; WEATHER FORECASTING;

UNITED STATES;

EID: 84889044947     PISSN: 17520894     EISSN: 17520908     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1038/ngeo1988     Document Type: Article

References (26)

1. Easterling, D. R. et al. Climate extremes: Observations, modelling, and impacts. Science 289, 2068-2074 (2000
2. Ebi, K. & Meehl, G. A. Heatwaves and Global Climate Change, The Heat is On: Climate Change and Heatwaves in the Midwest. Regional Impacts of Climate Change: Four Case Studies in the United States 8-21 (Pew Center on Global Climate Change, 2007
3. Meehl, G. A. & Tebaldi, C. More intense, more frequent, and longer lasting heat waves in the 21st century. Science 305, 994-997 (2004
4. Madden, R. A. & Julian, P. R. Detection of a 40-50 day oscillation in the zonal wind in the tropical Pacific. J. Atmos. Sci. 28, 702-708 (1971
5. Waliser, D. E., Lau, K. M., Stern, W. & Jones, C. Potential predictability of the Madden-Julian oscillation. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 84, 33-50 (2003
6. Branstator, G., Mai, A. & Baumhefner, D. Identification of highly predictable flow elements for spatial filtering of medium-And extended-range numerical forecasts. Mon. Weath. Rev. 121, 1786-1802 (1993
7. DelSole, T. & Tippett, M. K. Predictable components and singular vectors. J. Atmos. Sci. 65, 1666-1678 (2008
8. Schubert, S., Wang, H. & Suarez, M. Warm seasonal subseasonal variability and climate extremes in the Northern Hemisphere: The role of stationary Rossby waves. J. Clim. 24, 4773-4792 (2011
9. Chen, P. & Newman, M. Rossby wave propagation and the rapid development of upper-level anomalous anticyclones during the 1988 US drought. J. Clim. 11, 2491-2504 (1998
10. Lyon, B. & Dole, R. M. A diagnostic comparison of the 1980 and 1988 US summer heat wave-droughts. J. Clim. 8, 1658-1675 (1995
11. Kalnay, E. et al. The NCEP/NCAR 40-year reanalysis project. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 77, 437-471 (1996
12. Branstator, G. Horizontal energy propagation in a barotropic atmosphere with meridional and zonal structure. J. Atmos. Sci. 40, 1689-1708 (1983
13. Hoskins, B. J. & Ambrizzi, T. Rossby wave propagation on a realistic longitudinally varying flow. J. Atmos. Sci. 50, 1661-1671 (1993
14. Namias, J. Anatomy of Great Plains protracted heat waves (especially the 1980 US summer drought). Mon. Weath. Rev. 110, 824-838 (1982
15. Chang, F-C. & Wallace, J. M. Meteorological conditions during heat waves and droughts in the United States Great Plains. Mon. Weath. Rev. 115, 1253-1269 (1987
16. Plumb, R. A. On the three-dimensional propagation of stationary waves. J. Atmos. Sci. 42, 217-229 (1985
17. Karoly, D. J., Plumb, R. A. & Ting, M. Example of the horizontal propagation of quasi-stationary waves. J. Atmos. Sci. 46, 2802-2811 (1989
18. Hoskins, B. & Karoly, D. J. The steady linear response of a spherical atmosphere to thermal and orographic forcing. J. Atmos. Sci. 38, 1179-1196 (1981
19. Branstator, G. Organization of storm track anomalies by recurring low-frequency circulation anomalies. J. Atmos. Sci. 52, 207-226 (1995
20. Branstator, G. Circumglobal teleconnections, the jet stream waveguide, and the North Atlantic Oscillation. J. Clim. 15, 1893-1910 (2002
21. Ding, Q. & Wang, B. Circumglobal teleconnection in the Northern Hemisphere summer. J. Clim. 18, 3483-3505 (2005
22. Ding, Q., Wang, B., Wallace, J. M. & Branstator, G. Tropical-extratropical teleconnections in boreal summer: Observed interannual variability. J. Clim. 24, 1878-1896 (2011
23. Newman, M. & Sardeshmukh, P. D. The impact of the annual cycle on the North Pacific/North American response to remote low-frequency forcing. J. Atmos. Sci. 55, 1336-1353 (1998
24. Erich, E. et al. Soil moisture-Atmosphere interactions during the 2003 European summer heat wave. J. Clim. 20, 5081-5099 (2007
25. Collins, W. D. et al. The Community Climate System Model version 3 (CCSM3). J. Clim. 19, 2122-2143 (2006
26. Gent, P. et al. The community climate system model version 4. J. Clim. 24, 4973-4991 (2011