Time-lagging interplay effect and excess risk of meteorological/mosquito parameters and petrochemical gas explosion on dengue incidence

Scientific Reports

Volumn 6, Issue , 2016, Pages

  Chang, Ko ^a,b   Chen, Chaur Dong ^c   Shih, Chien Ming ^d,e   Lee, Tzu Chi ^e   Wu, Ming Tsang ^a,e   Wu, Deng Chyang ^e   Chen, Yen Hsu ^a   Hung, Chih Hsing ^b,d   Wu, Meng Chieh ^b   Huang, Chun Chi ^b,e   Lee, Chien Hung ^e   Ho, Chi Kung ^c,e  

^a KAOHSIUNG MEDICAL UNIVERSITY HOSPITAL   (Taiwan)

^b KAOHSIUNG MUNICIPAL HSIAO KANG HOSPITAL   (Taiwan)

^c Bureau of Public Works   (Taiwan)

^d KAOHSIUNG MEDICAL UNIVERSITY   (Taiwan)

^e KAOHSIUNG MEDICAL UNIVERSITY   (Taiwan)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ANIMAL; BLAST INJURY; COMPLICATION; DENGUE; EXPLOSION; HUMAN; INCIDENCE; METEOROLOGY; MOSQUITO; POISSON DISTRIBUTION; TAIWAN; TEMPERATURE; TIME FACTOR; TRANSMISSION; VIROLOGY;

ANIMALS; BLAST INJURIES; CULICIDAE; DENGUE; EXPLOSIONS; HUMANS; INCIDENCE; METEOROLOGY; POISSON DISTRIBUTION; TAIWAN; TEMPERATURE; TIME FACTORS;

EID: 84991678400     PISSN: None     EISSN: 20452322     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1038/srep35028     Document Type: Article

References (31)

1. Bhatt, S. et al. The global distribution and burden of dengue. Nature 496, 504-507, doi: 10.1038/nature12060 (2013).
2. Brady, O. J. et al. Refining the global spatial limits of dengue virus transmission by evidence-based consensus. PLoS neglected tropical diseases 6, e1760, doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0001760 (2012).
3. Outbreak News Today. Costa Rica approves dengue vaccine, Dengvaxia: 5th country to approve. 23 June 2016. http:// outbreaknewstoday.com/costa-rica-approves-dengue-vaccine-dengvaxia-5th-country-to-approve-67888/ (Date of access: 16/08/2016).
4. Guzman, M. G. et al. Dengue: a continuing global threat. Nat Rev Microbiol 8, S7-16, doi: 10.1038/nrmicro2460 (2010).
5. Chao, D. Y. et al. 1998 dengue hemorrhagic fever epidemic in Taiwan. Emerg Infect Dis 10, 552-554, doi: 10.3201/eid1003.020518 (2004).
6. Lin, C. H. et al. Dengue outbreaks in high-income area, Kaohsiung City, Taiwan, 2003-2009. Emerg Infect Dis 18, 1603-1611, doi: 10.3201/eid1810.111929 (2012).
7. Centers for Disease Control: Taiwan National Infectious Disease Statistics System, 2000-2014. Taiwan Ministry of Health and Welfare. http://nidss.cdc.gov.tw/en/SingleDisease.aspx?dc= 1&dt= 2&disease= 055 (Date of access: 17/04/2015).
8. Dengue Information. Disease Control Bureau, the Department of Health, Kaohsiung City Government. Kaohsiung, 2000-2014. (2015).
9. Morin, C. W., Comrie, A. C. & Ernst, K. Climate and dengue transmission: evidence and implications. Environ Health Perspect 121, 1264-1272, doi: 10.1289/ehp.1306556 (2013).
10. Wu, P. C., Guo, H. R., Lung, S. C., Lin, C. Y. & Su, H. J. Weather as an effective predictor for occurrence of dengue fever in Taiwan. Acta Trop 103, 50-57, doi: 10.1016/j.actatropica.2007.05.014 (2007).
11. CNN. Cable News Network (CNN) Vedio News. Taiwan gas blasts rip apart city streets, 1 August 2014. http://edition.cnn.com/ videos/world/2014/08/01/pkg-coren-taiwan-gas-explosions-wrap.cnn (Date of access: 12/03/2015).
12. CNN. Cable News Network (CNN) News. Dozens dead as Taiwan gas explosions tear up streets, Updated 0739 GMT (1439 HKT) September 4, 2014. http://edition.cnn.com/2014/07/31/world/asia/taiwan-explosions / (Date of access: 12/03/ 2015).
13. Kaohsiung gas explosion Record. Kaohsiung District Prosecutors Office (2015)
14. News. Photos for the petrochemical gas explosion in accident sites of Kaohsiung city. http://www.ksc.moj.gov.tw/ct.asp?xItem= 381073&ctNode= 40061&= 021, and http://i1.wp.com/image.thenewslens.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/ 1546451-716725405055375-4087062057069752895-n.jpg (Date of access: 12/03/ 2015).
15. Chen, C. M., Guo, H. W. & Liu, D. P. Impact assessment of petrochemical gas explosions on dengue fever epidemic in Kaohsiung city. Taiwan Public Health Assoc 33, 563-567 (2014).
16. Central Weather Bureau, Taiwan, 2000-2014. http://www.cwb.gov.tw/eng/ (Date of access: 29/03/2015).
17. Department of household registration: Population by sex and 5 year age group for counties and cities, 2000-2014. Ministry of Interior, Taiwan. (2015).
18. Chang, F. S. et al. Re-assess Vector Indices Threshold as an Early Warning Tool for Predicting Dengue Epidemic in a Dengue Nonendemic Country. PLoS neglected tropical diseases 9, e0004043, doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0004043 (2015).
19. Dengue Information Statistics. Disease Control Bureau, Department of Health, Kaohsiung City Government. Kaohsiung, 2000-2014. (2015).
20. Chen, S. C. et al. Lagged temperature effect with mosquito transmission potential explains dengue variability in southern Taiwan: insights from a statistical analysis. Sci Total Environ 408, 4069-4075, doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2010.05.021 (2010).
21. Cui, J. & Qian, G. Selection of working correlation structure and best model in GEE analyses of longitudinal data. Communications in Statistics: Simulation and Computation 36, 987-996 (2007).
22. Brancati, F. L., Kao, W. H., Folsom, A. R., Watson, R. L. & Szklo, M. Incident type 2 diabetes mellitus in African American and white adults: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study. Jama 283, 2253-2259 (2000).
23. Lee, C. H. et al. Betel-quid dependence domains and syndrome associated with betel-quid ingredients among chewers: an Asian multi-country evidence. Addiction 109, 1194-1204, doi: 10.1111/add.12530 (2014).
24. Banu, S., Hu, W., Guo, Y., Hurst, C. & Tong, S. Projecting the impact of climate change on dengue transmission in Dhaka, Bangladesh. Environ Int 63, 137-142, doi: 10.1016/j.envint.2013.11.002 (2014).
25. Arcari, P., Tapper, N. & Pfueller, S. Regional variability in relationships between climate and dengue/DHF in Indonesia. Singapore J Trop Geo 28, 251-272 (2007).
26. Keating, J. An investigation into the cyclical incidence of dengue fever. Soc Sci Med 53, 1587-1597 (2001).
27. Depradine, C. & Lovell, E. Climatological variables and the incidence of Dengue fever in Barbados. Int J Environ Health Res 14, 429-441, doi: 10.1080/09603120400012868 (2004).
28. Yang, H. M., Macoris, M. L., Galvani, K. C., Andrighetti, M. T. & Wanderley, D. M. Assessing the effects of temperature on the population of Aedes aegypti, the vector of dengue. Epidemiol Infect 137, 1188-1202, doi: 10.1017/S0950268809002040 (2009).
29. Tun-Lin, W., Burkot, T. R. & Kay, B. H. Effects of temperature and larval diet on development rates and survival of the dengue vector Aedes aegypti in north Queensland, Australia. Med Vet Entomol 14, 31-37 (2000).
30. Xia, J. et al. Terrestrial carbon cycle affected by non-uniform climate warming. Nature Geoscience 7, 173-180 (2014).
31. Wu, P. C. et al. Higher temperature and urbanization affect the spatial patterns of dengue fever transmission in subtropical Taiwan. Sci Total Environ 407, 2224-2233, doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2008.11.034 (2009).