Forecasting the Presidential Vote with Leading Economic Indicators and the Polls

PS - Political Science and Politics

Volumn 49, Issue 4, 2016, Pages 669-672

  Erikson, Robert S ^a   Wlezien, Christopher ^b  

^a Columbia University ^*  (United States)

^b UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS AT AUSTIN   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 84991481611     PISSN: 10490965     EISSN: 15375935     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1017/S1049096516001293     Document Type: Conference Paper

References (13)

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3. Campbell, James E. 2008. The American Campaign: US Presidential Campaigns and the National Vote, 2nd edition. College Station, TX: Texas A&M University Press.
4. Cuzán, Alfred. 2015. "Five Laws of Politics." PS: Political Science & Politics 48 (3): 415-19.
5. Erikson, Robert S. and Christopher Wlezien. 2008. "Leading Economic Indicators, the Polls, and the Presidential Vote." PS: Political Science & Politics 41 (4): 703-07.
6. -. 2012a. "The Objective and Subjective Economy and the Presidential Vote." PS: Political Science & Politics 45 (4): 620-624.
7. -. 2012b. The Timeline of Presidential Elections: How Campaigns Do (and Do Not) Matter. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
8. -. 2014. The 2012 Campaign and the Timeline of Presidential Elections. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
9. Holbrook, Thomas. 1996. Do Campaigns Matter? Thousand Oaks, California: Sage.
10. Paldam, Martin. 1986. "The Distribution of Election Results and Two Explanations for the Cost of Ruling." European Journal of Political Economy 2 (1): 5-24.
11. Wlezien, Christopher and Robert S. Erikson. 1996. "Temporal Horizons and Presidential Election Forecasts." American Politics Research 24: 492-505.
12. -. 2001. "After the Election: Our Forecast in Retrospect." American Politics Research 29 (3): 320-28.
13. -. 2004. "The Fundamentals, the Polls, and the Presidential Vote." PS: Political Science & Politics 37 (4): 747-51.