The fundamentals, the polls, and the presidential vote

PS - Political Science and Politics

Volumn 37, Issue 4, 2004, Pages 747-751

  Wlezien, Christopher ^a   Erikson, Robert S ^b  

^a UNIVERSITY OF OXFORD   (United Kingdom)

^b Columbia University ^*  (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 8644280536     PISSN: 10490965     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: None     Document Type: Conference Paper

References (16)

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2. Beck, Nathaniel. 2000. "Evaluating Forecasts and Forecasting Models of the 1996 Presidential Election." In Before the Vote: Forecasting American National Elections, eds., James E. Campbell and James C. Garand. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage Publications.
3. Brody, Richard, and Lee Sigelman. 1983. "Presidential Popularity and Presidential Elections: An Update and Extension." Public Opinion Quarterly 47:325-328.
4. Brown, Lloyd B., and Henry W. Chappell Jr. 1999. "Forecasting Using History and the Polls." International Journal of Forecasting 15:127-135.
5. Campbell, James E. 2000. The American Campaign: U.S. Presidential Campaigns and the National Vote. College Station: Texas A&M University Press.
6. -. 1996. "Polls and Votes: The Trial Heat Presidential Election Forecasting Model, Uncertainty, and Political Campaigns." American Politics Quarterly 24:408-433.
7. Campbell, James E., and James C. Garand, eds. 2000. Before the Vote: Forecasting American National Elections. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage Publications.
8. Erikson, Robert S., and Christopher Wlezien. 1994. "Forecasting the Presidential Vote, 1992." The Political Methodologist 5:10-11.
9. -. 1996. "Of Time and Presidential Election Forecasts." PS: Political Science and Politics 29:37-39.
10. Hibbs, Douglas A., Jr. 1987. The American Political Economy. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.
11. Holbrook, Thomas. 1996. Do Campaigns Matter? Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage Publications.
12. Rogers, R. Mark. 1994. Handbook of Key Economic Indicators. New York: Richard Irwin.
13. Wlezien, Christopher. 2001. "On Forecasting the Presidential Vote." PS: Political Science and Politics 34:29-35.
14. Wlezien, Christopher, and Robert S. Erikson. 1996. "Temporal Horizons and Presidential Election Forecasts." American Politics Quarterly 24:49-50.
15. -. 2002. "The Timeline of Presidential Election Campaigns." Journal Politics 64:969-993.
16. Zaller, John. 2004. "Floating Voters in US Presidential Elections, 1948-2000. In The Issue of Belief: Essays in the Intersection of Non-Attitudes and Attitude Change, eds., Paul Sniderman and Willem Saris. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.