Estimating Geographical Variation in the Risk of Zoonotic Plasmodium knowlesi Infection in Countries Eliminating Malaria

PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases

Volumn 10, Issue 8, 2016, Pages

  Shearer, Freya M ^a   Huang, Zhi ^a   Weiss, Daniel J ^a   Wiebe, Antoinette ^a   Gibson, Harry S ^a   Battle, Katherine E ^a   Pigott, David M ^b   Brady, Oliver J ^a   Putaporntip, Chaturong ^c   Jongwutiwes, Somchai ^c   Lau, Yee Ling ^d   Manske, Magnus ^e,f   Amato, Roberto ^e,f,g   Elyazar, Iqbal R F ^h   Vythilingam, Indra ^d   Bhatt, Samir ^a,i   Gething, Peter W ^a   Singh, Balbir ^j   Golding, Nick ^a,k   Hay, Simon I ^a,b   Moyes, Catherine L ^a   more..

^a UNIVERSITY OF OXFORD   (United Kingdom)

^b UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON   (United States)

^c CHULALONGKORN UNIVERSITY   (Thailand)

^d UNIVERSITY OF MALAYA   (Malaysia)

^e WELLCOME TRUST SANGER INSTITUTE   (United Kingdom)

^f UNIVERSITY OF OXFORD   (United Kingdom)

^g UNIVERSITY OF OXFORD   (United Kingdom)

^h OXFORD UNIVERSITY CLINICAL RESEARCH UNIT   (Viet Nam)

ⁱ IMPERIAL COLLEGE LONDON   (United Kingdom)

^j UNIVERSITI MALAYSIA SARAWAK   (Malaysia)

^k UNIVERSITY OF MELBOURNE   (Australia)

more..

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

AREA UNDER THE CURVE; ARTICLE; DISEASE CARRIER; DISEASE ELIMINATION; DISEASE SURVEILLANCE; DISEASE TRANSMISSION; GEOGRAPHICAL VARIATION (SPECIES); HIGH RISK POPULATION; HUMAN; INFECTION RISK; NONHUMAN; PLASMODIUM KNOWLESI; PLASMODIUM KNOWLESI MALARIA; POLYMERASE CHAIN REACTION; POPULATION DENSITY; PREDICTIVE VALUE; PUBLIC HEALTH; RECEIVER OPERATING CHARACTERISTIC; ANIMAL; CAMBODIA; DISEASE ERADICATION; EPIDEMIOLOGICAL MONITORING; GEOGRAPHY; INCIDENCE; INDONESIA; LAOS; MACACA; MALARIA; MALAYSIA; MYANMAR; PARASITOLOGY; PHILIPPINES; PHYSIOLOGY; RISK FACTOR; SOUTHEAST ASIA; THAILAND; TRANSMISSION; VIET NAM; ZOONOSES;

ANIMALS; ASIA, SOUTHEASTERN; CAMBODIA; DISEASE ERADICATION; DISEASE RESERVOIRS; EPIDEMIOLOGICAL MONITORING; GEOGRAPHY; HUMANS; INCIDENCE; INDONESIA; LAOS; MACACA; MALARIA; MALAYSIA; MYANMAR; PHILIPPINES; PLASMODIUM KNOWLESI; RISK FACTORS; THAILAND; VIETNAM; ZOONOSES;

EID: 84988807873     PISSN: 19352727     EISSN: 19352735     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0004915     Document Type: Article

References (66)

1. William T, Rahman HA, Jelip J, Ibrahim MY, Menon J, Grigg MJ, et al. Increasing incidence of Plasmodium knowlesi malaria following control of P. falciparum and P. vivax malaria in Sabah, Malaysia. PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2013;7(1).
2. World Health OrganizationWorld Malaria Report 2014Geneva: World Health Organization; 2014. Available from: http://www.who.int/malaria/publications/world_malaria_report_2014/en/.
3. Barber BE, William T, Grigg MJ, Menon J, Auburn S, Marfurt J, et al. A prospective comparative study of knowlesi, falciparum, and vivax malaria in Sabah, Malaysia: High proportion with severe disease from Plasmodium knowlesi and Plasmodium vivax but no mortality with early referral and artesunate therapy. Clin Infect Dis. 2013;56(3):383–97. doi: 10.1093/cid/cis90223087389
4. Cox-Singh J, Davis TM, Lee KS, Shamsul SS, Matusop A, Ratnam S, et al. Plasmodium knowlesi malaria in humans is widely distributed and potentially life threatening. Clin Infect Dis. 2008;46(2):165–71. doi: 10.1086/52488818171245
5. Nakaviroj S, Kobasa T, Teeranaipong P, Putaporntip C, Jongwutiwes S, An autochthonous case of severe Plasmodium knowlesi malaria in Thailand. Am J Trop Med Hyg. 2015;92(3):569–72. doi: 10.4269/ajtmh.14-061025535314
6. Seilmaier M, Hartmann W, Beissner M, Fenzl T, Haller C, Guggemos W, et al. Severe Plasmodium knowlesi infection with multi-organ failure imported to Germany from Thailand/Myanmar. Malar J. 2014;13:422. doi: 10.1186/1475-2875-13-42225367021
7. Azidah AK, Faizal MMA, Lili HY, Zeehaida M, Severe Plasmodium knowlesi infection with multiorgan involvement in north east peninsular Malaysia. Trop Biomed. 2014;31(1):31–5. 24862042
8. Singh B, Daneshvar C, Human infections and detection of Plasmodium knowlesi. Clin Microbiol Rev. 2013;26(2):165–84. doi: 10.1128/CMR.00079-1223554413
9. Yusof R, Lau YL, Mahmud R, Fong MY, Jelip J, Ngian HU, et al. High proportion of knowlesi malaria in recent malaria cases in Malaysia. Malar J. 2014;13:168. doi: 10.1186/1475-2875-13-16824886266
10. Goh XT, Al Lim Y, Vythilingam I, Chew CH, Lee PC, Ngui R, et al. Increased detection of Plasmodium knowlesi in Sandakan division, Sabah as revealed by PlasmoNex (TM). Malar J. 2013;12:28.
11. Barber BE, William T, Grigg MJ, Yeo TW, Anstey NM, Limitations of microscopy to differentiate Plasmodium species in a region co-endemic for Plasmodium falciparum, Plasmodium vivax and Plasmodium knowlesi. Malar J. 2013;12.
12. Moyes CL, Henry AJ, Golding N, Huang Z, Singh B, Baird JK, et al. Defining the geographical range of the Plasmodium knowlesi reservoir. PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2014;8(3):e2780. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.000278024676231
13. Coutrier F, Cotter C, Tirta Y, Schwartz A, Zarlinda I, Basri H, et al. Serial molecular identification to confirm the presence of Plasmodium knowlesi in Indonesia. Poster session presented at: 64th Annual Meeting of The American Society for Tropical Medicine and Hygiene; 2015 Oct 25–29; Philadelphia, PA
14. Ng OT, Ooi EE, Lee CC, Lee PJ, Ng LC, Pei SW, et al. Naturally acquired human Plasmodium knowlesi infection, Singapore. Emerg Infect Dis. 2008;14(5):814. doi: 10.3201/eid1405.07086318439370
15. Cotter C, Sturrock HJW, Hsiang MS, Liu J, Phillips AA, Hwang J, et al. The changing epidemiology of malaria elimination: new strategies for new challenges. Lancet. 2013;382(9895):900–11. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(13)60310-423594387
16. Vythilingam I, Plasmodium knowlesi and Wuchereria bancrofti: their vectors and challenges for the future. Front Physiol. 2012;3:115. doi: 10.3389/fphys.2012.0011522557977
17. Bhatt S, Gething PW, Brady OJ, Messina JP, Farlow AW, Moyes CL, et al. The global distribution and burden of dengue. Nature. 2013;496(7446):504–7. doi: 10.1038/nature1206023563266
18. Pigott DM, Bhatt S, Golding N, Duda KA, Battle KE, Brady OJ, et al. Global distribution maps of the leishmaniases. eLife. 2014;3:e02851.
19. Pigott DM, Golding N, Mylne A, Huang Z, Henry AJ, Weiss DJ, et al. Mapping the zoonotic niche of Ebola virus disease in Africa. eLife. 2014;3:e04395. doi: 10.7554/eLife.0439525201877
20. Mylne AQ, Pigott DM, Longbottom J, Shearer F, Duda KA, Messina JP, et al. Mapping the zoonotic niche of Lassa fever in Africa. Trans R Soc Trop Med Hyg. 2015;109(8):483–92. doi: 10.1093/trstmh/trv04726085474
21. Pigott DM, Golding N, Mylne A, Huang Z, Weiss DJ, Brady OJ, et al. Mapping the zoonotic niche of Marburg virus disease in Africa. Trans R Soc Trop Med Hyg. 2015.
22. Messina JP, Pigott DM, Golding N, Duda KA, Brownstein JS, Weiss DJ, et al. The global distribution of Crimean-Congo hemorrhagic fever. Trans R Soc Trop Med Hyg. 2015;109(8):503–13. doi: 10.1093/trstmh/trv05026142451
23. Messina JP, Kraemer MUG, Brady OJ, Pigott DM, Shearer FM, Weiss DJ, et al. Mapping global environmental suitability for Zika virus. eLife. 2016;5:e15272. doi: 10.7554/eLife.1527227090089
24. Elith J, Graham CH, Anderson RP, Dudik M, Ferrier S, Guisan A, et al. Novel methods improve prediction of species' distributions from occurrence data. Ecography. 2006;29(2):129–51.
25. Reisen WK, Landscape epidemiology of vector-borne diseases. Annu Rev Entomol. 2010;55(1):461–83.
26. Moyes CL, Shearer FM, Huang Z, Wiebe A, Gibson HS, Nijman V, et al. Predicting the geographical distributions of the macaque hosts and mosquito vectors of Plasmodium knowlesi malaria in forested and non-forested areas. Parasit Vectors. 2016;9(1):242. doi: 10.1186/s13071-016-1527-027125995
27. Jongwutiwes S, Buppan P, Kosuvin R, Seethamchai S, Pattanawong U, Sirichaisinthop J, et al. Plasmodium knowlesi malaria in humans and macaques, Thailand. Emerg Infect Dis. 2011;17(10):1799–806. doi: 10.3201/eid1710.11034922000348
28. Lee KS, Divis PC, Zakaria SK, Matusop A, Julin RA, Conway DJ, et al. Plasmodium knowlesi: reservoir hosts and tracking the emergence in humans and macaques. PLoS Pathog. 2011;7(4):e1002015. doi: 10.1371/journal.ppat.100201521490952
29. Divis PCS, Singh B, Anderios F, Hisam S, Matusop A, Kocken CH, et al. Admixture in humans of two divergent Plasmodium knowlesi populations associated with different macaque host species. PLoS Path. 2015;11(5):e1004888.
30. Assefa S, Lim C, Preston MD, Duffy CW, Nair MB, Adroub SA, et al. Population genomic structure and adaptation in the zoonotic malaria parasite Plasmodium knowlesi. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA. 2015;112(42):13027–32. doi: 10.1073/pnas.150953411226438871
31. Faust C, Dobson AP, Primate malarias: diversity, distribution and insights for zoonotic Plasmodium. One Health. 2015;1:66–75.
32. Marchand RP, Culleton R, Maeno Y, Quang NT, Nakazawa S, Co-infections of Plasmodium knowlesi, P. falciparum, and P. vivax among humans and Anopheles dirus mosquitoes, Southern Vietnam. Emerg Infect Dis. 2011;17(7):1232–9. doi: 10.3201/eid1707.10155121762577
33. Jiram AI, Vythilingam I, NoorAzian YM, Yusof YM, Azahari AH, Fong M-Y, Entomologic investigation of Plasmodium knowlesi vectors in Kuala Lipis, Pahang, Malaysia. Malar J. 2012;11:213. 22727041
34. Wong M, Chua T, Leong C, Khaw LT, Fornace K, Wan-Sulaiman W-Y, et al. Seasonal and spatial dynamics of the primary vector of Plasmodium knowlesi within a major transmission focus in Sabah, Malaysia. PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2015;9(10):e0004135. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.000413526448052
35. Vythilingam I, Lim YAL, Venugopalan B, Ngui R, Leong CS, Wong ML, et al. Plasmodium knowlesi malaria an emerging public health problem in Hulu Selangor, Selangor, Malaysia (2009–2013): epidemiologic and entomologic analysis. Parasit Vectors. 2014;7:436. doi: 10.1186/1756-3305-7-43625223878
36. Phillips S, Dudik M, Elith J, Graham C, Lehmann A, Leathwick J, et al. Sample selection bias and presence-only distribution models: implications for background and pseudo-absence data. Ecol Appl. 2009;19:181–97. 19323182
37. World Health Organization. World Malaria Report 2012 Geneva: World Health Organization; 2012. Available from: http://www.who.int/malaria/publications/world_malaria_report_2012/en/.
38. Friedl MA, Sulla-Menashe D, Tan B, Schneider A, Ramankutty N, Sibley A, et al. MODIS Collection 5 global land cover: Algorithm refinements and characterization of new datasets. Remote Sens Environ. 2010;114(1):168–82.
39. Potapov P, Yaroshenko A, Turubanova S, Dubinin M, Laestadius L, Thies C, et al. Mapping the world's intact forest landscapes by remote sensing. Ecol Soc. 2008;13(2).
40. Farr TG, Rosen PA, Caro E, Crippen R, Duren R, Hensley S, The Shuttle Radar Topography Mission. Rev Geophys. 2007;45:RG2004.
41. Gething PW, Van Boeckel TP, Smith DL, Guerra CA, Patil AP, Snow RW, et al. Modelling the global constraints of temperature on transmission of Plasmodium falciparum and P. vivax. Parasit Vectors. 2011;4(1):1–11.
42. Lobser S, Cohen W, MODIS tasselled cap: land cover characteristics expressed through transformed MODIS data. Int J Remote Sens. 2007; 28:5079–101.
43. Weiss DJ, Atkinson PM, Bhatt S, Mappin B, Hay SI, Gething PW, An effective approach for gap-filling continental scale remotely sensed time-series. ISPRS J Photogram Remote Sens. 2014;98:106–18.
44. WorldPop. Gridded Population Distributions. 2015 [Accessed: July 2015]. Available from: http://www.worldpop.org.uk/data/summary/?contselect=Asia&countselect=Whole+Continent&typeselect=Population+2010.
45. Center for International Earth Science Information Network—CIESIN—Columbia University, United Nations Food + Agriculture Programme—FAO, Centro Internacional de Agricultura Tropical—CIAT. Gridded Population of the World, Version 4 (GPWv4): Population Count Grid. Palisades, NY: NASA Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC); 2005.
46. Joint Research Center Global Environmental Modelling Unit. Travel time to major cities: A global map of accessibility. Available from: http://bioval.jrc.ec.europa.eu/products/gam/sources.htm.
47. Ridgeway G with contributions from others (2015) gbm: generalized boosted regression models. R package version 2.1.1. Available from: http://CRAN.R-project.org/package=gbm.
48. Elith J, Leathwick JR, Hastie T, A working guide to boosted regression trees. J Anim Ecol. 2008;77(4):802–13. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2656.2008.01390.x18397250
49. Hansen MC, Potapov PV, Moore R, Hancher M, Turubanova SA, Tyukavina A, et al. High-resolution global maps of 21st-century forest cover change. Science. 2013;342(6160):850–3. doi: 10.1126/science.124469324233722
50. Fornace KM, Drakeley CJ, William T, Espino F, Cox J, Mapping infectious disease landscapes: unmanned aerial vehicles and epidemiology. Trends Parasitol. 2014;30(11):514–9. doi: 10.1016/j.pt.2014.09.00125443854
51. Barbet-Massin M, Jiguet F, Albert CH, Thuiller W, Selecting pseudo-absences for species distribution models: how, where and how many?Methods Ecol Evol. 2012;3(2):327–38.
52. Fleiss J, Levin B, Paik M, Statistical methods for rates and proportions. Hoboken, New Jersey: John Wiley & Sons; 2003.
53. Elith J, Leathwick JR, Species distribution models: ecological explanation and prediction across space and time. Annu Rev Ecol Evol Syst. 2009;40(1):677–97.
54. Elith J, Kearney M, Phillips S, The art of modelling range-shifting species. Methods Ecol Evol. 2010;1(4):330–42.
55. Hijmans RJ, Phillip S, Leathwick J, Elith J (2016) dismo: species distribution modeling. R package version 1.0–15. Available from: http://CRAN.R-project.org/package=dismo.
56. Hijmans RJ (2015) raster: geographic data analysis and modeling. R package version 2.5.2. Available from: http://CRAN.R-project.org/package=raster.
57. Newby G, Bennett A, Larson E, Cotter C, Shretta R, Phillips AA, et al. The path to eradication: a progress report on the malaria-eliminating countries. Lancet. 2016;387(10029):1775–84. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(16)00230-027116283
58. Zhu H, Li J, Zheng H, Human natural infection of Plasmodium knowlesi. Chin J Parasitol Parasit Dis. 2006;24(1):70.
59. Divis PCS, Singh B, Anderios F, Hisam S, Matusop A, Kocken CH, et al. Admixture in Humans of Two Divergent Plasmodium knowlesi Populations Associated with Different Macaque Host Species. PLoS Path. 2015;11(5).
60. Sulistyaningsih E, Fitri LE, Löscher T, Berens-Riha N, Diagnostic difficulties with Plasmodium knowlesi infection in humans. Emerg Infect Dis. 2010;16(6):1033. doi: 10.3201/eid1606.10002220507769
61. Hadi MS, Sumedi DP, Malaria Baru Dari Primata [New Primate Malaria]. Jakarta: Pusat Komunikasi Publik Setjen Kementerian Kesehatan Ri, 2013.
62. Vythilingam I, Noorazian YM, Huat TC, Jiram AI, Yusri YM, Azahari AH, et al. Plasmodium knowlesi in humans, macaques and mosquitoes in peninsular Malaysia. Parasit Vectors. 2008;1(1):26. doi: 10.1186/1756-3305-1-2618710577
63. Steenkeste N, Rogers WO, Okell L, Jeanne I, Incardona S, Duval L, et al. Sub-microscopic malaria cases and mixed malaria infection in a remote area of high malaria endemicity in Rattanakiri province, Cambodia: implication for malaria elimination. Malar J. 2010;9:108. doi: 10.1186/1475-2875-9-10820409349
64. Fornace KM, Nuin NA, Betson M, Grigg MJ, William T, Anstey NM, et al. Asymptomatic and submicroscopic carriage of Plasmodium knowlesi malaria in household and community members of clinical cases in Sabah, Malaysia. J Infect Dis. 2016;213(5):784–7. doi: 10.1093/infdis/jiv47526433222
65. Limmathurotsakul D, Golding N, Dance DAB, Messina JP, Pigott DM, Moyes CL, et al. Predicted global distribution of Burkholderia pseudomallei and burden of melioidosis. Nat Microbiol. 2016;1:15008. 26877885
66. Patching HMM, Hudson LM, Cooke W, Garcia AJ, Hay SI, Roberts M, et al. A supervised learning process to validate online disease reports for use in predictive models. Big Data. 2015;3(4):230–7. 26858916