Climate change in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region and implications for water resources project planning and management

International Journal of Climate Change Strategies and Management

Volumn 2, Issue 3, 2010, Pages 297-320

  Wasimi, Saleh A ^a  

^a CENTRAL QUEENSLAND UNIVERSITY   (Australia)

Author keywords

Global warming; Middle East; Natural resources; North Africa; Water supply

Indexed keywords

EID: 84986084387     PISSN: 17568692     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1108/17568691011063060     Document Type: Article

References (57)

1. Ali, A.B.M.S. and Wasimi, S.A. (2007), Data Mining: Methods and Techniques, Thomson, Melbourne, AU, p. 299 (Cenage).
2. Alkolibi, F.M. (2002), “Possible effects of global warming on agriculture and water resources in Saudi Arabia: impacts and responses”, Climate Change, Vol. 54, pp. 225-45.
3. Alpert, P., Krichak, S.O., Shafir, H., Haim, D. and Osetinsky, I. (2008), “Climatic trends to extremes employing regional modeling and statistical interpretation over the E. Mediterranean”, Global and Planetary Change, Vol. 63 Nos 2-3, pp. 163-70.
4. Ammann, C.M., Joos, F., Schimel, D.S., Otto-Bliesner, B.L. and Tomas, R.A. (2007), “Solar influence on climate during the past millennium: results from transient simulations with the NCAR climate system model”, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, Vol. 104 No. 10, pp. 3713-18.
5. Barnett, J. (2001), “Adapting to climate change in Pacific island countries: the problem of uncertainty”, World Development, Vol. 29 No. 6, pp. 977-93.
6. Bonetto, A.A., Castello, H.P. and Wais, I.R. (1987), “Stream regulation in Argentina, including the superior Parana and Paraguay rivers”, Regulated Rivers: Research and Management, Vol. 1, pp. 129-43.
7. Ceballos-Barbancho, A., Moran-Tejeda, E., Luengo-Ugidos, M.A. and Llorente-Pinto, J.M. (2008), “Water resources and environmental change in a Mediterranean environment: the southwest sector of the Duero river basin (Spain)”, Journal of Hydrology, Vol. 351 Nos 1-2, pp. 126-38.
8. Chakraborty, A., Behera, S.K., Mujumdar, M., Ohba, R. and Yamagata, T. (2006), “Diagnosis of tropospheric moisture over Saudi Arabia and influences of IOD and ENSO”, Monthly Weather Review, Vol. 134, pp. 598-617.
9. Chamaille-Jammes, S., Fritz, H. and Murindagomo, F. (2007), “Detecting climate changes of concern in highly variable environments: quantile regressions reveal that droughts worsen in Hwange national park Zimbabwe”, Journal of Arid Environments, Vol. 71, pp. 321-6.
10. Chapagain, A.K. and Hoekstra, A.Y. (2003), “Virtual water flows between nations in relation to trade in livestock and livestock products”, Value of Water Research Report Series No. 13, IHE, Delft, the Netherlands, IHE, Delft.
11. Cohen, S., Ianetz, A. and Stanhill, G. (2002), “Evaporative climate changes at Bet Dagan, Israel, 1964-1998”, Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, Vol. 111, pp. 83-91.
12. Conway, D. and Hulme, M. (1996), “The impacts of climate variability and future climate change in the Nile basin on water resources in Egypt”, Water Resources Development, Vol. 12 No. 3, pp. 277-96.
13. Cutter, S. (1996), “Vulnerability to environmental hazards”, Progress in Human Geography, Vol. 20 No. 4, p. 529.
14. Dai, A., Fung, I.Y. and Genio, A.D.D. (1997), “Surface observed global land precipitation variations during 1900-88”, Journal of Climate, Vol. 10, pp. 2943-62.
15. Douglas, B.C. (1997), “Global sea rise: a redetermination”, Surveys in Geophysics, Vol. 18, pp. 279-92.
16. Elagib, N.A. and Abdu, A.S.A. (1997), “Climate variability and aridity in Bahrain”, Journal of Arid Environments, Vol. 36, pp. 405-19.
17. Emanuel, K. (2008), “The hurricane-climate connection”, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Vol. 89 No. 5, pp. ES10-ES20.
18. Evans, J.P. (2009), “21st century climate change in the Middle East”, Climate Change, Vol. 92, pp. 417-32.
19. Evans, J.P. (2010), “Global warming impact on the dominant precipitation processes in the Middle East”, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, Vol. 99, pp. 389-402.
20. Freiwan, M. and Kadioglu, M. (2008), “Climate variability in Jordan”, International Journal of Climatology, Vol. 28, pp. 69-89.
21. Ghasemi, A.R. and Khalili, D. (2006), “The influence of the Artic Oscillation on winter temperatures in Iran”, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, Vol. 85, pp. 149-64.
22. Goudie, A.S. and Middleton, N.J. (2006), Desert Dust in the Global System, Springer, New York, NY.
23. Hamdi, M.R., Abu-Allaban, M., Al-Shayeb, A., Jaber, M. and Momani, N.M. (2009), “Climate change in Jordan: a comprehensive examination approach”, American Journal of Environmental Sciences, Vol. 5 No. 1, pp. 58-68.
24. Husain, T. and Chaudhary, J.F. (2008), “Human health risk assessment due to global warming – a case study of the Gulf countries”, International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, Vol. 5, pp. 204-12.
25. IPCC (2007), The Fourth Assessment Report, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, UNEP.
26. Karl, T.R. and Trenberth, K.E. (2003), “Modern global climate change”, Science, Vol. 302 No. 1719, p. 1723.
27. Khouri, J. (2003), “Sustainable development and management of water resources in the Arab region”, in Wood, W.W. and Alsharhan, A.S. (Eds), Water Resources Perspectives: Evaluation, Management and Policy, Elsevier Science, Amsterdam, pp. 199-220.
28. Kostopoulou, E. and Jones, P.D. (2005), “Assessment of climate extremes in the Eastern Mediterranean”, Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics, Vol. 89, pp. 69-85.
29. Lind, R.C. (1997), “Intertemporal equity, discounting, and economic efficiency in water policy evaluation”, Climatic Change, Vol. 37, pp. 41-62.
30. McBean, E. and Motiee, H. (2008), “Assessment of impact of climate change on water resources: a long term analysis of the Great Lakes of North America”, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, Vol. 12, pp. 239-55.
31. Matondo, J.I., Graciana, P. and Msibi, K.M. (2004), “Evaluation of the impact of climate change on hydrology and water resources in Swaziland: Part I”, Physics and Chemistry of the Earth, Vol. 29, pp. 1181-91.
32. Miller, I. and Miller, M. (1999), John E. Freund's Mathematical Statistics, 6th ed., Prentice-Hall, Englewood Cliffs, NJ.
33. Nasrallah, H.A. and Balling, R.C. (1995), “Impact of desertification on temperature trends in the Middle East”, Environmental Monitoring and Assessment, Vol. 37, pp. 265-71.
34. Onol, B. and Semazzi, F.H.M. (2009), “Regionalization of climate change simulations over the eastern Mediterranean”, Journal of Climate, Vol. 22 No. 8, pp. 1944-57.
35. Parry, M.L., Canziani, O.F., Palutikof, J.P., van der Linden, P.J. and Hanson, C.E. (2007), Technical Summary, Climate Change: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability, Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of IPCC.
36. Pfister, C., Brazdil, R., Glaser, R., Barriendos, M., Camuffo, D., Deutsh, M., Enzi, S., Guidoboni, E. and Rodrigo, F.S. (1999), “Documentary evidence on climate in sixteenth-century Europe”, Climate Change, Vol. 43 No. 1, pp. 55-110.
37. Rahimzadeh, F., Asgari, A. and Fattahi, E. (2009), “Variability of extreme temperature and precipitation in Iran during recent decades”, International Journal of Climatology, Vol. 29, pp. 329-43.
38. Rahmstorf, S. (2007), “A semi-empirical approach to projecting future sea-level rise”, Science, Vol. 315, pp. 368-70.
39. Raleigh, C. and Urdal, H. (2007), “Climate change, environmental degradation and armed conflict”, Political Geography, Vol. 26, pp. 674-94.
40. Ramanathan, V. and Feng, Y. (2009), “Air pollution, greenhouse gases and climate change: global and regional perspectives”, Atmospheric Environment, Vol. 43, pp. 37-50.
41. Rosenzweig, C. and Tubiello, F.N. (1997), “Impacts of global climate change on Mediterranean agriculture: current methodologies and future directions”, Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Vol. 1, pp. 219-32.
42. Samra Plant Company (2008), “Energy captured at wastewater plant”, Water Engineering Australia, Vol. 2 No. 8, p. 12 (News).
43. Singh, O.P., Khan, T.M.A. and Rahman, M.S. (2001), “Has the frequency of intense tropical cyclones increased in the north Indian Ocean?”, Current Science, Vol. 80 No. 4, pp. 575-80.
44. Somot, S., Sevault, F., Deque, M. and Crepon, M. (2008), “21st century climate change scenario for the Mediterranean using a coupled atmosphere-ocean regional climate model”, Global and Planetary Change, Vol. 63 Nos 2-3, pp. 112-16.
45. Tao, F., Hayashi, Y., Zhang, Z., Sakamoto, T. and Yokozawa, M. (2008), “Global warming, rice production, and water use in China: Developing a probabilistic assessment”, Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, Vol. 148, pp. 94-110.
46. Turkes, M. and Erlat, E. (2005), “Climatological responses of winter precipitation in Turkey to variability of the North Atlantic Oscillation during the period 1930-2001”, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, Vol. 81, pp. 45-69.
47. UNESCO (2006), “The United Nations World Water Development Report 2, Section 2”, Changing Natural System, Ch. 4, UNESCO, Paris, p. 132.
48. UNESCO-IHP (2005), Non-Renewable Groundwater Resources: A Guidebook on Socially-Sustainable Management for Water Policy Makers, UNESCO and International Hydrological Programme, Paris.
49. USAID (2005), Recent Drought Tendencies in Ethiopia and Equatorial-Subtropical Eastern Africa, Number 01/2005, FEWS NET.
50. Wang, B. and Yang, H. (2008), “Hydrological issues in lateral boundary conditions for regional climate modelling: simulation of east Asian summer monsoon in 1998”, Climate Dynamics, Vol. 31 No. 4, pp. 477-90.
51. Wasimi, S.A. (2006), “Path analysis technique for strategic irrigation management under adverse climatic conditions”, Paper presented at the International Symposium on Drylands Ecology and Human Security (ISDEHS), Dubai, 4-7 December 2006, available at: www.isdehs.com/.
52. Wasimi, S.A. (2009), “Statistical forecasting of tropical cyclones for Bangladesh”, in Charabi, Y. (Ed.), Indian Ocean Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change, Ch. 17, Springer, Dordrecht.
53. Webster, P.J., Holland, G.J., Curry, J.A. and Chang, H.-R. (2005), “Changes in tropical cyclone number, duration, and intensity in a warming environment”, Science, Vol. 309, pp. 1844-6.
54. (The) World Bank (2007), “Making the most of scarcity: accountability for better water management in the Middle East and North Africa”, MENA Development Report, The World Bank, Washington, DC.
55. Xu, Z.X., Takeuchi, K., Ishidaira, H. and Li, J.Y. (2005), “Long-term trend analysis for precipitation in Asian Pacific FRIEND river basins”, Hydrological Processes, Vol. 19, pp. 3517-32.
56. Yang, Y.J. and Goodrich, J.A. (2008), “Timing and prediction of climate change and hydrological impacts: periodicity in natural variations”, Environmental Geology, pp. 1-14.
57. Zhang, X., Aguilar, E., Sensoy, S., Melkonyan, H., Tagiyeva, U. and Ahmed, N. (2005), “Trends in Middle East climate extreme indices from 1950 to 2003”, Journal of Geophysical Research, Vol. 110, D22104.