Modeling the evolution of the Juneau Icefield between 1971 and 2100 using the Parallel Ice Sheet Model (PISM)

Journal of Glaciology

Volumn 62, Issue 231, 2016, Pages 199-214

  Ziemen, Florian A ^a   Hock, Regine ^a   Aschwanden, Andy ^a   Khroulev, Constantine ^a   Kienholz, Christian ^a   Melkonian, Andrew ^b   Zhang, Jing ^c  

^a UNIVERSITY OF ALASKA FAIRBANKS   (United States)

^b Institute for the Study of the Continents   (United States)

^c NORTH CAROLINA A AND T STATE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

Author keywords

Alaska; Climate downscaling; Glacier; Ice sheet modeling; Juneau Icefield; Mass balance

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE MODELING; DOWNSCALING; GLACIER MASS BALANCE; ICE FIELD; ICE SHEET; MODELING;

ALASKA; JUNEAU ICEFIELD; UNITED STATES;

EID: 84979673382     PISSN: 00221430     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1017/jog.2016.13     Document Type: Article

References (58)

1. Abe-Ouchi A, Segawa T and Saito F (2007) Climatic Conditions for modelling the Northern Hemisphere ice sheets throughout the iceage cycle. Clim. Past, 3(3), 423-438 (doi: 10.5194/cp-3-423-2007)
2. Arendt A and 6 others (2013) Analysis of a GRACE global mascon solution for Gulf of Alaska glaciers. J. Glaciol., 59(217), 913-924 (doi: 10.3189/2013JoG12J197)
3. Arendt AA, Echelmeyer KA, Harrison WD, Lingle CS and Valentine VB (2002) Rapid wastage of Alaska glaciers and their contribution to rising sea level. Science, 297(5580), 382-386 (doi: 10.1126/science.1072497)
4. Aschwanden A, Bueler E, Khroulev C and Blatter H (2012) An enthalpy formulation for glaciers and ice sheets. J. Glaciol., 58 (209), 441-457 (doi: 10.3189/2012JoG11J088)
5. Aschwanden A, Aoalgeirsdóttir G and Khroulev C (2013) Hindcasting to measure ice sheet model sensitivity to initial states. Cryosphere, 7, 1083-1093 (doi: 10.5194/tc-7-1083-2013)
6. Aoalgeirsdóttir G, Gudmundsson GH and Björnsson H (2003) A regression model for the mass-balance distribution of the Vatnajökull ice cap. Iceland. Ann. Glaciol., 37(1)189-193. ISSN 02603055 (doi: 10.3189/172756403781815447)
7. Berthier E, Schiefer E, Clarke GKC, Menounos B and Rémy F (2010) Contribution of Alaskan glaciers to sea-level rise derived from satellite imagery. Nat. Geosci., 3(2)92-95. ISSN 1752-0894 (doi: 10.1038/ngeo737)
8. Bodvarsson G (1955) On the flow of ice sheets and glaciers. Jökull, 5, 1-8
9. Boyce ES, Motyka R and Truffer M (2007) Flotation and retreat of a lake-calving terminus, Mendenhall Glacier, southeast Alaska, USA. J. Glaciol., 53(181), 211-224 (doi: 10.3189/172756507782202928)
10. Bueler E and Brown J (2009) The shallow shelf approximation as a "sliding law" in a thermomechanically coupled ice sheet model. J. Geophys. Res., 114(F3), 1-21 (doi: 10.1029/2008JF001179)
11. Calov R and Greve R (2005) A semi-analytical solution for the positive degree-day model with stochastic temperature variations. J. Glaciol., 51, 173-175
12. Cogley J and 10 others (2011) Glossary of Glacier Mass Balance and related terms, Tech. rep., UNESCO-IHP, Paris, IHP-VII technical documents in Hydrology No. 86, IACS Contribution No. 2
13. Daly C, Gibson WP, Taylor GH, Johnson GL and Pasteris P (2002) A knowledge-based approach to the statistical mapping of climate. Clim. res., 22(2)99-113 ISSN 0936-577X
14. Gardner AS and 13 others (2013) A reconciled estimate of glacier 2003 to 2009. Science, 11 (May), 852-857 (doi: 10.1126/science.1234532)
15. Gent PR and 9 others (2011) The community climate system model version 4. J. Clim., 24(19)4973-4991. ISSN 0894-8755 (doi: 10.1175/2011JCLI4083.1)
16. Golledge NR and 9 others (2012) Last glacial maximum climate in New Zealand inferred from a modelled Southern Alps icefield. Quat. Sci. Rev., 46, 30-45 (doi: 10.1016/j.quascirev.2012.05.004)
17. Greve R and Blatter H (2009) Dynamics of Ice Sheets and Glaciers. Dordrecht [u.a.]: Springer, 287.
18. Habermann M, Truffer M and Maxwell D (2013) Changing basal conditions during the speed-up of Jakobshavn Isbræ, Greenland. Cryosphere, 7(6), 1679-1692 (doi: 10.5194/tc-7-1679-2013)
19. Harris I, Jones PD, Osborn TJ and Lister DH (2014) Updated high-resolution grids of monthly climatic observations - the CRU TS3.10 Dataset. Int. J. Clim., 34(3)623-642. ISSN 1097-0088 (doi: 10.1002/joc.3711)
20. Harrison W, Elsberg DH, Echelmeyer KA and Krimmel RM (2001) On the characterization of glacier response by a single time-scale. J. Glaciol., 47(159), 659-664 (doi: 10.3189/172756501781831837)
21. Heusser CJ and Marcus MG (1964) Historical variations of Lemon Creek Glacier, Alaska, and their relationship to the climatic record. J. Glaciol., 5(37), 77-86
22. Hock R (2003) Temperature index melt modelling in mountain areas. J. Hydrol., 282(1-4)104-115. ISSN 0022-1694 (doi: DOI: 10.1016/S0022-1694(03)00257-9)
23. Huss M and Farinotti D (2012) Distributed ice thickness and volume of all glaciers around the globe. J. Geophys. Res., 117(F4), F04010 (doi: 10.1029/2012JF002523)
24. Hutter K (1983) Theoretical Glaciology. D. Reidel Publishing Company, Dordrecht/Boston/Lancester, 510
25. Jeuken ABM, Siegmund PC, Heijboer LC, Feichter J and Bengtsson L (1996) On the potential of assimilating meteorological analyses in a global climate model for the purpose of model validation. J. Geophys. Res., 101(D12), 16939. ISSN 0148-0227 (doi: 10.1029/96JD01218)
26. Khroulev C and the PISM Authors (2014) PISM, a Parallel Ice Sheet Model. Retrieved from http://www.pism-docs.org (this is a user manual / technical report)
27. Kienholz C and 5 others (2015) Derivation and analysis of a complete modern-date glacier inventory for Alaska and northwest Canada. J. Glaciol., 61(227)403-420. ISSN 00221430 (doi: 10.3189/2015JoG14J230)
28. Kuriger EM, Truffer M, Motyka RJ and Bucki AK (2006) Episodic reactivation of large-scale push moraines in front of the advancing Taku Glacier. Alaska, J. Geophys. Res., 111(F1), F01009. ISSN 0148-0227 (doi: 10.1029/2005JF000385)
29. Larsen CF, Motyka RJ, Arendt AA, Echelmeyer KA and Geissler PE (2007) Glacier changes in southeast Alaska and northwest British Columbia and contribution to sea level rise. J. Geophys. Res., 112(F1), F01007. ISSN 0148-0227 (doi: 10.1029/2006JF000586)
30. Lawrence DB (1950) Glacier fluctuation for six centuries in southeastern Alaska and its relation to solar activity. Geogr. Rev., 191-223. ISSN 0016-7428
31. Leysinger Vieli GJ-MC and Gudmundsson GH (2004) On estimating length fluctuations of glaciers caused by changes in climatic forcing. J. Geophys. Res., 109(F1), 1-14 (doi: 10.1029/2003JF000027)
32. Liu F, Krieger JR and Zhang J (2013) Toward producing the chukchi - beaufort high-resolution atmospheric reanalysis (CBHAR) via the WRFDA data assimilation system. Mon. Weather Rev., 142 (2)788-805. ISSN 0027-0644 (doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-13-00063.1)
33. Marsiat I (1994) Simulation of the northern hemisphere continental ice sheets over the last glacial-interglacial cycle: experiments with a latitude-longitude vertically integrated ice sheet model coupled to a zonally averaged climate model. Paleoclim. Data Modell., 1(1)59-98. ISSN 1063-7176
34. Martin MA and 5 others (2011) The potsdam parallel ice sheet model (PISM-PIK) - Part 2: dynamic equilibrium simulation of the Antarctic ice sheet. Cryosphere, 5(3), 727-740 (doi: 10.5194/tc-5-727-2011)
35. Marzeion B, Jarosch AH and Hofer M (2012) Past and future sea-level change from the surface mass balance of glaciers. Cryosphere, 6(6), 1295-1322 (doi: 10.5194/tc-6-1295-2012)
36. McGee S and 7 others (2007) Surface velocity changes on the Taku Glacier System - 1993 to 2007, Tech. rep., Juneau Icefield Research Program, Seattle, Washington.
37. Meier MF and Post A (1987) Fast tidewater glaciers. J. Geophys. Res., 92(B9), 9051-9058. ISSN 2156-2202 (doi: 10.1029/JB092iB09p09051)
38. Melkonian AK, Willis MJ and Pritchard ME (2014) Satellite-derived volume loss rates and glacier speeds for the Juneau Icefield, Alaska. J. Glaciol., 60(222), 743-760 (doi: 10.3189/2014JoG13J181)
39. Molnia BF (2007) Late nineteenth to early twenty-first century behavior of Alaskan glaciers as indicators of changing regional climate. Glob. Planet. Change, 56(1)23-56. ISSN 0921-8181
40. Morland LW (1987) Unconfined ice-shelf flow. In van der Veen CJ and J Oerlemans eds. Dynamics of the West Antarctic ice sheet. D. Reidel Publishing Company, Dordrecht, 99-116
41. Motyka RJ and Begét JE (1996) Taku Glacier, southeast Alaska, USA: Late Holocene history of a tidewater glacier. Arctic Alpine Res., 28(1), 42-51
42. Motyka RJ and Echelmeyer KA (2003) Taku Glacier (Alaska, USA) on the move again: active deformation of proglacial sediments. J. Glaciol., 49(164), 50-58
43. Nolan M, Echelmeyer KA, Motyka R and Trabant DC (1995) Ice-thickness measurements of Taku Glacier, Alaska, U.S.A., and their relevance to its recent behavior. J. Glaciol., 41(139), 541-553
44. Paterson W and Budd W (1982) Flow parameters for ice sheet modeling. Cold Reg. Sci. Technol., 6(2)175-177. ISSN 0165232X (doi: 10.1016/0165-232X(82)90010-6)
45. Pelto MS and Miller MM (1990) Mass balance of the Taku Glacier, Alaska from 1946 to 1986. Northwest Sci., 64(3), 121-130
46. Pelto M, Kavanaugh J and McNeil C (2013) Juneau Icefield mass balance program 1946-2011. Earth. Syst. Sci. Data, 5(2), 319-330 (doi: 10.5194/essd-5-319-2013)
47. Radić V and 5 others (2013) Regional and global projections of twenty-first century glacier mass changes in response to climate scenarios from global climate models. Clim. Dyn., 42(2011), 37-58 (doi: 10.1007/s00382-013-1719-7)
48. Ramage JM, Isacks BL and Miller MM (2000) Radar glacier zones in southeast Alaska, U.S.A.: field and satellite observations.
49. Roe GH (2003) Orographic precipitation and the relief of mountain ranges. J. Geophys. Res., 108(B6), 2315. ISSN 0148-0227 (doi: 10.1029/2001JB001521)
50. Seguinot J, Khroulev C, Rogozhina I, Stroeven AP and Zhang Q (2014) The effect of climate forcing on numerical simulations of the Cordilleran ice sheet at the Last Glacial Maximum. Cryosphere, 8(3)1087-1103. ISSN 1994-0424 (doi: 10.5194/tc-8-1087-2014)
51. Skamarock WC and 8 others (2008) A Description of the advanced research WRF Version 3, Tech. rep., NCAR Technical Notes, Boulder, Colorado, USA
52. Smith RB, Barstad I (2004) A linear theory of orographic precipitation. J. Atmos. Sci., 61(12)1377-1391. ISSN 0022-4928 (doi: 10.1175/1520-0469(2004)061〈1377:ALTOOP〉2.0.CO;2)
53. Truessel B and 5 others (2015) Run-away thinning of the low elevation Yakutat Glacier and its sensitivity to climate change. J. Glaciol., 61, 65-75 (doi: 10.3189/2015JoG14J125)
54. Truffer M, Motyka RJ, Hekkers M, Howat IM and King MA (2009) Terminus dynamics at an advancing glacier: Taku Glacier, Alaska. J. Glaciol., 55, 1052-1060 (doi: 10.3189/002214309790794887)
55. van Pelt WJJ and 6 others (2013) An iterative inverse method to estimate basal topography and initialize ice flow models. Cryosphere, 7(3), 987-1006 (doi: 10.5194/tc-7-987-2013)
56. Zhang J, Bhatt US, Tangborn WV and Lingle CS (2007) Response of glaciers in northwestern North America to future climate change: an atmosphere/glacier hierarchical modeling approach. Ann. Glaciol., 46(1)283-290. ISSN 0260-3055
57. Zhang X and 9 others (2013) Beaufort and Chukchi Seas Mesoscale Meteorology Modeling Study, Final Report, Tech. rep., U.S. Dept. of the Interior, Bureau of Ocean Energy Management. URL http://www.data.boem.gov/PI/PDFImages/ESPIS/5/5301.pdf
58. Ziemen FA, Rodehacke CB and Mikolajewicz U (2014) Coupled ice sheet-climate modeling under glacial and pre-industrial boundary conditions. Clim. Past, 10(5)1817-1836. ISSN 1814-9332 (doi: 10.5194/cp-10-1817-2014)