Dynamical link between the Barents-Kara sea ice and the arctic oscillation

Journal of Climate

Volumn 29, Issue 14, 2016, Pages 5103-5122

  Yang, Xiao Yi ^a   Yuan, Xiaojun ^b   Ting, Mingfang ^b  

^a XIAMEN UNIVERSITY   (China)

^b International Research Institute for Climate and Society   (United States)

Author keywords

Arctic oscillation; Atmosphere ocean interaction; Circulation dynamics; Interannual variability; Stationary waves; Trends; Variability

Indexed keywords

ATMOSPHERIC PRESSURE; ATMOSPHERIC THERMODYNAMICS; CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATOLOGY; HEAT FLUX; METEOROLOGY; SEA ICE;

ARCTIC OSCILLATION; ATMOSPHERE-OCEAN INTERACTIONS; INTERANNUAL VARIABILITY; STATIONARY WAVES; TRENDS; VARIABILITY;

ICE;

AIR-SEA INTERACTION; ANNUAL VARIATION; ARCTIC OSCILLATION; ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION; CLIMATE CHANGE; NORTH ATLANTIC OSCILLATION; SEA ICE; STANDING WAVE; TREND ANALYSIS;

ARCTIC OCEAN; BARENTS SEA; KARA SEA;

EID: 84977542694     PISSN: 08948755     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0669.1     Document Type: Article

References (75)

1. Alexander, M. A., U. S. Bhatt, J. E. Walsh, M. S. Timlin, J. S. Miller, and J. D. Scott, 2004: The atmospheric response to realistic Arctic sea ice anomalies in an AGCM during winter. J. Climate, 17, 890-905, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(2004)017<0890: TARTRA>2.0.CO;2.
2. Ambaum, M. H. P., B. J. Hoskins, and D. B. Sephenson, 2001: Arctic Oscillation or North Atlantic Oscillation? J. Climate, 14, 3495-3507, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(2001)014<3495: AOONAO>2.0.CO;2.
3. Andreas, E. L, 1980: Estimation of heat and mass fluxes over Arctic leads. Mon. Wea. Rev., 108, 2057-2063, doi:10.1175/1520-0493(1980)108<2057:EOHAMF>2.0.CO;2.
4. Årthun, M., R. B. Ingvaldsen, L. H. Smedsrud, and C. Schrum, 2011: Dense water formation and circulation in the Barents Sea. Deep-Sea Res. I, 58, 801-817, doi:10.1016/j.dsr.2011.06.001.
5. Årthun, M., T. Eldevik, L. H. Smedsrud, Ø. Skagseth, and R. B. Ingvaldsen, 2012: Quantifying the influence of Atlantic heat on Barents Sea ice variability and retreat. J. Climate, 25, 4736-4743, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00466.1.
6. Bader, J., M. D. S. Mesquita, K. I. Hodges, N. Keenlyside, S. Østerhus, and M. Miles, 2011: A review on Northern Hemisphere sea-ice, storminess and the North Atlantic Oscillation: Observations and projected changes. Atmos. Res., 101, 809-834, doi:10.1016/j.atmosres.2011.04.007.
7. Baldwin, M. P., and T. J. Dunkerton, 2001: Stratospheric harbingers of anomalous weather regimes. Science, 294, 581-584, doi:10.1126/science.1063315.
8. Barnes, E. A., 2013: Revisiting the evidence linking Arctic amplification to extreme weather in midlatitudes. Geophys. Res. Lett., 40, 4728-4733, doi:10.1002/grl.50880.
9. Bretherton, C. S., M. Widmann, V. P. Dynmikov, J. M. Wallace, and I. Bladé, 1999: The effective number of spatial degrees of freedom of a time-varying field. J. Climate, 12, 1990-2009, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(1999)012<1990:TENOSD>2.0.CO;2.
10. Budikova, D., 2009: Role of Arctic sea ice in global atmospheric circulation: A review. Global Planet. Change, 68, 149-163, doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2009.04.001.
11. Cattiaux, J., and C. Cassou, 2013: Opposite CMIP3/CMIP5 trends in the wintertime Northern Annular Mode explained by combined local sea ice and remote tropical influences. Geophys. Res. Lett., 40, 3682-3687, doi:10.1002/grl.50643.
12. Cavalieri, D. J., C. L. Parkinson, P. Gloersen, and H. J. Zwally, 2013: Sea ice concentrations from Nimbus-7 SMMR and DMSP SSM/I-SSMIS passive microwave data, version 1. National Snow and Ice Data Center, accessed March 2014. [Available online at http://nsidc.org/data/nsidc-0051.html.].
13. Cohen, J., M. Barlow, P. J. Kushner, and K. Saito, 2007: Stratosphere-troposphere coupling and links with Eurasian land surface variability. J. Climate, 20, 5335-5343, doi:10.1175/2007JCLI1725.1.
14. Cohen, J., and Coauthors, 2014a: Recent Arctic amplification and extreme mid-latitude weather. Nat. Geosci., 7, 627-637, doi:10.1038/ngeo2234.
15. Cohen, J., J. C. Furtado, J. Jones, M. Barlow, D. Whittleston, and D. Entekhabi, 2014b: Linking Siberian snow cover to precursors of stratospheric variability. J. Climate, 27, 5422-5432, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00779.1.
16. Comiso, J. C., C. L. Parkinson, R. Gersten, and L. Stock, 2008: Accelerated decline in the Arctic sea ice cover. Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L01703, doi:10.1029/2007GL031972.
17. Dee, D. P., and Coauthors, 2011: The ERA-Interim reanalysis: Configuration and performance of the data assimilation system. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 137, 553-597, doi:10.1002/qj.828.
18. Deser, C., G. Magnusdottir, R. Saravanan, and A. Phillps, 2004: The effects of North Atlantic SST and sea ice anomalies on the winter circulation in CCM3. Part II: Direct and indirect components of the response. J. Climate, 17, 877-889, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(2004)017<0877:TEONAS>2.0.CO;2.
19. Deser, C., R. Tomas, and S. Peng, 2007: The transient atmospheric circulation response to North Atlantic SST and sea ice anomalies. J. Climate, 20, 4751-4767, doi:10.1175/JCLI4278.1.
20. Deser, C., R. Tomas, M. Alexander, and D. Lawrence, 2010: The seasonal atmospheric response to projected Arctic sea ice loss in the late twenty-first century. J. Climate, 23, 333-351, doi:10.1175/2009JCLI3053.1.
21. Dethloff, K., and Coauthors, 2006: A dynamical link between the Arctic and the global climate system. Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L03703, doi:10.1029/2005GL025245.
22. Ding, Q., J. M. Wallace, D. S. Battisti, E. J. Steig, A. J. E. Gallant, H.-J. Kim, and L. Geng, 2014: Tropical forcing of the recent rapid Arctic warming in northeastern Canada and Greenland. Nature, 509, 209-212, doi:10.1038/nature13260.
23. Francis, J. A., and E. Hunter, 2007: Drivers of declining sea ice in the Arctic winter: A tale of two seas. Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L17503, doi:10.1029/2007GL030995.
24. Francis, J. A., and S. J. Vavrus, 2012: Evidence linking Arctic amplification to extreme weather in mid-latitudes. Geophys. Res. Lett., 39, L06801, doi:10.1029/2012GL051000.
25. Francis, J. A., W. Chan, D. J. Leathers, J. R. Miller, and D. E. Veron, 2009: Winter Northern Hemisphere weather patterns remember summer Arctic sea-ice extent. Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L07503, doi:10.1029/2009GL037274.
26. Holton, J. R., and G. J. Hakim, 2013: Middle atmosphere dynamics. An Introduction to Dynamic Meteorology, 5th ed. International Geophysics Series, Vol. 88, Academic Press, 407-447.
27. Honda, M., J. Inoue, and S. Yamane, 2009: Influence of low Arctic sea-ice minima on anomalously cold Eurasian winters. Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L08707, doi:10.1029/2008GL037079.
28. Inoue, J., M. E. Hori, and K. Takaya, 2012: The role of Barents Sea ice in the wintertime cyclone track and emergence of a warm-Arctic cold-Siberian anomaly. J. Climate, 25, 2561-2568, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00449.1.
29. Jaiser, R., K. Dethloff, D. Handorf, A. Rinke, and J. Cohen, 2012: Impact of sea ice cover changes on the Northern Hemisphere atmospheric winter circulation. Tellus, 64A, 11 595, doi:10.3402/tellusa.v64i0.11595.
30. Kim, B.-M., S.-W. Son, S.-K. Min, J.-H. Jeong, S.-J. Kim, X. Zhang, T. Shim, and J.-H. Yoon, 2014: Weakening of the stratospheric polar vortex by Arctic sea-ice loss. Nature, 5, 4646, doi:10.1038/ncomms5646.
31. Koenigk, T., and L. Brodeau, 2014: Ocean heat transport into the Arctic in the twentieth and twenty-first century in EC-Earth. Climate Dyn., 42, 3101-3120, doi:10.1007/s00382-013-1821-x.
32. Koenigk, T., U. Mikolajewicz, J. H. Jungclaus, and A. Kroll, 2009: Sea ice in the Barents Sea: Seasonal to interannual variability and climate feedbacks in a global coupled model. Climate Dyn., 32, 1119-1138, doi:10.1007/s00382-008-0450-2.
33. Koenigk, T., M. Caian, G. Nikulin, and S. Schimanke, 2015: Regional Arctic sea ice variations as predictor for winter climate conditions. Climate Dyn., 46, 317-337, doi:10.1007/s00382-015-2586-1.
34. Liptak, J., and C. Strong, 2014: The winter atmospheric response to sea ice anomalies in the Barents Sea. J. Climate, 27, 914-924, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00186.1.
35. Magnusdottir, G., C. Deser, and R. Saravanan, 2004: The effect of North Atlantic SST and sea ice anomalies on the winter circulation in CCM3. Part I: Main features and storm track characteristics of the response. J. Climate, 17, 857-876, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(2004)017<0857:TEONAS>2.0.CO;2.
36. Massonnet, F., T. Fichefet, H. Goosse, C. M. Bitz, G. Philippon-Berthier, M. M. Holland, and P.-Y. Barriat, 2012: Constraining projections of summer Arctic sea ice. Cryosphere, 6, 1383-1394, doi:10.5194/tc-6-1383-2012.
37. Mori, M., M. Watanabe, H. Shiogama, J. Inoue, and M. Kimoto, 2014: Robust Arctic sea-ice influence on the frequent Eurasian cold winters in past decades. Nat. Geosci., 7, 869-873, doi:10.1038/ngeo2277.
38. Murray, R. J., and I. Simmonds, 1995: Response of climate and cyclones to reductions in Arctic winter sea ice. J. Geophys. Res., 100, 4791-4806, doi:10.1029/94JC02206.
39. Orsolini, Y. J., R. Senan, R. E. Benestad, and A. Melsom, 2012: Autumn atmospheric response to the 2007 low Arctic sea ice extent in coupled ocean-atmosphere hindcasts. Climate Dyn., 38, 2437-2448, doi:10.1007/s00382-011-1169-z.
40. Overland, J. E., and M. Wang, 2005: The Arctic climate paradox: The recent decrease of the Arctic Oscillation. Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L06701, doi:10.1029/2004GL021752.
41. Overland, J. E., and M. Wang, 2010: Large-scale atmospheric circulation changes are associated with the recent loss of Arctic sea ice. Tellus, 62A, 1-9, doi:10.1111/j.1600-0870.2009.00421.x.
42. Overland, J. E., K. R. Wood, and M. Wang, 2011: Warm Arctic-cold continents: Climate impacts of the newly open Arctic Sea. Polar Res., 30, 15 787, doi:10.3402/polar.v30i0.15787.
43. Peings, Y., and G. Magnusdottir, 2014: Response of the wintertime Northern Hemisphere atmosphere circulation to current and projectedArctic sea ice decline:Anumerical study with CAM5. J. Climate, 27, 244-264, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00272.1.
44. Petoukhov, V., and V. A. Semenov, 2010: A link between reduced Barents-Kara Sea ice and cold winter extremes over northern continents. J. Geophys. Res., 115, D21111, doi:10.1029/2009JD013568.
45. Polvani, L.M., andD. W.Waugh, 2004:Upward wave activity flux as a precursor to extreme stratospheric events and subsequent anomalous surface weather regimes. J. Climate, 17, 3548-3554, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(2004)017<3548:UWAFAA>2.0.CO;2.
46. Polyakov, I. V., and Coauthors, 2003: Long-term ice variability in Arctic marginal seas. J. Climate, 16, 2078-2085, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(2003)016<2078:LIVIAM>2.0.CO;2.
47. Polyakov, I. V., and Coauthors, 2004: Variability of the intermediate Atlantic water of the Arctic Ocean over the last 100 years. J. Climate, 17, 4485-4497, doi:10.1175/JCLI-3224.1.
48. Rigor, I. G., J. M. Wallace, and R. L. Colony, 2002: Response of sea ice to the Arctic Oscillation. J. Climate, 15, 2648-2663, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(2002)015<2648:ROSITT>2.0.CO;2.
49. Santer, B. D., T. M. L. Wigley, J. S. Boyle, D. J. Gaffen, J. Hnilo, D. Nychka, D. E. Parker, and K. E. Taylor, 2000: Statistical significance of trends and trend differences in layer-average atmospheric temperature time series. J. Geophys. Res., 105, 7337-7356, doi:10.1029/1999JD901105.
50. Sato, K., J. Inoue, and M. Watanabe, 2014: Influence of the Gulf Stream on the Barents Sea ice retreat and Eurasian coldness during early winter. Environ. Res. Lett., 9, 084009, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/9/8/084009.
51. Schauer, U., H. Loeng, B.Rudels, V.K.Ozhigin, andW.Dieck, 2002: Atlantic water flow through the Barents and Kara Seas. Deep-Sea Res. I, 49, 2281-2298, doi:10.1016/S0967-0637(02)00125-5.
52. Screen, J. A., and I. Simmonds, 2010: The central role of diminishing sea ice in recent Arctic temperature amplification. Nature, 464, 1334-1337, doi:10.1038/nature09051.
53. Screen, J. A., and I. Simmonds, 2014:Amplifiedmid-latitude planetarywaves favour particular regional weather extremes. Nat. Climate Change, 4, 704-709, doi:10.1038/nclimate2271.
54. Screen, J. A., and I. Simmonds, C. Deser, and R. Tomas, 2013: The atmospheric response to three decades of observed Arctic sea ice loss. J. Climate, 26, 1230-1248, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00063.1.
55. Screen, J. A., C. Deser, I. Simmonds, and R. Tomas, 2014: Atmospheric impacts of Arctic sea-ice loss, 1979-2009: Separating forced change from atmospheric internal variability. Climate Dyn., 43, 333-344, doi:10.1007/s00382-013-1830-9.
56. Seierstad, I. A., and J. Bader, 2009: Impact of a projected future Arctic sea ice reduction on extratropical storminess and the NAO. Climate Dyn., 33, 937-943, doi:10.1007/s00382-008-0463-x.
57. Serreze, M. C., M. M. Holland, and J. Stroeve, 2007: Perspectives on the Arctic's shrinking sea ice cover. Science, 315, 1533-1536, doi:10.1126/science.1139426.
58. Simmonds, I., 2015: Comparing and contrasting the behavior of Arctic and Antarctic sea ice over the 35 year period 1979-2013. Ann. Glaciol., 56, 18-28, doi:10.3189/2015AoG69A909.
59. Simmonds, I., and K. Keay, 2009: Extraordinary September Arctic sea ice reductions and their relationships with storm behavior over 1979-2008. Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L19715, doi:10.1029/2009GL039810.
60. Simonsen, K., and P. M. Haugan, 1996: Heat budgets of the Arctic Mediterranean and sea surface heat flux parameterizations for the Nordic Seas. J. Geophys. Res., 101, 6553-6576, doi:10.1029/95JC03305.
61. Singarayer, J. S., J. L. Bamber, and P. J. Valdes, 2006: Twenty-firstcentury climate impacts from a declining Arctic sea ice cover. J. Climate, 19, 1109-1125, doi:10.1175/JCLI3649.1.
62. Smedsrud, L. H., and Coauthors, 2013: The role of the Barents Sea in the Arctic climate system. Rev. Geophys., 51, 415-449, doi:10.1002/rog.20017.
63. Spielhagen, R. F., and Coauthors, 2011: Enhanced modern heat transfer to the Arctic by warm Atlantic water. Science, 331, 450-453, doi:10.1126/science.1197397.
64. Strey, S. T., W. L. Chapman, and J. E. Walsh, 2010: The 2007 sea ice minimum: Impacts on the Northern Hemisphere atmosphere in late autumn and early winter. J. Geophys. Res., 115, D23103, doi:10.1029/2009JD013294.
65. Stroeve, J. C., M. C. Serreze, M. M. Holland, J. E. Kay, J. Malanik, and A. P. Barrett, 2012: The Arctic's rapidly shrinking sea ice cover: A research synthesis. Climatic Change, 110, 1005-1027, doi:10.1007/s10584-011-0101-1.
66. Strong, C., and G. Magnusdottir, 2011: Dependence of NAO variability on coupling with sea ice. Climate Dyn., 36, 1681-1689, doi:10.1007/s00382-010-0752-z.
67. Strong, C., G. Magnusdottir, and H. Stern, 2009: Observed feedback between winter sea ice and the North Atlantic Oscillation. J. Climate, 22, 6021-6032, doi:10.1175/2009JCLI3100.1.
68. Thompson, D. W. J., J. M. Wallace, and G. C. Hegerl, 2000: Annular modes in the extratropical circulation. Part II: Trends. J. Climate, 13, 1018-1036, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(2000)013<1018: AMITEC>2.0.CO;2.
69. Vallis, G. K., 2006: Atmospheric and Oceanic Fluid Dynamics: Fundamentals and Large-Scale Circulation. Cambridge University Press, 745 pp.
70. Vihma, T., 2014: Effects of Arctic sea ice decline on weather and climate:Areview. Surv. Geophys., 35, 1175-1214, doi:10.1007/s10712-014-9284-0.
71. Wu, Q., and X. Zhang, 2010: Observed forcing-feedback processes between Northern Hemisphere atmospheric circulation and Arctic sea ice coverage. J. Geophys. Res., 115, D14119, doi:10.1029/2009JD013574.
72. Yang, X.-Y., and X. Yuan, 2014: The early winter sea ice variability under the recent Arctic climate shift. J. Climate, 27, 5092-5110, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00536.1.
73. Zhang, X., M. Ikeda, and J. E. Walsh, 2003:Arctic sea ice and freshwater changes driven by the atmospheric leading mode in a coupled sea ice-ocean model. J. Climate, 16, 2159-2177, doi:10.1175/2758.1.
74. Zhang, X., A. Sorteberg, J. Zhang, R. Gerdes, and J. C. Comiso, 2008: Recent radical shifts of atmospheric circulations and rapid changes in Arctic climate system. Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L22701, doi:10.1029/2008GL035607.
75. Zhou, T., and J. Li, 2008: Climate change in China congruent with the linear trends of theAnnual Modes. Atmos. Ocean. Sci. Lett., 1, 1-7.