Using a boundary organization approach to develop a sea level rise and storm surge impact analysis framework for coastal communities in Maine

Journal of Environmental Studies and Sciences

Volumn 2, Issue 2, 2012, Pages 111-130

  Camill, Philip ^a   Hearn, Maryellen ^a   Bahm, Krista ^a   Johnson, Eileen ^a  

^a BOWDOIN COLLEGE   (United States)

Author keywords

Adaptation; Boundary organization; Climate change; Coast; Community; Impact; Infrastructure; Marsh; Sea level rise

Indexed keywords

ADAPTIVE MANAGEMENT; CLIMATE CHANGE; COASTAL ZONE MANAGEMENT; DATA SET; DECISION MAKING; ECONOMIC ANALYSIS; GIS; HAZARD ASSESSMENT; HISTORICAL RECORD; INFRASTRUCTURAL DEVELOPMENT; LIDAR; LOCAL PLANNING; SATELLITE LASER RANGING; SEA LEVEL CHANGE; STAKEHOLDER; STORM SURGE; TRANSPORTATION INFRASTRUCTURE; URBAN AREA; VULNERABILITY;

MAINE; UNITED STATES;

EID: 84977138007     PISSN: 21906483     EISSN: 21906491     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s13412-011-0056-6     Document Type: Article

References (85)

1. Akumu CE, Pathirana S, Baban S, Bucher D (2010) Examining the potential impacts of sea level rise on coastal wetlands in north-eastern NSW, Australia. J Coast Conserv 15(1): 15-22. doi: 10. 1007/s11852-010-0114-3.
2. Anthoff D, Nicholls RJ, Tol RSJ (2010) The economic impact of substantial sea-level rise. Mitig Adapt Strateg Glob Chang 15(4): 321-335. doi: 10. 1007/s11027-010-9220-7.
3. Ashton AD, Donnelly JP, Evans RL (2008) A discussion of the potential impacts of climate change on the shorelines of the Northeastern USA. Mitig Adapt Strateg Glob Chang 13(7): 719-743. doi: 10. 1007/s11027-007-9124-3.
4. Bosello F, Roson R, Tol RSJ (2007) Economy-wide estimates of the implications of climate change: sea level rise. Environ Resource Econ 37: 549-571.
5. Budd B (1980) A local archive of top tides and tidal surges for Portland Harbor, Maine. Available at NWS, 1 Weather La., Gray, ME 04039.
6. Cannon JW (2009) Northern New England coastal flooding. NOAA/National Weather Service Forecast Office, Gray, Maine, pp. 1-10. http://www. erh. noaa. gov/ssd/erps/ta/ta2007-03. pdf. Accessed 20 May 2011.
7. Cannon T, Müller-Mahn D (2010) Vulnerability, resilience and development discourses in context of climate change. Nat Hazards 55: 621-635.
8. Cash DW, Moser SC (2000) Linking global and local scales: designing dynamic assessment and management processes. Glob Environ Chang 10: 109-120.
9. Cash DW, Clark WC, Alcock F, Dickson NM, Eckley N, Guston DH, Jager J, Mitchel RB (2003) Knowledge systems for sustainable development. Proceedings of the National Academies of Science 100(14): 8086-8091.
10. Census Bureau US (2010) Statistical abstract of the United States. US Government Printing Office, Washington, DC.
11. CES, Inc. (2011) Town of Harpswell Coastal Waters Management Plan. http://www. harpswell. maine. gov/vertical/Sites/%7B3F690C92-5208-4D62-BAFB-2559293F6CAE%7D/uploads/%7B3700CBF8-2F15-49F8-B4CF-118CDBFD02A1%7D. PDF.
12. Conover SV, Rowan HE (2007) Maine Coastal Database: waterfront access for the towns of Harpwell and Brunswick [computer file]. Island Institute, Rockland, ME.
13. Cooper MJP, Beevers MD, Oppenheimer M (2008) The potential impacts of sea level rise on the coastal region of New Jersey, USA. Clim Chang 90(4): 475-492. doi: 10. 1007/s10584-008-9422-0.
14. Dempsey R, Fisher A (2005) Consortium for Atlantic Regional Assessment: information tools for community adaptation to changes in climate or land use. Risk Analysis 25(6): 1495-509. doi: 10. 1111/j. 1539-6924. 2005. 00695. x.
15. Donnelly JP, Bertness MD (2001) Rapid shoreward encroachment of salt marsh cordgrass in response to accelerated sea-level rise. Proc Nat Acad Sci 98: 14218-14223.
16. Engle NL (2011) Adaptive capacity and its assessment. Glob Environ Chang 21: 565-647.
17. White House Council on Environmental Quality (2010) Progress report of the Interagency Climate Change Adaptation Task Force: recommended actions in support of a National Climate Change Adaptation Strategy. http://www. whitehouse. gov/sites/default/files/microsites/ceq/Interagency-Climate-Change-Adaptation-Progress-Report. pdf.
18. FitzGerald DM, Fenster MS, Argow B, Buynevich IV (2008) Coastal impacts due to sea-level rise. Annual Rev Earth Planet Sci 36(1): 601-647. doi: 10. 1146/annurev. earth. 35. 031306. 140139.
19. Folke C, Hahn T, Olsson P, Norberg J (2005) Adaptive governance of social-ecological systems. Annu Rev Environ Resour 30: 441-73. doi: 10. 1146/annurev. energy. 30. 050504. 144511.
20. Frazier TG, Wood N, Yarnal B, Bauer DH (2010) Influence of potential sea level rise on societal vulnerability to hurricane storm-surge hazards, Sarasota County, Florida. Appl Geogr 30(4): 490-505. doi: 10. 1016/j. apgeog. 2010. 05. 005.
21. Füssel HM (2009) An updated assessment of the risks from climate change based on research published since the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report. Clim Chang 97(3-4): 469-482. doi: 10. 1007/s10584-009-9648-5.
22. Gehrels WR, Belknap DF, Black S, Newnham RM (2002) Rapid sea-level rise in the Gulf of Maine, USA, since AD 1800. Holocene 12(4): 383-389. doi: 10. 1191/0959683602hl555ft.
23. Gesch DB (2009) Analysis of LIDAR elevation data for improved identification and delineation of lands vulnerable to sea-level rise. J Coast Res SI(53): 49-58. doi: 10. 2112/SI53-006. 1.
24. Gornitz V, Couch S, Hartig EK (2001) Impacts of sea level rise in the New York City metropolitan area. Glob Planet Chang 32(1): 61-88. doi: 10. 1016/S0921-8181(01)00150-3.
25. Guston DH (2001) Boundary organizations in environmental policy and science: an introduction. Sci Tech Hum Val 26(4): 399-408.
26. Hallegatte S, Henriet F, Corfee-Morlot J (2011) The economics of climate change impacts and policy benefits at city scale: a conceptual framework. Clim Chang 104(1): 51-87. doi: 10. 1007/s10584-010-9976-5.
27. Hansen HS (2010) Modelling the future coastal zone urban development as implied by the IPCC SRES and assessing the impact from sea level rise. Landscape Urban Plan 98(3-4): 141-149. doi: 10. 1016/j. landurbplan. 2010. 08. 018.
28. Hopkinson CS, Lugo AE, Alber M, Covich AP, van Bloem SJ (2008) Forecasting effects of sea-level rise and windstorms on coastal and inland ecosystems. Front Ecol Environ 6(5): 255-263. doi: 10. 1890/070153.
29. Hunt A, Watkiss P (2011) Climate change impacts and adaptation in cities: a review of the literature. Clim Chang 104: 13-49. doi: 10. 1007/s10584-010-9975-6.
30. IPCC (2007) Climate change 2007: synthesis report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Core Writing Team, Pachauri, R. K and Reisinger, A. (eds.)]. IPCC, Geneva, Switzerland, 104 pp.
31. Jevrejeva S, Moore JC, Grinsted A (2010) How will sea level respond to changes in natural and anthropogenic forcings by 2100? Geophys Res Lett. doi: 10. 1029/2010GL042947.
32. Kates RW, Clark WC, Corell R, Hall JM, Jaeger CC, Lowe I, McCarthy JJ, Schellnhuber HJ, Bolin B, Dickson NM, Faucheux S, Gallopin GC, Grübler A, Huntley B, Jäger J, Jodha NS, Kasperson RE, Mabogunje A, Matson P, Mooney H, Moore B III, O'Riordan T, Svedin U (2001) Sustainability science. Science 292(5517): 641-642.
33. Keskitalo ECH (2008) Governance in vulnerability assessment: the role of globalising decision-making networks in determining local vulnerability and adaptive capacity. Mitig Adapt Strateg Glob Chang 14(2): 185-201. doi: 10. 1007/s11027-008-9159-0.
34. Kirshen P, Knee K, Ruth M (2008) Climate change and coastal flooding in Metro Boston: impacts and adaptation strategies. Clim Chang 90(4): 453-473. doi: 10. 1007/s10584-008-9398-9.
35. Kopp R, Simons FJ, Mitrovica JX, Maloof AC, Oppenheimer M (2009) Probabilistic assessment of sea level during the last interglacial stage. Nature 462: 863-868.
36. Kuleli T (2010) City-based risk assessment of sea level rise using topographic and census data for the Turkish coastal zone. Estuaries Coasts 33(3): 640-651. doi: 10. 1007/s12237-009-9248-7.
37. LaFever DH, Lopez RR, Feagin R, Silvy NJ (2007) Predicting the impacts of future sea-level rise on an endangered lagomorph. Environ Manag 40(3): 430-437. doi: 10. 1007/s00267-006-0204-z.
38. Lam N, Arenas H, Li Z, Liu KB (2009) An estimate of population impacted by climate change along the US coast. J Coast Res SI(56): 1522-1526.
39. Lebel L, Anderies JM, Campbell B, Folke C, Hatfield-Dodds S, Hughes TP, Wilson J (2006) Governance and the capacity to manage resilience in regional social-ecological systems. Ecology and Society 11(1): 19. http://www. ecologyandsociety. org/vol11/iss1/art19/.
40. Lowe JA, Howard T, Pardaens A, Tinker J, Jenkins G, Ridley J, Leake J, Holt J, Wakelin S, Wolf J, Horsburgh K, Reeder T, Milne G, Bradley S, Dye S (2009) UK climate projections science report: marine and coastal projections. Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter. http://ukclimateprojections. defra. gov. uk/content/view/825/500/.
41. Maine Department of Environmental Protection (2006) Chapter 355, coastal sand dune rules. http://www. maine. gov/dep/blwq/topic/dunes/index. htm. Accessed 8 June 2006.
42. Maine Department of Environmental Protection (2010) Adapting to climate change in Maine. http://www. maine. gov/dep/oc/adapt/.
43. Maine Department of Marine Resources (2010) Molluscan shellfish areas. [computer file]. Augusta ME: Maine Department of Marine Resources (MEDMR). http://www. maine. gov/megis/catalog/.
44. Maine Office of GIS (2009) Cumberland County Orthophotos 2009 [aerial photograph WMS] 0. 3 meter resolution. Sioux Falls: US. Geological Survey, EROS Data Service. http://www. maine. gov/megis/catalog/.
45. Maine Office of GIS (2010) E911rds (Emergency 911 road system). [computer file]. Augusta, ME: Maine Public Utilities Commission, Maine Emergency Communications Bureau, Maine Office of Geographic Information Systems. http://www. maine. gov/megis/catalog/.
46. Mason Webber M (2009) Maine Molluscan Shellfish Resource Mapping Project, Using Geographical Information System (GIS). http://www. maine. gov/dmr/rm/public_health/2009molluscanmapping. pdf. Maine Department of Marine Resources.
47. McNie EC (2007) Reconciling the supply of scientific information with user demands: an analysis of the problem and review of the literature. Environ Sci Policy 10: 17-38.
48. Michaels S (2009) Matching knowledge brokering strategies to environmental policy problems and settings. Environ Sci Policy 12(7): 994-1011.
49. Miller C (2001) Hybrid management: boundary organizations, science policy, and environmental governance in the climate regime. Sci Tech Hum Val 26: 478-500.
50. Miller F, Osbahr H, Boyd E, Thomalla F, Bharwani S, Ziervogel G, Walker B, Birkmann J, van der Leeuw S, Rockström, Hinkel J, Downing T, Folke C, Nelson D (2010) Resilience and vulnerability: complementary or conflicting concepts. Ecology and Society 15(3): 11. http://www. ecologyandsociety. org/vol15/iss3/art11/.
51. Morris JT, Sundareshwar PV, Nietch CT, Kjerfve B, Cahoon DR (2002) Responses of coastal wetlands to rising sea level. Ecology 83(10): 2869-2877.
52. Moser SC (2005) Impacts assessments and policy responses to sea-level rise in three US states: an exploration of human dimension uncertainties. Glob Environ Change 15: 353-369.
53. Moser SC, Ekstrom JA (2011) Taking ownership of climate change: participatory adaptation planning in two local case studies from California. J Environ Stud Sci 1: 63-74.
54. Moser SC, Kasperson RE, Yohe G, Agyeman J (2008) Adaptation to climate change in the Northeast United States: opportunities, processes, constraints. Mitig Adapt Strateg Glob Chang 13(5-6): 643-659. doi: 10. 1007/s11027-007-9132-3.
55. National Research Council (2010) America's climate choices: adapting to the impacts of climate change. National Academies Press, Washington.
56. Nelson DR (2011) Adaptation and resilience: responding to a changing climate. Wiley Inter Rev Clim Change 2(1): 113-120.
57. Nelson DR, Adger WN, Brown K (2007) Adaptation to environmental change: contributions of a resilience framework. Annu Rev Environ Resour 32: 395-419.
58. Neumann J, Hudgens D, Herter J, Martinich J (2010) Assessing sea-level rise impacts: a GIS-based framework and application to coastal New Jersey. Coast Manag 38(4): 433-455. doi: 10. 1080/08920753. 2010. 496105.
59. Nicholls RJ, Cazenave A (2010) Sea-level rise and its impact on coastal zones. Science 328: 1517-20. doi: 10. 1126/science. 1185782.
60. Nicholls RJ, Mimura N (1998) Regional issues raised by sea-level rise and their policy implications. Clim Res 11: 5-18. doi: 10. 3354/cr011005.
61. Nordhaus N (1991) To slow or not to slow: the economics of the greenhouse effect. Econ J 101(407): 920-937.
62. Osberg, PH, Hussey AM, Boone GM (editors) (1985) Bedrock geologic map of Maine: Maine Geological Survey (Department of Conservation), scale 1: 500, 000.
63. Pantaleoni E, Wynne RH, Galbraith JM, Campbell JB (2009) A logit model for predicting wetland location using ASTER and GIS. Int J Remote Sens 30(9): 2215-2236.
64. Pilkey OH, Cooper JAG (2004) Society and sea level rise. Science 303(5665): 1781-1782. doi: 10. 1126/science. 1093515.
65. Preston BL, Westaway RM, Yuen EJ (2011) Climate adaptation planning in practice: an evaluation of adaptation plans from three developed nations. Mitig Adapt Strateg Glob Chang 16: 407-438. doi: 10. 1007/s11027-010-9270-x.
66. Rahmstorf S (2007) A semi-empirical approach to projecting future sea-level rise. Science 315: 368-370.
67. Reed DJ (1994) The response of coastal marshes to sea-level rise: survival or submergence? Earth Surf Process Landforms 20: 39-48.
68. Romieu E, Welle T, Schneiderbauer S, Pelling M, Vinchon C (2010) Vulnerability assessment within climate change and natural hazard contexts: revealing gaps and synergies through coastal applications. Sustain Sci 5(2): 159-70. doi: 10. 1007/s11625-010-0112-2.
69. Romsdahl RJ (2011) Decision support for climate change adaptation planning in the US: why it needs a coordinated internet-based practitioners' network. Clim Chang 106: 507-536.
70. Sarewitz D, Pielke RA Jr (2007) The neglected heart of science policy: reconciling supply of and demand for science. Environ Sci Pol 10: 5-16.
71. Silka L (2010) Community Research in Other Contexts: Learning From Sustainability Science. J Emp Res Hum Res Ethics 5(4): 3-11.
72. Slovinsky PA, Dickinson SM (2009) Assessment of LIDAR for simulating existing and potential future marsh conditions in Casco Bay Maine Geological Survey, Maine Department of Conservation. http://www. cascobay. usm. maine. edu/pdfs/assessment_of_LIDAR_MGS_report. pdf.
73. Slovinsky PA, Dickson SM (2006) Impacts of future sea level rise on the coastal floodplain. Maine Geological Survey MGS Open-File 06-14: 26p.
74. Suarez P, Anderson W, Mahal V, Lakshmanan T (2005) Impacts of flooding and climate change on urban transportation: a systemwide performance assessment of the Boston Metro Area. Tran Res D Tran Env 10(3): 231-244. doi: 10. 1016/j. trd. 2005. 04. 007.
75. Thompson WB, Borns Jr. HW (1985) Surficial geologic map of Maine: Maine Geological Survey (Department of Conservation), scale 1: 500, 000.
76. Titus JG, Park R, Leatherman S, Weggel JR, Greene M, Mausel P, Brown S, Gaunt G, Trehan M, Yohe G (1991) Greenhouse effect and sea level rise: the cost of holding back the sea. Coast Manag 19(2): 171-204. doi: 10. 1080/08920759109362138.
77. Titus JG, Hudgens DE, Trescott DL, Craghan M, Nuckols WH, Hershner CH, Kassakian JM, Linn CJ, Merritt PG, MvCue TM, O'Connell JF, Tanski J, Wang J (2009) State and local governments plan for development of most land vulnerable to rising sea level along the US Atlantic coast. Environ Res Lett 4(4): 1-7. doi: 10. 1088/1748-9326/4/4/044008.
78. Tribbia J, Moser SC (2008) More than information: what coastal managers need to plan for climate change. Env Sci Pol 11(4): 315-328. doi: 10. 1016/j. envsci. 2008. 01. 003.
79. Turner BL II (2010) Vulnerability and resilience: coalescing or paralleling approaches for sustainability science? Glob Environ Chang 20: 570-576.
80. Vermeer M, Rahmstorf S (2009) Global sea level linked to global temperature. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 106: 21527.
81. Vogel C, Moser SC, Kasperson RE, Dabelko GD (2007) Linking vulnerability, adaptation, and resilience science to practice: pathways, players, and partnerships. Glob Environ Chang 17: 349-364.
82. Walsh K, Betts H, Church J, Pittock A (2004) Using sea level rise projections for urban planning in Australia. J Coast Res 20(2): 586-598.
83. Weichselgartner J, Kasperson R (2010) Barriers in the science-policy-practice interface: toward a knowledge-action-system in global environmental change research. Glob Environ Chang 20: 266-277. doi: 10. 1016/j. gloenvcha. 2009. 11. 006.
84. Wu SY, Najjar R, Siewert J (2008) Potential impacts of sea-level rise on the Mid- and Upper-Atlantic Region of the United States. Clim Chang 95(1-2): 121-138. doi: 10. 1007/s10584-008-9522-x.
85. Yohe GW, Schlesinger ME (1998) Sea-level change: the expected economic cost of protection or abandonment in the United States. Clim Chang 38: 447-472.