The migration response to increasing temperatures

Journal of Development Economics

Volumn 122, Issue , 2016, Pages 127-146

  Cattaneo, Cristina ^a   Peri, Giovanni ^b  

^a FONDAZIONE ENI ENRICO MATTEI   (Italy)

^b UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA   (United States)

Author keywords

Agricultural productivity; Emigration; Global warming; Rural urban migration

Indexed keywords

AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION; EMIGRATION; GLOBAL WARMING; PRODUCTIVITY; RURAL-URBAN MIGRATION;

EID: 84974566783     PISSN: 03043878     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2016.05.004     Document Type: Article

References (46)

1. Auffhammer M., Hsiang S.M., Schlenker W., Sobelz A. Using weather data and climate model output in economic analyses of climate change. Rev. Environ. Econ. Policy 2013, 7(2):181-198.
2. Auffhammer M., Vincent J.R. Unobserved time effects confound the identification of climate change impacts. Proceedings of the National Academy of Science 2012, 109(30):11973-11974.
3. Backhaus A., Martinez-Zarzoso I., Muris C. Do climate variations explain bilateral migration? a gravity model analysis. IZA J. Migr. 2015, 4:3.
4. Barrios S., Bertinelli L., Strobl E. Climatic change and rural-urban migration: the case of Sub-Saharan Africa. J. Urban Econ. 2006, 60(3):357-371.
5. Beine M., Parsons C. Climatic factors as determinants of international migration. Scand. J. Econ. 2015, 117(2):723-767.
6. Bohra-Mishra P., Oppenheimer M., Hsiang S.M. Nonlinear permanent migration response to climatic variations but minimal response to disasters. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. 2014, 111(27):9780-9785.
7. Borjas G.J. Self-selection and the earnings of immigrants. Am. Econ. Rev. 1987, 77(4):531-553.
8. Burke M., Hsiang S., Miguel E. Global non-linear effect of temperature on economic production. Nature 2015, 527:235-239.
9. Cai R., Feng S., Pytliková M., Oppenheimer M. Climate Variability and International Migration: The Importance of the Agricultural Linkage. CReAM Discussion Paper Series 1418, Centre for Research and Analysis of Migration (CReAM) 2014, Department of Economics, University College London.
10. Clemens M. Does Development Reduce Migration?. IZA Discussion Papers 8592 2014, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA).
11. Gridded Population of the World, Version 3 (GPWv3): Population Count Grid Palisades, NY: NASA Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC) 2004, CIESIN, Columbia University, United Nations Food and Agriculture ProgrammeColumbia University, United Nations Food and Agriculture Programme, FAOFAO, Centro Internacional de Agricultura Tropical - CIATCentro Internacional de Agricultura Tropical - CIAT.
12. Cline W.R. Global Warming and Agriculture: Impact Estimates by Country 2007, Center for Global Development and Peterson Institute for International Economics, Washington.
13. Couttenier M., Soubeyran R. Drought and civil war in Sub-Saharan Africa. Econ. J. 2014, 124(575):201-244.
14. Dell M., Jones B., Olkien B. Temperature shocks and economic growth: evidence from the last half century. Am. Econ. J. Macroecon. 2012, 4(3):66-95.
15. Dell M., Jones B., Olkien B. What do we learn from the weather? The new Climate-Economy literature. J. Econ. Lit. 2014, 52(3):740-798.
16. Dillon A., Mueller V., Salau S. Migratory responses to agricultural risk in Northern Nigeria. Am. J. Agric. Econ. 2011, 93(4):1048-1061.
17. Docquier F., Marfouk A., Özden C., Parsons C. Geographic, Gender and Skill Structure of International Migration. MPRA Paper 47917 2011, University Library of Munich, Germany.
18. Feng S., Krueger A.B., Oppenheimer M. Linkages among climate change, crop yields and Mexico-US cross-border migration. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. 2010, 107(32):14257-14262.
19. Gray C.L. Environment, land, and rural out-migration in the Southern Ecuadorian Andes. World Dev. 2009, 37(2):457-468.
20. Gray C.L., Bilsborrow R. Environmental influences on human migration in rural Ecuador. Demography 2013, 50(4):1217-1241.
21. Gray C.L., Mueller V. Drought and population mobility in rural Ethiopia. World Dev. 2012, 40(1):134-145.
22. Gray C.L., Mueller V. Natural disasters and population mobility in Bangladesh. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. 2012, 109(16):6000-6005.
23. Grogger J., Hanson G. Income maximization and the selection and sorting of international migrants. J. Dev. Econ. 2011, 95(1):42-57.
24. Guha-Sapir D., Below R. International Disaster Database -Www.Emdat.Be- 2015, Hoyois-EM-DAT, Ph, Université Catholique de Louvain, Brussels - Belgium.
25. Hatton T.J., Williamson J.G. What drove the mass migrations from Europe in the late nineteenth century?. Popul. Dev. Rev. 1994, 20(3):533-559.
26. Hatton T.J., Williamson J.G. Demographic and economic pressure of emigration out of africa. Scand. J. Econ. 2003, 105(3):465-486.
27. Hatton T.J., Williamson J.G. Are third world emigration forces abating?. World Dev. 2011, 39(1):20-32.
28. Henry S., Schoumaker B., Beauchemin C. The impact of rainfall on the first out-migration: a multilevel event-history analysis in Burkina Faso. Popul. Environ. 2004, 25(5):423-460.
29. Fifth Assessment Report: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability 2014, IPCC, UNEP, Washington DC.
30. Jones B., Olken B.A. Climate shocks and exports. Am. Econ. Rev. 2010, 100(2):454-459.
31. Jedwab R., Christiaensen L., Gindelsky M. Rural Push, Urban Pull And Urban Push? New Historical Evidence From Developing Countries. Working Papers 2014-04 2014, The George Washington University, Institute for International Economic Policy.
32. Kelley C.o.P., Shahrzad M., Cane M.A., Seager R., Kushnir Y. Climate change in the Fertile Crescent and implications of the recent Syrian drought. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. 2015, 112(11):3241-3246.
33. Marchiori L., Maystadt J., Schumacher I. The impact of weather anomalies on migration in Sub-Saharan Africa. J. Environ. Econ. Manag. 2012, 63:355-374.
34. Matsuura K., Willmott C.J. Terrestrial Air Temperature and Precipitation: 1900-2006 Gridded Monthly Time Series, Version 1.01 2007, http://climate.geog.udel.edu/climate/.
35. Mayda A.M. International migration: a panel data analysis of the determinants of bilateral flow. J. Popul. Econ. 2010, 23(4):1249-1274.
36. Mendelsohn R., Nordhaus W.D., Shaw D. The impact of global warming on agriculture: a Ricardian analysis. Am. Econ. Rev. 1994, 84(4):753-771.
37. Mueller V.A., Gray C.L., Kosec K. Heat stress increases long-term human migration in rural Pakistan. Nat. Clim. Change 2014, 4:182-185.
38. Munshi K. Networks in the modern economy. Mexican migrants in the US labor market. Q. J. Econ. 2003, 118(2):549-599.
39. Ortega F., Peri G. The effect of income and immigration policies on international migration. Migr. Stud. 2012, 1:1-28.
40. Ozden C., Parsons C.R., Schiff M., Walmsley T.L. Where on earth is everybody? The evolution of global bilateral migration 1960-2000. World Bank Econ. Rev. 2011, 25(1):12-56.
41. Version 6.3 2009, Penn World Table. http://datacentre.chass.utoronto.ca/pwt/.
42. Pritchett L. Let Their People Come: Breaking the Gridlock on International Labor Mobility 2006, Center for Global Development, Washington DC.
43. Roy A.D. Some thoughts on the distribution of earnings. Oxf. Econ. Pap. 1951, 3(2):35-46.
44. World Urbanization Prospects: The 2014 Revision. Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division 2014, UN, United Nations publication.
45. World Development Indicators 2015, World Bank. http://data.worldbank.org/data-catalog/world-development-indicators.
46. Zelinsky W. The hypothesis of the mobility transition. Geogr. Rev. 1971, 61(2):219-249.